NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference League Power Rankings

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008

Home Court Advantage = 3.6

BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 84.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Kansas (16-3)94.94-27-01-1
7. Texas (15-4)92.23-26-14-1
27. Kansas St (10-7)87.02-33-31-1
34. Texas A&M (10-9)86.02-43-32-2
38. Oklahoma (10-8)85.51-63-14-0
41. Baylor (9-8)85.02-42-23-1
44. Oklahoma St (8-10)84.72-53-32-1
52. Nebraska (8-10)83.52-53-21-1
61. Texas Tech (7-10)82.83-31-51-2
82. Missouri (6-11)80.92-41-40-2
121. Colorado (4-14)78.20-63-50-2
128. Iowa St (4-13)78.00-72-41-1


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 84.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. UCLA (19-2)95.75-06-16-1
11. Stanford (15-6)90.73-35-25-1
19. USC (12-8)88.02-53-15-2
24. Washington St (12-8)87.30-55-25-1
42. Oregon (9-10)84.91-62-24-2
45. Arizona St (9-10)84.51-54-32-2
49. Arizona (9-11)83.82-51-33-3
70. Washington (7-12)81.81-52-42-3
76. California (7-13)81.21-61-53-2
305. Oregon St (0-19)64.40-60-70-6


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 84.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. North Carolina (17-2)94.64-14-05-1
9. Duke (14-4)91.42-24-15-1
17. Clemson (12-7)88.61-43-24-1
40. Virginia Tech (10-8)85.20-42-26-1
51. Miami Fla (9-9)83.52-33-12-3
57. Florida St (8-10)83.21-53-12-3
58. Georgia Tech (8-10)83.21-41-34-3
64. Maryland (8-9)82.31-31-34-1
81. Wake Forest (7-10)81.01-22-33-3
101. Virginia (5-12)79.50-41-51-3
126. Boston College (5-13)78.00-51-43-4
136. North Carolina St (4-13)77.50-62-22-4


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 83.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Georgetown (17-4)91.76-33-12-0
10. Louisville (14-5)90.76-32-02-0
14. Notre Dame (14-5)89.34-52-02-0
18. Pittsburgh (14-8)88.25-52-12-0
22. Marquette (13-8)87.53-71-12-0
23. Connecticut (13-6)87.45-31-11-2
25. West Virginia (13-8)87.13-61-14-0
50. Villanova (10-10)83.63-62-12-0
55. Syracuse (9-10)83.32-61-22-1
83. Cincinnati (8-11)80.93-72-01-1
105. Providence (6-13)79.42-80-21-0
106. DePaul (6-12)79.30-81-22-1
111. Seton Hall (7-12)79.01-80-23-0
138. St Johns (5-13)77.40-90-22-0
182. South Florida (3-15)74.00-71-20-1
185. Rutgers (3-15)73.91-71-10-3


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 82.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Tennessee (15-3)90.00-05-18-2
28. Mississippi St (13-5)86.90-13-26-2
29. Kentucky (12-5)86.91-13-26-2
43. Vanderbilt (11-7)84.71-12-45-2
46. Arkansas (11-8)84.41-13-23-5
71. Florida (8-9)81.80-20-37-3
75. Georgia (8-12)81.20-24-43-5
90. Mississippi (7-10)80.10-13-23-4
93. Alabama (6-12)80.00-13-61-3
104. LSU (6-11)79.40-12-53-4
107. South Carolina (6-12)79.30-32-32-5
162. Auburn (4-13)76.10-12-51-6


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 82.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Wisconsin (19-2)93.42-03-25-0
13. Purdue (15-4)89.53-11-23-1
21. Indiana (14-5)87.61-33-04-1
30. Michigan St (13-7)86.40-24-34-0
56. Ohio St (10-9)83.31-31-33-1
73. Minnesota (10-11)81.40-42-40-3
78. Illinois (8-14)81.10-51-63-0
112. Penn St (7-12)78.81-31-42-3
142. Iowa (6-13)77.31-31-50-2
146. Michigan (6-14)77.00-41-41-3
265. Northwestern (1-18)68.70-40-60-4


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 80.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Drake (18-3)88.90-00-09-3
39. Illinois St (15-6)85.30-30-08-1
65. Southern Ill (11-8)82.31-10-04-4
72. Creighton (11-9)81.50-30-05-4
87. Northern Iowa (10-10)80.40-20-05-7
92. Bradley (9-10)80.01-10-03-6
103. Missouri St (9-11)79.51-10-02-7
113. Indiana St (9-11)78.70-30-04-6
184. Wichita St (4-15)73.90-20-02-8
209. Evansville (3-16)72.10-20-02-9


