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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Home Advantage

By conference
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:41:26 EDT 2000

Home Advantage = 4.0236

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Wright St (11-17)20.832
2. Southern Utah (14-12)20.116
3. Utah (21-9)19.325
4. Alabama (12-16)16.915
5. Nebraska (11-19)16.842
6. Bradley (14-16)16.514
7. Uab (14-14)16.001
8. Detroit (18-12)15.740
9. Kentucky (22-10)14.282
10. Rice (3-22)14.198

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Colorado (17-13)14.028
12. Western KY (11-17)14.013
13. Montana St (7-14)13.473
14. Loyola Chi (14-14)13.391
15. Illinois Chi (10-20)13.329
16. Wisc Green Bay (14-16)13.248
17. Georgia Tech (13-17)12.572
18. Bowling Green (21-7)12.523
19. Xavier (20-11)12.167
20. Alcorn St (17-10)12.158

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Elon (10-13)12.043
22. Portland (7-18)11.793
23. Minnesota (12-16)11.633
24. Wyoming (18-12)11.596
25. VA Commonwealth (14-14)10.676
26. Mississippi (16-13)10.615
27. Butler (23-9)10.379
28. Buffalo (5-23)10.376
29. Canisius (10-20)10.287
30. Hawaii (17-12)10.280

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. James Madison (20-9)10.052
32. Wofford (12-15)9.9976
33. Mississippi St (13-17)9.6679
34. American (10-18)9.5070
35. Washington St (5-22)9.4476
36. TX Pan American (8-14)9.3478
37. South Florida (17-13)9.3224
38. Iowa St (29-5)9.1310
39. William & Mary (9-17)8.9554
40. Kansas (23-10)8.9371

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. High Point (7-17)8.9025
42. Drake (10-18)8.6668
43. Illinois St (9-20)8.6366
44. Maryland (25-10)8.5666
45. St Marys CA (7-20)8.4650
46. Michigan St (32-7)8.3011
47. Texas El Paso (13-15)8.2772
48. Georgia (10-20)8.1642
49. Northern Ill (11-15)8.1441
50. Northern Iowa (14-15)8.1080

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Temple (27-6)8.0719
52. Texas (24-9)8.0378
53. Tennessee St (7-22)8.0310
54. Michigan (15-13)7.9963
55. Denver (6-22)7.9689
56. USC (15-14)7.8930
57. Tenn Martin (8-19)7.8527
58. Miss Valley St (6-19)7.8189
59. Tulane (20-10)7.7748
60. Kansas St (9-19)7.7514

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Syracuse (26-6)7.6536
62. Loyola MD (7-21)7.6008
63. Yale (7-20)7.4470
64. Troy St (16-11)7.4194
65. Villanova (19-12)7.4108
66. Oral Roberts (12-16)7.3296
67. Western Mich (10-19)7.3076
68. Indiana St (22-10)7.2829
69. Wisc Milwaukee (14-14)7.2791
70. Louisville (18-12)7.1598

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. San Jose St (11-15)7.1496
72. Santa Barbara (12-14)7.1478
73. NC Wilmington (18-13)7.1056
74. Virginia Tech (16-15)7.0442
75. Winthrop (17-9)7.0113
76. Eastern Wash (12-9)6.9707
77. Texas Tech (11-15)6.9692
78. Eastern Ill (15-12)6.9470
79. Lamar (15-15)6.9310
80. Arizona (27-7)6.9179

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Akron (16-11)6.8575
82. Illinois (22-10)6.8540
83. Texas A&M (7-20)6.8166
84. Air Force (7-20)6.8141
85. Kent (19-7)6.7580
86. NC Asheville (9-19)6.7345
87. Sam Houston (19-7)6.7247
88. Niagara (17-12)6.7198
89. Auburn (23-10)6.6896
90. Wichita St (11-17)6.6871

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Tennessee (24-7)6.6720
92. Hofstra (24-7)6.6209
93. Rider (16-14)6.5679
94. Sacred Heart (3-25)6.4689
95. Centenary (7-16)6.4229
96. Evansville (17-12)6.2998
97. Idaho (10-17)6.2836
98. Mo Kansas City (14-13)6.1760
99. NO Carolina A&T (14-13)6.1556
100. Northrn Arizona (16-11)6.1244

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Geo Washington (15-15)6.0971
102. Cleveland St (15-14)6.0681
103. Indiana (20-9)6.0340
104. LSU (28-6)6.0334
105. NO Carolina St (17-12)6.0236
106. Geo Southern (14-12)5.9517
107. Old Dominion (11-19)5.9512
108. Sacramento St (8-16)5.9142
109. Eastern KY (4-22)5.8986
110. Furman (10-18)5.8170

