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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Away Rankings

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:43 CDT 2008

Home Court Advantage = 3.6

PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 87.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. UCLA (9-1)97.52-03-02-1
7. Washington St (10-3)93.11-23-13-0
12. USC (7-4)90.01-22-02-2
15. Arizona (6-7)88.81-41-13-2
21. Stanford (7-5)87.91-11-22-2
30. California (5-7)86.21-30-42-0
33. Arizona St (4-6)85.90-31-32-0
37. Oregon (5-7)85.41-31-21-2
42. Washington (4-7)84.80-30-32-1
189. Oregon St (2-10)73.70-30-30-3


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 85.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. North Carolina (13-0)101.53-03-03-0
5. Duke (8-2)95.02-01-14-1
24. Clemson (6-5)87.20-21-23-1
27. Maryland (6-5)86.71-11-33-1
41. Florida St (4-6)84.80-23-10-3
48. Georgia Tech (6-8)83.90-30-32-2
53. Miami Fla (4-6)83.50-23-00-2
60. Virginia (4-7)82.90-22-20-3
72. Virginia Tech (4-8)81.50-20-12-1
108. Boston College (2-7)79.10-30-21-2
121. Wake Forest (2-10)78.30-20-21-4
147. North Carolina St (2-9)76.20-40-01-3


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 83.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Louisville (8-3)92.92-20-04-0
10. Georgetown (8-4)90.92-30-11-0
18. Notre Dame (5-4)88.20-41-01-0
19. Marquette (5-5)88.21-41-10-0
22. Connecticut (7-4)87.90-22-12-1
28. West Virginia (6-5)86.40-40-12-0
43. Pittsburgh (5-7)84.40-41-13-1
45. Syracuse (4-6)84.30-41-01-1
57. Villanova (4-7)83.10-31-12-0
76. Seton Hall (4-8)81.10-40-22-0
85. DePaul (3-9)80.40-50-10-2
88. Cincinnati (3-11)80.22-50-00-3
98. Providence (2-8)79.71-40-10-1
103. St Johns (3-9)79.50-60-21-0
144. South Florida (3-10)76.30-20-20-2
145. Rutgers (3-10)76.21-30-30-2


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 82.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Kansas (8-3)92.61-24-00-1
11. Texas (7-3)90.72-12-11-1
13. Baylor (6-4)89.71-21-12-1
29. Texas A&M (4-5)86.40-22-21-1
38. Oklahoma (4-6)85.30-31-22-0
47. Kansas St (3-5)83.90-11-30-1
90. Oklahoma St (2-9)80.21-31-20-2
91. Nebraska (2-9)80.11-31-10-3
100. Missouri (2-9)79.70-21-40-2
140. Colorado (3-10)76.50-50-20-1
156. Texas Tech (1-10)75.50-30-40-1
203. Iowa St (1-10)72.60-30-40-2


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 82.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Wisconsin (10-2)95.21-12-12-0
16. Purdue (6-5)88.31-20-31-0
17. Indiana (7-3)88.30-21-03-0
58. Michigan St (4-6)82.90-10-33-0
66. Ohio St (4-8)82.10-20-31-1
71. Minnesota (4-8)81.60-20-30-3
79. Illinois (3-8)80.80-20-31-1
102. Iowa (3-8)79.70-20-30-1
128. Northwestern (3-10)77.60-20-31-3
139. Penn St (2-8)76.60-20-31-1
146. Michigan (2-10)76.20-40-20-2


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 82.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Tennessee (9-2)94.22-02-03-2
26. Mississippi St (7-4)87.20-01-22-2
35. Florida (4-6)85.50-10-34-2
49. Kentucky (4-6)83.90-10-32-2
54. South Carolina (3-6)83.40-22-10-3
65. Vanderbilt (4-6)82.20-10-32-2
70. Mississippi (3-7)81.90-11-22-2
87. Auburn (4-7)80.30-11-30-2
97. Arkansas (2-7)79.80-10-30-3
99. LSU (3-8)79.70-11-31-2
133. Georgia (2-8)77.30-20-20-3
199. Alabama (1-9)73.00-10-30-3


