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2007 NFL Week 15 Predictions Summary

Last update: Sun Mar. 2, 2008 10:31 pm

Important Notes on NFL Predictions	Show \| Hide
NFL Predictions listed on this page are based on the default settings of the Team Rankings GameZone NFL predictions tool, a 100% objective and data-driven system developed by Stanford engineers. Default settings loosely reflect our research into which statistics tend to be good predictors in most cases. We encourage our users to manipulate the predictions tool for each matchup of interest, and to customize individual factor settings to test alternative strategies for predicting NFL outcomes. Although we will provide performance tracking information at the default settings, keep in mind the following guidelines: The system does not incorporate or attempt to model the potential effects of injuries, weather conditions, coaching strategies, specific player matchups, emotional factors such as team morale, or anything else not listed in the statistical factors box. Making any corresponding adjustments to predictions will require your own judgment. Every data-driven predictive system has a margin of error associated with it, and this system is no different. We believe that a 3% to 5% safety buffer around odds to win/cover is warranted, as is a 1.5 to 3 point buffer around expected margin of victory. For example, if odds to win for a given team are calculated at 53.5%, margin of error means that the actual win odds calculation may be as low as 48.5% or as high as 58.5%, based on the variance inherent in our data set and models. Every matchup is different, and tweaking the factor settings for a matchup based on the specific characteristics of the two teams in question may improve prediction accuracy. Simply adjust the importance sliders and time filters for any factor, and prediction information will update. Try to give the "Help" section a good read. It's lengthy, but it will enable you to understand how this product works and how to use it best. We're confident that if you read the help section, you'll be convinced of the analytical power and sound mathematical foundation of this tool. Please remember that luck and probability mean that anyone can win or lose big over one week, month, or even season. The key is to adopt a consistent strategy that you can measure, refine, and improve over the long term, and to filter emotion out of the process of making picks. This product can provide the basis to do so. Have fun, and please let us know your comments, questions, suggestions, and feedback!

NFL Week 15 Predictions

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Last Week In Review

Week 14 was an interesting week for results. Against closing spreads, the tool's default settings predictions resulted in our second straight losing week (1-2) at the 60%+ odds to cover threshold, but default settings went 3-2 at the 57.5%+ threshold, and an impressive 6-2 at the 55%+ odds to cover threshold. Since its Week 3 launch, predictions at default setting are now 45-31 (59.2%) ATS at 60%+ odds to cover and 69-51 (57.5%) ATS at 55%+ odds to cover.

In addition, the tool was 14-2 picking straight up winners at the 50%+ odds to win threshold. Those straight up picks at default settings are now 121-55 (68.8%) since Week 3 launch, outperforming 13 out of 14 NFL "experts" we track as well as the Yahoo! Pick'em user consensus.

NFL Week 15 Preview

Please click on the "View Predictions" links below or use the pulldown menu in the top right to see up to date predictions for individual NFL Week 15 games. We load in updated point spreads multiple times per day.

NFL Week 15 Predictions Summary

Below is our Team Rankings GameZone predictions summary for all NFL Week 15 games. Although we update this page periodically, predictions can change multiple times per day based on new information such as shifting NFL betting lines. Click on "View Predictions" to see the most recent lines and predictions and to customize factor settings.

2007 NFL Week 15 Predictions Summary

Last update: Sun Mar. 2, 2008 10:31 pm

Important Notes on NFL Predictions

NFL Week 15 Predictions

Last Week In Review

NFL Week 15 Preview

NFL Week 15 Predictions Summary

Denver Broncos at Houston Texans

Cincinnati Bengals at San Francisco 49ers

Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns

Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers

New York Jets at New England Patriots

Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams

Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins

Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers

Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs

Indianapolis Colts at Oakland Raiders

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys

Detroit Lions at San Diego Chargers

Washington Redskins at New York Giants

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings