NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Last Ten Rankings

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008

Home Court Advantage = 3.6

BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 85.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Kansas (10-0)106.76-03-00-0
10. Texas (7-3)91.31-23-02-1
18. Oklahoma St (6-4)88.32-22-12-1
19. Nebraska (6-4)88.11-22-12-1
24. Texas A&M (5-5)87.70-33-21-0
33. Oklahoma (6-4)86.91-32-12-0
52. Kansas St (4-6)84.41-40-21-0
75. Baylor (4-6)82.10-31-12-1
76. Texas Tech (4-6)82.11-21-30-1
105. Colorado (3-7)79.70-12-40-2
110. Missouri (3-7)79.10-21-40-1
164. Iowa St (1-9)74.90-41-20-2


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 83.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. UCLA (9-1)96.35-11-02-0
12. Stanford (6-4)90.33-41-02-0
20. Washington St (6-4)88.11-32-12-0
30. USC (6-4)87.21-23-21-0
45. Oregon (5-5)84.90-42-12-0
64. Arizona St (5-5)83.21-30-12-1
74. Washington (4-6)82.21-21-21-2
81. California (3-7)81.70-51-12-1
89. Arizona (3-7)80.91-50-10-1
310. Oregon St (0-10)63.60-40-40-2


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 83.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. North Carolina (9-1)98.64-11-03-0
16. Virginia Tech (7-3)88.40-21-14-0
32. Clemson (6-4)87.01-11-13-2
35. Duke (6-4)86.40-30-14-0
38. Miami Fla (6-4)85.81-21-03-2
66. Florida St (5-5)83.01-21-02-3
73. Georgia Tech (4-6)82.31-30-12-2
78. Virginia (6-4)81.90-10-13-2
90. Wake Forest (4-6)80.91-10-03-5
102. Maryland (3-7)79.70-20-13-3
141. Boston College (2-8)76.50-30-12-4
195. North Carolina St (1-9)73.30-30-11-4


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 83.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Tennessee (7-3)89.72-10-22-0
36. Mississippi St (6-4)86.20-11-22-1
41. Arkansas (5-5)85.31-13-10-3
47. Kentucky (6-4)84.70-22-12-1
53. Mississippi (6-4)84.40-02-13-2
59. Vanderbilt (6-4)83.61-01-23-2
68. Florida (5-5)83.00-11-22-2
69. Georgia (5-5)82.90-13-21-1
72. LSU (5-5)82.80-11-23-1
83. Alabama (4-6)81.40-03-21-1
127. South Carolina (3-7)77.40-20-11-3
156. Auburn (2-8)75.40-11-41-2


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 83.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Louisville (7-3)93.13-32-01-0
8. Pittsburgh (8-2)92.43-20-02-0
9. Georgetown (8-2)92.43-21-01-0
11. West Virginia (7-3)90.72-22-11-0
21. Villanova (6-4)88.01-41-03-0
26. Marquette (6-4)87.41-31-01-1
28. Notre Dame (7-3)87.41-30-02-0
48. Syracuse (5-5)84.52-30-21-0
54. Connecticut (6-4)84.12-10-10-1
96. Providence (3-7)80.00-51-10-0
123. DePaul (2-8)77.60-50-10-1
130. St Johns (3-7)77.30-50-11-0
152. Cincinnati (3-7)76.00-30-10-2
167. South Florida (2-8)74.80-20-21-0
196. Seton Hall (2-8)73.20-40-10-1
241. Rutgers (1-9)69.90-40-10-0


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 82.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Wisconsin (9-1)94.32-12-02-0
13. Michigan St (6-4)90.21-32-12-0
17. Ohio St (7-3)88.42-12-12-1
39. Purdue (6-4)85.71-11-21-1
63. Indiana (5-5)83.22-21-11-1
71. Illinois (5-5)82.91-30-02-0
92. Minnesota (5-5)80.60-12-10-3
101. Michigan (5-5)79.80-21-01-1
108. Penn St (4-6)79.10-31-01-2
180. Iowa (3-7)74.00-21-00-2
214. Northwestern (1-9)71.80-40-20-1


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 81.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Xavier (7-3)88.82-10-23-0
23. Temple (8-2)87.70-12-03-0
29. Massachusetts (8-2)87.30-00-14-1
51. Dayton (6-4)84.50-22-11-0
60. Charlotte (6-4)83.40-01-13-2
65. St Josephs (5-5)83.22-00-11-3
84. La Salle (6-4)81.40-01-13-3
109. Duquesne (4-6)79.10-11-01-2
118. St Louis (4-6)78.30-11-10-3
126. Geo Washington (4-6)77.40-10-12-2
128. Fordham (4-6)77.40-01-12-2
133. Richmond (4-6)77.20-10-22-1
155. Rhode Island (2-8)75.60-10-20-4
208. St Bonaventure (2-8)72.20-00-21-3


