NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team

By conference
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:41:05 EDT 2000

Home Advantage = 4.0236

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Wisconsin (22-14)0.4138
2. Iowa (14-16)0.4065
3. Michigan St (32-7)0.3839
4. Minnesota (12-16)0.3649
5. Penn St (15-15)0.3627
6. Indiana (20-9)0.3620
7. Kentucky (22-10)0.3609
8. North Carolina (22-14)0.3592
9. Purdue (23-10)0.3487
10. Illinois (22-10)0.3342

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Texas (24-9)0.3322
12. Michigan (15-13)0.3253
13. Kansas (23-10)0.3245
14. Northwestern (5-25)0.3235
15. UCLA (21-12)0.3229
16. Florida (29-8)0.3219
17. Georgia (10-20)0.3171
18. South Carolina (15-17)0.3111
19. Missouri (18-13)0.3096
20. Connecticut (25-10)0.3078

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. NC Charlotte (17-15)0.3063
22. Ohio St (23-7)0.3062
23. USC (15-14)0.3062
24. Kansas St (9-19)0.3049
25. Oklahoma St (26-7)0.3035
26. Florida St (12-17)0.3020
27. Wake Forest (17-14)0.3014
28. Washington (9-20)0.3008
29. Oregon St (11-16)0.2966
30. Auburn (23-10)0.2963

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. St Louis (18-14)0.2962
32. Arizona (27-7)0.2954
33. St Johns (25-8)0.2935
34. Washington St (5-22)0.2927
35. Arkansas (19-15)0.2926
36. DePaul (20-12)0.2891
37. Arizona St (17-12)0.2883
38. Texas Tech (11-15)0.2853
39. Tennessee (24-7)0.2840
40. Iowa St (29-5)0.2833

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Notre Dame (18-14)0.2820
42. Texas A&M (7-20)0.2818
43. Maryland (25-10)0.2809
44. Duke (29-5)0.2800
45. Cincinnati (29-4)0.2787
46. Oklahoma (27-7)0.2785
47. Seton Hall (22-10)0.2781
48. Louisville (18-12)0.2775
49. California (16-14)0.2763
50. Oregon (21-8)0.2750

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Mississippi (16-13)0.2745
52. Alabama (12-16)0.2736
53. Nebraska (11-19)0.2736
54. Syracuse (26-6)0.2699
55. Colorado (17-13)0.2681
56. Boston College (11-19)0.2678
57. Baylor (13-15)0.2672
58. Vanderbilt (19-10)0.2651
59. Georgia Tech (13-17)0.2636
60. Miami Fla (23-11)0.2628

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Mississippi St (13-17)0.2621
62. LSU (28-6)0.2618
63. NO Carolina St (17-12)0.2618
64. Clemson (10-20)0.2615
65. West Virginia (14-14)0.2599
66. Georgetown (17-14)0.2586
67. Marquette (15-13)0.2577
68. Stanford (26-4)0.2568
69. Virginia (19-11)0.2553
70. Temple (27-6)0.2470

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Gonzaga (26-9)0.2461
72. Villanova (19-12)0.2452
73. Providence (10-19)0.2416
74. Rhode Island (5-25)0.2410
75. Houston (8-22)0.2402
76. Miami Ohio (15-15)0.2368
77. Uab (14-14)0.2357
78. St Josephs PA (13-16)0.2319
79. Massachusetts (16-15)0.2316
80. Pepperdine (25-9)0.2316

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. St Bonaventure (21-10)0.2280
82. Pittsburgh (13-15)0.2274
83. Toledo (18-13)0.2255
84. Ball St (21-9)0.2245
85. SO Mississippi (17-12)0.2213
86. Ohio (20-13)0.2207
87. Buffalo (5-23)0.2204
88. San Diego St (4-22)0.2202
89. Memphis (14-16)0.2190
90. Loyola Marymnt (0-25)0.2185

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Fresno St (24-10)0.2184
92. Santa Clara (19-12)0.2182
93. Eastern Mich (13-13)0.2164
94. South Florida (17-13)0.2150
95. St Marys CA (7-20)0.2141
96. San Jose St (11-15)0.2133
97. Utah (21-9)0.2131
98. San Diego (18-10)0.2124
99. Western Mich (10-19)0.2115
100. Rice (3-22)0.2103

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Rutgers (15-15)0.2098
102. Akron (16-11)0.2083
103. Geo Washington (15-15)0.2031
104. Central Mich (5-23)0.2026
105. Northern Ill (11-15)0.2024
106. Tulsa (32-5)0.2017
107. TCU (17-14)0.2006
108. Fordham (14-15)0.2004
109. Portland (7-18)0.2001
110. Southern Ill (19-12)0.1986

