NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Last Ten Ratings

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:41:24 EDT 2000

Home Court Advantage = 4.0236

BIG TEN AVERAGE = 86.859


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Michigan St (10-0)107.696-02-01-0
3. Wisconsin (8-2)95.6475-21-00-0
12. Illinois (7-3)91.0862-30-03-0
15. Ohio St (7-3)90.6542-10-13-1
17. Purdue (7-3)90.3432-31-04-0
44. Indiana (4-6)85.8162-40-11-1
56. Iowa (4-6)83.7321-50-03-1
66. Penn St (3-7)83.1861-50-11-1
105. Michigan (3-7)79.5460-61-01-1
124. Minnesota (1-9)78.2821-60-30-0
229. Northwestern (1-9)69.4620-70-00-2


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 84.250


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Florida (7-3)92.9783-21-13-0
11. LSU (8-2)91.1241-13-13-0
22. Arkansas (6-4)89.4932-33-10-0
35. Kentucky (6-4)87.2241-32-10-0
38. Tennessee (6-4)86.6273-01-20-1
39. South Carolina (6-4)86.4711-21-10-1
55. Auburn (4-6)83.8191-30-23-0
90. Mississippi (4-6)80.9140-32-11-0
95. Alabama (3-7)80.1071-22-10-3
103. Vanderbilt (4-6)79.5781-10-20-2
123. Mississippi St (2-8)78.2930-40-31-1
168. Georgia (1-9)74.3670-50-31-1


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 83.658


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Duke (8-2)92.0181-22-02-0
16. North Carolina (6-4)90.4323-21-10-1
29. Maryland (7-3)87.9890-11-12-1
45. Wake Forest (5-5)85.4360-21-22-0
89. Virginia (4-6)81.0200-12-11-2
107. Georgia Tech (4-6)79.5170-10-22-1
110. NO Carolina St (2-8)79.2670-10-31-2
116. Florida St (4-6)78.6710-10-32-1
117. Clemson (3-7)78.5710-20-21-2


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 83.237


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Miami Fla (8-2)92.9503-21-03-0
7. St Johns (8-2)92.8184-12-12-0
23. Connecticut (7-3)89.3311-32-02-0
28. Syracuse (6-4)88.0721-30-03-1
58. Villanova (6-4)83.6240-31-01-0
59. Seton Hall (4-6)83.5351-41-01-2
68. Notre Dame (4-6)83.0131-11-21-1
71. Georgetown (5-5)82.7681-20-12-1
113. Pittsburgh (4-6)79.1670-10-11-4
132. Providence (3-7)77.4180-21-21-1
137. Boston College (2-8)76.9520-40-22-0
139. Rutgers (3-7)76.8460-10-21-3
155. West Virginia (2-8)75.5930-10-20-4


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 83.077


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. UCLA (8-2)93.9131-23-01-0
26. Stanford (7-3)88.3630-11-22-0
30. Arizona (7-3)87.9791-12-12-0
42. Arizona St (6-4)86.0640-21-22-0
43. Oregon (6-4)86.0091-11-22-0
86. California (4-6)81.1210-21-31-0
100. Oregon St (3-7)79.7901-20-30-2
111. USC (3-7)79.2200-30-30-1
152. Washington (3-7)75.8650-21-20-2
191. Washington St (1-9)72.4480-20-31-1


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 82.618


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Iowa St (9-1)97.9213-12-00-0
9. Oklahoma (7-3)92.3132-32-00-0
13. Texas (7-3)91.0252-30-02-0
14. Oklahoma St (6-4)90.8911-43-02-0
32. Kansas (6-4)87.7211-42-00-0
63. Missouri (4-6)83.3670-50-10-0
82. Colorado (6-4)81.6341-20-00-0
134. Texas Tech (3-7)77.2170-40-20-1
149. Baylor (3-7)76.0140-50-00-1
198. Nebraska (1-9)71.8850-40-21-1
202. Texas A&M (2-8)71.5190-30-01-1
223. Kansas St (1-9)69.9050-50-10-1


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 82.211


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
21. Louisville (7-3)89.6761-23-12-0
27. Cincinnati (7-3)88.1820-24-11-0
40. St Louis (5-5)86.3371-12-32-1
48. DePaul (5-5)84.9550-32-23-0
52. Memphis (6-4)84.2500-01-14-2
62. NC Charlotte (5-5)83.4460-01-32-2
80. SO Mississippi (5-5)81.6510-11-32-1
91. South Florida (5-5)80.6040-02-22-3
97. Tulane (5-5)79.9440-01-22-3
121. Marquette (4-6)78.3250-00-32-2
138. Uab (3-7)76.9050-10-31-3
194. Houston (1-9)72.2590-10-21-5


