NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Neutral

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:41:32 EDT 2000


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5754


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. North Carolina (7-4)0.65854-31-02-1
30. Duke (6-3)0.63082-30-02-0
44. NO Carolina St (1-1)0.60820-10-01-0
54. Maryland (5-4)0.59641-20-13-0
67. Wake Forest (2-3)0.58291-10-21-0
83. Clemson (0-1)0.56790-10-00-0
97. Florida St (1-1)0.55110-10-00-0
115. Virginia (3-2)0.53590-00-01-2
213. Georgia Tech (2-3)0.44680-20-00-0


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5686


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Iowa St (7-2)0.70142-23-00-0
5. Oklahoma St (4-2)0.68911-22-01-0
8. Texas (5-2)0.67581-21-03-0
27. Oklahoma (6-2)0.63711-21-01-0
53. Kansas (5-3)0.60040-31-01-0
68. Colorado (3-2)0.57960-12-00-0
74. Missouri (3-4)0.57401-40-01-0
87. Baylor (1-1)0.56500-10-00-0
162. Kansas St (0-1)0.48650-10-00-0
169. Texas A&M (2-1)0.48310-00-00-1
240. Texas Tech (0-1)0.42050-00-10-0
255. Nebraska (1-3)0.41110-00-00-1


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5681


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Florida (8-2)0.69664-11-13-0
17. LSU (6-2)0.64691-12-12-0
19. Arkansas (6-2)0.64552-11-11-0
23. Auburn (5-3)0.63951-21-12-0
52. South Carolina (3-3)0.60111-10-21-0
62. Vanderbilt (1-1)0.58630-10-00-0
63. Kentucky (4-5)0.58461-32-20-0
72. Mississippi (3-1)0.57430-10-00-0
76. Tennessee (2-3)0.57251-20-01-1
219. Mississippi St (2-5)0.43770-10-10-0
236. Georgia (1-3)0.42580-10-20-0
260. Alabama (0-3)0.40650-00-00-2


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5621


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Michigan St (11-1)0.69926-11-02-0
6. Wisconsin (7-2)0.68624-22-00-0
12. Indiana (3-2)0.65373-10-10-0
26. Purdue (4-3)0.63762-32-00-0
33. Iowa (2-2)0.62551-20-00-0
36. Illinois (4-4)0.61731-31-12-0
65. Penn St (3-2)0.58350-11-01-1
117. Ohio St (1-2)0.53110-00-10-1
272. Michigan (0-1)0.39190-00-00-1
283. Northwestern (0-4)0.37960-10-00-0
285. Minnesota (0-1)0.37760-00-00-1


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5620


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Connecticut (6-3)0.65302-22-01-1
20. St Johns (5-2)0.64461-02-12-0
46. Seton Hall (3-3)0.60771-31-00-0
47. Syracuse (2-2)0.60571-10-00-1
51. Miami Fla (4-3)0.60150-22-01-0
70. Boston College (3-2)0.57900-20-01-0
77. Villanova (3-2)0.57130-10-01-1
85. Georgetown (4-3)0.56591-30-01-0
114. Notre Dame (1-3)0.53610-20-10-0
120. Rutgers (3-4)0.52970-00-01-4
151. Pittsburgh (1-1)0.49490-00-10-0
198. Providence (0-4)0.45990-10-10-2
204. West Virginia (2-4)0.45630-10-00-1


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5529


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Stanford (5-1)0.65411-11-01-0
14. UCLA (4-2)0.65081-11-00-0
24. Oregon (2-1)0.63900-01-11-0
50. Arizona (3-2)0.60411-20-01-0
69. California (2-1)0.57900-10-01-0
81. Arizona St (2-2)0.56870-10-01-1
116. USC (2-3)0.53200-20-10-0
122. Oregon St (1-1)0.52690-00-00-1
274. Washington (0-2)0.39020-00-00-1
281. Washington St (0-1)0.38400-00-00-1


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5442


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. Temple (5-2)0.64570-12-10-0
22. St Bonaventure (4-2)0.64200-21-02-0
41. Dayton (3-2)0.61011-10-10-0
43. St Josephs PA (2-1)0.60970-00-11-0
88. Fordham (2-2)0.56350-00-01-1
110. Geo Washington (2-3)0.53821-10-01-0
112. Xavier (3-2)0.53660-11-10-0
119. Virginia Tech (2-3)0.53030-10-10-1
143. Rhode Island (2-3)0.50260-00-00-3
149. Massachusetts (2-3)0.49580-10-00-1
205. Duquesne (1-4)0.45360-00-01-1
269. LA Salle (1-3)0.40180-00-00-1