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Tulane (20-10)0.1972
112. LA Salle (11-17)0.1965
113. Kent (19-7)0.1962
114. Texas El Paso (13-15)0.1962
115. Bradley (14-16)0.1960
116. Hawaii (17-12)0.1956
117. Duquesne (9-20)0.1955
118. BYU (19-10)0.1946
119. Indiana St (22-10)0.1944
120. Colorado St (17-12)0.1928

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. New Mexico (15-13)0.1909
122. Xavier (20-11)0.1896
123. Unlv (23-8)0.1892
124. SMU (20-8)0.1883
125. Wyoming (18-12)0.1882
126. Virginia Tech (16-15)0.1878
127. Dayton (22-9)0.1878
128. Illinois St (9-20)0.1867
129. Northrn Arizona (16-11)0.1861
130. Drake (10-18)0.1859

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. SW Missouri St (22-10)0.1855
132. Bowling Green (21-7)0.1846
133. Centenary (7-16)0.1836
134. Creighton (22-10)0.1831
135. North Texas (7-20)0.1819
136. Air Force (7-20)0.1806
137. Wichita St (11-17)0.1796
138. Wisc Milwaukee (14-14)0.1792
139. Northern Iowa (14-15)0.1787
140. San Francisco (18-9)0.1767

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Nevada (8-20)0.1758
142. Eastern Wash (12-9)0.1734
143. Montana St (7-14)0.1703
144. Idaho St (6-18)0.1688
145. CS Northridge (18-10)0.1686
146. Idaho (10-17)0.1679
147. Tenn Martin (8-19)0.1648
148. TX Pan American (8-14)0.1627
149. Boise St (11-15)0.1614
150. New Mexico St (21-9)0.1610

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Utah St (24-6)0.1598
152. Arkansas St (10-17)0.1598
153. Evansville (17-12)0.1578
154. Marshall (19-8)0.1576
155. NC Asheville (9-19)0.1553
156. Cleveland St (15-14)0.1546
157. Wisc Green Bay (14-16)0.1544
158. Montana (14-11)0.1522
159. Pennsylvania (21-8)0.1520
160. Sacramento St (8-16)0.1503

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. NC Wilmington (18-13)0.1500
162. Portland St (12-13)0.1472
163. Davidson (12-13)0.1472
164. Oakland (12-17)0.1468
165. Butler (23-9)0.1450
166. Stony Brook (5-21)0.1446
167. Pacific (10-18)0.1440
168. UC Irvine (13-14)0.1416
169. Miss Valley St (6-19)0.1411
170. Detroit (18-12)0.1389

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. William & Mary (9-17)0.1351
172. Cal Poly (7-18)0.1335
173. Wofford (12-15)0.1333
174. Loyola Chi (14-14)0.1333
175. Illinois Chi (10-20)0.1331
176. Fairfield (14-15)0.1327
177. Weber St (15-8)0.1316
178. Wright St (11-17)0.1315
179. Arkansas Lr (4-24)0.1314
180. Eastern KY (4-22)0.1312

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Belmont (4-20)0.1303
182. Santa Barbara (12-14)0.1295
183. Western Ill (6-22)0.1286
184. Lamar (15-15)0.1270
185. Princeton (18-10)0.1267
186. Howard (1-27)0.1261
187. VMI (2-23)0.1259
188. CS Fullerton (8-18)0.1256
189. Middle Tenn St (13-13)0.1241
190. Appalachian St (20-9)0.1218

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Fla Atlantic (1-27)0.1212
192. Western KY (11-17)0.1206
193. High Point (7-17)0.1194
194. Tennessee St (7-22)0.1190
195. Elon (10-13)0.1188
196. Nicholls St (9-17)0.1180
197. Eastern Ill (15-12)0.1177
198. Tex San Antonio (11-12)0.1166
199. New Orleans (11-18)0.1148
200. Coast Carolina (9-18)0.1145

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Richmond (18-12)0.1139
202. Hofstra (24-7)0.1135
203. Murray St (22-9)0.1131
204. Iupui (7-21)0.1119
205. Denver (6-22)0.1096
206. SE Louisiana (8-17)0.1092
207. Youngstown St (11-15)0.1086
208. Old Dominion (11-19)0.1081
209. Louisiana Tech (21-8)0.1078
210. Morehead St (5-18)0.1078