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 79.880


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
19. Tulsa (7-3)89.8061-02-31-0
25. Fresno St (8-2)88.3842-10-00-1
67. TCU (6-4)83.1030-20-11-0
87. SMU (5-5)81.0410-21-00-0
120. San Jose St (4-6)78.3510-10-20-1
140. Hawaii (3-7)76.8390-10-31-1
172. Texas El Paso (3-7)73.9810-11-10-1
246. Rice (1-9)67.5330-20-10-1


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 79.021


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. Toledo (9-1)89.7740-02-11-0
37. Ball St (8-2)86.7950-00-15-1
41. Bowling Green (7-3)86.1930-01-14-2
53. Ohio (6-4)84.0000-02-21-2
76. Miami Ohio (5-5)82.0090-01-32-2
79. Marshall (7-3)81.6940-00-22-1
88. Kent (6-4)81.0210-00-12-3
130. Eastern Mich (4-6)77.4940-00-30-2
166. Northern Ill (3-7)74.4610-00-01-4
167. Akron (3-7)74.4200-00-41-1
207. Central Mich (1-9)71.1940-00-21-4
218. Western Mich (2-8)70.4970-00-30-3
244. Buffalo (1-9)67.7150-00-30-6


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 78.956


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Temple (8-2)92.4901-02-12-0
36. St Bonaventure (7-3)87.0350-30-04-0
60. Xavier (7-3)83.4940-00-21-0
74. Massachusetts (5-5)82.2240-20-10-1
83. Dayton (5-5)81.5480-21-10-0
85. Geo Washington (6-4)81.3380-10-03-2
92. Virginia Tech (6-4)80.5390-10-12-0
131. St Josephs PA (4-6)77.4221-00-10-4
133. Fordham (5-5)77.2260-11-00-1
148. LA Salle (4-6)76.0700-00-00-3
250. Duquesne (1-9)67.0430-00-10-4
296. Rhode Island (0-10)61.0450-10-10-3


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 78.680


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
24. SW Missouri St (9-1)88.8560-00-02-1
49. Creighton (7-3)84.8430-00-13-1
61. Southern Ill (7-3)83.4680-00-02-2
72. Indiana St (6-4)82.7390-10-00-3
109. Bradley (4-6)79.3450-00-02-4
144. Wichita St (5-5)76.4690-00-00-3
162. Evansville (3-7)74.8860-00-00-6
170. Northern Iowa (3-7)74.2970-00-01-4
192. Illinois St (3-7)72.3810-00-00-4
227. Drake (1-9)69.5150-00-00-4


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 77.481


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
51. Unlv (7-3)84.4000-10-12-1
70. Wyoming (6-4)82.9170-01-22-1
78. Utah (5-5)81.8150-12-01-3
81. New Mexico (6-4)81.6420-01-22-2
93. Colorado St (6-4)80.3000-01-12-2
98. BYU (5-5)79.8580-02-20-2
234. Air Force (2-8)68.9210-00-31-3
301. San Diego St (0-10)59.9930-00-30-4


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 77.175


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. Gonzaga (7-3)87.7521-12-02-2
34. Pepperdine (7-3)87.2802-20-01-1
46. San Diego (7-3)85.2991-11-02-2
50. Santa Clara (7-3)84.7071-00-13-2
102. San Francisco (6-4)79.6250-10-02-3
215. Portland (3-7)70.6770-10-20-4
286. St Marys CA (1-9)63.1210-20-10-5
304. Loyola Marymnt (0-10)58.9420-20-30-2


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 76.909


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. Butler (9-1)90.2480-10-00-0
126. Detroit (6-4)77.8690-00-00-2
145. Wisc Milwaukee (5-5)76.4630-00-00-2
147. Illinois Chi (5-5)76.1140-00-00-1
156. Wisc Green Bay (4-6)75.5400-01-00-1
177. Cleveland St (5-5)73.5470-00-00-1
179. Wright St (4-6)73.3540-00-00-1
196. Loyola Chi (3-7)72.1330-00-00-3


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 76.420


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
47. Northrn Arizona (8-2)85.1900-10-04-0
57. Montana (8-2)83.6690-00-03-2
84. CS Northridge (6-4)81.3500-00-00-3
106. Eastern Wash (6-4)79.5380-00-01-2
108. Weber St (6-4)79.3820-00-02-3
184. Idaho St (3-7)72.9260-00-00-3
195. Portland St (3-7)72.2400-00-00-5
238. Montana St (1-9)68.5050-00-00-5
267. Sacramento St (1-9)64.9810-00-00-3


