NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
Wall St. Journal Competition Results
Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains
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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

LONG BEACH ST
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 6-25
Power Rating: 64.2
Ranking: 313

0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-4v #51-100
0-11v #101-200
6-9v #201-341

Home Rankings (5-8): 65.0 (298)
0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-1v #51-100
0-4v #101-200
5-2v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 1-666.2
Non-League Power Rankings: 4-266.9
Last Ten Rankings: 1-368.4

Away Rankings (1-15): 63.7 (316)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-3v #51-100
0-6v #101-200
1-6v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 0-765.7
Non-League Power Rankings: 1-867.5
Last Ten Rankings: 0-564.2

Neutral Rankings (0-2): 58.8 (311)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
0-1v #101-200
0-1v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 0-161.2
Non-League Power Rankings: 0-167.1
Last Ten Rankings: 0-161.2

League Power Rankings (1-14): 62.0 (323)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-2v #51-100
0-9v #101-200
1-3v #201-341
Home Rankings: 1-666.2
Away Rankings: 0-765.7
Neutral Rankings: 0-161.2
Last Ten Rankings: 1-767.5

Non-League Power Rankings (5-11): 66.0 (292)
0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-2v #51-100
0-2v #101-200
5-6v #201-341
Home Rankings: 4-266.9
Away Rankings: 1-867.5
Neutral Rankings: 0-167.1
Last Ten Rankings: 0-260.9

Wins Power Rankings: 61.6 (318)
0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-4v #51-100
0-11v #101-200
6-9v #201-341
Home Rankings: 5-862.6
Away Rankings: 1-1560.8
Neutral Rankings: 0-252.0
Last Ten Rankings: 1-959.1

Predictive / Points Rankings: 67.4 (303)
0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-4v #51-100
0-11v #101-200
6-9v #201-341
Home Rankings: 5-868.1
Away Rankings: 1-1567.1
Neutral Rankings: 0-265.0
League Power Rankings: 1-1466.3
Non-League Power Rankings: 5-1168.5
Last Ten Rankings: 1-967.1

Last Ten Rankings (1-9): 62.8 (314)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-1v #51-100
0-6v #101-200
1-2v #201-341
Home Rankings: 1-368.4
Away Rankings: 0-564.2
Neutral Rankings: 0-161.2
League Power Rankings: 1-767.5
Non-League Power Rankings: 0-260.9

Home Advantage: 5.5 (117)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0 (249)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1 (240)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1 (223)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.3 (209)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.4 (210)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7 (216)

Upward Stability: 2.7 (240)

Downward Stability: 2.0 (315)

RPI
RPI: 0.3 (324)
0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-5v #51-100
0-10v #101-200
6-9v #201-341

RPI Home (5-8): 0.3 (295)
0-1v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-1v #51-100
0-4v #101-200
5-2v #201-341

RPI Away (1-15): 0.3 (322)
0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-5v #51-100
0-3v #101-200
1-6v #201-341

RPI Neutral (0-2): 0.3 (278)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
0-1v #101-200
0-1v #201-341

RPI League (1-14): 0.3 (311)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-7v #51-100
0-4v #101-200
1-3v #201-341

RPI Non-League (5-11): 0.3 (323)
0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-1v #51-100
0-5v #101-200
5-4v #201-341

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4 (260)

GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/10/2007	Home	L 34-74	vs. #34 BYU
11/13/2007	Away	L 56-74	vs. #242 Montana St
11/17/2007	Home	W 66-61	vs. #278 Idaho St
11/21/2007	Away	L 81-92	vs. #231 Pepperdine
11/26/2007	Away	L 69-84	vs. #81 Washington
12/1/2007	Away	L 48-52	vs. #113 St Louis
12/5/2007	Home	W 77-52	vs. #329 Loyola Marymnt
12/9/2007	Away	L 57-61	vs. #265 Hawaii
12/18/2007	Home	W 71-68	vs. #272 San Francisco
12/28/2007	Away	L 65-102	vs. #69 California
12/29/2007	Neut	L 57-61	vs. #219 Bucknell
1/3/2008	Away	L 64-79	vs. #108 UC Santa Barbara
1/5/2008	Away	L 52-64	vs. #245 Cal Poly
1/10/2008	Home	L 77-83	vs. #144 Pacific
1/12/2008	Home	W 71-53	vs. #315 UC Davis
1/19/2008	Away	L 66-70	vs. #290 UC Riverside
1/23/2008	Home	L 77-80	vs. #314 CSU Bakersfield
1/26/2008	Away	L 61-100	vs. #132 CS Northridge
1/31/2008	Home	L 75-91	vs. #89 CS Fullerton
2/2/2008	Home	L 48-70	vs. #165 UC Irvine
2/7/2008	Away	W 63-52	vs. #315 UC Davis
2/9/2008	Away	L 55-70	vs. #144 Pacific
2/13/2008	Home	W 56-46	vs. #290 UC Riverside
2/16/2008	Away	L 71-77	vs. #314 CSU Bakersfield
2/20/2008	Home	L 78-82	vs. #132 CS Northridge
2/23/2008	Away	L 48-80	vs. #139 New Mexico St
2/28/2008	Away	L 57-64	vs. #165 UC Irvine
3/1/2008	Away	L 51-85	vs. #89 CS Fullerton
3/6/2008	Home	L 62-68	vs. #245 Cal Poly
3/8/2008	Home	L 68-70	vs. #108 UC Santa Barbara
3/12/2008	Neut	L 63-77	vs. #165 UC Irvine

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

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