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 80.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
23. Xavier (7-4)87.50-01-13-3
31. Massachusetts (8-6)86.10-02-13-3
36. St Josephs (9-6)85.50-11-13-4
39. Temple (7-5)84.90-11-00-3
62. Dayton (7-7)82.51-10-12-2
67. La Salle (8-7)82.10-11-21-1
77. Rhode Island (5-7)80.90-01-10-3
84. Duquesne (5-8)80.50-30-01-3
93. Richmond (6-8)80.10-20-12-3
94. Charlotte (4-8)80.01-00-21-3
104. Fordham (4-9)79.50-21-31-2
113. St Louis (3-9)78.70-11-10-5
245. St Bonaventure (1-14)69.90-10-30-2
248. Geo Washington (1-12)69.60-20-10-5


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 78.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Drake (10-3)89.60-01-13-2
52. Illinois St (7-5)83.70-10-03-1
61. Bradley (7-9)82.71-00-11-6
86. Creighton (5-8)80.30-20-12-3
95. Northern Iowa (6-7)80.00-10-01-4
117. Southern Ill (3-10)78.50-10-01-6
180. Missouri St (2-11)74.10-10-10-5
190. Wichita St (2-10)73.70-10-01-4
194. Indiana St (2-13)73.60-10-20-6
257. Evansville (2-12)68.90-10-00-5


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 76.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. Butler (11-2)88.00-00-01-0
69. Wright St (7-6)81.90-00-11-1
105. Cleveland St (6-9)79.30-00-21-3
110. Illinois Chi (5-10)78.70-00-20-2
124. Wisc Milwaukee (5-8)78.00-10-10-1
179. Loyola Chi (4-12)74.10-00-20-0
185. Wisc Green Bay (3-12)73.90-20-30-0
249. Detroit (1-13)69.50-10-10-0
256. Youngstown St (2-14)68.90-20-10-1


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 75.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Memphis (10-0)98.90-00-04-0
73. Uab (8-6)81.50-10-12-2
82. Houston (5-6)80.60-10-11-2
132. SO Mississippi (3-10)77.40-20-00-6
160. Tulsa (3-11)75.10-20-10-5
168. Tulane (4-8)74.70-10-11-3
170. Central Florida (3-8)74.60-10-01-3
171. Texas El Paso (3-10)74.60-20-01-7
192. Marshall (3-8)73.70-10-00-4
192. Marshall (3-8)73.70-10-00-4
255. SMU (2-9)69.10-10-00-4
280. East Carolina (1-8)67.60-10-00-4
305. Rice (1-13)65.70-10-10-5


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 75.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
55. BYU (8-5)83.20-01-01-4
59. New Mexico (8-6)82.90-00-22-3
75. UNLV (6-5)81.20-00-21-1
109. Utah (5-10)78.90-10-21-5
111. San Diego St (6-8)78.70-01-30-3
159. Air Force (3-7)75.10-00-20-4
188. Wyoming (3-10)73.80-00-21-3
279. TCU (1-12)67.70-10-20-5
326. Colorado St (0-14)61.20-10-20-4


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 74.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
96. American (10-7)80.00-10-01-1
137. Holy Cross (7-8)76.60-01-00-2
155. Colgate (8-9)75.50-10-10-0
161. Navy (8-7)75.10-00-00-1
178. Lafayette (7-9)74.20-10-00-0
183. Army (7-9)74.00-00-00-1
216. Bucknell (4-12)72.10-00-10-1
251. Lehigh (3-11)69.30-00-00-1


