NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2)
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Spreading the Nerd Word
Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Power Rankings

By division
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008

Home Advantage = 3.6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Kansas (36-3)98.37-19-16-1
2. Memphis (38-2)97.55-25-08-0
3. North Carolina (36-3)96.47-25-012-1
4. UCLA (34-4)95.411-37-05-1
5. Texas (30-7)92.65-59-05-2
6. Wisconsin (31-5)92.23-54-08-0
7. Tennessee (30-5)92.04-27-27-1
8. Duke (28-6)91.55-41-113-1
9. Georgetown (28-6)91.25-53-03-1
10. Louisville (27-9)90.67-43-24-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Davidson (28-7)90.32-41-00-3
12. Stanford (28-8)90.15-55-26-1
13. Xavier (30-7)89.62-25-39-2
14. Butler (30-4)89.20-21-011-2
15. Washington St (26-9)89.13-67-23-1
16. Michigan St (27-9)88.83-54-28-0
17. Drake (26-5)88.81-03-27-3
18. Pittsburgh (26-10)88.46-51-26-1
19. Marquette (24-10)88.34-81-14-1
20. Notre Dame (25-8)87.93-53-23-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. West Virginia (25-11)87.93-72-35-0
22. Clemson (23-10)87.42-42-39-3
23. Texas A&M (24-11)87.21-45-56-2
24. Purdue (25-9)87.14-32-24-2
25. USC (21-12)87.02-76-35-1
26. Connecticut (24-9)86.95-41-22-2
27. Indiana (25-8)86.72-43-27-1
28. Oklahoma (23-12)86.22-85-26-1
29. Gonzaga (25-8)85.90-44-23-1
30. Ohio St (24-13)85.82-82-28-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Kansas St (20-12)85.73-62-33-3
32. Western KY (27-7)85.71-21-10-3
33. Kent (28-7)85.50-22-110-1
34. BYU (27-8)85.51-31-24-1
35. Mississippi St (23-11)85.40-33-47-4
36. Vanderbilt (26-8)85.21-12-39-4
37. Arizona (18-15)85.04-91-46-2
38. Arkansas (23-12)84.91-26-36-5
39. Miami Fla (22-11)84.92-42-08-5
40. Baylor (20-11)84.82-62-34-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Villanova (22-13)84.83-71-16-2
42. UNLV (26-8)84.70-23-24-2
43. Massachusetts (25-11)84.50-10-411-3
44. Illinois St (24-10)83.90-30-29-2
45. Oregon (18-14)83.91-84-45-1
46. Nebraska (20-13)83.91-44-44-3
47. Mississippi (24-11)83.71-14-36-3
48. Arizona St (21-13)83.63-73-23-4
49. St Josephs (21-13)83.62-13-23-7
50. St Marys CA (24-7)83.51-12-32-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Dayton (23-11)83.52-32-26-3
52. Florida (24-12)83.50-22-66-3
53. Virginia Tech (21-14)83.50-51-38-3
54. Syracuse (21-14)83.32-52-66-1
55. Temple (21-13)83.31-33-25-5
56. South Alabama (24-7)83.20-13-20-1
57. Creighton (21-11)82.90-42-27-3
58. Kentucky (18-13)82.81-43-34-4
59. New Mexico (24-9)82.80-01-43-2
60. Oklahoma St (16-16)82.52-62-44-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Florida St (19-15)82.41-62-07-8
62. VA Commonwealth (24-8)82.40-00-24-2
63. Southern Ill (18-15)82.31-33-45-4
64. Georgia Tech (15-17)82.22-50-57-5
65. Texas Tech (15-15)82.22-52-53-3
66. Uab (23-11)82.20-20-04-4
67. Akron (24-11)81.90-00-47-3
68. Oral Roberts (23-9)81.80-30-14-2
69. California (17-16)81.82-71-74-2
70. Wake Forest (17-13)81.81-22-15-9

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Maryland (19-15)81.71-40-19-7
72. Houston (24-10)81.70-20-23-3
73. Missouri (16-16)81.62-42-71-4
74. Charlotte (20-14)81.62-12-26-6
75. Iupui (23-7)81.40-11-02-2
76. Rhode Island (21-12)81.10-10-35-5
77. Minnesota (20-14)81.10-52-40-5
78. Tulsa (25-14)81.10-30-17-4
79. Bradley (21-17)81.11-31-26-8
80. Illinois (16-19)81.11-81-55-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Washington (16-17)81.01-93-32-5
82. Cleveland St (19-13)80.71-20-25-3
83. Stephen Austin (22-6)80.70-01-10-1