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 80.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. Drake (6-4)86.11-01-11-3
56. Illinois St (7-3)84.00-10-04-1
61. Southern Ill (6-4)83.41-00-22-1
62. Missouri St (6-4)83.21-00-20-2
87. Bradley (5-5)80.90-00-03-5
88. Creighton (5-5)80.90-10-15-2
117. Indiana St (5-5)78.40-11-01-2
137. Northern Iowa (4-6)76.90-10-11-3
200. Evansville (3-7)72.90-10-11-3
201. Wichita St (2-8)72.80-10-00-2


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 77.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
27. UNLV (8-2)87.40-12-02-1
49. BYU (7-3)84.50-10-12-0
50. New Mexico (7-3)84.50-01-11-2
122. San Diego St (4-6)77.80-01-20-3
129. Utah (3-7)77.30-00-31-2
165. Air Force (4-6)74.80-00-20-2
172. TCU (3-7)74.40-00-41-1
198. Wyoming (4-6)73.00-00-21-1
287. Colorado St (1-9)66.50-00-30-2


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 77.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
22. Butler (8-2)87.80-20-04-0
40. Cleveland St (7-3)85.40-20-02-1
91. Illinois Chi (5-5)80.70-20-01-1
93. Wright St (6-4)80.50-10-11-2
140. Loyola Chi (4-6)76.60-00-02-1
158. Wisc Green Bay (4-6)75.20-10-01-3
223. Detroit (2-8)71.20-10-00-4
230. Wisc Milwaukee (2-8)70.60-10-00-4
232. Youngstown St (2-8)70.40-10-00-3


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 77.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Memphis (9-1)100.03-11-02-0
34. Tulsa (8-2)86.80-10-06-1
43. SO Mississippi (7-3)85.00-20-00-1
46. Uab (6-4)84.80-20-03-2
111. Houston (5-5)78.80-00-01-2
138. Texas El Paso (5-5)76.90-00-02-3
144. Central Florida (5-5)76.40-10-00-2
160. Marshall (5-5)75.10-00-00-1
160. Marshall (5-5)75.10-00-00-1
222. East Carolina (3-7)71.20-00-01-2
244. Tulane (2-8)69.80-20-00-2
246. SMU (3-7)69.60-10-00-2
337. Rice (0-10)58.20-00-00-3


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 75.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. Kent (8-2)87.10-01-15-0
55. Akron (6-4)84.00-00-34-1
85. Western Mich (7-3)81.10-00-01-2
98. Miami Ohio (5-5)79.90-00-22-3
143. Ohio (4-6)76.40-00-11-4
175. Eastern Mich (6-4)74.20-00-00-2
190. Toledo (4-6)73.50-00-11-2
194. Central Mich (4-6)73.50-00-11-3
202. Buffalo (4-6)72.80-00-10-4
207. Bowling Green (3-7)72.30-01-00-3
213. Ball St (3-7)71.80-00-10-2
304. Northern Ill (1-9)64.90-00-11-3


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 74.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Davidson (9-1)98.32-11-00-0
99. NC Greensboro (6-4)79.90-30-00-0
146. Geo Southern (6-4)76.30-10-00-0
157. Elon (6-4)75.20-10-00-0
179. Coll Of Charltn (5-5)74.00-10-00-0
217. Chattanooga (4-6)71.60-10-00-0
226. Westrn Carolina (4-6)71.10-00-00-0
228. Furman (4-6)70.80-10-00-0
235. Appalachian St (4-6)70.20-10-00-0
253. Wofford (3-7)69.20-10-00-0
320. The Citadel (1-9)61.30-00-00-0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 74.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
86. VA Commonwealth (7-3)81.00-00-01-1
95. Old Dominion (7-3)80.20-00-02-1
116. George Mason (6-4)78.50-10-00-1
134. NC Wilmington (6-4)77.10-00-01-2
151. Northeastern (5-5)76.10-00-01-2
184. Hofstra (6-4)73.70-00-00-0
188. William & Mary (4-6)73.50-00-01-3
193. Delaware (5-5)73.50-00-00-2
221. Towson (4-6)71.40-00-00-2
245. Georgia St (3-7)69.60-00-00-1
257. Drexel (3-7)69.00-00-00-1
268. James Madison (3-7)68.10-00-00-2


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 74.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. Western KY (8-2)87.71-10-00-1
94. South Alabama (7-3)80.30-11-00-0
115. Middle Tenn St (6-4)78.70-00-22-0
136. North Texas (6-4)77.10-00-20-0
163. Arkansas Lr (6-4)75.00-00-10-0
199. New Orleans (5-5)72.90-00-00-2
206. Ul Lafayette (6-4)72.50-00-00-0
233. Florida Intl (3-7)70.40-00-10-1
270. Denver (2-8)68.00-00-10-0
271. Troy St (2-8)67.90-00-10-1
307. Arkansas St (1-9)64.40-00-00-1


