NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Conference Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008

Home Court Advantage = 3.6

PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Arizona (18-15)0.1
3. USC (21-12)0.1
5. California (17-16)0.1
9. Stanford (28-8)0.1
11. Washington St (26-9)0.1
14. Oregon (18-14)0.1
15. UCLA (34-4)0.1
23. Oregon St (6-24)0.1
33. Washington (16-17)0.1
40. Arizona St (21-13)0.1


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Texas (30-7)0.1
4. Oklahoma (23-12)0.1
6. Texas A&M (24-11)0.1
7. Nebraska (20-13)0.1
8. Texas Tech (15-15)0.1
10. Colorado (11-20)0.1
12. Kansas (36-3)0.1
13. Oklahoma St (16-16)0.1
17. Kansas St (20-12)0.1
22. Iowa St (13-18)0.1
24. Missouri (16-16)0.1
32. Baylor (20-11)0.1


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. Clemson (23-10)0.1
20. Georgia Tech (15-17)0.1
27. Florida St (19-15)0.1
28. North Carolina (36-3)0.1
30. Boston College (14-17)0.1
31. North Carolina St (15-16)0.1
38. Duke (28-6)0.1
45. Maryland (19-15)0.1
50. Miami Fla (22-11)0.0
53. Virginia Tech (21-14)0.0
56. Wake Forest (17-13)0.0
65. Virginia (17-16)0.0


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Cincinnati (13-19)0.1
21. Louisville (27-9)0.1
25. DePaul (11-19)0.1
29. Villanova (22-13)0.1
35. Marquette (24-10)0.1
36. St Johns (11-19)0.1
37. Pittsburgh (26-10)0.1
39. Georgetown (28-6)0.1
41. West Virginia (25-11)0.1
43. Providence (15-16)0.1
49. Rutgers (11-20)0.1
51. Connecticut (24-9)0.0
55. Notre Dame (25-8)0.0
61. Syracuse (21-14)0.0
64. Seton Hall (17-15)0.0
74. South Florida (12-19)0.0


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
19. Michigan St (27-9)0.1
26. Michigan (10-22)0.1
42. Illinois (16-19)0.1
47. Northwestern (7-22)0.1
48. Ohio St (24-13)0.1
59. Wisconsin (31-5)0.0
60. Purdue (25-9)0.0
63. Penn St (15-16)0.0
66. Minnesota (20-14)0.0
67. Iowa (13-19)0.0
69. Indiana (25-8)0.0


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
34. Tennessee (30-5)0.1
46. Arkansas (23-12)0.1
52. Georgia (16-17)0.0
54. Kentucky (18-13)0.0
58. South Carolina (14-18)0.0
73. Mississippi St (23-11)0.0
75. Auburn (14-16)0.0
78. LSU (12-18)0.0
82. Florida (24-12)0.0
86. Alabama (17-16)0.0
92. Vanderbilt (26-8)0.0
94. Mississippi (24-11)0.0


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
44. SO Mississippi (15-14)0.1
57. Memphis (38-2)0.0
76. Tulsa (25-14)0.0
93. Tulane (16-15)0.0
95. Uab (23-11)0.0
96. SMU (8-20)0.0
110. Texas El Paso (19-14)0.0
112. Houston (24-10)0.0
114. Rice (3-27)0.0
122. Central Florida (16-15)0.0
131. Marshall (14-14)0.0
131. Marshall (14-14)0.0
141. East Carolina (9-18)0.0


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
62. Xavier (30-7)0.0
71. Geo Washington (9-17)0.0
79. St Josephs (21-13)0.0
80. Fordham (11-17)0.0
84. Dayton (23-11)0.0
91. Richmond (16-15)0.0
98. Temple (21-13)0.0
101. Charlotte (20-14)0.0
102. St Louis (15-15)0.0
105. Duquesne (17-13)0.0
109. Massachusetts (25-11)0.0
124. La Salle (14-17)0.0
136. St Bonaventure (8-22)0.0
139. Rhode Island (21-12)0.0


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
81. Indiana St (14-16)0.0
88. Creighton (21-11)0.0
89. Southern Ill (18-15)0.0
97. Bradley (21-17)0.0
103. Drake (26-5)0.0
106. Missouri St (16-16)0.0
118. Evansville (8-21)0.0
125. Illinois St (24-10)0.0
126. Wichita St (11-20)0.0
128. Northern Iowa (17-14)0.0


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
85. Youngstown St (7-21)0.0
90. Wisc Green Bay (15-15)0.0
104. Cleveland St (19-13)0.0
117. Illinois Chi (17-15)0.0
123. Wisc Milwaukee (13-16)0.0
130. Detroit (6-23)0.0
137. Loyola Chi (10-19)0.0
145. Butler (30-4)0.0
163. Wright St (21-10)0.0