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 74.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
46. Kent (8-5)84.20-11-02-1
51. Akron (7-6)83.70-00-13-3
120. Western Mich (7-9)78.30-00-10-4
130. Miami Ohio (4-11)77.60-20-01-5
138. Ohio (5-9)76.60-00-01-5
164. Central Mich (5-12)75.00-00-10-5
198. Bowling Green (4-10)73.10-00-00-5
226. Eastern Mich (3-11)70.80-10-00-4
252. Northern Ill (1-12)69.30-10-01-3
254. Ball St (1-13)69.20-00-20-3
265. Buffalo (1-12)68.50-20-00-4
270. Toledo (1-15)68.40-10-10-6


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 73.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. Western KY (9-3)84.80-00-00-2
44. South Alabama (7-4)84.30-00-11-1
92. New Orleans (9-5)80.10-00-00-2
153. Middle Tenn St (5-8)75.80-10-01-3
162. Ul Lafayette (6-8)75.00-10-00-3
177. North Texas (4-8)74.30-10-01-0
197. Arkansas Lr (6-7)73.20-00-00-2
239. Troy St (3-12)70.20-00-10-3
288. Florida Intl (1-11)67.00-00-10-3
306. Arkansas St (1-14)65.50-10-00-3
324. Denver (0-16)61.70-00-10-2


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 73.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
34. VA Commonwealth (9-3)85.50-00-02-1
129. Old Dominion (5-9)77.60-10-01-3
142. George Mason (5-7)76.30-00-00-2
158. NC Wilmington (5-9)75.30-00-11-3
169. Delaware (6-11)74.60-00-00-4
173. Northeastern (6-13)74.40-10-10-4
176. William & Mary (5-10)74.30-10-00-2
193. Hofstra (4-10)73.60-00-00-2
236. Drexel (3-10)70.50-00-00-3
243. James Madison (3-11)69.90-00-00-2
259. Georgia St (3-12)68.90-00-00-2
312. Towson (1-13)64.30-00-00-3


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
32. Gonzaga (7-3)85.90-11-10-0
81. St Marys CA (6-5)80.60-20-00-1
101. San Diego (7-6)79.70-10-21-0
167. Santa Clara (6-9)74.70-20-11-1
208. Pepperdine (5-13)72.50-20-30-0
282. San Francisco (2-13)67.60-20-30-0
303. Portland (2-12)65.90-10-10-1
318. Loyola Marymnt (2-13)62.90-10-30-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 73.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
80. Oral Roberts (8-6)80.70-20-10-1
89. Valparaiso (6-9)80.20-20-11-2
106. Iupui (7-5)79.30-10-00-1
157. Oakland (5-9)75.40-20-00-2
224. Southern Utah (4-11)71.00-00-20-3
271. Centenary (3-14)68.30-00-20-2
272. Mo Kansas City (2-13)68.20-10-20-2
301. Western Ill (2-13)66.20-20-10-2


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 73.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
56. Stephen Austin (11-4)83.10-01-10-1
112. Sam Houston (8-5)78.70-00-00-1
149. SE Louisiana (6-8)76.10-00-10-1
163. Lamar (5-8)75.00-00-20-1
196. Texas Arlington (4-8)73.30-00-00-1
200. Texas St (5-8)72.90-20-00-0
205. Northwestern St (4-10)72.60-10-10-2
214. McNeese St (5-11)72.20-10-11-0
220. Texas A&M-CC (3-10)71.50-00-00-2
223. Tex San Antonio (3-11)71.30-10-10-1
229. Nicholls St (3-15)70.70-10-10-4
231. Ul Monroe (3-14)70.60-20-20-1
275. Central Arkansas (3-11)68.00-00-00-2


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 73.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
63. UC Santa Barbara (10-5)82.40-20-11-0
74. CS Fullerton (9-5)81.30-00-20-0
83. CS Northridge (9-5)80.50-10-01-1
127. Pacific (8-6)77.70-00-10-1
217. Cal Poly (4-11)71.90-00-10-2
227. UC Irvine (3-10)70.80-10-00-3
316. Long Beach St (1-15)63.70-00-00-4
333. UC Riverside (0-15)59.30-10-10-4


