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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Non-League Power Rankings

By division
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008

Home Advantage = 3.6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Kansas (20-0)105.13-04-03-0
2. North Carolina (19-1)98.93-13-02-0
3. Memphis (19-2)97.56-24-01-0
4. UCLA (15-2)94.94-20-02-0
5. Tennessee (15-2)94.74-22-02-0
6. Washington St (14-1)94.52-11-00-0
7. Michigan St (14-2)94.02-22-02-0
8. Texas (15-3)93.13-32-02-0
9. Duke (14-2)91.83-20-03-0
10. Marquette (11-2)91.31-20-03-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Texas A&M (14-2)90.90-12-13-0
12. Xavier (15-4)90.42-22-04-2
13. Butler (14-2)90.40-22-05-0
14. Louisville (13-4)90.41-11-24-1
15. Mississippi (17-1)90.31-03-13-0
16. Wisconsin (12-3)90.12-30-02-0
17. Ohio St (14-4)90.00-34-12-0
18. West Virginia (12-3)89.71-21-12-0
19. Georgetown (11-2)89.40-20-01-0
20. Dayton (14-2)89.22-00-13-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Pittsburgh (12-2)88.81-10-04-1
22. Miami Fla (13-2)88.60-12-02-0
23. Davidson (5-7)88.53-40-00-2
24. Drake (8-2)88.40-01-11-1
25. Stanford (13-2)88.41-10-01-1
26. Arizona (9-4)87.91-30-05-1
27. Oklahoma (13-4)87.52-22-11-0
28. Villanova (12-3)87.51-10-14-0
29. Rhode Island (14-2)87.10-01-03-1
30. Massachusetts (15-4)86.70-03-12-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Vanderbilt (15-1)86.50-02-03-1
32. Creighton (10-2)86.40-12-12-0
33. Florida (16-3)86.40-00-24-1
34. Arkansas (12-4)86.10-13-13-1
35. Gonzaga (11-6)86.01-42-13-1
36. Duquesne (10-3)85.70-30-00-0
37. UNLV (11-4)85.50-20-12-0
38. Connecticut (11-3)85.50-22-01-0
39. Western KY (12-5)85.31-31-00-1
40. Kent (12-4)85.10-21-02-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Indiana (11-3)84.90-21-13-0
42. Stephen Austin (7-2)84.90-01-10-1
43. Nebraska (12-3)84.80-01-12-2
44. Clemson (11-3)84.70-02-22-1
45. Notre Dame (11-3)84.61-10-21-0
46. USC (9-4)84.50-31-03-0
47. Baylor (11-3)84.41-10-21-0
48. Sam Houston (8-1)84.10-00-02-1
49. St Marys CA (12-4)83.91-11-13-2
50. New Mexico (13-3)83.80-00-12-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. North Carolina St (11-3)83.81-11-01-0
52. Wake Forest (10-3)83.80-01-01-3
53. South Alabama (10-4)83.70-01-21-2
54. Iupui (12-3)83.60-11-01-0
55. Houston (13-3)83.50-00-21-1
56. Providence (9-3)83.40-01-12-2
57. Syracuse (12-4)83.30-01-34-1
58. California (10-3)83.10-12-12-1
59. Missouri (10-5)83.10-11-21-2
60. Kansas St (10-5)83.10-31-12-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. VA Commonwealth (8-4)83.00-00-24-1
62. Purdue (10-5)82.71-21-11-0
63. NC Greensboro (6-3)82.70-01-10-2
64. St Josephs (9-5)82.70-11-21-1
65. Mississippi St (10-6)82.70-22-10-3
66. BYU (11-5)82.61-30-00-1
67. Ohio (11-5)82.60-10-13-2
68. Siena (7-6)82.41-10-31-0
69. Bradley (12-7)82.40-10-13-4
70. Utah (9-5)82.40-10-12-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Southern Ill (7-7)82.30-02-32-3
72. Miami Ohio (6-8)82.01-21-12-2
73. Wofford (3-3)81.70-11-10-1
74. Oregon (9-4)81.71-00-32-0
75. Cleveland St (9-6)81.60-00-12-3
76. Tulsa (13-5)81.60-00-15-2
77. Arizona St (12-3)81.51-00-21-1
78. Akron (11-5)81.40-00-12-2
79. Illinois Chi (7-6)81.10-00-01-3
80. Illinois (8-5)81.00-11-12-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Illinois St (9-4)81.00-00-10-2
82. Alabama (11-4)80.90-30-02-0
83. Virginia Tech (11-6)80.90-10-21-0