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
107. TCU (13-16)0.0
113. UNLV (26-8)0.0
115. Utah (17-15)0.0
116. BYU (27-8)0.0
129. Colorado St (6-24)0.0
134. San Diego St (19-13)0.0
160. Air Force (14-14)0.0
171. Wyoming (10-18)0.0
178. New Mexico (24-9)0.0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
77. Gonzaga (25-8)0.0
108. Pepperdine (10-21)0.0
144. St Marys CA (24-7)0.0
146. San Diego (21-14)0.0
154. Santa Clara (13-16)0.0
172. San Francisco (9-21)0.0
194. Loyola Marymnt (5-26)0.0
222. Portland (8-22)0.0


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
70. Miami Ohio (17-16)0.0
127. Kent (28-7)0.0
132. Toledo (11-19)0.0
133. Ohio (20-13)0.0
156. Akron (24-11)0.0
158. Buffalo (9-20)0.0
164. Ball St (6-24)0.0
166. Northern Ill (6-22)0.0
186. Central Mich (13-16)0.0
192. Bowling Green (13-17)0.0
198. Western Mich (20-12)0.0
206. Eastern Mich (14-17)0.0


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
68. Davidson (28-7)0.0
99. Wofford (12-16)0.0
151. NC Greensboro (19-12)0.0
152. Elon (13-18)0.0
168. Chattanooga (16-13)0.0
173. Westrn Carolina (9-21)0.0
179. The Citadel (2-24)0.0
182. Furman (7-23)0.0
183. Coll Of Charltn (16-17)0.0
189. Geo Southern (18-12)0.0
199. Appalachian St (17-13)0.0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
83. Valparaiso (20-14)0.0
157. Oral Roberts (23-9)0.0
165. Western Ill (10-18)0.0
167. Mo Kansas City (9-21)0.0
184. Oakland (15-14)0.0
223. Centenary (9-21)0.0
228. Southern Utah (11-18)0.0
255. Iupui (23-7)0.0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
72. NC Central (3-23)0.0
87. Presbyterian (2-25)0.0
120. IPFW (11-18)0.0
121. Chicago St (8-17)0.0
147. UC Davis (7-22)0.0
148. Savannah St (10-17)0.0
238. North Dakota St (14-13)0.0
240. Longwood (6-22)0.0
259. TX Pan American (13-13)0.0
284. Utah Valley St (13-14)0.0
296. South Dakota St (7-21)0.0
304. Northern Colorado (11-16)0.0
305. CSU Bakersfield (8-21)0.0
309. Winston-Salem (10-18)0.0
330. NJIT (0-29)0.0


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
135. Middle Tenn St (16-15)0.0
142. Western KY (27-7)0.0
169. Arkansas St (8-20)0.0
190. Florida Intl (8-20)0.0
195. South Alabama (24-7)0.0
218. North Texas (17-11)0.0
219. Ul Lafayette (14-15)0.0
225. Troy St (10-19)0.0
229. Denver (10-19)0.0
242. New Orleans (17-13)0.0
261. Arkansas Lr (18-11)0.0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
119. Portland St (21-10)0.0
153. Eastern Wash (9-19)0.0
180. Idaho St (10-19)0.0
188. Sacramento St (2-24)0.0
210. Northrn Arizona (19-11)0.0
265. Montana (12-16)0.0
282. Montana St (13-15)0.0
292. Weber St (15-13)0.0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
111. Ul Monroe (7-21)0.0
143. Nicholls St (9-21)0.0
181. Tex San Antonio (9-17)0.0
185. Texas Arlington (17-12)0.0
208. Northwestern St (12-17)0.0
209. Texas St (10-16)0.0
234. Texas A&M-CC (9-20)0.0
245. McNeese St (10-16)0.0
247. Stephen Austin (22-6)0.0
254. Lamar (15-11)0.0
277. SE Louisiana (13-13)0.0
298. Central Arkansas (10-16)0.0
313. Sam Houston (19-8)0.0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
149. Siena (23-11)0.0
150. Iona (12-20)0.0
159. Loyola MD (19-14)0.0
211. Fairfield (14-16)0.0
231. Marist (18-14)0.0
256. Rider (23-11)0.0
267. Canisius (6-25)0.0
275. St Peters (6-24)0.0
285. Niagara (19-10)0.0
299. Manhattan (12-19)0.0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
161. UC Santa Barbara (22-9)0.0
193. UC Riverside (8-21)0.0
214. Cal Poly (11-18)0.0
221. CS Fullerton (23-9)0.0
226. UC Irvine (17-16)0.0
239. CS Northridge (19-10)0.0
249. Long Beach St (6-25)0.0
293. Pacific (20-10)0.0


