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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Conference Power Rankings

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008

Home Court Advantage = 3.6

BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 85.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Kansas (36-3)98.37-19-16-1
5. Texas (30-7)92.65-59-05-2
23. Texas A&M (24-11)87.21-45-56-2
28. Oklahoma (23-12)86.22-85-26-1
31. Kansas St (20-12)85.73-62-33-3
40. Baylor (20-11)84.82-62-34-1
46. Nebraska (20-13)83.91-44-44-3
60. Oklahoma St (16-16)82.52-62-44-4
65. Texas Tech (15-15)82.22-52-53-3
73. Missouri (16-16)81.62-42-71-4
127. Iowa St (13-18)77.71-61-52-5
137. Colorado (11-20)77.00-63-50-6


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 84.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. UCLA (34-4)95.411-37-05-1
12. Stanford (28-8)90.15-55-26-1
15. Washington St (26-9)89.13-67-23-1
25. USC (21-12)87.02-76-35-1
37. Arizona (18-15)85.04-91-46-2
45. Oregon (18-14)83.91-84-45-1
48. Arizona St (21-13)83.63-73-23-4
69. California (17-16)81.82-71-74-2
81. Washington (16-17)81.01-93-32-5
284. Oregon St (6-24)67.70-80-70-4


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 84.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. North Carolina (36-3)96.47-25-012-1
8. Duke (28-6)91.55-41-113-1
22. Clemson (23-10)87.42-42-39-3
39. Miami Fla (22-11)84.92-42-08-5
53. Virginia Tech (21-14)83.50-51-38-3
61. Florida St (19-15)82.41-62-07-8
64. Georgia Tech (15-17)82.22-50-57-5
70. Wake Forest (17-13)81.81-22-15-9
71. Maryland (19-15)81.71-40-19-7
96. Virginia (17-16)79.60-51-13-9
98. North Carolina St (15-16)79.61-72-13-5
122. Boston College (14-17)78.20-61-25-8


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 83.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Georgetown (28-6)91.25-53-03-1
10. Louisville (27-9)90.67-43-24-1
18. Pittsburgh (26-10)88.46-51-26-1
19. Marquette (24-10)88.34-81-14-1
20. Notre Dame (25-8)87.93-53-23-1
21. West Virginia (25-11)87.93-72-35-0
26. Connecticut (24-9)86.95-41-22-2
41. Villanova (22-13)84.83-71-16-2
54. Syracuse (21-14)83.32-52-66-1
84. Providence (15-16)80.60-83-22-2
105. Seton Hall (17-15)79.21-70-32-2
110. Cincinnati (13-19)78.93-71-32-4
128. DePaul (11-19)77.70-91-41-3
142. South Florida (12-19)76.70-60-23-5
148. St Johns (11-19)76.30-90-31-3
187. Rutgers (11-20)73.41-71-20-3


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 82.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Tennessee (30-5)92.04-27-27-1
35. Mississippi St (23-11)85.40-33-47-4
36. Vanderbilt (26-8)85.21-12-39-4
38. Arkansas (23-12)84.91-26-36-5
47. Mississippi (24-11)83.71-14-36-3
52. Florida (24-12)83.50-22-66-3
58. Kentucky (18-13)82.81-43-34-4
88. Georgia (16-17)80.40-44-54-4
90. Alabama (17-16)80.20-43-52-3
114. South Carolina (14-18)78.50-52-43-7
126. LSU (12-18)77.80-21-83-4
143. Auburn (14-16)76.60-32-61-4


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 82.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Wisconsin (31-5)92.23-54-08-0
16. Michigan St (27-9)88.83-54-28-0
24. Purdue (25-9)87.14-32-24-2
27. Indiana (25-8)86.72-43-27-1
30. Ohio St (24-13)85.82-82-28-1
77. Minnesota (20-14)81.10-52-40-5
80. Illinois (16-19)81.11-81-55-2
116. Penn St (15-16)78.41-51-33-3
151. Iowa (13-19)76.11-61-30-4
157. Michigan (10-22)75.60-101-31-3
202. Northwestern (7-22)72.20-70-41-5