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5389


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. BYU (2-1)0.63140-01-11-0
32. Unlv (4-1)0.62770-11-02-0
89. Utah (2-2)0.56290-11-10-0
96. Colorado St (3-2)0.55110-01-10-1
102. Wyoming (2-3)0.54730-10-20-0
159. New Mexico (0-1)0.48800-00-10-0
160. San Diego St (0-1)0.48740-00-10-0
250. Air Force (0-2)0.41500-00-10-0


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5303


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Fresno St (5-2)0.65081-21-00-0
21. Tulsa (8-2)0.64362-12-12-0
31. Hawaii (2-1)0.63040-00-12-0
132. TCU (1-3)0.51100-10-00-2
146. Texas El Paso (0-1)0.49710-00-10-0
180. San Jose St (1-3)0.47490-00-00-2
232. SMU (0-1)0.42700-00-00-0
258. Rice (0-2)0.40750-10-00-0


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5259


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. Creighton (4-1)0.61570-01-11-0
48. SW Missouri St (4-2)0.60560-00-13-1
64. Southern Ill (2-2)0.58430-10-10-0
103. Drake (1-1)0.54730-00-10-0
123. Indiana St (4-3)0.52620-10-01-1
150. Wichita St (1-1)0.49550-00-00-1
157. Evansville (2-2)0.48830-00-00-2
178. Illinois St (1-2)0.47550-01-00-0
183. Northern Iowa (2-1)0.47210-00-00-0
211. Bradley (0-3)0.44890-00-10-2


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5054


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. St Louis (4-1)0.68971-01-12-0
16. Cincinnati (5-2)0.64942-10-11-0
49. SO Mississippi (3-1)0.60480-00-11-0
109. DePaul (2-3)0.54040-20-11-0
118. Houston (3-3)0.53030-00-01-3
127. NC Charlotte (0-2)0.52050-10-10-0
145. Louisville (1-2)0.49940-00-10-1
170. Memphis (1-3)0.48170-00-10-2
182. Tulane (1-1)0.47350-00-10-0
259. Uab (1-1)0.40670-00-00-0
264. South Florida (1-3)0.40360-00-10-0
312. Marquette (0-1)0.26490-00-00-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4963


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. Gonzaga (5-4)0.62111-22-11-1
71. Pepperdine (4-3)0.57741-10-21-0
105. Santa Clara (3-3)0.54620-10-20-0
153. Loyola Marymnt (0-1)0.49320-00-10-0
201. San Diego (2-2)0.45750-00-10-0
230. St Marys CA (0-0)0.42780-00-00-0
234. San Francisco (0-1)0.42600-00-00-1
239. Portland (0-1)0.42100-00-00-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4893


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. New Mexico St (2-1)0.63890-00-11-0
58. Utah St (4-2)0.59000-20-02-0
91. Nevada (1-1)0.56000-00-10-0
93. Idaho (3-2)0.55900-00-00-1
128. UC Irvine (1-1)0.51390-00-00-1
135. Pacific (1-1)0.51020-00-10-0
181. North Texas (1-1)0.47430-00-00-1
187. Boise St (0-0)0.46960-00-00-0
202. Long Beach St (1-3)0.45700-00-00-2
223. Cal Poly (0-0)0.43520-00-00-0
267. CS Fullerton (0-0)0.40280-00-00-0
313. Santa Barbara (0-1)0.26090-00-00-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4878


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. Weber St (2-0)0.61040-00-00-0
45. Northrn Arizona (2-1)0.60790-10-00-0
111. CS Northridge (0-0)0.53780-00-00-0
141. Montana St (2-4)0.50400-10-00-2
165. Sacramento St (1-0)0.48570-00-00-0
192. Portland St (1-2)0.46460-00-00-2
194. Idaho St (1-2)0.46380-00-00-0
226. Eastern Wash (0-1)0.43170-00-00-1
308. Montana (0-1)0.28410-00-00-0


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4844


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Miami Ohio (3-1)0.65540-00-12-0
42. Ball St (5-1)0.61010-00-13-0
66. Kent (2-1)0.58330-00-01-1
75. Ohio (5-3)0.57400-01-21-1
86. Central Mich (1-1)0.56560-00-00-1
107. Toledo (4-3)0.54440-00-20-0
147. Eastern Mich (1-1)0.49690-00-00-1
186. Marshall (3-1)0.47000-00-00-1
225. Western Mich (0-2)0.43220-00-00-2
263. Northern Ill (0-1)0.40570-00-00-1
268. Bowling Green (0-1)0.40210-00-00-1
296. Buffalo (0-2)0.34960-00-00-1
316. Akron (0-1)0.20850-00-00-0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4836


