NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Home

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:41:35 EDT 2000


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.6019


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Kentucky (13-0)0.69643-04-03-0
11. Tennessee (15-1)0.63922-02-14-0
21. Alabama (11-3)0.61961-23-01-0
25. LSU (17-1)0.61503-12-01-0
28. Florida (15-2)0.61092-22-01-0
29. Auburn (16-1)0.61071-11-04-0
41. Vanderbilt (14-3)0.59963-10-11-1
48. Mississippi (12-3)0.59570-23-01-0
75. Arkansas (11-5)0.58270-32-01-2
113. Mississippi St (9-4)0.56241-20-21-0
116. South Carolina (10-6)0.55900-50-11-0
161. Georgia (8-6)0.53160-30-23-0


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5927


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Wisconsin (11-3)0.65005-11-12-1
10. Michigan St (14-0)0.64294-01-03-0
18. Indiana (12-2)0.62573-00-15-1
24. Illinois (13-2)0.61642-21-03-0
47. Purdue (12-3)0.59583-00-13-2
55. Ohio St (15-2)0.59224-00-02-2
58. Minnesota (11-4)0.59031-30-14-0
60. Michigan (12-5)0.58961-41-12-0
67. Iowa (9-4)0.58671-40-03-0
93. Penn St (10-4)0.56891-30-12-0
251. Northwestern (5-12)0.46080-50-20-2


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5912


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Cincinnati (14-1)0.66250-15-04-0
12. Louisville (13-3)0.63922-13-03-2
17. Uab (12-2)0.62840-13-01-1
36. St Louis (12-3)0.60410-12-13-0
49. DePaul (13-4)0.59572-10-24-1
53. NC Charlotte (11-3)0.59340-12-22-0
54. Marquette (12-4)0.59290-12-22-0
70. South Florida (12-2)0.58521-01-03-1
76. Tulane (15-2)0.58150-11-03-1
89. Memphis (10-5)0.57060-12-22-1
125. SO Mississippi (9-4)0.55220-01-00-3
223. Houston (4-9)0.48870-20-21-2


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5893


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Kansas (13-1)0.67411-14-03-0
6. Texas (13-1)0.65493-10-02-0
13. Iowa St (16-0)0.63523-01-02-0
20. Oklahoma (15-2)0.62272-21-01-0
26. Oklahoma St (14-1)0.61432-10-01-0
32. Colorado (12-2)0.60852-10-12-0
84. Missouri (10-5)0.57411-40-03-0
124. Nebraska (10-6)0.55270-30-11-0
132. Kansas St (8-7)0.54910-41-10-2
140. Texas Tech (8-6)0.54600-50-11-0
143. Baylor (10-7)0.54420-40-11-1
216. Texas A&M (5-7)0.49621-30-01-0


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5775


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Maryland (16-1)0.65472-10-06-0
27. Duke (13-2)0.61401-21-03-0
62. Wake Forest (10-4)0.58943-20-01-1
66. North Carolina (9-5)0.58671-21-12-1
83. NO Carolina St (14-3)0.57431-20-03-0
86. Georgia Tech (11-5)0.57211-30-02-2
105. Virginia (11-2)0.56512-10-01-1
142. Florida St (8-7)0.54440-41-12-1
213. Clemson (8-11)0.49710-30-02-2


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5758


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. St Johns (13-1)0.66122-02-13-0
14. Syracuse (17-1)0.63503-02-14-0
22. Villanova (13-2)0.61940-11-13-0
35. Connecticut (13-3)0.60532-11-11-1
50. West Virginia (7-3)0.59550-10-12-1
81. Georgetown (11-4)0.57800-12-21-1
98. Seton Hall (13-3)0.56761-11-11-1
101. Miami Fla (11-5)0.56581-30-03-1
112. Notre Dame (13-4)0.56272-10-22-0
128. Pittsburgh (9-7)0.55160-31-21-1
148. Rutgers (8-6)0.53920-21-22-2
188. Boston College (7-8)0.51460-21-11-2
222. Providence (8-9)0.48870-21-11-1


