NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5701


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. North Carolina (36-3)0.67688-24-010-1
7. Duke (28-6)0.64155-41-19-0
23. Clemson (23-10)0.60031-43-34-3
35. Miami Fla (22-11)0.58872-42-05-3
54. Virginia Tech (21-14)0.56920-52-34-1
67. Florida St (19-15)0.55631-63-02-4
70. Georgia Tech (15-17)0.55301-71-32-4
75. Maryland (19-15)0.54991-40-13-6
101. Wake Forest (17-13)0.53361-32-03-8
103. North Carolina St (15-16)0.53191-72-12-3
125. Virginia (17-16)0.52030-51-12-8
128. Boston College (14-17)0.51990-61-23-5


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5673


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Kansas (36-3)0.67145-18-18-1
6. Texas (30-7)0.65344-49-17-1
32. Oklahoma (23-12)0.59131-65-36-2
38. Texas A&M (24-11)0.58451-45-43-3
47. Kansas St (20-12)0.57491-43-33-4
49. Baylor (20-11)0.57250-43-54-1
73. Texas Tech (15-15)0.55071-43-52-5
83. Oklahoma St (16-16)0.54591-52-53-3
93. Nebraska (20-13)0.54290-43-54-1
116. Missouri (16-16)0.52631-32-62-5
162. Colorado (11-20)0.50190-52-51-5
177. Iowa St (13-18)0.49160-41-62-3


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5642


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. UCLA (34-4)0.65728-26-19-0
14. Stanford (28-8)0.61804-44-17-3
18. Washington St (26-9)0.60800-65-28-1
37. USC (21-12)0.58522-72-28-2
45. Arizona (18-15)0.57873-82-15-4
61. Oregon (18-14)0.55851-63-44-2
84. Arizona St (21-13)0.54532-53-23-4
94. California (17-16)0.54191-61-54-4
137. Washington (16-17)0.51631-61-45-7
271. Oregon St (6-24)0.43290-60-50-6


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5619


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Tennessee (30-5)0.67345-36-17-1
15. Vanderbilt (26-8)0.61541-13-39-3
28. Arkansas (23-12)0.59373-24-33-3
41. Mississippi St (23-11)0.58310-42-44-3
44. Mississippi (24-11)0.57932-13-36-2
57. Florida (24-12)0.56181-31-56-2
58. Kentucky (18-13)0.56112-52-33-4
99. Georgia (16-17)0.53520-64-32-4
110. Alabama (17-16)0.52731-32-61-4
142. South Carolina (14-18)0.51470-62-31-6
154. Auburn (14-16)0.50440-52-40-3
173. LSU (12-18)0.49330-21-72-3


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5606


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Georgetown (28-6)0.63915-53-03-1
10. Louisville (27-9)0.63147-43-34-0
17. Pittsburgh (26-10)0.61296-51-33-0
20. Marquette (24-10)0.60232-83-13-1
22. Connecticut (24-9)0.60094-32-32-1
24. West Virginia (25-11)0.59884-71-32-0
27. Notre Dame (25-8)0.59554-62-12-1
42. Villanova (22-13)0.58054-60-15-2
52. Syracuse (21-14)0.56972-51-64-1
112. Providence (15-16)0.52702-71-32-2
113. Seton Hall (17-15)0.52701-70-30-1
122. Cincinnati (13-19)0.52103-81-32-2
156. St Johns (11-19)0.50350-90-30-3
157. DePaul (11-19)0.50340-91-50-1
182. South Florida (12-19)0.49000-61-22-3
211. Rutgers (11-20)0.46731-71-10-3


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5469


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Wisconsin (31-5)0.62873-34-23-0
13. Michigan St (27-9)0.62082-45-32-0
26. Indiana (25-8)0.59621-54-13-0
34. Ohio St (24-13)0.58901-64-45-0
43. Purdue (25-9)0.57964-32-20-0
102. Illinois (16-19)0.53330-61-72-2
104. Minnesota (20-14)0.52990-52-40-2
155. Penn St (15-16)0.50371-31-41-1
169. Michigan (10-22)0.49450-81-50-0
188. Iowa (13-19)0.47781-41-50-2
221. Northwestern (7-22)0.46230-50-60-0


