NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

A number of BracketBrains users have asked how to use SmartStats and BracketBrains’ “main” predictions together, and where they each provide value. Both are quite useful in deciding how to fill out your NCAA Tournament bracket, but the numbers we give come from very different places. Let me explain.
BracketBrains is completely empirical. […]

Florida won’t win by 26 again…

This Final Four features four evenly-matched teams…

In the four Crazy Eight matchups, I like North Carolina, Florida, and…

The first two rounds saw very few upsets. The prognosis for Thursday and Friday’s Sweet 16 games…

Rather than make pick game by game, I’m going to go through each game in the second round (except Xaiver-Ohio State, which has already started) and order them by likelihood of an upset.

Seven analytically sound tips for increasing your odds to win your 2007 March Madness office pool.

Less than one point separates the #1 and #5 ranked teams in the TeamRankings.com overall power ratings. So who’s the best?

All of Winthrop’s losses are to top twenty teams, so let’s give them their due. Also, another reason why power ratings rule and the RPI sucks.