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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

League Power Rankings

By division
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008

Home Advantage = 3.6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Memphis (19-0)97.40-00-011-0
2. UCLA (19-2)95.75-06-16-1
3. Kansas (16-3)94.94-27-01-1
4. North Carolina (17-2)94.64-14-05-1
5. Davidson (23-0)93.60-00-00-0
6. Wisconsin (19-2)93.42-03-25-0
7. Texas (15-4)92.23-26-14-1
8. Georgetown (17-4)91.76-33-12-0
9. Duke (14-4)91.42-24-15-1
10. Louisville (14-5)90.76-32-02-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Stanford (15-6)90.73-35-25-1
12. Tennessee (15-3)90.00-05-18-2
13. Purdue (15-4)89.53-11-23-1
14. Notre Dame (14-5)89.34-52-02-0
15. Xavier (15-3)88.90-02-26-1
16. Drake (18-3)88.90-00-09-3
17. Clemson (12-7)88.61-43-24-1
18. Pittsburgh (14-8)88.25-52-12-0
19. USC (12-8)88.02-53-15-2
20. Butler (16-2)87.90-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Indiana (14-5)87.61-33-04-1
22. Marquette (13-8)87.53-71-12-0
23. Connecticut (13-6)87.45-31-11-2
24. Washington St (12-8)87.30-55-25-1
25. West Virginia (13-8)87.13-61-14-0
26. BYU (16-3)87.10-02-05-3
27. Kansas St (10-7)87.02-33-31-1
28. Mississippi St (13-5)86.90-13-26-2
29. Kentucky (12-5)86.91-13-26-2
30. Michigan St (13-7)86.40-24-34-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Cornell (14-0)86.20-00-00-0
32. Temple (14-5)86.11-03-14-2
33. Western KY (15-2)86.00-00-00-2
34. Texas A&M (10-9)86.02-43-32-2
35. Kent (16-3)85.80-00-08-1
36. Gonzaga (14-2)85.80-01-10-0
37. Oral Roberts (13-1)85.60-00-02-1
38. Oklahoma (10-8)85.51-63-14-0
39. Illinois St (15-6)85.30-30-08-1
40. Virginia Tech (10-8)85.20-42-26-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Baylor (9-8)85.02-42-23-1
42. Oregon (9-10)84.91-62-24-2
43. Vanderbilt (11-7)84.71-12-45-2
44. Oklahoma St (8-10)84.72-53-32-1
45. Arizona St (9-10)84.51-54-32-2
46. Arkansas (11-8)84.41-13-23-5
47. UNLV (15-4)84.20-03-24-1
48. St Josephs (12-8)84.02-12-02-5
49. Arizona (9-11)83.82-51-33-3
50. Villanova (10-10)83.63-62-12-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Miami Fla (9-9)83.52-33-12-3
52. Nebraska (8-10)83.52-53-21-1
53. San Diego (14-3)83.41-22-10-0
54. Uab (12-5)83.40-20-04-2
55. Syracuse (9-10)83.32-61-22-1
56. Ohio St (10-9)83.31-31-33-1
57. Florida St (8-10)83.21-53-12-3
58. Georgia Tech (8-10)83.21-41-34-3
59. St Marys CA (12-3)83.21-10-00-0
60. South Alabama (14-3)82.80-00-02-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Texas Tech (7-10)82.83-31-51-2
62. Massachusetts (10-7)82.60-10-25-2
63. Wright St (13-4)82.40-01-10-0
64. Maryland (8-9)82.31-31-34-1
65. Southern Ill (11-8)82.31-10-04-4
66. Charlotte (11-8)82.30-12-14-3
67. Akron (13-6)82.30-00-05-4
68. New Mexico (11-6)82.20-00-24-3
69. VA Commonwealth (16-4)81.90-00-00-1
70. Washington (7-12)81.81-52-42-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Florida (8-9)81.80-20-37-3
72. Creighton (11-9)81.50-30-05-4
73. Minnesota (10-11)81.40-42-40-3
74. Portland St (14-2)81.20-00-00-0
75. Georgia (8-12)81.20-24-43-5
76. California (7-13)81.21-61-53-2
77. Western Mich (13-5)81.10-00-02-3
78. Illinois (8-14)81.10-51-63-0
79. SO Mississippi (11-8)81.10-30-02-4
80. CS Fullerton (13-4)81.00-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Wake Forest (7-10)81.01-22-33-3
82. Missouri (6-11)80.92-41-40-2
83. Cincinnati (8-11)80.93-72-01-1
84. Tulsa (12-9)80.80-30-04-3