84. Providence (15-16)80.60-83-22-2
85. Siena (23-11)80.61-11-20-2
86. Miami Ohio (17-16)80.61-31-34-8
87. Wright St (21-10)80.51-10-13-5
88. Georgia (16-17)80.40-44-54-4
89. CS Fullerton (23-9)80.30-10-20-1
90. Alabama (17-16)80.20-43-52-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Cornell (21-6)80.20-20-01-2
92. George Mason (23-11)80.00-11-23-1
93. Western Mich (20-12)79.91-00-23-4
94. Valparaiso (20-14)79.80-40-16-4
95. Ohio (20-13)79.70-11-25-6
96. Virginia (17-16)79.60-51-13-9
97. Duquesne (17-13)79.60-41-11-3
98. North Carolina St (15-16)79.61-72-13-5
99. Utah (17-15)79.60-01-63-4
100. Missouri St (16-16)79.51-20-42-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. San Diego (21-14)79.50-14-51-3
102. Illinois Chi (17-15)79.40-30-13-6
103. Northern Iowa (17-14)79.20-22-24-5
104. San Diego St (19-13)79.20-01-63-4
105. Seton Hall (17-15)79.21-70-32-2
106. NC Greensboro (19-12)79.20-30-11-2
107. Boise St (24-9)79.10-21-00-1
108. UC Santa Barbara (22-9)79.00-21-12-0
109. Belmont (24-9)79.00-20-01-1
110. Cincinnati (13-19)78.93-71-32-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Rider (23-11)78.70-00-11-3
112. SO Mississippi (15-14)78.70-30-11-6
113. St Louis (15-15)78.60-22-23-7
114. South Carolina (14-18)78.50-52-43-7
115. Nevada (20-12)78.50-10-10-3
116. Penn St (15-16)78.41-51-33-3
117. Portland St (21-10)78.40-30-02-2
118. Robert Morris (26-8)78.30-00-00-2
119. Indiana St (14-16)78.30-51-13-6
120. Utah St (23-11)78.30-00-21-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Winthrop (20-12)78.30-31-22-1
122. Boston College (14-17)78.20-61-25-8
123. Umbc (23-9)78.10-20-10-0
124. Texas El Paso (19-14)78.00-20-13-8
125. Richmond (16-15)77.80-20-36-3
126. LSU (12-18)77.80-21-83-4
127. Iowa St (13-18)77.71-61-52-5
128. DePaul (11-19)77.70-91-41-3
129. Sam Houston (19-8)77.60-00-02-1
130. Niagara (19-10)77.50-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Brown (19-10)77.40-10-10-5
132. CS Northridge (19-10)77.40-00-12-4
133. Geo Southern (18-12)77.30-20-02-3
134. Old Dominion (18-16)77.30-40-03-4
135. Central Florida (16-15)77.20-10-41-4
136. American (21-12)77.10-20-01-1
137. Colorado (11-20)77.00-63-50-6
138. La Salle (14-17)77.00-11-33-6
139. New Mexico St (20-14)77.00-40-01-2
140. Wisc Green Bay (15-15)76.90-40-23-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Marist (18-14)76.90-00-21-5
142. South Florida (12-19)76.70-60-23-5
143. Auburn (14-16)76.60-32-61-4
144. Pacific (20-10)76.50-00-12-1
145. NC Wilmington (20-13)76.40-00-22-4
146. North Texas (17-11)76.40-10-22-0
147. Austin Peay (24-11)76.40-20-10-2
148. St Johns (11-19)76.30-90-31-3
149. Appalachian St (17-13)76.30-21-00-1
150. Loyola MD (19-14)76.20-10-02-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Iowa (13-19)76.11-61-30-4
152. Chattanooga (16-13)76.10-30-10-3
153. Marshall (14-14)76.00-30-02-4
154. Wisc Milwaukee (13-16)75.90-50-03-4
155. Middle Tenn St (16-15)75.80-20-32-2
156. Lamar (15-11)75.80-00-20-3
157. Michigan (10-22)75.60-101-31-3
158. Oakland (15-14)75.60-21-01-5
159. Tulane (16-15)75.60-20-12-4
160. Central Mich (13-16)75.50-00-13-8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Northrn Arizona (19-11)75.50-11-20-0
162. Fordham (11-17)75.50-21-23-7
163. Wagner (23-8)75.40-00-10-0
164. Morgan St (21-11)75.20-00-20-2
165. UC Irvine (17-16)75.20-10-10-4
166. Air Force (14-14)75.20-11-30-5
167. East Tenn St (18-13)75.10-00-11-3
168. Texas Arlington (17-12)75.00-10-01-2
169. Wichita St (11-20)74.90-20-33-6
170. Northeastern (14-17)74.90-00-11-7

