|
NFL Predictions listed on this page are based on the default
settings of the Team Rankings GameZone NFL
predictions tool, a 100% objective and data-driven system developed by Stanford engineers. Default settings loosely reflect our research into
which statistics tend to be good predictors in
most cases.
We encourage our users to manipulate the predictions tool for each matchup of interest, and to
customize individual factor settings to test alternative strategies for predicting NFL outcomes. Although we will
provide performance tracking information at the default
settings, keep in mind the following guidelines:
- The system does not incorporate or attempt to model the potential
effects of injuries, weather conditions, coaching strategies, specific player
matchups, emotional factors such as team morale, or anything else not listed in the
statistical factors box. Making any corresponding adjustments to predictions
will require your own judgment.
- Every data-driven predictive system has a margin of error associated with it, and this
system is no different. We believe that a 3% to 5% safety buffer around odds to win/cover
is warranted, as is a 1.5 to 3 point buffer around expected margin of victory. For example, if odds to win
for a given team are calculated at 53.5%, margin of error means that the actual win odds calculation
may be as low as 48.5% or as high as 58.5%, based on the variance inherent in our data set and models.
- Every matchup is different, and tweaking the factor settings for a matchup based on the
specific characteristics of the two teams in question may improve
prediction accuracy. Simply adjust the importance sliders and time filters
for any factor, and prediction information will update.
- Try to give the "Help" section a good read. It's lengthy, but it will
enable you to understand how this product works and how to use it best. We're
confident that if you read the help section, you'll be convinced of the
analytical power and sound mathematical foundation of this tool.
- Please remember that luck and probability mean that anyone can win or lose big
over one week, month, or even season. The key is to adopt a consistent
strategy that you can measure, refine, and improve over the long term, and to filter
emotion out of the process of making picks. This product can provide the basis to do so.
- Have fun, and please let us know your comments, questions, suggestions, and feedback!
|
Chicago Bears at 
Detroit Lions
New York Jets at 
Buffalo Bills
Green Bay Packers at 
Minnesota Vikings
Oakland Raiders at 
Miami Dolphins
St. Louis Rams at 
Dallas Cowboys
Baltimore Ravens at 
Cleveland Browns
Houston Texans at 
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 
Carolina Panthers
Seattle Seahawks at 
San Francisco 49ers
Denver Broncos at 
Indianapolis Colts
Kansas City Chiefs at 
San Diego Chargers
Pittsburgh Steelers at 
Arizona Cardinals
Philadelphia Eagles at 
New York Giants
New England Patriots at 
Cincinnati Bengals