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
68. Siena (8-6)82.00-10-10-0
116. Rider (9-7)78.60-00-01-1
123. Niagara (8-7)78.00-00-00-2
152. Fairfield (7-9)75.90-10-01-1
154. Marist (6-7)75.80-00-00-1
165. Loyola MD (6-11)75.00-10-01-3
210. Iona (5-12)72.30-20-00-2
241. Manhattan (5-11)70.10-00-00-2
296. St Peters (1-14)66.40-00-00-2
336. Canisius (0-15)58.30-00-00-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
50. Robert Morris (14-3)83.80-00-10-1
114. Mt St Marys (10-7)78.60-00-20-0
131. Wagner (10-5)77.40-10-00-0
212. Central Conn (6-10)72.30-00-10-0
215. Liu Brooklyn (5-10)72.10-10-00-1
237. Fair Dickinson (4-10)70.40-00-00-2
263. St Francis PA (3-11)68.60-00-00-2
281. St Francis NY (3-12)67.60-00-00-1
283. Monmouth NJ (3-12)67.60-00-00-0


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 73.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. Davidson (11-3)87.20-00-00-2
118. NC Greensboro (7-8)78.40-11-10-1
134. Appalachian St (7-7)77.10-10-00-1
135. Geo Southern (6-7)76.90-10-00-1
182. Chattanooga (4-7)74.00-10-10-0
186. Wofford (4-10)73.90-21-10-1
187. Coll Of Charltn (4-10)73.80-10-00-2
235. Elon (3-12)70.50-10-10-3
294. Westrn Carolina (1-13)66.60-10-10-1
308. Furman (1-13)64.80-20-00-0
332. The Citadel (0-12)59.30-10-00-1


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 71.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
119. Umbc (9-7)78.30-10-10-0
172. Albany NY (7-9)74.50-10-00-1
174. Vermont (8-9)74.40-00-00-2
204. Boston U (6-10)72.60-10-10-0
213. Binghamton (5-10)72.20-00-00-1
250. Maine (4-10)69.40-10-00-2
253. Hartford (4-13)69.30-10-20-1
268. New Hampshire (3-10)68.50-00-00-1
307. Stony Brook (2-13)64.90-00-10-1


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 70.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
64. Boise St (12-3)82.20-00-01-1
122. Nevada (7-9)78.20-10-01-4
150. New Mexico St (5-8)76.00-20-10-1
191. Utah St (5-9)73.70-00-00-3
247. San Jose St (4-11)69.70-10-00-1
291. Fresno St (2-12)66.90-10-10-2
295. Hawaii (2-9)66.50-00-10-1
297. Idaho (2-14)66.40-20-00-3
337. Louisiana Tech (0-12)56.50-00-10-2


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 70.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
78. Cornell (10-4)80.80-10-10-1
115. Brown (10-7)78.60-10-10-2
206. Yale (5-10)72.50-30-10-0
209. Columbia (6-9)72.40-00-20-0
240. Pennsylvania (4-10)70.10-00-20-1
289. Dartmouth (3-12)67.00-00-00-1
330. Princeton (0-13)59.40-00-00-0
335. Harvard (0-15)58.80-10-00-1


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 69.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
166. Austin Peay (8-8)74.70-10-00-1
184. Tenn Martin (8-9)73.90-10-10-2
207. Tennessee St (6-9)72.50-00-11-1
225. Samford (7-9)70.80-10-00-1
232. Eastern KY (5-9)70.60-10-00-1
233. Tennessee Tech (6-13)70.50-00-20-1
246. Murray St (4-9)69.80-00-10-1
277. Morehead St (4-12)67.90-10-10-1
287. SE Missouri St (4-12)67.20-10-00-3
309. Eastern Ill (2-13)64.60-00-00-0
327. Jacksonville St (1-12)61.20-00-00-1