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Coppin St (15-15)0.1075
212. Sam Houston (19-7)0.1074
213. SE Missouri St (22-6)0.1071
214. Tennessee Tech (14-12)0.1065
215. New Hampshire (3-25)0.1056
216. Winthrop (17-9)0.1054
217. Bethune Cookman (13-13)0.1053
218. George Mason (19-11)0.1050
219. American (10-18)0.1041
220. South Alabama (20-10)0.1039

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Long Beach St (22-5)0.1032
222. East Carolina (8-18)0.1030
223. VA Commonwealth (14-14)0.1022
224. Valparaiso (16-13)0.1020
225. Chicago St (9-18)0.1020
226. Ul Lafayette (24-8)0.1011
227. Mt St Marys (9-18)0.0997
228. Samford (19-11)0.0996
229. Westrn Carolina (11-14)0.0982
230. Ark Pine Bluff (4-19)0.0981

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Hartford (10-19)0.0971
232. Austin Peay (15-10)0.0969
233. Iona (20-11)0.0956
234. Niagara (17-12)0.0952
235. Geo Southern (14-12)0.0949
236. Army (3-23)0.0946
237. Lehigh (6-21)0.0941
238. McNeese St (6-21)0.0938
239. Canisius (10-20)0.0928
240. Chattanooga (9-18)0.0928

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Albany NY (7-16)0.0925
242. St Peters (5-23)0.0925
243. Lafayette (22-7)0.0925
244. Mo Kansas City (14-13)0.0923
245. Florida Intl (15-14)0.0921
246. Alcorn St (17-10)0.0921
247. East Tenn St (12-15)0.0907
248. Boston U (6-21)0.0894
249. Drexel (13-17)0.0885
250. Vermont (16-12)0.0873

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Columbia (12-14)0.0869
252. NC Greensboro (14-13)0.0867
253. Morgan St (5-24)0.0861
254. Furman (10-18)0.0857
255. Umbc (10-18)0.0851
256. Sacred Heart (3-25)0.0848
257. Mercer (10-21)0.0846
258. James Madison (20-9)0.0839
259. Southern Utah (14-12)0.0836
260. Oral Roberts (12-16)0.0827

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. SO Carolina St (19-14)0.0826
262. Jackson St (16-15)0.0822
263. Ul Monroe (17-9)0.0821
264. Texas Arlington (13-12)0.0816
265. Grambling (0-27)0.0813
266. MD Eastrn Shore (11-17)0.0791
267. Radford (17-10)0.0781
268. The Citadel (6-19)0.0778
269. Central Florida (12-18)0.0774
270. Colgate (11-16)0.0772

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Georgia St (16-12)0.0771
272. Dartmouth (7-18)0.0767
273. Florida A&M (9-21)0.0765
274. Delaware (24-7)0.0754
275. Cornell (9-17)0.0754
276. Loyola MD (7-21)0.0733
277. Holy Cross (10-18)0.0727
278. Bucknell (16-11)0.0727
279. Monmouth NJ (12-16)0.0724
280. Siena (23-8)0.0717

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Quinnipiac (17-10)0.0715
282. Prairie View (6-19)0.0711
283. St Francis NY (16-13)0.0711
284. Yale (7-20)0.0702
285. Towson (11-17)0.0700
286. Northwestern St (15-12)0.0700
287. Northeastern (7-20)0.0700
288. SW Texas St (10-16)0.0693
289. Liu Brooklyn (7-18)0.0692
290. Rider (16-14)0.0690

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Charleston Sou (6-19)0.0685
292. Liberty (10-14)0.0675
293. Brown (8-19)0.0674
294. Coll Of Charltn (20-6)0.0672
295. Wagner (10-16)0.0669
296. Campbell (12-14)0.0663
297. Manhattan (12-15)0.0658
298. Marist (14-14)0.0657
299. Fair Dickinson (16-11)0.0652
300. Stetson (12-15)0.0652

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Stephen Austin (4-19)0.0617
302. Robert Morris (17-12)0.0612
303. Maine (23-7)0.0609
304. Central Conn (25-6)0.0591
305. St Francis PA (8-18)0.0587
306. NO Carolina A&T (14-13)0.0565
307. Texas Southern (10-12)0.0558
308. Alabama A&M (13-9)0.0534
309. Alabama St (9-14)0.0532
310. Delaware St (6-22)0.0530

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Troy St (16-11)0.0526
312. Harvard (11-15)0.0524
313. Jacksonville (7-18)0.0492
314. Navy (21-6)0.0491
315. Norfolk St (11-16)0.0438
316. Jacksonville St (16-8)0.0412
317. Hampton (17-12)0.0401
318. Southern (16-10)0.0291
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