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5379


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Xavier (30-7)0.63562-28-05-5
29. Dayton (23-11)0.59372-31-28-2
33. Massachusetts (25-11)0.58960-21-19-5
51. St Josephs (21-13)0.57172-13-43-4
53. Temple (21-13)0.56971-31-26-4
74. Charlotte (20-14)0.55022-11-25-6
78. Rhode Island (21-12)0.54930-12-41-4
131. Richmond (16-15)0.51950-21-14-5
132. Duquesne (17-13)0.51900-41-11-3
135. St Louis (15-15)0.51750-31-44-3
164. La Salle (14-17)0.49940-11-31-6
171. Fordham (11-17)0.49380-21-12-6
185. Geo Washington (9-17)0.48190-31-11-6
264. St Bonaventure (8-22)0.43940-10-20-7


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5360


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Drake (26-5)0.62211-06-22-2
40. Illinois St (24-10)0.58320-42-25-1
48. Creighton (21-11)0.57430-40-27-3
60. Southern Ill (18-15)0.55911-24-54-2
96. Bradley (21-17)0.54051-42-33-5
121. Missouri St (16-16)0.52211-10-72-3
129. Northern Iowa (17-14)0.51990-22-43-3
130. Indiana St (14-16)0.51970-42-32-3
198. Wichita St (11-20)0.47300-21-52-3
252. Evansville (8-21)0.44590-31-31-5


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5215


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
21. UNLV (26-8)0.60151-22-27-3
30. BYU (27-8)0.59332-40-16-2
62. New Mexico (24-9)0.55811-10-35-3
85. San Diego St (19-13)0.54530-21-44-4
98. Utah (17-15)0.53851-20-34-5
178. Air Force (14-14)0.49111-20-21-6
202. TCU (13-16)0.47110-40-33-4
226. Wyoming (10-18)0.46010-20-22-5
267. Colorado St (6-24)0.43480-30-31-7


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5186


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Memphis (38-2)0.67395-27-07-0
50. Uab (23-11)0.57220-20-04-4
64. Houston (24-10)0.55690-20-34-2
71. Tulsa (25-14)0.55270-31-26-3
105. SO Mississippi (15-14)0.52950-31-30-3
107. Texas El Paso (19-14)0.52810-20-33-6
139. Marshall (14-14)0.51500-31-12-3
139. Marshall (14-14)0.51500-31-12-3
160. Tulane (16-15)0.50250-20-32-2
161. Central Florida (16-15)0.50230-20-42-5
254. East Carolina (9-18)0.44510-20-12-2
265. SMU (8-20)0.43720-20-20-5
302. Rice (3-27)0.41090-30-30-3


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.5086


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Butler (30-4)0.61420-22-010-2
65. Cleveland St (19-13)0.55661-30-25-2
86. Wright St (21-10)0.54531-10-14-5
136. Illinois Chi (17-15)0.51690-30-13-6
148. Wisc Green Bay (15-15)0.50990-40-23-4
180. Wisc Milwaukee (13-16)0.49060-50-03-5
222. Loyola Chi (10-19)0.46140-20-13-4
228. Youngstown St (7-21)0.45920-40-10-7
287. Detroit (6-23)0.42371-20-10-7


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4959


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. Western KY (27-7)0.59321-20-32-1
39. South Alabama (24-7)0.58330-23-11-1
109. Middle Tenn St (16-15)0.52770-22-41-3
141. North Texas (17-11)0.51480-11-21-0
166. New Orleans (17-13)0.49800-00-40-0
167. Arkansas Lr (18-11)0.49540-00-41-0
179. Ul Lafayette (14-15)0.49080-10-30-2
242. Troy St (10-19)0.45420-00-50-0
263. Florida Intl (8-20)0.43950-00-60-2
268. Denver (10-19)0.43420-00-30-0
289. Arkansas St (8-20)0.42340-10-20-1