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Richmond (3-0)0.68560-00-01-0
59. NC Wilmington (0-1)0.58930-10-00-0
131. William & Mary (1-1)0.51150-00-00-0
144. James Madison (1-1)0.50260-00-00-1
168. VA Commonwealth (0-0)0.48320-00-00-0
176. American (1-1)0.47740-00-00-1
189. George Mason (1-1)0.46810-00-00-0
295. Old Dominion (0-3)0.35500-00-00-1
310. East Carolina (0-1)0.27950-00-00-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4809


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
78. Lehigh (1-1)0.57100-00-00-0
92. Lafayette (4-1)0.55970-10-00-0
113. Navy (1-1)0.53660-00-00-0
148. Bucknell (2-2)0.49690-00-00-1
179. Holy Cross (1-1)0.47520-00-00-0
247. Colgate (1-2)0.41570-00-00-0
303. Army (0-3)0.31120-00-00-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4786


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Iona (4-1)0.63400-10-01-0
106. Niagara (1-1)0.54560-00-00-1
134. Rider (2-2)0.51030-00-01-2
140. Siena (4-3)0.50550-00-00-1
184. Fairfield (1-3)0.47140-00-00-2
197. Canisius (1-4)0.45990-00-00-3
216. Manhattan (1-3)0.44100-00-00-1
231. St Peters (0-2)0.42750-00-00-1
238. Loyola MD (1-1)0.42360-00-00-0
290. Marist (0-2)0.36740-00-00-0


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4767


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
82. Coll Of Charltn (4-2)0.56810-00-00-1
90. Appalachian St (4-2)0.56150-00-11-0
108. Furman (3-2)0.54150-00-00-1
142. Wofford (2-1)0.50310-00-00-0
158. East Tenn St (1-1)0.48810-00-00-0
174. Chattanooga (1-3)0.47860-00-00-0
188. NC Greensboro (0-0)0.46930-00-00-0
191. Davidson (1-1)0.46480-00-00-0
209. VMI (1-1)0.44970-00-00-0
218. Westrn Carolina (1-1)0.43880-00-00-0
253. Geo Southern (1-2)0.41180-00-00-1
297. The Citadel (1-4)0.34520-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4763


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
79. Dartmouth (1-0)0.56910-00-00-0
98. Pennsylvania (1-1)0.54820-10-00-0
124. Princeton (1-3)0.52620-00-20-1
175. Cornell (1-2)0.47820-00-10-0
195. Yale (0-2)0.46170-00-00-0
242. Columbia (2-2)0.41990-00-00-0
244. Harvard (0-0)0.41890-00-00-0
278. Brown (0-0)0.38810-00-00-0


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4730


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
60. Louisiana Tech (1-0)0.58800-00-00-0
95. Ul Lafayette (0-0)0.55160-00-00-0
99. Arkansas St (1-1)0.54790-00-00-0
138. South Alabama (2-0)0.50870-00-00-0
155. New Orleans (1-0)0.48880-00-00-0
200. Western KY (1-3)0.45760-00-00-0
220. Arkansas Lr (0-1)0.43760-00-00-0
265. Florida Intl (0-3)0.40360-00-10-1
311. Denver (0-1)0.27330-00-00-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4723


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
55. Central Conn (3-1)0.59550-10-00-0
94. Wagner (1-0)0.55850-00-00-0
100. St Francis NY (2-1)0.54790-00-00-0
152. Fair Dickinson (0-0)0.49330-00-00-0
185. Robert Morris (2-2)0.47020-00-00-0
196. Liu Brooklyn (1-1)0.46000-00-00-0
273. Mt St Marys (0-2)0.39060-00-00-0
275. St Francis PA (0-1)0.39000-00-00-0
298. Monmouth NJ (0-2)0.34500-00-00-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4703


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
80. Eastern Ill (1-1)0.56880-00-00-1
101. Murray St (5-2)0.54740-00-10-1
104. SE Missouri St (0-1)0.54640-10-00-0
121. Austin Peay (2-1)0.52710-00-00-0
163. Tennessee Tech (1-1)0.48640-00-00-0
164. Middle Tenn St (0-0)0.48600-00-00-0
270. Morehead St (0-0)0.39880-00-00-0
271. Tennessee St (1-4)0.39600-00-00-1
279. Eastern KY (0-0)0.38740-00-00-0
293. Tenn Martin (0-1)0.35860-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4685


