NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Away

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:41:30 EDT 2000


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5367


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Miami Fla (8-3)0.60971-02-02-2
6. Connecticut (6-4)0.59860-32-01-1
8. Syracuse (7-3)0.59720-21-13-0
15. St Johns (7-5)0.58132-10-31-1
16. Seton Hall (6-4)0.57981-20-11-0
32. Notre Dame (4-7)0.54981-22-21-1
53. West Virginia (5-7)0.53060-20-31-2
62. Rutgers (4-5)0.52260-20-10-1
85. Villanova (3-8)0.50310-30-12-0
98. Providence (2-6)0.49290-11-21-1
120. Georgetown (2-7)0.48410-20-20-1
132. Pittsburgh (3-7)0.47510-20-10-3
166. Boston College (1-9)0.45210-20-40-2


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5256


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Ohio St (7-3)0.62313-30-02-0
13. Michigan St (7-6)0.58203-40-13-0
20. Purdue (7-4)0.57311-20-23-0
29. Illinois (5-4)0.55470-20-12-1
34. Indiana (5-5)0.54580-41-02-0
72. Iowa (3-10)0.51591-51-10-3
87. Penn St (2-9)0.50170-50-21-2
90. Wisconsin (4-9)0.50090-40-11-2
119. Michigan (3-7)0.48451-40-00-1
146. Minnesota (1-11)0.46450-50-30-2
202. Northwestern (0-9)0.43550-30-10-4


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5233


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Stanford (10-1)0.62810-12-03-0
9. Arizona (7-4)0.59642-11-12-1
24. Oregon (8-4)0.56790-20-13-0
36. UCLA (5-6)0.54442-20-11-2
74. California (4-6)0.51510-21-11-2
76. Arizona St (4-7)0.51440-20-31-2
94. Washington (5-9)0.49570-21-11-4
99. USC (3-8)0.49290-20-30-3
129. Oregon St (3-9)0.47790-20-30-3
258. Washington St (0-12)0.39990-20-20-3


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5215


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Duke (10-0)0.68213-00-04-0
31. Maryland (4-5)0.54981-20-01-2
33. North Carolina (6-5)0.54950-21-11-2
54. Virginia (5-7)0.53061-30-02-1
64. Wake Forest (5-7)0.52080-31-01-1
106. Florida St (3-9)0.49001-30-11-2
122. NO Carolina St (2-8)0.48341-30-00-3
137. Clemson (2-8)0.47190-30-01-3
235. Georgia Tech (0-9)0.41520-30-00-3


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5175


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Tennessee (7-3)0.59802-10-11-0
10. Kentucky (5-5)0.59320-42-11-0
11. LSU (5-3)0.59150-12-12-0
18. Florida (6-4)0.57770-21-22-0
63. Vanderbilt (4-6)0.52231-20-12-1
69. Auburn (2-6)0.51760-31-10-1
123. Mississippi St (2-8)0.48150-20-31-1
124. South Carolina (2-8)0.48080-32-10-1
138. Arkansas (2-8)0.47170-30-10-1
139. Georgia (1-11)0.47010-40-30-3
159. Mississippi (1-9)0.45690-40-20-0
172. Alabama (1-10)0.44850-20-40-2


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5101


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Oklahoma (6-3)0.58451-21-00-1
19. Oklahoma St (8-4)0.57761-32-00-0
22. Iowa St (6-3)0.56841-11-00-1
23. Missouri (5-4)0.56830-30-11-0
26. Texas (6-6)0.56410-51-10-0
42. Kansas (5-6)0.53580-40-11-1
133. Texas Tech (3-8)0.47450-40-00-2
150. Baylor (2-7)0.46180-40-00-1
161. Kansas St (1-11)0.45490-50-10-1
169. Nebraska (0-10)0.45070-50-10-2
178. Colorado (2-9)0.44660-40-10-0
203. Texas A&M (0-12)0.43430-40-20-2


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5101


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Cincinnati (10-1)0.65401-03-03-1
27. DePaul (5-5)0.56140-21-22-0
38. SO Mississippi (5-7)0.54260-10-32-0
52. NC Charlotte (6-10)0.53130-14-31-3
78. Louisville (4-7)0.50960-21-11-2
81. Marquette (3-8)0.50530-21-21-2
100. Tulane (4-7)0.49280-10-21-1
103. St Louis (2-10)0.49190-22-20-4
125. South Florida (4-8)0.48060-20-21-1
141. Memphis (3-8)0.46950-10-11-3
186. Houston (1-10)0.44110-10-10-5
187. Uab (1-11)0.44090-10-20-6