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 80.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Xavier (15-3)88.90-02-26-1
32. Temple (14-5)86.11-03-14-2
48. St Josephs (12-8)84.02-12-02-5
62. Massachusetts (10-7)82.60-10-25-2
66. Charlotte (11-8)82.30-12-14-3
85. Dayton (9-9)80.60-31-13-2
98. Richmond (9-8)79.70-10-35-1
108. La Salle (9-9)79.20-11-13-5
114. St Louis (7-10)78.70-12-11-6
117. Rhode Island (7-10)78.40-10-32-4
139. Duquesne (7-10)77.40-11-11-3
151. Fordham (6-11)76.70-11-23-5
159. Geo Washington (5-11)76.20-20-22-4
247. St Bonaventure (2-14)69.90-10-21-5


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 77.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
26. BYU (16-3)87.10-02-05-3
47. UNLV (15-4)84.20-03-24-1
68. New Mexico (11-6)82.20-00-24-3
102. San Diego St (10-8)79.50-02-31-3
130. Utah (8-10)77.90-01-42-3
148. Air Force (8-9)76.90-00-42-5
176. TCU (6-11)74.50-01-32-5
202. Wyoming (5-12)72.40-00-42-4
300. Colorado St (1-17)64.70-00-50-6


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 77.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. Butler (16-2)87.90-00-00-0
63. Wright St (13-4)82.40-01-10-0
95. Cleveland St (10-7)79.90-01-20-0
118. Illinois Chi (10-9)78.30-00-30-0
144. Wisc Green Bay (8-8)77.20-00-20-0
157. Wisc Milwaukee (8-9)76.20-00-20-0
198. Youngstown St (5-12)73.10-00-20-0
199. Loyola Chi (5-13)72.80-00-20-0
226. Detroit (3-14)70.90-00-20-0


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 77.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Memphis (19-0)97.40-00-011-0
54. Uab (12-5)83.40-20-04-2
79. SO Mississippi (11-8)81.10-30-02-4
84. Tulsa (12-9)80.80-30-04-3
86. Houston (11-7)80.60-20-04-2
116. Texas El Paso (10-9)78.40-10-04-7
137. Central Florida (9-8)77.50-10-02-5
163. Marshall (8-9)75.90-10-03-5
163. Marshall (8-9)75.90-10-03-5
188. Tulane (7-11)73.70-20-01-6
229. East Carolina (5-12)70.70-10-01-7
249. SMU (4-13)69.80-20-01-6
334. Rice (0-17)58.80-10-00-8


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 76.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. Kent (16-3)85.80-00-08-1
67. Akron (13-6)82.30-00-05-4
77. Western Mich (13-5)81.10-00-02-3
99. Miami Ohio (11-8)79.70-00-02-7
129. Ohio (9-8)77.90-00-03-5
169. Eastern Mich (9-9)75.20-00-02-5
172. Toledo (8-9)75.00-00-02-5
175. Central Mich (9-9)74.80-00-02-5
181. Bowling Green (7-10)74.00-00-03-6
218. Ball St (5-12)71.30-00-00-6
252. Buffalo (3-14)69.80-00-00-10
285. Northern Ill (3-13)67.20-00-01-5


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 74.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
33. Western KY (15-2)86.00-00-00-2
60. South Alabama (14-3)82.80-00-02-0
89. Middle Tenn St (12-6)80.10-00-02-4
178. North Texas (9-8)74.40-00-01-2
179. New Orleans (9-9)74.40-00-00-4
190. Ul Lafayette (8-8)73.60-00-00-2
193. Arkansas Lr (8-8)73.50-00-00-3
220. Denver (6-10)71.10-00-00-2
241. Florida Intl (4-11)70.20-00-00-4
259. Troy St (4-13)69.10-00-00-4
294. Arkansas St (2-13)65.30-00-00-2


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 74.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. Oral Roberts (13-1)85.60-00-02-1
96. Valparaiso (0-0)79.80-00-00-0
97. Iupui (11-4)79.70-00-01-2
156. Oakland (8-6)76.20-00-01-4
189. Southern Utah (6-6)73.70-00-00-4
264. Western Ill (4-9)68.80-00-00-4
280. Mo Kansas City (3-10)67.60-00-00-5
297. Centenary (2-11)65.10-00-01-4


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 74.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
69. VA Commonwealth (16-4)81.90-00-00-1
94. George Mason (15-6)80.00-00-01-0
124. NC Wilmington (13-7)78.10-00-02-3
147. Old Dominion (11-8)76.90-00-02-2
160. William & Mary (13-9)76.10-00-01-4
170. Northeastern (10-10)75.20-00-01-3
192. Delaware (10-10)73.50-00-01-3
203. Hofstra (8-11)72.30-00-00-3
214. Towson (8-12)71.60-00-00-4
242. Georgia St (5-14)70.10-00-01-2
262. James Madison (5-14)68.90-00-01-3
271. Drexel (5-14)68.40-00-00-3