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 80.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Drake (26-5)88.81-03-27-3
44. Illinois St (24-10)83.90-30-29-2
57. Creighton (21-11)82.90-42-27-3
63. Southern Ill (18-15)82.31-33-45-4
79. Bradley (21-17)81.11-31-26-8
100. Missouri St (16-16)79.51-20-42-6
103. Northern Iowa (17-14)79.20-22-24-5
119. Indiana St (14-16)78.30-51-13-6
169. Wichita St (11-20)74.90-20-33-6
207. Evansville (8-21)71.80-30-22-8


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 80.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Xavier (30-7)89.62-25-39-2
43. Massachusetts (25-11)84.50-10-411-3
49. St Josephs (21-13)83.62-13-23-7
51. Dayton (23-11)83.52-32-26-3
55. Temple (21-13)83.31-33-25-5
74. Charlotte (20-14)81.62-12-26-6
76. Rhode Island (21-12)81.10-10-35-5
97. Duquesne (17-13)79.60-41-11-3
113. St Louis (15-15)78.60-22-23-7
125. Richmond (16-15)77.80-20-36-3
138. La Salle (14-17)77.00-11-33-6
162. Fordham (11-17)75.50-21-23-7
171. Geo Washington (9-17)74.90-30-22-6
238. St Bonaventure (8-22)70.10-10-21-8


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 77.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
34. BYU (27-8)85.51-31-24-1
42. UNLV (26-8)84.70-23-24-2
59. New Mexico (24-9)82.80-01-43-2
99. Utah (17-15)79.60-01-63-4
104. San Diego St (19-13)79.20-01-63-4
166. Air Force (14-14)75.20-11-30-5
189. TCU (13-16)73.30-10-62-3
201. Wyoming (10-18)72.30-00-42-3
281. Colorado St (6-24)67.80-10-50-5


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 77.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Butler (30-4)89.20-21-011-2
82. Cleveland St (19-13)80.71-20-25-3
87. Wright St (21-10)80.51-10-13-5
102. Illinois Chi (17-15)79.40-30-13-6
140. Wisc Green Bay (15-15)76.90-40-23-5
154. Wisc Milwaukee (13-16)75.90-50-03-4
179. Loyola Chi (10-19)74.10-30-03-5
211. Youngstown St (7-21)71.50-40-10-7
232. Detroit (6-23)70.40-31-00-8


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 77.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Memphis (38-2)97.55-25-08-0
66. Uab (23-11)82.20-20-04-4
72. Houston (24-10)81.70-20-23-3
78. Tulsa (25-14)81.10-30-17-4
112. SO Mississippi (15-14)78.70-30-11-6
124. Texas El Paso (19-14)78.00-20-13-8
135. Central Florida (16-15)77.20-10-41-4
153. Marshall (14-14)76.00-30-02-4
153. Marshall (14-14)76.00-30-02-4
159. Tulane (16-15)75.60-20-12-4
222. East Carolina (9-18)71.10-20-03-3
282. SMU (8-20)67.80-20-00-7
322. Rice (3-27)63.20-30-20-5


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 76.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
33. Kent (28-7)85.50-22-110-1
67. Akron (24-11)81.90-00-47-3
86. Miami Ohio (17-16)80.61-31-34-8
93. Western Mich (20-12)79.91-00-23-4
95. Ohio (20-13)79.70-11-25-6
160. Central Mich (13-16)75.50-00-13-8
180. Bowling Green (13-17)74.10-01-22-7
181. Toledo (11-19)74.00-11-32-7
184. Eastern Mich (14-17)73.70-11-12-6
217. Buffalo (9-20)71.30-10-30-8
252. Ball St (6-24)69.50-30-30-6
267. Northern Ill (6-22)68.60-10-21-6