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 73.639


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
99. NC Wilmington (6-4)79.7980-10-00-0
129. Richmond (7-3)77.6030-00-00-0
135. George Mason (7-3)77.1100-00-00-0
141. James Madison (7-3)76.8310-00-00-0
182. VA Commonwealth (4-6)73.0790-00-00-0
206. William & Mary (4-6)71.2730-00-00-0
209. American (4-6)71.0020-00-00-0
214. Old Dominion (3-7)70.7350-00-00-0
262. East Carolina (2-8)65.3210-00-00-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 73.446


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
33. Utah St (9-1)87.6890-10-02-0
75. Long Beach St (8-2)82.1290-00-10-1
77. New Mexico St (7-3)81.8770-00-21-0
143. Santa Barbara (7-3)76.5500-00-00-1
158. Boise St (5-5)75.3720-00-11-1
160. UC Irvine (6-4)75.1070-00-00-2
163. Nevada (4-6)74.7470-00-30-2
204. Idaho (3-7)71.4880-00-10-3
222. Cal Poly (4-6)70.2250-00-00-1
243. Pacific (2-8)67.7580-00-20-2
275. North Texas (1-9)64.1850-00-20-1
315. CS Fullerton (0-10)54.2290-00-00-3


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 72.929


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
73. Ul Lafayette (8-2)82.5140-00-00-0
94. South Alabama (8-2)80.2530-00-01-1
122. Louisiana Tech (7-3)78.2980-00-01-1
169. Western KY (5-5)74.3490-00-00-1
197. Florida Intl (5-5)71.9730-00-00-1
201. Arkansas St (5-5)71.6040-00-00-1
217. New Orleans (3-7)70.5280-00-00-3
268. Denver (3-7)64.9590-00-00-0
292. Arkansas Lr (1-9)61.8860-00-00-1


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 72.564


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
64. SE Missouri St (8-2)83.3350-10-01-1
69. Murray St (8-2)82.9770-00-01-1
112. Middle Tenn St (7-3)79.1720-00-01-2
127. Austin Peay (8-2)77.8580-00-01-0
142. Eastern Ill (6-4)76.6560-00-00-3
174. Tennessee Tech (5-5)73.7820-00-00-2
247. Tennessee St (3-7)67.2220-00-01-2
263. Tenn Martin (2-8)65.3200-00-00-3
269. Morehead St (1-9)64.9420-00-00-3
314. Eastern KY (0-10)54.3760-00-00-3


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 71.291


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
115. Coll Of Charltn (8-2)78.7320-00-00-0
136. Appalachian St (7-3)77.0960-10-00-0
165. Furman (6-4)74.5770-00-00-0
173. NC Greensboro (6-4)73.7970-00-00-0
187. Davidson (5-5)72.5900-00-01-0
199. Geo Southern (6-4)71.8450-00-00-0
205. Wofford (5-5)71.4770-00-00-0
210. East Tenn St (6-4)70.8900-00-00-0
220. Westrn Carolina (5-5)70.3150-00-00-0
240. Chattanooga (3-7)68.2320-00-00-0
273. The Citadel (2-8)64.3200-00-00-0
293. VMI (1-9)61.6230-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 70.724


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
125. Sam Houston (8-2)77.9870-00-00-0
151. Northwestern St (6-4)75.8820-00-00-0
164. Ul Monroe (6-4)74.6520-00-00-0
178. Nicholls St (6-4)73.5220-00-00-0
189. Tex San Antonio (6-4)72.5580-00-00-0
200. SW Texas St (5-5)71.6480-00-00-0
213. Lamar (5-5)70.7870-10-00-0
230. Texas Arlington (4-6)69.4190-00-00-0
261. McNeese St (3-7)65.3310-00-00-0
270. SE Louisiana (3-7)64.9170-00-00-0
294. Stephen Austin (1-9)61.2630-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 70.387


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
119. Valparaiso (8-2)78.4790-10-00-0
175. Mo Kansas City (7-3)73.6460-00-00-0
180. Oakland (7-3)73.1770-00-00-0
190. Southern Utah (6-4)72.5380-00-00-0
212. Iupui (5-5)70.7910-00-00-0
221. Oral Roberts (4-6)70.2250-00-00-0
248. Youngstown St (4-6)67.1400-00-00-0
272. Chicago St (2-8)64.5630-00-00-0
287. Western Ill (1-9)62.9220-00-00-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 69.528


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
104. Iona (8-2)79.5540-00-10-0
118. Siena (8-2)78.5410-00-00-0
157. Marist (7-3)75.5170-00-00-0
176. Fairfield (5-5)73.5830-00-00-0
208. Niagara (5-5)71.1480-00-00-0
225. Rider (4-6)69.7010-00-00-0
235. Canisius (5-5)68.6850-00-00-1
265. Manhattan (2-8)65.1630-00-00-0
309. Loyola MD (1-9)57.4920-00-00-0
311. St Peters (0-10)55.8940-00-00-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 69.084