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 74.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Davidson (23-0)93.60-00-00-0
131. NC Greensboro (13-9)77.90-30-00-0
149. Appalachian St (13-8)76.80-20-00-0
150. Geo Southern (13-8)76.80-20-00-0
154. Chattanooga (13-8)76.30-20-00-0
177. Elon (12-12)74.50-30-00-0
194. Coll Of Charltn (11-12)73.50-20-00-0
213. Wofford (9-13)71.70-30-00-0
261. Westrn Carolina (6-15)69.10-20-00-0
266. Furman (6-15)68.70-20-00-0
330. The Citadel (1-20)59.70-20-00-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
36. Gonzaga (14-2)85.80-01-10-0
53. San Diego (14-3)83.41-22-10-0
59. St Marys CA (12-3)83.21-10-00-0
200. Santa Clara (7-9)72.80-30-20-0
253. San Francisco (6-10)69.60-20-20-0
270. Pepperdine (5-11)68.50-20-20-0
293. Portland (3-12)65.60-20-20-0
325. Loyola Marymnt (2-13)60.90-20-20-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 73.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
80. CS Fullerton (13-4)81.00-00-00-0
125. UC Santa Barbara (10-5)78.10-00-02-0
133. CS Northridge (10-5)77.70-00-01-2
145. UC Irvine (11-7)77.10-00-00-3
161. Pacific (9-6)76.10-00-01-1
269. Cal Poly (5-10)68.50-00-00-2
277. UC Riverside (4-12)67.80-00-00-3
323. Long Beach St (1-14)62.00-00-00-2


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
100. Siena (16-5)79.60-00-00-0
109. Rider (15-6)79.20-00-01-2
123. Loyola MD (13-7)78.10-00-02-1
153. Niagara (12-7)76.40-00-00-2
158. Marist (12-8)76.20-00-00-2
174. Fairfield (11-8)74.90-00-01-1
216. Iona (8-11)71.50-00-00-2
267. Manhattan (6-14)68.60-00-01-2
301. St Peters (3-16)64.70-00-00-2
306. Canisius (3-17)64.40-00-00-2


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 72.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
132. American (13-4)77.80-00-00-0
173. Navy (9-6)75.00-00-00-0
187. Colgate (9-8)73.80-00-00-0
212. Army (7-9)71.70-00-00-0
217. Bucknell (7-9)71.50-00-00-0
219. Lehigh (7-8)71.20-00-00-0
221. Lafayette (6-9)71.10-00-00-0
254. Holy Cross (5-10)69.60-00-00-0


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 72.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
88. Boise St (15-4)80.20-00-01-2
115. Nevada (13-5)78.60-00-02-1
122. Utah St (13-5)78.20-00-01-1
127. New Mexico St (14-5)78.00-00-00-0
244. Hawaii (7-10)70.00-00-01-1
278. Fresno St (5-12)67.80-00-00-2
283. Idaho (5-12)67.30-00-00-3
292. San Jose St (5-13)65.70-00-00-2
312. Louisiana Tech (3-14)63.80-00-00-2


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 71.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
110. Stephen Austin (15-4)79.20-00-00-0
120. Lamar (13-4)78.20-00-00-0
168. Sam Houston (11-7)75.30-00-00-0
180. Northwestern St (11-8)74.30-00-00-0
191. Texas Arlington (10-9)73.60-00-00-0
201. SE Louisiana (9-8)72.60-00-00-0
230. Tex San Antonio (7-10)70.70-00-00-0
235. Texas A&M-CC (6-10)70.50-00-00-0
236. McNeese St (7-10)70.40-00-00-0
237. Texas St (6-10)70.30-00-00-0
258. Nicholls St (6-11)69.20-00-00-0
289. Central Arkansas (4-12)66.70-00-00-0
313. Ul Monroe (0-2)63.80-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 70.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. Cornell (14-0)86.20-00-00-0
141. Brown (11-3)77.30-00-00-0
211. Pennsylvania (8-6)72.00-00-00-0
243. Columbia (7-7)70.10-00-00-0
245. Yale (7-7)70.00-00-00-0
309. Princeton (3-11)64.20-00-00-0
311. Dartmouth (3-11)63.90-00-00-0
318. Harvard (3-11)63.10-00-00-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 70.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
74. Portland St (14-2)81.20-00-00-0
171. Northrn Arizona (11-5)75.10-00-00-0
197. Weber St (10-6)73.20-00-00-0
251. Idaho St (8-8)69.80-00-00-0
263. Montana (6-9)68.90-00-00-0
274. Montana St (6-9)67.90-00-00-0
275. Eastern Wash (5-9)67.80-00-00-0
335. Sacramento St (1-13)58.10-00-00-0