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4873


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Tulsa (10-2)0.57770-00-13-0
21. Fresno St (7-4)0.56851-00-11-1
39. SMU (7-5)0.54070-12-10-2
75. TCU (4-6)0.51510-10-21-1
147. Texas El Paso (2-8)0.46390-10-11-3
163. San Jose St (3-9)0.45480-10-11-4
205. Hawaii (1-7)0.43330-10-10-3
315. Rice (0-13)0.34450-10-10-2


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4862


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. Toledo (7-7)0.53880-11-21-3
45. Kent (7-5)0.53500-01-01-4
55. Ball St (7-6)0.52961-10-11-4
60. Bowling Green (10-6)0.52640-00-22-2
71. Marshall (6-4)0.51680-00-12-1
86. Akron (6-8)0.50280-10-22-3
92. Eastern Mich (6-8)0.49880-11-11-4
111. Ohio (5-8)0.48710-10-12-3
114. Miami Ohio (4-9)0.48620-20-21-2
185. Northern Ill (4-10)0.44220-01-10-3
195. Western Mich (3-12)0.43910-00-22-4
216. Buffalo (1-12)0.42540-10-20-5
278. Central Mich (1-12)0.39200-10-10-3


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.4848


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Temple (9-4)0.58171-11-10-1
46. Massachusetts (8-6)0.53470-20-11-1
70. Dayton (6-5)0.51710-00-02-1
80. St Bonaventure (6-6)0.50570-10-10-1
89. Fordham (6-8)0.50140-21-01-3
121. St Josephs PA (4-9)0.48360-20-21-2
149. Virginia Tech (5-8)0.46230-10-21-1
153. LA Salle (4-9)0.46000-10-21-0
165. Geo Washington (4-8)0.45340-00-10-2
173. Xavier (4-8)0.44820-10-20-2
198. Duquesne (1-10)0.43720-10-30-2
207. Rhode Island (2-13)0.43270-20-20-2


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.4835


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. New Mexico (5-5)0.54301-01-20-2
48. Unlv (4-5)0.53210-20-21-1
73. BYU (6-7)0.51580-12-10-2
110. Colorado St (5-7)0.48720-00-41-3
113. Utah (4-7)0.48630-11-20-3
174. Wyoming (4-8)0.44790-10-31-0
197. Air Force (3-11)0.43730-00-40-2
230. San Diego St (0-12)0.41840-10-30-4


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4743


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Gonzaga (10-4)0.55480-11-10-2
35. Pepperdine (10-5)0.54490-11-22-0
47. San Diego (7-6)0.53460-21-20-2
57. San Francisco (8-4)0.52810-11-21-0
96. Santa Clara (6-6)0.49410-00-31-1
264. St Marys CA (1-14)0.39860-00-30-3
295. Portland (1-12)0.37650-00-30-1
308. Loyola Marymnt (0-14)0.36280-00-20-3


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4679


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
41. Indiana St (6-6)0.53711-00-10-3
49. SW Missouri St (6-6)0.53210-10-03-1
58. Creighton (8-6)0.52790-01-01-1
66. Southern Ill (6-7)0.52020-00-31-2
134. Evansville (3-7)0.47400-00-10-4
209. Northern Iowa (2-10)0.43180-10-10-3
211. Bradley (2-11)0.42830-00-20-3
226. Wichita St (1-10)0.42070-10-10-3
239. Illinois St (1-12)0.41210-00-10-4
273. Drake (1-12)0.39520-00-10-4


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4614


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
43. Montana (5-5)0.53560-00-11-3
82. Weber St (5-4)0.50410-00-11-1
84. CS Northridge (7-9)0.50310-02-01-4
107. Northrn Arizona (4-8)0.48950-00-31-1
109. Eastern Wash (5-7)0.48750-00-12-2
164. Portland St (5-7)0.45390-00-00-4
229. Idaho St (2-10)0.41880-10-00-3
282. Sacramento St (1-10)0.38790-10-00-2
299. Montana St (0-8)0.37190-00-00-3


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4486


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
88. Lafayette (9-5)0.50160-00-11-1
102. Navy (7-3)0.49220-00-00-1
108. Bucknell (7-5)0.48800-00-00-2
136. Colgate (5-8)0.47360-10-00-2
224. Holy Cross (5-8)0.42080-10-00-1
280. Army (1-11)0.39000-10-10-1
297. Lehigh (1-13)0.37390-00-10-1