84. Florida St (11-5)80.90-01-12-3
85. South Florida (9-4)80.80-00-03-2
86. Texas Tech (8-5)80.81-10-20-0
87. Maryland (11-6)80.80-10-23-2
88. Holy Cross (10-4)80.70-01-01-3
89. Uab (11-6)80.70-00-12-3
90. North Texas (8-3)80.60-10-02-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. UC Santa Barbara (12-4)80.50-20-11-0
92. Minnesota (10-3)80.30-00-00-3
93. George Mason (8-5)80.21-10-12-2
94. Charlotte (9-6)80.12-00-22-2
95. Texas Arlington (7-3)80.00-10-00-1
96. Niagara (7-3)79.90-00-00-1
97. Virginia (12-4)79.80-11-10-1
98. Valparaiso (20-14)79.80-20-23-2
99. Georgia Tech (7-7)79.81-20-11-2
100. Seton Hall (10-3)79.60-00-11-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Missouri St (7-5)79.60-00-20-2
102. Oral Roberts (10-8)79.40-30-12-1
103. Washington (9-5)79.30-20-11-1
104. Winthrop (7-8)79.30-32-21-1
105. CS Fullerton (10-5)79.10-10-20-0
106. Geo Southern (5-4)78.90-00-11-2
107. Umbc (7-6)78.80-20-10-0
108. Boston College (9-4)78.60-10-11-1
109. San Diego St (9-5)78.60-00-31-1
110. Tulane (9-4)78.60-00-21-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Wright St (8-6)78.50-00-02-2
112. St Louis (8-5)78.40-10-02-2
113. Utah St (10-6)78.40-00-01-3
114. Robert Morris (11-6)78.30-00-10-1
115. Nevada (7-7)78.30-10-01-5
116. Oklahoma St (8-6)78.20-20-01-3
117. Austin Peay (5-7)78.20-20-00-2
118. Temple (7-8)78.20-30-21-2
119. Coll Of Charltn (5-5)78.20-00-11-3
120. Marist (6-6)78.20-00-20-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Western Mich (7-7)78.11-00-11-2
122. Old Dominion (7-8)78.10-41-00-2
123. NC Asheville (7-5)78.10-20-21-0
124. Northwestern (6-4)78.10-10-01-1
125. Georgia (8-5)77.90-31-01-0
126. Auburn (10-3)77.80-20-00-0
127. Rider (8-5)77.70-10-00-0
128. Hampton (7-6)77.60-00-02-4
129. Penn St (8-4)77.60-01-10-2
130. Belmont (7-7)77.60-20-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Brown (8-7)77.50-10-10-3
132. James Madison (8-3)77.40-00-01-0
133. Boise St (9-5)77.40-21-00-1
134. Pacific (11-4)77.20-00-11-0
135. Texas El Paso (9-5)77.20-10-12-3
136. Iowa St (9-5)77.20-11-00-3
137. East Tenn St (6-7)77.20-00-21-2
138. Central Mich (4-7)77.10-00-11-2
139. CS Northridge (9-5)76.90-10-00-2
140. Central Florida (7-7)76.90-20-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. South Carolina (8-6)76.90-10-21-1
142. Indiana St (5-5)76.80-00-20-1
143. Wichita St (7-5)76.70-00-11-0
144. Loyola Chi (5-6)76.50-00-10-2
145. Wisc Green Bay (7-7)76.50-20-20-1
146. Marshall (6-5)76.30-20-00-0
147. Arkansas Lr (10-3)76.30-00-01-1
148. Northern Iowa (7-4)76.30-01-00-0
149. Northrn Arizona (8-6)76.20-10-11-1
150. American (8-8)75.80-20-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Lafayette (9-6)75.60-10-10-0
152. Chattanooga (3-5)75.40-10-10-2
153. Wisc Milwaukee (5-7)75.40-30-00-1
154. Wagner (11-5)75.30-10-00-0
155. San Diego (7-11)75.31-00-21-4
156. Drexel (7-6)75.20-00-10-3
157. New Orleans (8-4)75.10-00-00-1
158. Colorado (7-6)75.10-20-10-1
159. Oakland (7-8)74.90-21-00-1
160. Cornell (7-6)74.80-20-11-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Portland St (7-8)74.80-30-02-2
162. San Jose St (8-6)74.80-10-00-0
163. Appalachian St (4-5)74.70-01-00-1
164. North Dakota St (10-12)74.70-00-11-5
165. New Mexico St (6-9)74.50-41-10-1
166. St Johns (6-6)74.50-10-20-1
167. Cincinnati (5-8)74.50-20-01-3
168. DePaul (5-7)74.40-20-10-2
169. Bowling Green (6-7)74.20-00-00-3
170. Montana (6-7)74.20-20-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Richmond (7-7)74.20-11-00-3