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5686


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Arizona (17-1)0.65092-03-05-1
33. UCLA (12-4)0.60851-23-13-1
46. USC (10-3)0.59661-11-12-1
64. Oregon (11-3)0.58831-11-04-1
72. Arizona St (11-3)0.58400-21-13-0
77. Stanford (11-2)0.58100-11-13-0
126. California (10-7)0.55220-21-22-2
156. Oregon St (7-6)0.53421-10-21-3
202. Washington (4-9)0.50440-31-20-3
228. Washington St (5-9)0.48600-20-41-1


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5659


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Bradley (12-2)0.63300-11-03-1
34. Indiana St (12-1)0.60810-01-12-0
38. SW Missouri St (12-2)0.60150-01-03-2
65. Southern Ill (11-3)0.58700-00-12-2
92. Creighton (10-3)0.56950-10-12-1
107. Northern Iowa (10-4)0.56410-00-13-2
123. Evansville (12-3)0.55310-00-11-2
173. Drake (8-5)0.52711-00-11-2
189. Wichita St (9-6)0.51440-01-11-3
205. Illinois St (7-6)0.50120-11-00-3


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5615


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
39. Butler (14-0)0.60080-00-01-0
40. Wisc Green Bay (10-2)0.59970-01-01-1
61. Detroit (13-0)0.58950-00-01-0
114. Wright St (11-3)0.56061-00-00-1
117. Wisc Milwaukee (10-3)0.55890-10-00-1
147. Cleveland St (9-5)0.54030-11-01-1
169. Loyola Chi (12-3)0.52860-00-00-1
191. Illinois Chi (9-5)0.51320-00-10-2


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5608


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
42. Tulsa (14-1)0.59960-01-12-0
57. SMU (13-2)0.59170-11-02-1
88. Fresno St (12-4)0.57061-00-13-2
90. TCU (12-5)0.56980-10-21-1
120. San Jose St (7-3)0.55480-10-11-1
136. Texas El Paso (11-6)0.54690-11-13-2
137. Hawaii (14-4)0.54670-11-12-2
200. Rice (3-7)0.50640-10-10-2


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5577


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Utah (15-0)0.63471-03-02-0
30. Wyoming (12-1)0.61030-03-01-0
37. BYU (11-2)0.60390-01-13-1
103. Unlv (15-2)0.56570-11-13-0
104. Colorado St (9-3)0.56540-02-12-2
122. New Mexico (10-7)0.55370-12-20-2
226. Air Force (4-7)0.48680-01-21-2
275. San Diego St (4-9)0.44120-00-40-2


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5544


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
19. Kent (10-1)0.62460-01-03-1
31. Bowling Green (11-0)0.60950-01-03-0
56. Ohio (10-2)0.59180-02-03-0
68. Ball St (9-2)0.58670-00-05-0
94. Akron (10-2)0.56880-01-02-2
96. Marshall (10-3)0.56850-02-01-3
109. Miami Ohio (8-5)0.56350-01-12-4
119. Toledo (7-3)0.55650-01-02-1
121. Northern Ill (7-4)0.55411-00-22-2
163. Western Mich (7-5)0.53120-00-13-1
166. Eastern Mich (6-4)0.52980-00-21-1
250. Buffalo (4-9)0.46140-10-10-4
252. Central Mich (3-10)0.46060-00-20-5


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5540


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Temple (13-0)0.65701-02-04-0
23. Xavier (13-1)0.61721-01-02-0
44. St Bonaventure (11-2)0.59851-00-12-0
73. Dayton (13-2)0.58370-11-12-0
80. Geo Washington (9-4)0.57910-13-01-2
133. Virginia Tech (9-4)0.54880-01-02-1
135. St Josephs PA (7-6)0.54751-10-21-0
141. LA Salle (6-5)0.54580-10-21-1
160. Massachusetts (6-6)0.53170-21-20-1
183. Fordham (6-5)0.51880-12-00-0
239. Duquesne (7-6)0.47780-00-11-0
273. Rhode Island (1-9)0.44260-20-10-1