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4482


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. Utah St (8-3)0.56770-00-12-2
30. Long Beach St (10-1)0.55210-00-10-0
65. New Mexico St (7-6)0.52020-10-11-3
168. UC Irvine (4-8)0.45120-10-20-3
177. Boise St (4-8)0.44690-00-21-1
215. Cal Poly (3-9)0.42630-00-10-4
218. Santa Barbara (5-8)0.42340-00-00-3
242. North Texas (1-12)0.40990-10-10-4
245. Nevada (2-12)0.40960-10-20-3
263. Idaho (2-11)0.39880-10-10-1
265. Pacific (2-11)0.39840-00-10-3
298. CS Fullerton (2-11)0.37350-00-20-1


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4457


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
44. Richmond (8-6)0.53540-10-00-2
116. George Mason (6-8)0.48620-10-01-3
131. NC Wilmington (6-10)0.47560-20-02-2
142. James Madison (6-8)0.46780-00-00-4
204. East Carolina (3-11)0.43370-00-00-3
213. William & Mary (1-12)0.42800-10-10-2
250. Old Dominion (3-11)0.40720-00-00-4
274. VA Commonwealth (2-11)0.39490-00-00-3
288. American (1-13)0.38250-00-10-3


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4449


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
95. Central Conn (8-4)0.49540-00-00-0
104. Robert Morris (7-7)0.49090-00-00-2
127. Fair Dickinson (7-7)0.47930-10-10-0
167. St Francis NY (7-8)0.45160-10-00-1
171. Mt St Marys (4-11)0.44890-10-10-2
196. Monmouth NJ (5-9)0.43900-00-20-1
234. Liu Brooklyn (4-10)0.41540-10-00-0
267. Wagner (4-11)0.39770-00-20-0
283. St Francis PA (2-11)0.38610-00-00-1


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4449


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
77. Hofstra (8-6)0.51100-10-10-3
79. Maine (8-3)0.50740-00-01-1
97. Delaware (7-5)0.49290-10-00-1
170. Vermont (7-9)0.44960-10-10-2
184. Towson (5-8)0.44370-00-00-3
194. Drexel (4-10)0.43930-00-10-4
228. Hartford (3-11)0.41940-10-10-3
257. New Hampshire (1-13)0.39990-20-00-2
276. Boston U (1-11)0.39320-00-00-3
277. Northeastern (3-12)0.39260-00-10-2


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4416


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
61. Ul Lafayette (10-4)0.52450-10-00-0
93. Louisiana Tech (10-7)0.49760-01-11-2
126. Florida Intl (5-4)0.48030-00-00-1
144. South Alabama (6-7)0.46530-10-01-0
155. Arkansas St (3-11)0.45820-20-10-2
246. New Orleans (2-12)0.40920-00-10-4
271. Western KY (2-12)0.39610-00-10-2
293. Denver (1-12)0.37780-00-10-1
304. Arkansas Lr (0-13)0.36590-10-00-2


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4403


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
56. Murray St (8-4)0.52820-10-01-0
59. SE Missouri St (8-4)0.52780-00-02-0
152. Middle Tenn St (5-9)0.46000-10-01-2
162. Austin Peay (5-6)0.45480-00-10-2
189. Tennessee Tech (4-8)0.44070-10-00-2
193. Eastern Ill (5-9)0.43940-00-00-4
214. Tenn Martin (2-14)0.42780-10-10-4
289. Morehead St (2-11)0.37970-00-00-2
291. Tennessee St (1-13)0.37840-00-10-3
303. Eastern KY (1-14)0.36620-00-20-2


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4365


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
51. Siena (6-4)0.53130-00-01-2
105. Fairfield (5-10)0.49050-20-20-3
115. Iona (7-7)0.48620-00-11-1
181. Niagara (6-9)0.44530-10-10-2
188. Marist (6-8)0.44080-00-00-3
220. Rider (5-9)0.42280-00-01-2
240. Manhattan (4-8)0.41210-00-00-2
275. St Peters (1-13)0.39400-00-10-3
294. Canisius (1-11)0.37760-10-00-2
306. Loyola MD (1-13)0.36460-00-00-4


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4333


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
67. Sam Houston (9-5)0.52010-20-00-1
118. Ul Monroe (8-6)0.48590-00-00-2
156. Texas Arlington (6-7)0.45770-00-10-1
199. Tex San Antonio (4-9)0.43710-20-00-1
212. Nicholls St (4-11)0.42830-10-10-1
221. SE Louisiana (3-11)0.42190-10-00-2
244. Northwestern St (4-9)0.40960-00-00-1
247. Lamar (2-11)0.40890-10-00-2
256. SW Texas St (3-8)0.40340-00-00-0
266. Stephen Austin (3-7)0.39790-00-00-0
272. McNeese St (2-13)0.39580-00-00-2