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Geo Washington (9-17)74.90-30-22-6
172. NC Asheville (19-10)74.90-20-10-1
173. North Dakota St (14-13)74.80-00-01-6
174. Mt St Marys (19-15)74.70-10-20-0
175. New Orleans (17-13)74.60-00-11-3
176. Arkansas Lr (18-11)74.50-00-21-2
177. Coll Of Charltn (16-17)74.50-20-11-2
178. William & Mary (15-16)74.30-10-01-5
179. Loyola Chi (10-19)74.10-30-03-5
180. Bowling Green (13-17)74.10-01-22-7

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Toledo (11-19)74.00-11-32-7
182. Holy Cross (15-14)73.90-01-01-3
183. Fairfield (14-16)73.80-10-11-2
184. Eastern Mich (14-17)73.70-11-12-6
185. Colgate (18-14)73.60-10-01-1
186. Delaware (14-17)73.60-00-01-5
187. Rutgers (11-20)73.41-71-20-3
188. Sacred Heart (18-14)73.30-00-00-1
189. TCU (13-16)73.30-10-62-3
190. Ul Lafayette (14-15)73.30-10-10-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Elon (13-18)73.10-30-00-4
192. Santa Clara (13-16)73.10-10-51-1
193. Hampton (18-12)72.90-00-12-3
194. Lafayette (15-15)72.90-10-10-0
195. SE Louisiana (13-13)72.70-00-10-2
196. Wofford (12-16)72.71-40-10-1
197. Jacksonville (17-13)72.70-20-00-3
198. Navy (16-14)72.60-00-00-0
199. Weber St (15-13)72.50-00-10-3
200. Vermont (16-15)72.50-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Wyoming (10-18)72.30-00-42-3
202. Northwestern (7-22)72.20-70-41-5
203. IPFW (11-18)72.10-30-20-6
204. Northwestern St (12-17)72.10-10-11-3
205. Hofstra (12-18)71.90-00-01-5
206. Fla Atlantic (15-18)71.90-10-20-4
207. Evansville (8-21)71.80-30-22-8
208. Albany NY (15-15)71.70-10-00-1
209. James Madison (13-17)71.50-00-02-3
210. Hartford (18-16)71.50-10-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Youngstown St (7-21)71.50-40-10-7
212. Towson (13-18)71.50-00-00-5
213. Central Conn (14-16)71.40-00-10-0
214. High Point (13-14)71.40-00-00-4
215. Gardner-Webb (15-16)71.40-10-31-1
216. Utah Valley St (13-14)71.30-10-00-0
217. Buffalo (9-20)71.30-10-30-8
218. Murray St (16-13)71.30-00-20-0
219. Bucknell (12-19)71.10-00-11-2
220. Southern Utah (11-18)71.10-00-10-7

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Liu Brooklyn (15-15)71.10-10-00-0
222. East Carolina (9-18)71.10-20-03-3
223. Quinnipiac (15-15)71.00-00-10-1
224. Lipscomb (14-16)71.00-10-10-0
225. McNeese St (10-16)70.90-10-00-2
226. Montana (12-16)70.90-10-10-2
227. Drexel (12-20)70.90-00-10-6
228. Yale (12-15)70.80-30-10-2
229. Boston U (14-17)70.70-10-20-0
230. Army (14-16)70.40-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Pepperdine (10-21)70.40-10-60-1
232. Detroit (6-23)70.40-31-00-8
233. Troy St (10-19)70.30-00-30-3
234. Iona (12-20)70.30-20-11-2
235. Lehigh (14-15)70.30-00-00-2
236. Binghamton (14-16)70.30-00-00-2
237. Denver (10-19)70.30-00-20-1
238. St Bonaventure (8-22)70.10-10-21-8
239. Chicago St (8-17)70.10-20-20-6
240. Columbia (13-15)70.10-00-20-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. TX Pan American (13-13)70.10-10-00-3
242. Montana St (13-15)70.10-00-20-0
243. Tenn Martin (15-16)70.10-10-30-0
244. Tennessee St (13-17)70.00-00-21-2
245. Cal Poly (11-18)70.00-10-20-2
246. Delaware St (12-16)70.00-20-20-2
247. Alabama St (17-11)70.00-00-20-1
248. Fresno St (12-19)70.00-10-30-0
249. Liberty (13-16)69.90-00-00-3
250. Tex San Antonio (9-17)69.80-10-10-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Nicholls St (9-21)69.80-10-21-4
252. Ball St (6-24)69.50-30-30-6
253. Westrn Carolina (9-21)69.40-20-10-2
254. Georgia St (9-21)69.40-00-01-5
255. Pennsylvania (13-18)69.40-10-30-4
256. Texas A&M-CC (9-20)69.30-00-21-3
257. Northern Colorado (11-16)69.30-00-10-0