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 74.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
32. Western KY (27-7)85.71-21-10-3
56. South Alabama (24-7)83.20-13-20-1
146. North Texas (17-11)76.40-10-22-0
155. Middle Tenn St (16-15)75.80-20-32-2
175. New Orleans (17-13)74.60-00-11-3
176. Arkansas Lr (18-11)74.50-00-21-2
190. Ul Lafayette (14-15)73.30-10-10-4
233. Troy St (10-19)70.30-00-30-3
237. Denver (10-19)70.30-00-20-1
261. Florida Intl (8-20)69.20-10-30-4
283. Arkansas St (8-20)67.70-10-10-2


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 74.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
68. Oral Roberts (23-9)81.80-30-14-2
75. Iupui (23-7)81.40-11-02-2
94. Valparaiso (20-14)79.80-40-16-4
158. Oakland (15-14)75.60-21-01-5
220. Southern Utah (11-18)71.10-00-10-7
258. Western Ill (10-18)69.20-10-10-5
264. Mo Kansas City (9-21)68.90-10-10-6
273. Centenary (9-21)68.40-00-12-5


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 74.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
62. VA Commonwealth (24-8)82.40-00-24-2
92. George Mason (23-11)80.00-11-23-1
134. Old Dominion (18-16)77.30-40-03-4
145. NC Wilmington (20-13)76.40-00-22-4
170. Northeastern (14-17)74.90-00-11-7
178. William & Mary (15-16)74.30-10-01-5
186. Delaware (14-17)73.60-00-01-5
205. Hofstra (12-18)71.90-00-01-5
209. James Madison (13-17)71.50-00-02-3
212. Towson (13-18)71.50-00-00-5
227. Drexel (12-20)70.90-00-10-6
254. Georgia St (9-21)69.40-00-01-5


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 74.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Davidson (28-7)90.32-41-00-3
106. NC Greensboro (19-12)79.20-30-11-2
133. Geo Southern (18-12)77.30-20-02-3
149. Appalachian St (17-13)76.30-21-00-1
152. Chattanooga (16-13)76.10-30-10-3
177. Coll Of Charltn (16-17)74.50-20-11-2
191. Elon (13-18)73.10-30-00-4
196. Wofford (12-16)72.71-40-10-1
253. Westrn Carolina (9-21)69.40-20-10-2
289. Furman (7-23)67.20-30-00-1
333. The Citadel (2-24)60.40-40-00-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Gonzaga (25-8)85.90-44-23-1
50. St Marys CA (24-7)83.51-12-32-1
101. San Diego (21-14)79.50-14-51-3
192. Santa Clara (13-16)73.10-10-51-1
231. Pepperdine (10-21)70.40-10-60-1
272. San Francisco (9-21)68.40-10-60-0
288. Portland (8-22)67.40-00-60-1
329. Loyola Marymnt (5-26)62.40-00-60-1


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 73.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
89. CS Fullerton (23-9)80.30-10-20-1
108. UC Santa Barbara (22-9)79.00-21-12-0
132. CS Northridge (19-10)77.40-00-12-4
144. Pacific (20-10)76.50-00-12-1
165. UC Irvine (17-16)75.20-10-10-4
245. Cal Poly (11-18)70.00-10-20-2
290. UC Riverside (8-21)67.00-10-10-5
313. Long Beach St (6-25)64.20-00-10-4


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
85. Siena (23-11)80.61-11-20-2
111. Rider (23-11)78.70-00-11-3
130. Niagara (19-10)77.50-00-00-3
141. Marist (18-14)76.90-00-21-5
150. Loyola MD (19-14)76.20-10-02-3
183. Fairfield (14-16)73.80-10-11-2
234. Iona (12-20)70.30-20-11-2
259. Manhattan (12-19)69.20-00-01-2
299. St Peters (6-24)65.50-00-00-3
301. Canisius (6-25)65.40-10-00-2