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Morgan St (5-24)5.7927
112. Vermont (16-12)5.7867
113. Virginia (19-11)5.7791
114. Arkansas Lr (4-24)5.7334
115. Pepperdine (25-9)5.7172
116. St Johns (25-8)5.6723
117. Vanderbilt (19-10)5.6258
118. Dartmouth (7-18)5.4393
119. Tennessee Tech (14-12)5.4042
120. BYU (19-10)5.3691

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Arizona St (17-12)5.3533
122. Westrn Carolina (11-14)5.2765
123. Duquesne (9-20)5.2678
124. Howard (1-27)5.2033
125. Fla Atlantic (1-27)5.1923
126. Pacific (10-18)5.0832
127. Central Mich (5-23)5.0791
128. Marist (14-14)5.0258
129. Penn St (15-15)5.0085
130. Portland St (12-13)5.0017

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. CS Northridge (18-10)5.0002
132. Jacksonville (7-18)4.9792
133. St Louis (18-14)4.9731
134. Valparaiso (16-13)4.9338
135. George Mason (19-11)4.9177
136. Northwestern St (15-12)4.9161
137. Navy (21-6)4.8921
138. Wisconsin (22-14)4.8629
139. Ohio (20-13)4.8521
140. Dayton (22-9)4.8155

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Memphis (14-16)4.7761
142. Colorado St (17-12)4.7127
143. Liberty (10-14)4.7111
144. Baylor (13-15)4.6436
145. North Texas (7-20)4.5692
146. Central Florida (12-18)4.5385
147. Fairfield (14-15)4.4578
148. Unlv (23-8)4.4352
149. Manhattan (12-15)4.3761
150. Tex San Antonio (11-12)4.3720

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. NC Charlotte (17-15)4.3648
152. Maine (23-7)4.3306
153. Florida Intl (15-14)4.2502
154. Coll Of Charltn (20-6)4.1989
155. Ark Pine Bluff (4-19)4.1369
156. South Alabama (20-10)4.0369
157. Charleston Sou (6-19)4.0353
158. New Orleans (11-18)3.8963
159. Siena (23-8)3.8680
160. Wake Forest (17-14)3.8499

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Marquette (15-13)3.8403
162. Arkansas St (10-17)3.7834
163. SW Missouri St (22-10)3.7645
164. Northwestern (5-25)3.6814
165. St Peters (5-23)3.6652
166. Southern Ill (19-12)3.6596
167. LA Salle (11-17)3.6351
168. San Diego St (4-22)3.5813
169. Northeastern (7-20)3.5800
170. Oklahoma St (26-7)3.5783

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. West Virginia (14-14)3.5692
172. Marshall (19-8)3.5616
173. St Francis PA (8-18)3.5518
174. East Carolina (8-18)3.4819
175. Florida (29-8)3.4006
176. Long Beach St (22-5)3.3413
177. Santa Clara (19-12)3.3283
178. Utah St (24-6)3.2865
179. CS Fullerton (8-18)3.2775
180. Delaware (24-7)3.2593

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Southern (16-10)3.2538
182. SMU (20-8)3.2499
183. Hartford (10-19)3.1999
184. Florida A&M (9-21)3.1306
185. Austin Peay (15-10)3.0702
186. Delaware St (6-22)2.9972
187. Oregon St (11-16)2.9879
188. Middle Tenn St (13-13)2.9689
189. Chattanooga (9-18)2.9486
190. New Mexico St (21-9)2.9084

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Georgetown (17-14)2.8991
192. Loyola Marymnt (0-25)2.8965
193. Coast Carolina (9-18)2.8933
194. Ul Monroe (17-9)2.8705
195. TCU (17-14)2.8286
196. Iowa (14-16)2.7709
197. Nevada (8-20)2.7653
198. Army (3-23)2.7611
199. Oklahoma (27-7)2.7552
200. Louisiana Tech (21-8)2.7340

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Davidson (12-13)2.7013
202. St Bonaventure (21-10)2.6747
203. Pittsburgh (13-15)2.6213
204. Rutgers (15-15)2.5143
205. Cincinnati (29-4)2.4824
206. Idaho St (6-18)2.4431
207. Chicago St (9-18)2.3400
208. Radford (17-10)2.3185
209. Creighton (22-10)2.3036
210. Florida St (12-17)2.2993