85. Dayton (9-9)80.60-31-13-2
86. Houston (11-7)80.60-20-04-2
87. Northern Iowa (10-10)80.40-20-05-7
88. Boise St (15-4)80.20-00-01-2
89. Middle Tenn St (12-6)80.10-00-02-4
90. Mississippi (7-10)80.10-13-23-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Belmont (17-2)80.10-00-00-0
92. Bradley (9-10)80.01-10-03-6
93. Alabama (6-12)80.00-13-61-3
94. George Mason (15-6)80.00-00-01-0
95. Cleveland St (10-7)79.90-01-20-0
96. Valparaiso (0-0)79.80-00-00-0
97. Iupui (11-4)79.70-00-01-2
98. Richmond (9-8)79.70-10-35-1
99. Miami Ohio (11-8)79.70-00-02-7
100. Siena (16-5)79.60-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Virginia (5-12)79.50-41-51-3
102. San Diego St (10-8)79.50-02-31-3
103. Missouri St (9-11)79.51-10-02-7
104. LSU (6-11)79.40-12-53-4
105. Providence (6-13)79.42-80-21-0
106. DePaul (6-12)79.30-81-22-1
107. South Carolina (6-12)79.30-32-32-5
108. La Salle (9-9)79.20-11-13-5
109. Rider (15-6)79.20-00-01-2
110. Stephen Austin (15-4)79.20-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Seton Hall (7-12)79.01-80-23-0
112. Penn St (7-12)78.81-31-42-3
113. Indiana St (9-11)78.70-30-04-6
114. St Louis (7-10)78.70-12-11-6
115. Nevada (13-5)78.60-00-02-1
116. Texas El Paso (10-9)78.40-10-04-7
117. Rhode Island (7-10)78.40-10-32-4
118. Illinois Chi (10-9)78.30-00-30-0
119. Robert Morris (15-2)78.20-00-00-0
120. Lamar (13-4)78.20-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Colorado (4-14)78.20-63-50-2
122. Utah St (13-5)78.20-00-01-1
123. Loyola MD (13-7)78.10-00-02-1
124. NC Wilmington (13-7)78.10-00-02-3
125. UC Santa Barbara (10-5)78.10-00-02-0
126. Boston College (5-13)78.00-51-43-4
127. New Mexico St (14-5)78.00-00-00-0
128. Iowa St (4-13)78.00-72-41-1
129. Ohio (9-8)77.90-00-03-5
130. Utah (8-10)77.90-01-42-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. NC Greensboro (13-9)77.90-30-00-0
132. American (13-4)77.80-00-00-0
133. CS Northridge (10-5)77.70-00-01-2
134. UC Davis (2-0)77.70-00-00-0
135. Umbc (16-3)77.50-00-00-0
136. North Carolina St (4-13)77.50-62-22-4
137. Central Florida (9-8)77.50-10-02-5
138. St Johns (5-13)77.40-90-22-0
139. Duquesne (7-10)77.40-11-11-3
140. Fla Atlantic (3-0)77.30-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Brown (11-3)77.30-00-00-0
142. Iowa (6-13)77.31-31-50-2
143. Winthrop (13-4)77.30-00-00-0
144. Wisc Green Bay (8-8)77.20-00-20-0
145. UC Irvine (11-7)77.10-00-00-3
146. Michigan (6-14)77.00-41-41-3
147. Old Dominion (11-8)76.90-00-02-2
148. Air Force (8-9)76.90-00-42-5
149. Appalachian St (13-8)76.80-20-00-0
150. Geo Southern (13-8)76.80-20-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Fordham (6-11)76.70-11-23-5
152. Morgan St (16-3)76.40-00-00-0
153. Niagara (12-7)76.40-00-00-2
154. Chattanooga (13-8)76.30-20-00-0
155. Mt St Marys (11-5)76.30-00-00-0
156. Oakland (8-6)76.20-00-01-4
157. Wisc Milwaukee (8-9)76.20-00-20-0
158. Marist (12-8)76.20-00-00-2
159. Geo Washington (5-11)76.20-20-22-4
160. William & Mary (13-9)76.10-00-01-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Pacific (9-6)76.10-00-01-1
162. Auburn (4-13)76.10-12-51-6
163. Marshall (8-9)75.90-10-03-5
164. North Dakota St (4-1)75.50-00-00-0
165. Wagner (12-3)75.40-00-00-0
166. TX Pan American (7-1)75.40-00-00-0
167. Austin Peay (19-4)75.40-00-00-0
168. Sam Houston (11-7)75.30-00-00-0
169. Eastern Mich (9-9)75.20-00-02-5
170. Northeastern (10-10)75.20-00-01-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Northrn Arizona (11-5)75.10-00-00-0