258. Western Ill (10-18)69.20-10-10-5
259. Manhattan (12-19)69.20-00-01-2
260. San Jose St (13-19)69.20-10-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Florida Intl (8-20)69.20-10-30-4
262. Stetson (15-16)69.10-00-10-4
263. Texas St (10-16)69.00-20-00-2
264. Mo Kansas City (9-21)68.90-10-10-6
265. Hawaii (11-19)68.90-00-00-4
266. Morehead St (13-15)68.70-10-10-1
267. Northern Ill (6-22)68.60-10-21-6
268. Coppin St (14-21)68.60-20-40-2
269. Norfolk St (16-15)68.50-00-10-0
270. VMI (10-15)68.50-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Ul Monroe (7-21)68.40-20-40-2
272. San Francisco (9-21)68.40-10-60-0
273. Centenary (9-21)68.40-00-12-5
274. Savannah St (10-17)68.30-20-20-2
275. Coast Carolina (10-15)68.20-00-00-2
276. Central Arkansas (10-16)68.20-00-00-3
277. Tennessee Tech (11-19)68.20-00-00-3
278. Idaho St (10-19)68.00-20-10-2
279. Eastern Wash (9-19)67.90-20-00-3
280. Eastern KY (12-16)67.90-10-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Colorado St (6-24)67.80-10-50-5
282. SMU (8-20)67.80-20-00-7
283. Arkansas St (8-20)67.70-10-10-2
284. Oregon St (6-24)67.70-80-70-4
285. NO Carolina A&T (11-16)67.60-30-10-2
286. Samford (12-16)67.60-10-00-1
287. Florida A&M (13-17)67.60-20-30-1
288. Portland (8-22)67.40-00-60-1
289. Furman (7-23)67.20-30-00-1
290. UC Riverside (8-21)67.00-10-10-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Miss Valley St (15-16)66.80-30-20-2
292. South Dakota St (7-21)66.30-00-00-5
293. Radford (8-20)66.30-20-00-0
294. Dartmouth (9-18)66.20-00-00-3
295. Harvard (8-22)66.10-10-00-3
296. Idaho (7-21)65.90-10-20-0
297. New Hampshire (8-20)65.90-00-00-1
298. SO Carolina St (12-20)65.90-10-00-1
299. St Peters (6-24)65.50-00-00-3
300. Fla Gulf Coast (10-21)65.50-20-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Canisius (6-25)65.40-10-00-2
302. Fair Dickinson (8-20)65.30-00-10-3
303. Mercer (10-19)65.31-00-00-1
304. SC Upstate (6-22)65.20-00-00-5
305. SE Missouri St (10-19)65.00-10-10-2
306. Campbell (9-20)64.90-00-00-0
307. Jackson St (14-20)64.80-10-20-3
308. Monmouth NJ (7-24)64.80-10-01-0
309. Kennesaw St (9-20)64.80-00-20-1
310. Winston-Salem (10-18)64.70-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. St Francis NY (7-22)64.70-00-00-1
312. Charleston Sou (6-20)64.20-00-00-2
313. Long Beach St (6-25)64.20-00-10-4
314. CSU Bakersfield (8-21)64.20-00-10-2
315. UC Davis (7-22)64.10-20-00-2
316. NC Central (3-23)64.00-30-20-6
317. Princeton (5-22)64.00-10-10-2
318. Alabama A&M (11-15)64.00-00-20-1
319. Bethune Cookman (9-20)63.70-10-00-1
320. Stony Brook (7-23)63.50-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Southern (10-18)63.40-00-10-3
322. Rice (3-27)63.20-30-20-5
323. Presbyterian (2-25)63.20-10-30-8
324. St Francis PA (5-23)63.10-00-10-1
325. Longwood (6-22)62.90-00-20-2
326. Eastern Ill (6-22)62.90-00-00-0
327. Louisiana Tech (6-24)62.60-00-10-1
328. Ark Pine Bluff (11-18)62.50-10-00-1
329. Loyola Marymnt (5-26)62.40-00-60-1
330. Maine (6-23)62.00-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
331. Howard (6-26)61.80-00-10-2
332. Jacksonville St (5-22)61.70-00-00-1
333. The Citadel (2-24)60.40-40-00-0
334. Grambling (7-17)60.00-00-00-3
335. Prairie View (7-22)60.00-20-10-1
336. Texas Southern (7-25)59.60-20-00-2
337. Alcorn St (6-23)58.60-00-20-0
338. Sacramento St (2-24)58.40-20-20-0
339. MD Eastrn Shore (4-28)57.90-10-10-3
340. North Florida (2-26)57.50-10-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
341. NJIT (0-29)49.60-00-00-2
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