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 70.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
143. Winthrop (13-4)77.30-00-00-0
186. NC Asheville (12-5)73.80-00-00-0
207. High Point (9-7)72.10-00-00-0
225. Liberty (8-8)70.90-00-00-0
273. VMI (6-9)68.00-00-00-0
276. Coast Carolina (6-9)67.80-00-00-0
286. Radford (5-10)66.90-00-00-0
299. Charleston Sou (4-11)64.90-00-00-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 69.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
119. Robert Morris (15-2)78.20-00-00-0
155. Mt St Marys (11-5)76.30-00-00-0
165. Wagner (12-3)75.40-00-00-0
205. Central Conn (8-6)72.30-00-00-0
231. Liu Brooklyn (7-8)70.60-00-00-0
296. Monmouth NJ (4-11)65.30-00-00-0
307. St Francis PA (4-11)64.20-00-00-0
314. Fair Dickinson (4-11)63.80-00-00-0
322. St Francis NY (3-11)62.40-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 69.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
135. Umbc (16-3)77.50-00-00-0
206. Vermont (10-8)72.20-00-00-0
208. Hartford (12-7)72.10-00-00-0
210. Albany NY (10-7)72.00-00-00-0
222. Boston U (10-8)71.10-00-00-0
250. Binghamton (9-8)69.80-00-00-0
287. New Hampshire (6-11)66.80-00-00-0
317. Stony Brook (4-14)63.40-00-00-0
326. Maine (3-14)60.70-00-00-0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 69.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
91. Belmont (17-2)80.10-00-00-0
140. Fla Atlantic (3-0)77.30-00-00-0
183. East Tenn St (12-6)74.00-00-00-0
195. Jacksonville (14-5)73.40-00-00-0
223. Gardner-Webb (10-8)71.10-00-00-0
228. Lipscomb (9-8)70.70-00-00-0
234. Stetson (11-7)70.50-00-00-0
288. Kennesaw St (7-9)66.80-00-00-0
295. SC Upstate (5-11)65.30-00-00-0
302. Campbell (5-12)64.60-00-00-0
308. Mercer (6-11)64.20-00-00-0
316. Fla Gulf Coast (6-11)63.60-00-00-0
338. North Florida (1-16)56.10-00-00-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 68.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
167. Austin Peay (19-4)75.40-00-00-0
215. Murray St (14-8)71.60-00-00-0
248. Tennessee St (12-11)69.80-00-00-0
255. Tenn Martin (12-10)69.60-00-00-0
260. Morehead St (12-9)69.10-00-00-0
268. Tennessee Tech (10-11)68.50-00-00-0
279. Eastern KY (10-11)67.70-00-00-0
282. Samford (10-11)67.30-00-00-0
310. Eastern Ill (6-14)64.10-00-00-0
315. SE Missouri St (7-13)63.80-00-00-0
319. Jacksonville St (5-15)63.10-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 67.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
152. Morgan St (16-3)76.40-00-00-0
232. Hampton (11-6)70.60-00-00-0
233. Delaware St (11-7)70.60-00-00-0
238. Norfolk St (12-6)70.30-00-00-0
256. Coppin St (11-9)69.50-00-00-0
272. Florida A&M (10-8)68.10-00-00-0
284. NO Carolina A&T (9-8)67.30-00-00-0
290. SO Carolina St (8-10)66.10-00-00-0
321. Bethune Cookman (5-12)62.70-00-00-0
328. Howard (3-14)60.20-00-00-0
337. MD Eastrn Shore (2-15)57.20-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 65.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
134. UC Davis (2-0)77.70-00-00-0
164. North Dakota St (4-1)75.50-00-00-0
166. TX Pan American (7-1)75.40-00-00-0
204. Utah Valley St (7-2)72.30-00-00-0
227. IPFW (2-2)70.80-00-00-0
239. Chicago St (4-2)70.30-00-00-0
246. Savannah St (3-1)70.00-00-00-0
257. Northern Colorado (0-0)69.30-00-00-0
291. South Dakota St (1-4)65.90-00-00-0
304. NC Central (1-3)64.50-00-00-0
327. Longwood (2-2)60.30-00-00-0
336. CSU Bakersfield (1-5)57.80-00-00-0
339. Winston-Salem (0-1)53.20-00-00-0
340. Presbyterian (0-1)50.20-00-00-0
341. NJIT (0-9)48.40-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 63.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
240. Alabama St (16-4)70.30-00-00-0
281. Miss Valley St (15-6)67.50-00-00-0
298. Jackson St (12-9)65.00-00-00-0
303. Alabama A&M (11-8)64.50-00-00-0
320. Southern (9-10)62.80-00-00-0
324. Ark Pine Bluff (9-11)61.80-00-00-0
329. Grambling (7-12)60.10-00-00-0
331. Alcorn St (6-12)59.50-00-00-0
332. Prairie View (6-12)59.50-00-00-0
333. Texas Southern (6-13)58.80-00-00-0
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