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
150. Robert Morris (8-2)75.9180-00-00-0
161. Fair Dickinson (8-2)74.9390-00-00-0
171. Central Conn (6-4)74.1660-10-00-0
219. St Francis NY (6-4)70.4170-00-00-0
254. Monmouth NJ (4-6)66.4090-00-00-0
256. Mt St Marys (4-6)66.1700-00-00-0
258. Liu Brooklyn (5-5)65.7750-00-00-0
279. Wagner (3-7)64.0150-00-00-0
280. St Francis PA (3-7)63.9430-00-00-0


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 68.939


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
128. Samford (8-2)77.7610-10-00-0
159. Georgia St (8-2)75.2130-00-00-0
181. Central Florida (6-4)73.1550-00-00-0
211. Mercer (6-4)70.8200-00-00-0
228. Troy St (5-5)69.4650-00-00-0
237. Campbell (5-5)68.6060-00-00-0
253. Jacksonville St (5-5)66.4760-00-00-0
276. Jacksonville (3-7)64.1650-00-00-0
282. Stetson (4-6)63.5090-00-00-0
300. Fla Atlantic (1-9)60.2230-00-10-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 68.656


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
154. Winthrop (8-2)75.7730-10-00-0
188. Radford (7-3)72.5830-00-00-0
193. NC Asheville (6-4)72.3800-00-00-0
241. Elon (5-5)68.2020-00-00-0
251. Coast Carolina (5-5)66.9510-00-00-0
266. High Point (3-7)65.0090-00-00-0
274. Liberty (3-7)64.1910-00-00-0
277. Charleston Sou (3-7)64.1620-00-00-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 68.477


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
65. Lafayette (9-1)83.2420-10-00-0
114. Navy (9-1)79.1610-00-00-0
232. Bucknell (6-4)69.2660-00-00-0
259. Colgate (4-6)65.5770-00-00-0
285. Lehigh (3-7)63.2960-00-00-0
302. Holy Cross (3-7)59.8570-00-00-0
305. Army (2-8)58.9390-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 67.569


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
54. Pennsylvania (9-1)83.9190-10-00-0
153. Princeton (8-2)75.8150-00-00-2
236. Harvard (5-5)68.6090-00-00-2
249. Dartmouth (5-5)67.0970-00-00-2
271. Columbia (5-5)64.8170-00-00-1
297. Yale (2-8)60.8870-00-00-2
298. Cornell (4-6)60.7600-00-00-1
306. Brown (2-8)58.6510-00-00-2


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 67.069


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
96. Hofstra (8-2)80.0330-10-00-0
101. Delaware (8-2)79.7620-00-00-2
146. Maine (8-2)76.2160-00-00-1
185. Vermont (7-3)72.8160-00-01-0
224. Drexel (4-6)69.7600-00-00-3
284. Boston U (3-7)63.3490-00-00-2
289. Northeastern (3-7)62.5920-00-00-1
299. Towson (2-8)60.4260-00-00-1
303. Hartford (2-8)59.3600-00-00-1
317. New Hampshire (0-10)46.3720-00-00-1


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 65.361


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
239. TX Pan American (4-6)68.3030-00-00-2
255. Albany NY (5-5)66.2670-00-00-0
264. Centenary (3-7)65.1950-10-00-1
268. Denver (3-7)64.9590-00-00-0
278. Stony Brook (3-7)64.0300-00-00-0
283. Belmont (2-8)63.4150-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 63.246


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
186. SO Carolina St (8-2)72.7540-10-00-0
216. Hampton (7-3)70.5460-00-00-0
231. Coppin St (8-2)69.3440-00-00-0
233. Bethune Cookman (6-4)69.2120-00-00-0
252. NO Carolina A&T (6-4)66.8370-00-00-0
257. Florida A&M (5-5)65.8610-00-00-0
290. MD Eastrn Shore (6-4)62.3200-00-00-0
295. Norfolk St (4-6)61.1160-00-00-0
308. Delaware St (4-6)57.6920-00-00-0
310. Morgan St (2-8)56.0670-00-00-0
318. Howard (0-10)43.9600-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 62.630


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
183. Alcorn St (9-1)73.0110-00-00-0
203. Jackson St (7-3)71.5010-10-00-0
245. Alabama St (6-4)67.5810-00-00-0
260. Southern (6-4)65.4490-00-00-0
281. Texas Southern (5-5)63.7400-00-00-0
291. Prairie View (4-6)62.2520-00-00-0
307. Miss Valley St (3-7)58.4850-00-00-0
312. Ark Pine Bluff (2-8)54.8230-00-00-0
316. Grambling (0-10)46.8300-00-00-0
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