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
162. New Mexico St (20-14)0.0
170. Nevada (20-12)0.0
203. Fresno St (12-19)0.0
207. Idaho (7-21)0.0
243. San Jose St (13-19)0.0
246. Boise St (24-9)0.0
266. Utah St (23-11)0.0
279. Louisiana Tech (6-24)0.0
280. Hawaii (11-19)0.0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
100. Yale (12-15)0.0
205. Cornell (21-6)0.0
213. Pennsylvania (13-18)0.0
230. Brown (19-10)0.0
260. Princeton (5-22)0.0
262. Harvard (8-22)0.0
286. Columbia (13-15)0.0
326. Dartmouth (9-18)0.0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
140. Old Dominion (18-16)0.0
202. Northeastern (14-17)0.0
212. William & Mary (15-16)0.0
220. George Mason (23-11)0.0
235. VA Commonwealth (24-8)0.0
237. NC Wilmington (20-13)0.0
250. Delaware (14-17)0.0
268. Hofstra (12-18)0.0
271. Towson (13-18)0.0
278. Drexel (12-20)0.0
283. James Madison (13-17)0.0
290. Georgia St (9-21)0.0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
155. NO Carolina A&T (11-16)0.0
175. Florida A&M (13-17)0.0
176. Coppin St (14-21)0.0
187. Delaware St (12-16)0.0
252. Morgan St (21-11)0.0
253. MD Eastrn Shore (4-28)0.0
257. SO Carolina St (12-20)0.0
294. Hampton (18-12)0.0
311. Howard (6-26)0.0
334. Bethune Cookman (9-20)0.0
339. Norfolk St (16-15)0.0


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
138. NC Asheville (19-10)0.0
196. Winthrop (20-12)0.0
232. Radford (8-20)0.0
287. High Point (13-14)0.0
295. Charleston Sou (6-20)0.0
302. Liberty (13-16)0.0
308. Coast Carolina (10-15)0.0
319. VMI (10-15)0.0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
177. Fla Atlantic (15-18)0.0
200. Jacksonville (17-13)0.0
215. Gardner-Webb (15-16)0.0
216. Fla Gulf Coast (10-21)0.0
227. North Florida (2-26)0.0
236. Belmont (24-9)0.0
244. SC Upstate (6-22)0.0
251. East Tenn St (18-13)0.0
288. Lipscomb (14-16)0.0
297. Stetson (15-16)0.0
310. Kennesaw St (9-20)0.0
318. Mercer (10-19)0.0
337. Campbell (9-20)0.0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
174. Miss Valley St (15-16)0.0
217. Prairie View (7-22)0.0
233. Texas Southern (7-25)0.0
270. Jackson St (14-20)0.0
301. Alabama St (17-11)0.0
317. Southern (10-18)0.0
320. Alabama A&M (11-15)0.0
328. Alcorn St (6-23)0.0
329. Ark Pine Bluff (11-18)0.0
332. Grambling (7-17)0.0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
191. Austin Peay (24-11)0.0
204. Tenn Martin (15-16)0.0
248. Morehead St (13-15)0.0
263. Tennessee St (13-17)0.0
264. SE Missouri St (10-19)0.0
274. Eastern KY (12-16)0.0
307. Tennessee Tech (11-19)0.0
314. Murray St (16-13)0.0
315. Samford (12-16)0.0
340. Eastern Ill (6-22)0.0
341. Jacksonville St (5-22)0.0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
197. American (21-12)0.0
258. Lafayette (15-15)0.0
269. Holy Cross (15-14)0.0
276. Colgate (18-14)0.0
289. Bucknell (12-19)0.0
321. Lehigh (14-15)0.0
325. Army (14-16)0.0
338. Navy (16-14)0.0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
224. Umbc (23-9)0.0
241. Hartford (18-16)0.0
273. Albany NY (15-15)0.0
281. Boston U (14-17)0.0
291. Maine (6-23)0.0
312. Stony Brook (7-23)0.0
323. Vermont (16-15)0.0
331. Binghamton (14-16)0.0
335. New Hampshire (8-20)0.0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
201. Mt St Marys (19-15)0.0
272. Fair Dickinson (8-20)0.0
300. Monmouth NJ (7-24)0.0
303. St Francis PA (5-23)0.0
306. Liu Brooklyn (15-15)0.0
316. Robert Morris (26-8)0.0
324. Central Conn (14-16)0.0
333. Wagner (23-8)0.0
336. St Francis NY (7-22)0.0
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