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Boston U (6-21)2.2599
212. Ohio St (23-7)2.2532
213. Brown (8-19)2.2385
214. SE Missouri St (22-6)2.2361
215. Bethune Cookman (13-13)2.2323
216. St Josephs PA (13-16)2.1949
217. New Hampshire (3-25)2.1408
218. Gonzaga (26-9)1.9448
219. Princeton (18-10)1.9006
220. San Diego (18-10)1.8949

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. DePaul (20-12)1.7691
222. Lehigh (6-21)1.7404
223. Notre Dame (18-14)1.6911
224. VMI (2-23)1.6189
225. Monmouth NJ (12-16)1.5368
226. South Carolina (15-17)1.5202
227. Central Conn (25-6)1.4777
228. Purdue (23-10)1.2031
229. Miami Ohio (15-15)1.1984
230. McNeese St (6-21)1.0939

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Boston College (11-19)1.0705
232. East Tenn St (12-15)1.0451
233. Grambling (0-27)1.0444
234. Drexel (13-17)1.0024
235. Eastern Mich (13-13)0.9396
236. UCLA (21-12)0.9011
237. Arkansas (19-15)0.8439
238. Ball St (21-9)0.7879
239. Morehead St (5-18)0.7033
240. Alabama A&M (13-9)0.6642

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. SO Carolina St (19-14)0.6627
242. Pennsylvania (21-8)0.6574
243. Oregon (21-8)0.6049
244. Iona (20-11)0.5645
245. Toledo (18-13)0.4650
246. Clemson (10-20)0.3926
247. Ul Lafayette (24-8)0.3576
248. Robert Morris (17-12)0.3491
249. Jacksonville St (16-8)0.3146
250. Appalachian St (20-9)0.2822

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Missouri (18-13)0.2675
252. Jackson St (16-15)0.0773
253. Prairie View (6-19)0.0038
254. Belmont (4-20)2.2282
255. Wagner (10-16)-0.028
256. Bucknell (16-11)-0.069
257. Tulsa (32-5)-0.131
258. Fordham (14-15)-0.144
259. Weber St (15-8)-0.178
260. Providence (10-19)-0.200

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. SE Louisiana (8-17)-0.218
262. Samford (19-11)-0.222
263. Boise St (11-15)-0.234
264. Washington (9-20)-0.316
265. Connecticut (25-10)-0.317
266. SW Texas St (10-16)-0.318
267. Stetson (12-15)-0.340
268. Nicholls St (9-17)-0.475
269. Youngstown St (11-15)-0.476
270. Towson (11-17)-0.563

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. NC Greensboro (14-13)-0.573
272. New Mexico (15-13)-0.884
273. Mt St Marys (9-18)-0.901
274. Quinnipiac (17-10)-0.910
275. Cal Poly (7-18)-0.948
276. Texas Arlington (13-12)-1.031
277. Rhode Island (5-25)-1.175
278. Montana (14-11)-1.217
279. Lafayette (22-7)-1.375
280. MD Eastrn Shore (11-17)-1.380

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. SO Mississippi (17-12)-1.398
282. UC Irvine (13-14)-1.533
283. Harvard (11-15)-1.573
284. Houston (8-22)-1.585
285. Fair Dickinson (16-11)-1.654
286. California (16-14)-1.662
287. Fresno St (24-10)-1.921
288. St Francis NY (16-13)-1.934
289. Oakland (12-17)-1.940
290. Seton Hall (22-10)-1.959

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. The Citadel (6-19)-2.129
292. Massachusetts (16-15)-2.249
293. Murray St (22-9)-2.410
294. Alabama St (9-14)-2.445
295. Columbia (12-14)-2.644
296. Iupui (7-21)-2.892
297. Albany NY (7-16)-2.906
298. San Francisco (18-9)-2.992
299. North Carolina (22-14)-3.048
300. Georgia St (16-12)-3.093

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Mercer (10-21)-3.103
302. Western Ill (6-22)-3.251
303. Stanford (26-4)-3.331
304. Coppin St (15-15)-3.423
305. Campbell (12-14)-3.462
306. Stony Brook (5-21)-3.505
307. Hampton (17-12)-4.073
308. Norfolk St (11-16)-4.135
309. Miami Fla (23-11)-4.631
310. Holy Cross (10-18)-4.881

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Colgate (11-16)-4.927
312. Texas Southern (10-12)-5.603
313. Duke (29-5)-5.739
314. Cornell (9-17)-5.910
315. Richmond (18-12)-6.669
316. Liu Brooklyn (7-18)-7.521
317. Umbc (10-18)-8.730
318. Stephen Austin (4-19)-9.781
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