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 72.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
136. American (21-12)77.10-20-01-1
182. Holy Cross (15-14)73.90-01-01-3
185. Colgate (18-14)73.60-10-01-1
194. Lafayette (15-15)72.90-10-10-0
198. Navy (16-14)72.60-00-00-0
219. Bucknell (12-19)71.10-00-11-2
230. Army (14-16)70.40-00-00-2
235. Lehigh (14-15)70.30-00-00-2


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 72.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
83. Stephen Austin (22-6)80.70-01-10-1
129. Sam Houston (19-8)77.60-00-02-1
156. Lamar (15-11)75.80-00-20-3
168. Texas Arlington (17-12)75.00-10-01-2
195. SE Louisiana (13-13)72.70-00-10-2
204. Northwestern St (12-17)72.10-10-11-3
225. McNeese St (10-16)70.90-10-00-2
250. Tex San Antonio (9-17)69.80-10-10-4
251. Nicholls St (9-21)69.80-10-21-4
256. Texas A&M-CC (9-20)69.30-00-21-3
263. Texas St (10-16)69.00-20-00-2
271. Ul Monroe (7-21)68.40-20-40-2
276. Central Arkansas (10-16)68.20-00-00-3


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 72.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
107. Boise St (24-9)79.10-21-00-1
115. Nevada (20-12)78.50-10-10-3
120. Utah St (23-11)78.30-00-21-1
139. New Mexico St (20-14)77.00-40-01-2
248. Fresno St (12-19)70.00-10-30-0
260. San Jose St (13-19)69.20-10-00-0
265. Hawaii (11-19)68.90-00-00-4
296. Idaho (7-21)65.90-10-20-0
327. Louisiana Tech (6-24)62.60-00-10-1


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 70.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
91. Cornell (21-6)80.20-20-01-2
131. Brown (19-10)77.40-10-10-5
228. Yale (12-15)70.80-30-10-2
240. Columbia (13-15)70.10-00-20-2
255. Pennsylvania (13-18)69.40-10-30-4
294. Dartmouth (9-18)66.20-00-00-3
295. Harvard (8-22)66.10-10-00-3
317. Princeton (5-22)64.00-10-10-2


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 70.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
117. Portland St (21-10)78.40-30-02-2
161. Northrn Arizona (19-11)75.50-11-20-0
199. Weber St (15-13)72.50-00-10-3
226. Montana (12-16)70.90-10-10-2
242. Montana St (13-15)70.10-00-20-0
278. Idaho St (10-19)68.00-20-10-2
279. Eastern Wash (9-19)67.90-20-00-3
338. Sacramento St (2-24)58.40-20-20-0


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 70.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
121. Winthrop (20-12)78.30-31-22-1
172. NC Asheville (19-10)74.90-20-10-1
214. High Point (13-14)71.40-00-00-4
249. Liberty (13-16)69.90-00-00-3
270. VMI (10-15)68.50-00-10-0
275. Coast Carolina (10-15)68.20-00-00-2
293. Radford (8-20)66.30-20-00-0
312. Charleston Sou (6-20)64.20-00-00-2


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 69.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
118. Robert Morris (26-8)78.30-00-00-2
163. Wagner (23-8)75.40-00-10-0
174. Mt St Marys (19-15)74.70-10-20-0
213. Central Conn (14-16)71.40-00-10-0
221. Liu Brooklyn (15-15)71.10-10-00-0
302. Fair Dickinson (8-20)65.30-00-10-3
308. Monmouth NJ (7-24)64.80-10-01-0
311. St Francis NY (7-22)64.70-00-00-1
324. St Francis PA (5-23)63.10-00-10-1