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4308


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
91. Appalachian St (8-6)0.50010-10-00-1
112. Coll Of Charltn (7-3)0.48650-10-00-0
130. Davidson (5-9)0.47650-20-00-3
160. NC Greensboro (6-9)0.45550-00-00-1
182. Geo Southern (4-8)0.44390-10-00-0
208. East Tenn St (5-9)0.43260-00-10-1
225. The Citadel (3-7)0.42070-00-00-1
238. Westrn Carolina (4-10)0.41410-00-10-2
251. Wofford (2-13)0.40590-10-10-3
259. Chattanooga (2-9)0.39960-00-00-1
290. VMI (0-13)0.37930-10-00-2
311. Furman (2-12)0.35520-00-00-1


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4292


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
83. Georgia St (7-5)0.50360-10-00-0
145. Jacksonville St (7-4)0.46490-00-00-1
151. Campbell (6-6)0.46150-00-00-2
179. Samford (6-7)0.44650-00-00-2
192. Troy St (5-8)0.44020-00-00-1
233. Mercer (4-11)0.41640-00-20-0
237. Central Florida (2-9)0.41510-00-10-1
254. Stetson (6-9)0.40460-00-10-1
284. Fla Atlantic (0-15)0.38610-10-30-0
312. Jacksonville (2-11)0.35290-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4249


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
50. Pennsylvania (9-5)0.53170-30-12-0
68. Princeton (7-5)0.51870-20-00-2
183. Columbia (5-7)0.44380-10-10-2
236. Cornell (4-8)0.41520-00-10-2
241. Harvard (6-8)0.41000-00-00-2
296. Brown (2-12)0.37470-00-00-3
301. Dartmouth (1-12)0.37050-00-00-3
316. Yale (1-13)0.33470-00-00-4


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4226


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
101. Butler (6-8)0.49280-00-11-2
117. Cleveland St (6-6)0.48600-00-10-2
148. Wisc Milwaukee (3-9)0.46380-20-10-1
201. Detroit (3-9)0.43650-00-01-3
232. Wisc Green Bay (2-11)0.41690-10-10-1
285. Loyola Chi (1-10)0.38520-10-00-2
305. Illinois Chi (0-13)0.36590-00-00-2
317. Wright St (0-13)0.33330-00-00-2


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4137


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
143. Coppin St (7-10)0.46710-30-10-3
157. Hampton (8-5)0.45720-00-00-1
176. Bethune Cookman (5-11)0.44690-20-10-2
200. SO Carolina St (8-8)0.43670-00-20-1
217. Norfolk St (7-8)0.42340-00-00-0
227. MD Eastrn Shore (5-11)0.41960-10-00-3
248. NO Carolina A&T (6-10)0.40800-10-00-0
255. Florida A&M (3-10)0.40400-10-10-0
292. Howard (0-15)0.37810-30-10-2
310. Morgan St (1-15)0.35880-00-20-2
313. Delaware St (2-12)0.35120-10-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4135


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
128. Radford (8-7)0.47790-10-00-1
154. Winthrop (5-7)0.45850-11-10-0
210. Coast Carolina (4-12)0.42840-10-20-1
222. NC Asheville (2-16)0.42190-30-20-2
261. Liberty (4-10)0.39940-00-01-1
262. Elon (2-12)0.39930-10-10-2
300. High Point (1-13)0.37140-10-20-1
314. Charleston Sou (1-11)0.35090-00-00-1


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4087


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
158. Oakland (6-9)0.45710-10-10-1
180. Youngstown St (5-8)0.44580-10-10-0
231. Mo Kansas City (5-10)0.41780-10-10-0
243. Western Ill (3-12)0.40990-20-10-1
260. Iupui (3-13)0.39950-10-00-2
279. Valparaiso (4-8)0.39080-00-00-1
281. Chicago St (3-13)0.38970-00-20-1
286. Southern Utah (2-11)0.38410-00-20-2
287. Oral Roberts (3-9)0.38330-00-00-1


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4074


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
206. Stony Brook (3-11)0.43300-00-30-2
219. Belmont (1-11)0.42340-00-20-2
249. Albany NY (4-12)0.40750-10-00-1
252. Centenary (3-14)0.40540-20-10-2
268. TX Pan American (1-11)0.39740-10-20-2
293. Denver (1-12)0.37780-00-10-1


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.3979


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
175. Texas Southern (6-6)0.44710-00-10-1
190. Alabama St (4-7)0.44050-00-00-2
191. Alcorn St (6-9)0.44050-20-10-2
253. Miss Valley St (2-14)0.40540-30-10-0
269. Southern (6-8)0.39700-00-00-0
270. Jackson St (5-10)0.39640-00-10-1
302. Prairie View (2-13)0.36770-00-00-2
307. Ark Pine Bluff (1-13)0.36440-10-10-1
318. Grambling (0-15)0.32210-10-00-2
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