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
34. Lamar (3-1)0.62120-10-00-0
84. Northwestern St (2-1)0.56760-00-00-0
125. Tex San Antonio (1-1)0.52380-00-00-0
137. SW Texas St (2-2)0.50920-00-00-0
177. Sam Houston (3-2)0.47580-00-00-0
193. Nicholls St (0-1)0.46410-00-00-0
228. SE Louisiana (0-0)0.43100-00-00-0
251. McNeese St (0-0)0.41390-00-00-0
266. Texas Arlington (0-1)0.40310-00-00-0
280. Stephen Austin (0-0)0.38410-00-00-0
292. Ul Monroe (0-1)0.35930-00-00-0


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4654


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
38. Butler (3-1)0.61550-10-00-0
126. Wisc Milwaukee (1-2)0.52160-00-10-1
136. Detroit (2-3)0.50950-00-20-1
190. Wisc Green Bay (2-3)0.46600-00-00-1
206. Illinois Chi (1-2)0.45340-00-00-0
243. Wright St (0-1)0.41900-00-00-0
284. Loyola Chi (1-1)0.37830-00-00-0
291. Cleveland St (0-3)0.35990-10-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4457


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
129. Valparaiso (4-4)0.51250-10-00-1
161. Iupui (1-0)0.48650-00-00-0
173. Oakland (0-2)0.48110-10-00-1
203. Mo Kansas City (0-0)0.45630-00-00-0
237. Youngstown St (1-2)0.42390-00-10-0
246. Chicago St (0-0)0.41810-00-00-0
249. Southern Utah (1-1)0.41560-00-00-0
256. Western Ill (1-2)0.41080-00-00-1
261. Oral Roberts (2-4)0.40610-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4358


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
39. Hofstra (5-1)0.61360-10-01-0
61. Delaware (5-1)0.58720-00-00-1
139. Drexel (3-2)0.50720-00-00-1
156. Maine (5-3)0.48870-00-10-1
207. Hartford (1-1)0.45310-00-00-0
214. Boston U (1-3)0.44340-00-00-1
215. Towson (1-2)0.44270-00-00-1
302. Vermont (0-1)0.32280-00-00-0
305. New Hampshire (0-2)0.29530-00-00-0
317. Northeastern (0-1)0.20390-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4136


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
73. Bethune Cookman (1-0)0.57410-00-00-0
166. Coppin St (1-1)0.48410-00-00-0
171. Hampton (2-2)0.48150-00-00-0
221. SO Carolina St (1-3)0.43670-10-00-0
235. NO Carolina A&T (2-1)0.42580-00-00-0
257. MD Eastrn Shore (0-0)0.41000-00-00-0
286. Delaware St (0-2)0.37250-00-00-0
287. Florida A&M (1-6)0.37010-00-00-0
289. Howard (0-3)0.36990-00-00-1
300. Morgan St (0-1)0.33030-00-00-0
307. Norfolk St (0-3)0.29400-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4074


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
57. Jackson St (4-1)0.59250-10-00-0
172. Southern (2-1)0.48140-00-00-0
222. Prairie View (1-1)0.43560-00-00-0
241. Alabama St (0-2)0.42020-00-00-0
248. Alcorn St (2-1)0.41570-00-00-0
288. Ark Pine Bluff (0-0)0.37010-00-00-0
299. Grambling (0-3)0.34400-00-00-0
301. Texas Southern (0-2)0.32670-00-00-0
309. Miss Valley St (0-1)0.28010-00-00-0


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4060


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
56. Samford (5-2)0.59381-10-10-0
133. Central Florida (2-2)0.51050-00-00-0
167. Stetson (1-1)0.48340-00-00-1
227. Campbell (0-1)0.43110-00-00-0
254. Georgia St (1-1)0.41130-00-00-0
276. Troy St (1-1)0.38990-00-00-0
277. Mercer (2-4)0.38940-00-10-0
304. Jacksonville St (0-1)0.30390-00-00-0
306. Fla Atlantic (0-2)0.29490-00-00-0
314. Jacksonville (0-1)0.25220-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4052


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
130. Winthrop (1-1)0.51210-10-00-0
208. NC Asheville (0-0)0.44980-00-00-0
210. Elon (0-0)0.44900-00-00-0
229. Charleston Sou (1-3)0.42910-00-00-0
233. Liberty (0-0)0.42630-00-00-0
245. High Point (1-1)0.41860-00-00-0
294. Radford (1-1)0.35560-00-00-0
318. Coast Carolina (0-1)0.20080-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.3712


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
199. Stony Brook (1-1)0.45970-00-00-0
224. TX Pan American (0-0)0.43520-00-00-0
252. Belmont (0-0)0.41360-00-00-0
262. Albany NY (0-0)0.40590-00-00-0
311. Denver (0-1)0.27330-00-00-0
315. Centenary (0-1)0.23950-00-00-0
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