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 69.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
136. Winthrop (6-6)76.90-10-00-0
141. NC Asheville (7-7)76.40-20-21-0
195. VMI (6-7)73.50-00-10-0
258. High Point (3-11)68.90-00-10-2
285. Liberty (3-12)67.40-00-10-2
300. Coast Carolina (2-12)66.40-00-00-1
311. Radford (2-15)64.40-10-00-1
331. Charleston Sou (1-14)59.40-00-20-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 69.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
126. Portland St (8-7)77.80-20-00-2
175. Northrn Arizona (6-7)74.40-10-10-0
211. Montana (5-9)72.30-10-00-1
230. Weber St (4-9)70.70-00-20-1
273. Idaho St (4-12)68.10-10-10-2
278. Montana St (3-12)67.80-00-00-2
302. Eastern Wash (2-12)66.10-20-10-1
339. Sacramento St (0-15)55.40-30-10-0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 69.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
107. Belmont (9-5)79.10-10-01-0
143. East Tenn St (7-8)76.30-00-10-2
201. Jacksonville (7-10)72.80-20-10-2
219. Lipscomb (5-10)71.70-00-10-1
228. Fla Atlantic (3-11)70.70-10-00-3
238. Gardner-Webb (5-10)70.30-20-01-1
264. Stetson (5-10)68.60-00-20-2
266. Fla Gulf Coast (5-13)68.50-10-00-3
284. SC Upstate (3-13)67.40-00-00-3
290. Mercer (4-11)67.00-01-00-0
304. Campbell (3-11)65.70-00-00-1
321. Kennesaw St (2-13)62.50-00-00-2
338. North Florida (0-16)55.80-10-20-1


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 67.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
148. Morgan St (7-8)76.20-10-20-1
202. Delaware St (6-10)72.60-10-20-3
221. Hampton (5-9)71.40-00-00-4
244. Florida A&M (5-11)69.90-40-20-0
261. NO Carolina A&T (5-11)68.80-30-20-1
262. Coppin St (4-14)68.80-20-30-3
276. Bethune Cookman (4-10)67.90-00-10-1
293. SO Carolina St (3-11)66.60-10-00-1
299. Norfolk St (6-13)66.40-00-10-1
334. Howard (1-16)59.10-00-10-2
340. MD Eastrn Shore (0-18)55.10-10-10-2


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 65.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
151. TX Pan American (6-6)76.00-10-00-3
218. North Dakota St (4-11)71.90-00-10-4
234. Chicago St (3-13)70.50-20-10-5
242. Utah Valley St (5-11)69.90-10-00-0
267. IPFW (2-14)68.50-30-10-3
269. Northern Colorado (3-12)68.40-10-01-0
274. CSU Bakersfield (4-11)68.10-00-10-1
286. Savannah St (4-13)67.40-30-10-2
313. Winston-Salem (2-12)64.20-10-00-3
315. South Dakota St (1-13)63.90-00-00-3
317. NC Central (1-20)63.20-30-20-5
320. Longwood (2-15)62.50-00-10-3
325. UC Davis (1-15)61.50-20-00-2
328. Presbyterian (0-23)61.00-10-50-5
341. NJIT (0-15)50.80-00-00-2


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 65.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
222. Alabama St (8-8)71.40-00-10-3
260. Miss Valley St (6-8)68.80-10-20-2
292. Alabama A&M (5-9)66.70-00-20-1
298. Ark Pine Bluff (6-11)66.40-10-00-1
310. Jackson St (4-11)64.40-10-20-1
314. Southern (4-12)64.00-00-10-1
319. Prairie View (3-15)62.70-20-10-2
322. Texas Southern (3-15)62.40-10-10-2
323. Grambling (3-11)62.40-00-00-3
329. Alcorn St (2-14)60.40-00-20-1
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