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.5413


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
45. Northrn Arizona (10-2)0.59830-01-02-1
71. CS Northridge (11-1)0.58400-00-02-0
82. Eastern Wash (7-1)0.57480-00-02-0
106. Weber St (8-4)0.56430-02-01-2
144. Montana (9-5)0.54340-00-12-3
153. Montana St (5-2)0.53570-00-01-1
180. Portland St (6-4)0.51930-00-12-1
231. Sacramento St (6-6)0.48520-00-01-2
246. Idaho St (3-6)0.46660-00-01-3


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.5370


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
59. George Mason (12-2)0.58970-00-01-0
74. James Madison (13-0)0.58270-00-02-0
102. NC Wilmington (12-2)0.56570-00-02-1
115. VA Commonwealth (12-3)0.55970-01-02-2
162. William & Mary (7-4)0.53140-00-01-1
194. American (8-4)0.51170-00-00-2
204. Old Dominion (8-5)0.50270-00-02-0
208. Richmond (7-6)0.49980-00-00-2
219. East Carolina (5-6)0.48970-00-00-3


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.5154


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
79. South Alabama (12-3)0.57940-01-01-3
85. Ul Lafayette (14-4)0.57270-01-11-1
87. Western KY (8-2)0.57150-00-01-1
134. Louisiana Tech (10-1)0.54750-00-01-0
190. Florida Intl (10-7)0.51400-00-20-1
214. Arkansas St (6-5)0.49700-00-00-2
224. New Orleans (8-6)0.48820-00-00-1
264. Denver (5-9)0.45120-00-10-3
289. Arkansas Lr (4-10)0.41720-10-00-2


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5149


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
51. Pepperdine (11-1)0.59480-01-02-1
69. Gonzaga (11-1)0.58580-01-01-0
99. Santa Clara (10-3)0.56730-11-12-0
176. San Diego (9-2)0.52480-01-11-0
195. San Francisco (10-4)0.51080-00-20-1
220. Portland (6-5)0.48940-00-21-1
247. St Marys CA (6-6)0.46420-00-20-1
308. Loyola Marymnt (0-10)0.38180-00-20-2


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5130


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
95. Siena (13-1)0.56880-00-00-1
108. Niagara (10-2)0.56360-10-01-1
138. Iona (9-3)0.54620-00-00-1
157. Fairfield (8-2)0.53250-00-01-0
159. Rider (9-3)0.53210-00-01-1
182. Marist (8-4)0.51880-00-01-2
185. Canisius (8-5)0.51790-00-11-2
206. Manhattan (7-4)0.50090-00-00-2
278. Loyola MD (5-7)0.43330-00-01-1
292. St Peters (4-8)0.41550-00-00-1


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5107


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
78. SE Missouri St (14-1)0.58060-00-00-1
111. Eastern Ill (9-2)0.56270-00-01-2
131. Murray St (9-3)0.54990-00-00-2
158. Tennessee Tech (9-3)0.53220-00-00-2
178. Austin Peay (8-3)0.52250-00-02-1
186. Tenn Martin (6-4)0.51690-00-02-1
187. Middle Tenn St (8-4)0.51630-10-01-1
229. Tennessee St (5-5)0.48580-00-02-0
287. Morehead St (3-7)0.42350-00-00-2
290. Eastern KY (3-8)0.41620-00-00-2