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 73.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
79. Valparaiso (7-3)81.90-00-04-2
82. Iupui (8-2)81.50-00-01-1
107. Oral Roberts (6-4)79.20-10-01-2
154. Oakland (6-4)75.90-00-01-2
177. Southern Utah (6-4)74.10-00-00-2
252. Mo Kansas City (3-7)69.30-00-00-3
276. Western Ill (3-7)67.60-00-00-2
319. Centenary (1-9)61.70-00-00-3


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 73.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
67. CS Fullerton (8-2)83.00-10-00-0
139. UC Santa Barbara (6-4)76.80-00-10-0
145. UC Irvine (7-3)76.40-00-00-2
159. Pacific (6-4)75.10-00-00-1
171. CS Northridge (5-5)74.50-00-01-1
239. UC Riverside (4-6)70.00-00-00-1
260. Cal Poly (4-6)68.60-00-00-1
314. Long Beach St (1-9)62.80-00-00-1


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
77. Siena (7-3)82.00-01-10-0
124. Fairfield (7-3)77.50-00-00-0
132. Loyola MD (6-4)77.20-00-01-1
147. Niagara (6-4)76.30-00-00-1
148. Rider (5-5)76.30-00-00-2
178. Marist (4-6)74.00-00-00-3
236. Iona (5-5)70.10-00-00-0
250. Manhattan (4-6)69.40-00-01-1
299. St Peters (2-8)65.30-00-00-1
306. Canisius (2-8)64.80-00-00-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 73.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
112. American (8-2)78.80-10-00-0
131. Navy (7-3)77.30-00-00-0
142. Colgate (7-3)76.40-00-00-0
186. Holy Cross (5-5)73.60-00-00-0
209. Army (5-5)72.10-00-00-0
229. Bucknell (3-7)70.80-00-00-0
242. Lehigh (4-6)69.80-00-00-0
280. Lafayette (2-8)67.30-00-00-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
42. Gonzaga (8-2)85.20-11-00-0
57. San Diego (7-3)84.00-03-30-0
97. St Marys CA (6-4)79.90-00-30-0
219. Pepperdine (4-6)71.50-00-20-0
227. Santa Clara (4-6)70.90-00-30-0
263. San Francisco (4-6)68.40-00-20-0
293. Portland (2-8)65.80-00-30-0
334. Loyola Marymnt (1-9)59.10-00-20-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 72.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
135. Stephen Austin (7-3)77.10-00-10-0
153. Lamar (7-3)76.00-00-00-0
168. Texas Arlington (5-5)74.70-10-01-0
174. Sam Houston (6-4)74.20-00-00-1
176. Northwestern St (5-5)74.20-00-01-1
182. Tex San Antonio (5-5)73.80-00-00-3
211. McNeese St (5-5)72.00-00-00-0
224. SE Louisiana (5-5)71.10-00-00-0
231. Texas A&M-CC (3-7)70.50-00-00-2
234. Texas St (3-7)70.30-00-00-2
247. Nicholls St (4-6)69.50-00-00-0
281. Ul Monroe (2-8)67.20-00-10-1
291. Central Arkansas (2-8)66.10-00-00-1


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 71.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
104. New Mexico St (8-2)79.70-00-00-0
113. Boise St (7-3)78.70-10-00-1
120. Nevada (6-4)77.90-00-00-2
121. Utah St (6-4)77.90-00-10-0
259. Idaho (3-7)68.80-00-00-0
279. Fresno St (3-7)67.30-00-00-0
294. San Jose St (3-7)65.70-00-00-0
301. Louisiana Tech (3-7)65.20-00-00-0
312. Hawaii (2-8)63.20-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 70.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
80. Cornell (9-1)81.80-10-00-0
103. Brown (8-2)79.70-00-00-2
197. Pennsylvania (6-4)73.20-00-00-1
225. Yale (6-4)71.10-00-00-1
255. Columbia (6-4)69.00-00-00-0
308. Dartmouth (2-8)64.10-00-00-2
311. Harvard (2-8)63.40-00-00-2
318. Princeton (1-9)61.80-00-00-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 70.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
58. Mt St Marys (8-2)83.80-10-00-0
100. Robert Morris (8-2)79.80-00-00-1
125. Wagner (8-2)77.50-00-00-0
204. Central Conn (5-5)72.70-00-00-0
243. Liu Brooklyn (5-5)69.80-00-00-0
295. Monmouth NJ (2-8)65.70-00-00-0
316. St Francis NY (2-8)61.90-00-00-0
317. St Francis PA (2-8)61.90-00-00-0
321. Fair Dickinson (2-8)60.80-00-00-0