172. Toledo (8-9)75.00-00-02-5
173. Navy (9-6)75.00-00-00-0
174. Fairfield (11-8)74.90-00-01-1
175. Central Mich (9-9)74.80-00-02-5
176. TCU (6-11)74.50-01-32-5
177. Elon (12-12)74.50-30-00-0
178. North Texas (9-8)74.40-00-01-2
179. New Orleans (9-9)74.40-00-00-4
180. Northwestern St (11-8)74.30-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Bowling Green (7-10)74.00-00-03-6
182. South Florida (3-15)74.00-71-20-1
183. East Tenn St (12-6)74.00-00-00-0
184. Wichita St (4-15)73.90-20-02-8
185. Rutgers (3-15)73.91-71-10-3
186. NC Asheville (12-5)73.80-00-00-0
187. Colgate (9-8)73.80-00-00-0
188. Tulane (7-11)73.70-20-01-6
189. Southern Utah (6-6)73.70-00-00-4
190. Ul Lafayette (8-8)73.60-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Texas Arlington (10-9)73.60-00-00-0
192. Delaware (10-10)73.50-00-01-3
193. Arkansas Lr (8-8)73.50-00-00-3
194. Coll Of Charltn (11-12)73.50-20-00-0
195. Jacksonville (14-5)73.40-00-00-0
196. Sacred Heart (0-0)73.30-00-00-0
197. Weber St (10-6)73.20-00-00-0
198. Youngstown St (5-12)73.10-00-20-0
199. Loyola Chi (5-13)72.80-00-20-0
200. Santa Clara (7-9)72.80-30-20-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. SE Louisiana (9-8)72.60-00-00-0
202. Wyoming (5-12)72.40-00-42-4
203. Hofstra (8-11)72.30-00-00-3
204. Utah Valley St (7-2)72.30-00-00-0
205. Central Conn (8-6)72.30-00-00-0
206. Vermont (10-8)72.20-00-00-0
207. High Point (9-7)72.10-00-00-0
208. Hartford (12-7)72.10-00-00-0
209. Evansville (3-16)72.10-20-02-9
210. Albany NY (10-7)72.00-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Pennsylvania (8-6)72.00-00-00-0
212. Army (7-9)71.70-00-00-0
213. Wofford (9-13)71.70-30-00-0
214. Towson (8-12)71.60-00-00-4
215. Murray St (14-8)71.60-00-00-0
216. Iona (8-11)71.50-00-00-2
217. Bucknell (7-9)71.50-00-00-0
218. Ball St (5-12)71.30-00-00-6
219. Lehigh (7-8)71.20-00-00-0
220. Denver (6-10)71.10-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Lafayette (6-9)71.10-00-00-0
222. Boston U (10-8)71.10-00-00-0
223. Gardner-Webb (10-8)71.10-00-00-0
224. Quinnipiac (0-0)71.00-00-00-0
225. Liberty (8-8)70.90-00-00-0
226. Detroit (3-14)70.90-00-20-0
227. IPFW (2-2)70.80-00-00-0
228. Lipscomb (9-8)70.70-00-00-0
229. East Carolina (5-12)70.70-10-01-7
230. Tex San Antonio (7-10)70.70-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Liu Brooklyn (7-8)70.60-00-00-0
232. Hampton (11-6)70.60-00-00-0
233. Delaware St (11-7)70.60-00-00-0
234. Stetson (11-7)70.50-00-00-0
235. Texas A&M-CC (6-10)70.50-00-00-0
236. McNeese St (7-10)70.40-00-00-0
237. Texas St (6-10)70.30-00-00-0
238. Norfolk St (12-6)70.30-00-00-0
239. Chicago St (4-2)70.30-00-00-0
240. Alabama St (16-4)70.30-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Florida Intl (4-11)70.20-00-00-4
242. Georgia St (5-14)70.10-00-01-2
243. Columbia (7-7)70.10-00-00-0
244. Hawaii (7-10)70.00-00-01-1
245. Yale (7-7)70.00-00-00-0
246. Savannah St (3-1)70.00-00-00-0
247. St Bonaventure (2-14)69.90-10-21-5
248. Tennessee St (12-11)69.80-00-00-0
249. SMU (4-13)69.80-20-01-6
250. Binghamton (9-8)69.80-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Idaho St (8-8)69.80-00-00-0
252. Buffalo (3-14)69.80-00-00-10
253. San Francisco (6-10)69.60-20-20-0
254. Holy Cross (5-10)69.60-00-00-0
255. Tenn Martin (12-10)69.60-00-00-0
256. Coppin St (11-9)69.50-00-00-0
257. Northern Colorado (0-0)69.30-00-00-0
258. Nicholls St (6-11)69.20-00-00-0
259. Troy St (4-13)69.10-00-00-4