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4938


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. Kent (28-7)0.59740-32-09-1
69. Akron (24-11)0.55340-30-27-2
80. Miami Ohio (17-16)0.54821-52-22-6
81. Ohio (20-13)0.54721-20-14-6
118. Western Mich (20-12)0.52431-10-03-6
184. Central Mich (13-16)0.48580-10-02-4
186. Toledo (11-19)0.47931-30-21-4
205. Bowling Green (13-17)0.47011-10-13-5
238. Eastern Mich (14-17)0.45580-11-11-4
269. Buffalo (9-20)0.43300-40-00-7
296. Northern Ill (6-22)0.41660-10-21-4
297. Ball St (6-24)0.41490-30-20-6


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4922


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
56. VA Commonwealth (24-8)0.56310-00-34-1
59. George Mason (23-11)0.55960-12-22-1
124. Old Dominion (18-16)0.52040-40-13-2
127. NC Wilmington (20-13)0.52000-00-22-3
159. William & Mary (15-16)0.50310-10-01-4
172. Northeastern (14-17)0.49360-10-01-6
181. Delaware (14-17)0.49010-00-01-5
215. James Madison (13-17)0.46420-00-02-3
234. Towson (13-18)0.45750-00-00-5
240. Drexel (12-20)0.45480-00-10-5
244. Hofstra (12-18)0.45400-00-01-5
283. Georgia St (9-21)0.42620-00-11-4


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4884


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
79. CS Fullerton (23-9)0.54890-10-21-3
90. UC Santa Barbara (22-9)0.54321-20-12-1
115. CS Northridge (19-10)0.52650-00-13-3
143. Pacific (20-10)0.51450-00-03-3
158. UC Irvine (17-16)0.50340-00-24-7
218. Cal Poly (11-18)0.46340-00-21-6
291. UC Riverside (8-21)0.41990-00-20-7
324. Long Beach St (6-25)0.38770-00-10-5


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4873


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
36. Gonzaga (25-8)0.58631-42-26-2
46. St Marys CA (24-7)0.57801-21-25-3
95. San Diego (21-14)0.54131-13-61-5
187. Santa Clara (13-16)0.47850-10-51-4
209. Pepperdine (10-21)0.46890-10-50-5
274. San Francisco (9-21)0.43150-00-60-5
299. Portland (8-22)0.41170-00-50-5
310. Loyola Marymnt (5-26)0.40250-00-61-6


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4869


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
92. American (21-12)0.54310-20-11-1
149. Holy Cross (15-14)0.50830-00-13-4
170. Colgate (18-14)0.49440-00-11-4
174. Lafayette (15-15)0.49310-10-11-2
201. Bucknell (12-19)0.47140-00-12-2
212. Army (14-16)0.46600-00-00-4
214. Navy (16-14)0.46520-00-02-1
243. Lehigh (14-15)0.45410-00-00-4


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4868


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
55. Oral Roberts (23-9)0.56720-20-34-2
72. Iupui (23-7)0.55250-11-01-3
97. Valparaiso (20-14)0.53940-50-05-4
168. Oakland (15-14)0.49530-20-02-4
241. Southern Utah (11-18)0.45440-00-10-9
266. Western Ill (10-18)0.43560-10-10-4
282. Centenary (9-21)0.42620-00-12-5
288. Mo Kansas City (9-21)0.42360-10-10-5


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4831


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
63. Siena (23-11)0.55772-10-11-3
111. Rider (23-11)0.52720-00-11-2
114. Marist (18-14)0.52650-00-21-5
117. Niagara (19-10)0.52630-00-00-2
140. Loyola MD (19-14)0.51490-10-13-1
175. Fairfield (14-16)0.49200-10-02-2
224. Iona (12-20)0.46060-30-00-2
270. Manhattan (12-19)0.43300-00-01-2
316. St Peters (6-24)0.39810-00-00-3
318. Canisius (6-25)0.39520-10-00-2