172. LSU (6-7)74.10-10-10-3
173. Northeastern (4-7)74.10-10-10-3
174. Delaware (4-7)73.80-00-00-2
175. Fresno St (7-7)73.80-10-20-2
176. Buffalo (6-6)73.70-20-01-0
177. Santa Clara (6-7)73.60-10-01-1
178. Mt St Marys (8-10)73.50-10-20-0
179. Colgate (9-6)73.30-10-10-0
180. Montana St (7-6)73.30-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Sacred Heart (18-14)73.30-00-00-1
182. Iowa (7-6)73.30-10-00-2
183. SE Louisiana (4-5)73.30-00-10-1
184. Morgan St (5-8)73.30-10-20-1
185. Pepperdine (5-10)73.20-10-20-1
186. Fordham (5-6)73.10-10-20-0
187. Vermont (6-7)73.00-00-10-2
188. Ul Lafayette (6-7)72.60-10-00-4
189. Rutgers (8-5)72.60-10-20-0
190. McNeese St (3-6)72.50-10-11-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. NC Wilmington (7-6)72.50-00-10-2
192. Kentucky (6-8)72.50-30-10-2
193. IPFW (9-16)72.40-30-10-6
194. Yale (5-8)72.30-30-10-0
195. Cal Poly (6-8)72.30-00-20-1
196. Tenn Martin (3-6)72.20-10-10-2
197. Michigan (4-8)72.20-30-10-1
198. Troy St (6-6)72.20-00-10-1
199. SO Mississippi (4-6)72.10-00-10-3
200. Gardner-Webb (5-8)72.10-30-11-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Central Arkansas (6-4)72.10-00-00-2
202. Wyoming (5-6)72.10-00-00-1
203. Colorado St (5-7)71.90-10-00-1
204. Toledo (3-10)71.90-10-11-4
205. East Carolina (4-6)71.80-10-01-1
206. Liu Brooklyn (8-7)71.70-10-00-1
207. La Salle (5-8)71.70-00-20-1
208. Tennessee St (1-6)71.70-00-21-2
209. Lipscomb (5-8)71.70-00-10-1
210. Fla Atlantic (12-18)71.70-10-00-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. UC Irvine (6-9)71.70-10-10-2
212. Nicholls St (3-10)71.50-10-10-5
213. Geo Washington (4-6)71.40-10-10-1
214. Evansville (5-5)71.40-00-10-0
215. Loyola MD (6-7)71.40-10-00-2
216. Weber St (5-7)71.30-00-20-2
217. Binghamton (5-8)71.20-00-00-1
218. Northern Ill (3-9)71.20-10-10-1
219. Towson (5-6)71.10-00-00-1
220. Albany NY (5-8)71.10-10-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Quinnipiac (15-15)71.00-10-00-0
222. Fairfield (3-8)71.00-10-10-1
223. Air Force (6-5)71.00-10-00-1
224. Centenary (7-10)70.80-00-21-0
225. Hofstra (4-7)70.80-00-11-1
226. Eastern Mich (5-8)70.80-10-01-2
227. Utah Valley St (6-12)70.80-10-00-0
228. Jacksonville (3-8)70.80-20-10-2
229. Central Conn (6-10)70.60-00-10-0
230. Manhattan (6-5)70.50-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Westrn Carolina (3-6)70.50-00-10-1
232. Bucknell (5-10)70.40-00-10-2
233. St Bonaventure (6-8)70.40-00-10-1
234. Arkansas St (6-7)70.40-10-00-1
235. Hartford (6-9)70.40-10-20-1
236. TCU (7-5)70.30-10-10-1
237. Columbia (6-8)70.20-00-20-0
238. Chicago St (4-15)70.10-20-10-6
239. Mo Kansas City (6-11)69.80-10-20-0
240. Harvard (5-11)69.70-10-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Boston U (4-9)69.70-10-20-0
242. High Point (4-7)69.70-00-10-3
243. Western Ill (6-9)69.70-20-10-0
244. SE Missouri St (3-6)69.70-10-00-3
245. Detroit (3-9)69.60-10-01-1
246. Murray St (2-5)69.60-00-10-1
247. NO Carolina A&T (2-8)69.40-30-20-1
248. Portland (5-10)69.40-00-20-2
249. VMI (4-6)69.30-00-10-0
250. Coast Carolina (4-6)69.30-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Fla Gulf Coast (4-10)69.30-10-10-3
252. Dartmouth (6-7)69.30-00-00-1
253. Northern Colorado (11-16)69.30-10-01-0
254. Samford (2-5)69.20-10-00-1
255. Middle Tenn St (4-9)69.20-20-00-1
256. Denver (4-9)69.10-00-10-0
257. Oregon St (6-5)69.10-00-00-0
258. Alabama St (1-7)68.90-00-10-3