260. Morehead St (12-9)69.10-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Westrn Carolina (6-15)69.10-20-00-0
262. James Madison (5-14)68.90-00-01-3
263. Montana (6-9)68.90-00-00-0
264. Western Ill (4-9)68.80-00-00-4
265. Northwestern (1-18)68.70-40-60-4
266. Furman (6-15)68.70-20-00-0
267. Manhattan (6-14)68.60-00-01-2
268. Tennessee Tech (10-11)68.50-00-00-0
269. Cal Poly (5-10)68.50-00-00-2
270. Pepperdine (5-11)68.50-20-20-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Drexel (5-14)68.40-00-00-3
272. Florida A&M (10-8)68.10-00-00-0
273. VMI (6-9)68.00-00-00-0
274. Montana St (6-9)67.90-00-00-0
275. Eastern Wash (5-9)67.80-00-00-0
276. Coast Carolina (6-9)67.80-00-00-0
277. UC Riverside (4-12)67.80-00-00-3
278. Fresno St (5-12)67.80-00-00-2
279. Eastern KY (10-11)67.70-00-00-0
280. Mo Kansas City (3-10)67.60-00-00-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Miss Valley St (15-6)67.50-00-00-0
282. Samford (10-11)67.30-00-00-0
283. Idaho (5-12)67.30-00-00-3
284. NO Carolina A&T (9-8)67.30-00-00-0
285. Northern Ill (3-13)67.20-00-01-5
286. Radford (5-10)66.90-00-00-0
287. New Hampshire (6-11)66.80-00-00-0
288. Kennesaw St (7-9)66.80-00-00-0
289. Central Arkansas (4-12)66.70-00-00-0
290. SO Carolina St (8-10)66.10-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. South Dakota St (1-4)65.90-00-00-0
292. San Jose St (5-13)65.70-00-00-2
293. Portland (3-12)65.60-20-20-0
294. Arkansas St (2-13)65.30-00-00-2
295. SC Upstate (5-11)65.30-00-00-0
296. Monmouth NJ (4-11)65.30-00-00-0
297. Centenary (2-11)65.10-00-01-4
298. Jackson St (12-9)65.00-00-00-0
299. Charleston Sou (4-11)64.90-00-00-0
300. Colorado St (1-17)64.70-00-50-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. St Peters (3-16)64.70-00-00-2
302. Campbell (5-12)64.60-00-00-0
303. Alabama A&M (11-8)64.50-00-00-0
304. NC Central (1-3)64.50-00-00-0
305. Oregon St (0-19)64.40-60-70-6
306. Canisius (3-17)64.40-00-00-2
307. St Francis PA (4-11)64.20-00-00-0
308. Mercer (6-11)64.20-00-00-0
309. Princeton (3-11)64.20-00-00-0
310. Eastern Ill (6-14)64.10-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Dartmouth (3-11)63.90-00-00-0
312. Louisiana Tech (3-14)63.80-00-00-2
313. Ul Monroe (0-2)63.80-00-00-0
314. Fair Dickinson (4-11)63.80-00-00-0
315. SE Missouri St (7-13)63.80-00-00-0
316. Fla Gulf Coast (6-11)63.60-00-00-0
317. Stony Brook (4-14)63.40-00-00-0
318. Harvard (3-11)63.10-00-00-0
319. Jacksonville St (5-15)63.10-00-00-0
320. Southern (9-10)62.80-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Bethune Cookman (5-12)62.70-00-00-0
322. St Francis NY (3-11)62.40-00-00-0
323. Long Beach St (1-14)62.00-00-00-2
324. Ark Pine Bluff (9-11)61.80-00-00-0
325. Loyola Marymnt (2-13)60.90-20-20-0
326. Maine (3-14)60.70-00-00-0
327. Longwood (2-2)60.30-00-00-0
328. Howard (3-14)60.20-00-00-0
329. Grambling (7-12)60.10-00-00-0
330. The Citadel (1-20)59.70-20-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
331. Alcorn St (6-12)59.50-00-00-0
332. Prairie View (6-12)59.50-00-00-0
333. Texas Southern (6-13)58.80-00-00-0
334. Rice (0-17)58.80-10-00-8
335. Sacramento St (1-13)58.10-00-00-0
336. CSU Bakersfield (1-5)57.80-00-00-0
337. MD Eastrn Shore (2-15)57.20-00-00-0
338. North Florida (1-16)56.10-00-00-0
339. Winston-Salem (0-1)53.20-00-00-0
340. Presbyterian (0-1)50.20-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
341. NJIT (0-9)48.40-00-00-0
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