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4808


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
19. Davidson (28-7)0.60542-41-00-1
119. NC Greensboro (19-12)0.52310-40-01-1
123. Geo Southern (18-12)0.52070-21-01-4
144. Chattanooga (16-13)0.51380-30-20-2
152. Appalachian St (17-13)0.50630-21-00-1
191. Wofford (12-16)0.47710-41-10-0
194. Coll Of Charltn (16-17)0.47570-20-11-2
208. Elon (13-18)0.46920-30-00-3
293. Westrn Carolina (9-21)0.41810-20-10-1
303. Furman (7-23)0.40990-30-00-1
334. The Citadel (2-24)0.36930-30-10-0


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4765


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
77. Utah St (23-11)0.54950-10-16-3
89. Nevada (20-12)0.54460-20-02-6
91. Boise St (24-9)0.54310-21-04-3
133. New Mexico St (20-14)0.51850-40-05-6
239. San Jose St (13-19)0.45520-10-03-6
247. Fresno St (12-19)0.45150-20-20-9
275. Hawaii (11-19)0.43130-00-01-11
300. Idaho (7-21)0.41170-10-10-7
330. Louisiana Tech (6-24)0.38340-00-10-7


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4765


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
66. Stephen Austin (22-6)0.55650-01-12-2
100. Sam Houston (19-8)0.53470-00-02-2
146. Texas Arlington (17-12)0.51320-10-02-4
153. Lamar (15-11)0.50580-00-21-3
195. Northwestern St (12-17)0.47560-10-12-4
197. SE Louisiana (13-13)0.47410-00-11-1
225. Tex San Antonio (9-17)0.46020-10-10-7
227. McNeese St (10-16)0.45920-00-10-3
248. Nicholls St (9-21)0.44980-20-11-3
249. Texas St (10-16)0.44900-10-11-3
250. Ul Monroe (7-21)0.44700-20-50-1
262. Texas A&M-CC (9-20)0.44000-10-12-4
280. Central Arkansas (10-16)0.42910-00-00-4


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4599


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
88. Portland St (21-10)0.54470-30-02-1
138. Northrn Arizona (19-11)0.51600-21-10-4
196. Weber St (15-13)0.47550-00-12-3
235. Montana (12-16)0.45740-10-10-4
236. Montana St (13-15)0.45670-10-01-5
259. Idaho St (10-19)0.44170-20-10-5
286. Eastern Wash (9-19)0.42510-20-01-4
335. Sacramento St (2-24)0.36170-20-10-3


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4594


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
120. Wagner (23-8)0.52300-00-10-0
126. Robert Morris (26-8)0.52020-00-00-1
150. Mt St Marys (19-15)0.50740-10-10-2
199. Liu Brooklyn (15-15)0.47220-00-10-0
206. Central Conn (14-16)0.47000-00-11-0
284. Fair Dickinson (8-20)0.42580-00-00-4
295. Monmouth NJ (7-24)0.41690-00-11-0
313. St Francis NY (7-22)0.40030-00-00-1
314. St Francis PA (5-23)0.39850-00-00-2


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4591


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
68. Cornell (21-6)0.55430-20-01-2
106. Brown (19-10)0.52820-00-21-4
183. Yale (12-15)0.48780-30-10-2
220. Columbia (13-15)0.46290-00-20-3
260. Pennsylvania (13-18)0.44080-10-20-4
298. Dartmouth (9-18)0.41210-00-00-3
307. Harvard (8-22)0.40610-10-00-3
331. Princeton (5-22)0.38040-10-00-3


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4524


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
87. Umbc (23-9)0.54490-20-11-0
176. Hartford (18-16)0.49190-10-21-2
190. Vermont (16-15)0.47720-00-00-5
204. Albany NY (15-15)0.47030-10-00-4
237. Boston U (14-17)0.45660-10-10-3
245. Binghamton (14-16)0.45170-00-01-3
305. New Hampshire (8-20)0.40710-00-00-3
325. Stony Brook (7-23)0.38690-00-10-6
327. Maine (6-23)0.38520-10-01-2