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 70.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
114. Winthrop (7-3)78.70-20-00-0
210. High Point (5-5)72.10-00-00-0
238. NC Asheville (5-5)70.10-00-10-0
240. Radford (5-5)69.90-00-00-0
269. Coast Carolina (4-6)68.10-00-00-0
273. Liberty (4-6)67.80-00-00-0
274. VMI (4-6)67.70-00-00-0
289. Charleston Sou (3-7)66.40-00-00-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 69.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
70. Portland St (8-2)82.90-10-00-1
162. Northrn Arizona (7-3)75.00-00-00-0
215. Weber St (5-5)71.80-00-00-0
218. Montana (5-5)71.60-00-00-0
282. Idaho St (4-6)66.90-00-00-0
285. Eastern Wash (3-7)66.60-00-00-0
296. Montana St (3-7)65.60-00-00-0
333. Sacramento St (1-9)59.10-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 69.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
119. Umbc (8-2)78.20-10-00-0
166. Boston U (7-3)74.80-00-00-0
173. Hartford (7-3)74.30-00-00-0
212. Albany NY (6-4)72.00-00-00-0
216. Vermont (5-5)71.70-00-00-0
284. Binghamton (4-6)66.60-00-00-0
292. Stony Brook (3-7)65.80-00-00-0
303. New Hampshire (3-7)65.00-00-00-0
339. Maine (1-9)57.80-00-00-0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 68.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
44. Belmont (9-1)85.00-10-00-0
161. Lipscomb (7-3)75.10-00-00-0
181. Fla Atlantic (6-4)74.00-00-10-1
189. Gardner-Webb (6-4)73.50-00-00-0
192. East Tenn St (6-4)73.50-00-00-0
220. Jacksonville (6-4)71.50-00-00-0
256. Stetson (6-4)69.00-00-00-0
272. Kennesaw St (5-5)67.80-00-00-0
302. SC Upstate (3-7)65.10-00-00-0
322. North Florida (2-8)60.70-00-00-0
324. Fla Gulf Coast (2-8)60.30-10-00-0
325. Campbell (2-8)60.10-00-00-0
326. Mercer (2-8)59.80-00-00-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 68.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
106. Austin Peay (8-2)79.30-10-00-0
183. Tenn Martin (7-3)73.80-00-00-0
205. Tennessee St (5-5)72.50-00-00-0
258. Murray St (5-5)68.80-00-00-0
262. Tennessee Tech (4-6)68.50-00-00-0
266. Samford (5-5)68.30-00-00-0
275. Eastern Ill (5-5)67.70-00-00-0
278. Morehead St (5-5)67.30-00-00-0
290. Eastern KY (4-6)66.20-00-00-0
309. Jacksonville St (3-7)63.60-00-00-0
340. SE Missouri St (1-9)57.10-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 66.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
149. North Dakota St (6-4)76.20-00-01-1
170. IPFW (5-5)74.50-00-00-3
185. TX Pan American (7-3)73.70-00-00-0
191. Utah Valley St (8-2)73.50-00-00-0
237. Presbyterian (1-9)70.10-00-10-6
249. Chicago St (5-5)69.50-00-00-2
264. Northern Colorado (4-6)68.40-00-00-0
277. Savannah St (5-5)67.60-00-00-0
288. Winston-Salem (4-6)66.40-00-00-0
297. Longwood (4-6)65.40-00-00-0
305. NC Central (2-8)64.90-00-00-2
313. CSU Bakersfield (2-8)62.90-00-00-1
315. South Dakota St (1-9)62.70-00-00-2
338. UC Davis (1-9)58.00-00-00-1
341. NJIT (0-10)48.40-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 66.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
150. Coppin St (8-2)76.20-00-00-0
187. Morgan St (7-3)73.50-00-00-1
248. Delaware St (6-4)69.50-00-00-0
251. Florida A&M (7-3)69.30-00-00-0
265. SO Carolina St (5-5)68.30-00-00-0
267. Norfolk St (5-5)68.20-00-00-0
283. Hampton (5-5)66.70-00-00-0
300. NO Carolina A&T (4-6)65.20-00-00-0
328. Bethune Cookman (2-8)59.50-00-00-0
332. MD Eastrn Shore (2-8)59.10-00-00-0
336. Howard (1-9)58.20-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 63.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
169. Miss Valley St (9-1)74.50-10-00-0
261. Alabama St (7-3)68.60-00-10-0
286. Alabama A&M (7-3)66.60-00-00-0
298. Jackson St (5-5)65.30-00-00-0
323. Alcorn St (4-6)60.30-00-00-0
327. Texas Southern (3-7)59.60-00-00-0
329. Ark Pine Bluff (3-7)59.40-00-00-0
330. Southern (3-7)59.40-00-00-0
331. Prairie View (3-7)59.30-00-00-0
335. Grambling (3-7)58.30-00-00-0
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