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 69.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
123. Umbc (23-9)78.10-20-10-0
200. Vermont (16-15)72.50-00-00-3
208. Albany NY (15-15)71.70-10-00-1
210. Hartford (18-16)71.50-10-20-1
229. Boston U (14-17)70.70-10-20-0
236. Binghamton (14-16)70.30-00-00-2
297. New Hampshire (8-20)65.90-00-00-1
320. Stony Brook (7-23)63.50-00-10-2
330. Maine (6-23)62.00-00-10-2


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 68.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
109. Belmont (24-9)79.00-20-01-1
167. East Tenn St (18-13)75.10-00-11-3
197. Jacksonville (17-13)72.70-20-00-3
206. Fla Atlantic (15-18)71.90-10-20-4
215. Gardner-Webb (15-16)71.40-10-31-1
224. Lipscomb (14-16)71.00-10-10-0
262. Stetson (15-16)69.10-00-10-4
300. Fla Gulf Coast (10-21)65.50-20-10-2
303. Mercer (10-19)65.31-00-00-1
304. SC Upstate (6-22)65.20-00-00-5
306. Campbell (9-20)64.90-00-00-0
309. Kennesaw St (9-20)64.80-00-20-1
340. North Florida (2-26)57.50-10-10-3


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 68.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
147. Austin Peay (24-11)76.40-20-10-2
218. Murray St (16-13)71.30-00-20-0
243. Tenn Martin (15-16)70.10-10-30-0
244. Tennessee St (13-17)70.00-00-21-2
266. Morehead St (13-15)68.70-10-10-1
277. Tennessee Tech (11-19)68.20-00-00-3
280. Eastern KY (12-16)67.90-10-10-1
286. Samford (12-16)67.60-10-00-1
305. SE Missouri St (10-19)65.00-10-10-2
326. Eastern Ill (6-22)62.90-00-00-0
332. Jacksonville St (5-22)61.70-00-00-1


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 67.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
164. Morgan St (21-11)75.20-00-20-2
193. Hampton (18-12)72.90-00-12-3
246. Delaware St (12-16)70.00-20-20-2
268. Coppin St (14-21)68.60-20-40-2
269. Norfolk St (16-15)68.50-00-10-0
285. NO Carolina A&T (11-16)67.60-30-10-2
287. Florida A&M (13-17)67.60-20-30-1
298. SO Carolina St (12-20)65.90-10-00-1
319. Bethune Cookman (9-20)63.70-10-00-1
331. Howard (6-26)61.80-00-10-2
339. MD Eastrn Shore (4-28)57.90-10-10-3


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 66.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
173. North Dakota St (14-13)74.80-00-01-6
203. IPFW (11-18)72.10-30-20-6
216. Utah Valley St (13-14)71.30-10-00-0
239. Chicago St (8-17)70.10-20-20-6
241. TX Pan American (13-13)70.10-10-00-3
257. Northern Colorado (11-16)69.30-00-10-0
274. Savannah St (10-17)68.30-20-20-2
292. South Dakota St (7-21)66.30-00-00-5
310. Winston-Salem (10-18)64.70-00-10-2
314. CSU Bakersfield (8-21)64.20-00-10-2
315. UC Davis (7-22)64.10-20-00-2
316. NC Central (3-23)64.00-30-20-6
323. Presbyterian (2-25)63.20-10-30-8
325. Longwood (6-22)62.90-00-20-2
341. NJIT (0-29)49.60-00-00-2


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 63.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
247. Alabama St (17-11)70.00-00-20-1
291. Miss Valley St (15-16)66.80-30-20-2
307. Jackson St (14-20)64.80-10-20-3
318. Alabama A&M (11-15)64.00-00-20-1
321. Southern (10-18)63.40-00-10-3
328. Ark Pine Bluff (11-18)62.50-10-00-1
334. Grambling (7-17)60.00-00-00-3
335. Prairie View (7-22)60.00-20-10-1
336. Texas Southern (7-25)59.60-20-00-2
337. Alcorn St (6-23)58.60-00-20-0
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