259. Southern Utah (5-12)68.90-00-20-2
260. Navy (7-8)68.70-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Eastern KY (2-5)68.60-10-00-2
262. Ul Monroe (7-19)68.60-20-20-3
263. Lehigh (7-7)68.60-00-00-1
264. Lamar (2-7)68.50-00-20-2
265. Youngstown St (2-9)68.10-20-00-2
266. Iona (4-9)68.10-20-01-1
267. Eastern Wash (4-10)68.10-20-20-1
268. Rice (3-10)68.10-20-10-2
269. Army (7-7)68.00-00-00-1
270. Liberty (5-8)67.90-00-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Savannah St (7-16)67.80-30-11-2
272. Fair Dickinson (4-9)67.80-00-10-3
273. Southern (1-8)67.70-00-20-1
274. Georgia St (4-7)67.70-00-10-2
275. Florida Intl (4-9)67.70-00-20-3
276. TX Pan American (6-12)67.60-10-00-3
277. Delaware St (1-9)67.50-10-20-3
278. Mercer (4-8)67.40-01-00-1
279. Canisius (3-8)67.40-10-00-0
280. William & Mary (2-7)67.20-10-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Tex San Antonio (2-7)67.00-10-10-1
282. St Francis NY (4-11)67.00-00-00-2
283. St Peters (3-8)67.00-00-00-1
284. Hawaii (4-9)67.00-00-20-2
285. Texas A&M-CC (3-10)66.90-00-11-2
286. Tennessee Tech (1-8)66.80-00-20-1
287. Ark Pine Bluff (2-7)66.70-10-00-1
288. South Dakota St (6-17)66.50-00-00-5
289. San Francisco (3-11)66.40-10-20-0
290. CSU Bakersfield (7-16)66.20-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Florida A&M (3-9)66.10-40-20-0
292. Long Beach St (5-11)66.00-00-10-3
293. Stetson (4-9)65.90-00-20-3
294. Morehead St (1-6)65.90-10-10-1
295. Coppin St (3-12)65.90-20-30-3
296. Elon (1-6)65.80-00-10-3
297. Texas St (4-6)65.70-20-00-0
298. UC Riverside (4-9)65.70-10-10-3
299. Bethune Cookman (4-8)65.60-00-10-1
300. Campbell (4-8)65.40-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. SO Carolina St (4-10)65.40-10-00-1
302. Pennsylvania (5-12)65.30-10-30-2
303. Winston-Salem (10-17)65.30-10-00-3
304. Maine (3-9)65.30-10-00-2
305. Ball St (1-12)65.10-10-30-1
306. Howard (3-12)65.10-00-10-2
307. Radford (3-10)65.10-20-00-1
308. SC Upstate (1-11)64.90-00-00-5
309. Norfolk St (4-9)64.90-00-10-1
310. SMU (4-7)64.90-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Monmouth NJ (3-13)64.30-10-01-0
312. Idaho St (2-11)64.30-20-10-2
313. Jackson St (2-11)64.20-10-20-1
314. Loyola Marymnt (3-13)64.00-00-30-1
315. Texas Southern (1-12)63.90-10-10-2
316. Presbyterian (2-24)63.80-10-50-5
317. NC Central (2-20)63.80-30-20-5
318. New Hampshire (2-9)63.80-00-00-1
319. The Citadel (1-4)63.80-10-10-1
320. Stony Brook (3-9)63.70-00-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Princeton (2-11)63.70-10-00-1
322. Longwood (4-20)63.50-00-10-3
323. Idaho (2-9)63.20-20-00-1
324. Prairie View (1-10)63.10-20-10-2
325. UC Davis (5-22)62.90-20-00-3
326. Charleston Sou (2-9)62.80-00-20-0
327. Furman (1-8)62.30-10-00-1
328. Northwestern St (1-9)61.10-10-10-2
329. Louisiana Tech (3-10)60.90-00-10-2
330. North Florida (1-10)60.90-10-20-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
331. St Francis PA (1-12)60.70-00-00-2
332. Kennesaw St (2-11)60.40-00-00-3
333. MD Eastrn Shore (2-13)59.50-10-10-2
334. Sacramento St (1-11)59.00-30-10-0
335. Grambling (0-5)58.30-00-00-3
336. Alabama A&M (0-7)57.60-00-20-1
337. Miss Valley St (0-10)56.90-30-20-2
338. Eastern Ill (0-8)56.10-00-00-0
339. Jacksonville St (0-7)54.60-00-00-1
340. NJIT (0-20)50.70-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
341. Alcorn St (0-11)48.90-00-20-2
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