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4490


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
108. Winthrop (20-12)0.52770-31-22-0
145. NC Asheville (19-10)0.51340-20-10-1
233. High Point (13-14)0.45780-00-10-3
258. Liberty (13-16)0.44190-00-00-4
273. VMI (10-15)0.43220-00-10-0
277. Coast Carolina (10-15)0.42980-00-00-2
308. Radford (8-20)0.40330-20-00-0
326. Charleston Sou (6-20)0.38580-00-00-2


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.4429


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
76. Belmont (24-9)0.54970-20-00-3
147. East Tenn St (18-13)0.51240-00-21-5
163. Jacksonville (17-13)0.50040-20-20-4
203. Gardner-Webb (15-16)0.47100-30-11-3
223. Lipscomb (14-16)0.46100-10-10-2
230. Fla Atlantic (15-18)0.45880-10-40-2
256. Stetson (15-16)0.44380-00-20-4
290. Fla Gulf Coast (10-21)0.42140-20-00-5
306. SC Upstate (6-22)0.40670-00-00-5
312. Campbell (9-20)0.40050-00-01-2
315. Mercer (10-19)0.39850-01-00-1
323. Kennesaw St (9-20)0.38840-10-11-0
340. North Florida (2-26)0.34540-00-20-4


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4418


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
82. Austin Peay (24-11)0.54650-30-02-3
189. Murray St (16-13)0.47770-00-21-2
210. Tenn Martin (15-16)0.46830-30-10-3
219. Tennessee St (13-17)0.46330-10-11-5
229. Morehead St (13-15)0.45920-10-10-3
255. Eastern KY (12-16)0.44510-10-20-3
261. Samford (12-16)0.44030-10-01-3
281. Tennessee Tech (11-19)0.42910-00-00-5
292. SE Missouri St (10-19)0.41910-10-11-3
336. Eastern Ill (6-22)0.36050-00-00-2
339. Jacksonville St (5-22)0.35110-00-00-3


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4408


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
134. Morgan St (21-11)0.51770-10-11-3
151. Hampton (18-12)0.50630-10-02-3
207. Delaware St (12-16)0.46930-10-20-3
231. Coppin St (14-21)0.45820-30-30-1
232. NO Carolina A&T (11-16)0.45810-30-10-1
251. Florida A&M (13-17)0.44660-20-30-1
257. Norfolk St (16-15)0.44250-00-00-1
285. SO Carolina St (12-20)0.42560-10-00-0
319. Bethune Cookman (9-20)0.39260-00-10-0
332. Howard (6-26)0.37980-00-10-1
338. MD Eastrn Shore (4-28)0.35160-10-00-4


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4183


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
193. North Dakota St (14-13)0.47620-00-01-5
213. Chicago St (8-17)0.46540-20-20-5
217. IPFW (11-18)0.46350-40-00-7
246. Utah Valley St (13-14)0.45160-10-00-5
253. Savannah St (10-17)0.44560-20-20-2
276. TX Pan American (13-13)0.43060-10-00-1
278. Northern Colorado (11-16)0.42960-00-11-2
279. NC Central (3-23)0.42940-30-20-3
304. UC Davis (7-22)0.40790-20-01-4
311. Winston-Salem (10-18)0.40080-00-10-0
317. CSU Bakersfield (8-21)0.39610-00-11-4
322. Longwood (6-22)0.38930-10-10-1
328. South Dakota St (7-21)0.38450-00-00-4
333. Presbyterian (2-25)0.37970-10-30-6
341. NJIT (0-29)0.32370-00-00-2


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4125


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
200. Alabama St (17-11)0.47180-00-20-1
216. Miss Valley St (15-16)0.46400-30-30-1
272. Jackson St (14-20)0.43270-10-20-3
294. Alabama A&M (11-15)0.41750-00-20-1
301. Southern (10-18)0.41150-00-10-2
309. Ark Pine Bluff (11-18)0.40290-00-10-1
320. Texas Southern (7-25)0.39050-10-10-3
321. Prairie View (7-22)0.38980-20-10-2
329. Grambling (7-17)0.38430-00-10-2
337. Alcorn St (6-23)0.35980-00-10-1
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