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.5048


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
43. Utah St (12-1)0.59880-01-12-0
91. Long Beach St (11-1)0.56980-00-13-0
110. New Mexico St (12-2)0.56280-00-12-0
167. Santa Barbara (7-5)0.52900-10-30-1
179. Idaho (5-4)0.52000-00-20-2
221. Boise St (7-7)0.48910-10-12-2
230. UC Irvine (8-5)0.48560-00-00-1
234. North Texas (5-7)0.48340-10-11-1
243. Pacific (7-6)0.47200-01-10-2
244. Nevada (5-7)0.47100-00-10-3
272. Cal Poly (4-9)0.44340-00-11-2
280. CS Fullerton (6-7)0.43210-00-00-2


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4919


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
52. Hofstra (11-0)0.59420-00-02-0
100. Maine (10-1)0.56650-00-01-1
118. Delaware (12-1)0.55810-00-02-0
151. Vermont (9-2)0.53600-00-01-1
218. Drexel (6-5)0.49000-00-00-2
241. Hartford (6-7)0.47380-00-00-2
267. Towson (5-7)0.44760-00-00-2
269. Northeastern (4-7)0.44630-00-01-1
276. Boston U (4-7)0.43760-00-00-2
315. New Hampshire (2-10)0.36850-00-00-2


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4894


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
129. Coll Of Charltn (9-1)0.55100-00-00-0
139. Appalachian St (8-1)0.54610-00-00-0
152. Wofford (8-1)0.53570-00-00-0
164. Geo Southern (9-2)0.53110-00-00-0
196. Davidson (6-3)0.51070-00-01-0
211. Furman (5-4)0.49750-00-00-0
215. Westrn Carolina (6-3)0.49650-00-00-0
227. NC Greensboro (8-4)0.48640-00-00-0
240. East Tenn St (6-5)0.47740-00-00-0
242. Chattanooga (6-6)0.47260-00-00-1
301. The Citadel (2-8)0.39810-00-00-0
314. VMI (1-9)0.36920-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4885


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
154. Radford (8-2)0.53540-00-00-1
155. Winthrop (11-1)0.53510-00-00-0
174. Elon (8-1)0.52640-00-00-0
207. NC Asheville (7-3)0.50010-00-00-0
245. High Point (5-3)0.46680-00-00-0
248. Liberty (6-4)0.46400-00-00-0
262. Coast Carolina (5-5)0.45160-00-00-1
283. Charleston Sou (4-5)0.42840-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4875


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
63. Sam Houston (7-0)0.58840-00-00-0
145. Northwestern St (9-2)0.54210-00-00-0
170. Tex San Antonio (6-2)0.52770-00-00-0
171. Ul Monroe (9-2)0.52730-00-01-0
175. Lamar (10-3)0.52600-00-00-1
217. Texas Arlington (7-4)0.49110-00-00-0
258. Nicholls St (5-5)0.45370-00-00-0
259. SW Texas St (5-6)0.45340-00-00-0
274. SE Louisiana (5-6)0.44250-00-00-0
277. McNeese St (4-8)0.43660-00-00-2
312. Stephen Austin (1-12)0.37350-00-00-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4790


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
150. Central Conn (14-1)0.53820-00-00-0
184. Robert Morris (8-3)0.51800-00-00-0
197. Fair Dickinson (9-4)0.50830-00-00-0
203. St Francis NY (7-4)0.50360-00-01-0
210. Monmouth NJ (7-5)0.49770-00-00-0
254. St Francis PA (6-6)0.45910-00-00-0
261. Wagner (5-5)0.45170-00-00-0
281. Mt St Marys (5-5)0.43000-00-00-0
295. Liu Brooklyn (2-7)0.40420-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4710


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
97. Southern Utah (11-0)0.56800-00-00-0
177. Oral Roberts (7-3)0.52311-00-00-1
181. Valparaiso (8-1)0.51900-00-00-0
201. Mo Kansas City (9-3)0.50440-01-00-0
253. Chicago St (6-5)0.45940-00-00-0
256. Oakland (6-6)0.45870-00-00-2
257. Youngstown St (5-5)0.45470-00-00-1
310. Iupui (3-8)0.37870-00-00-0
313. Western Ill (2-8)0.37250-00-00-0


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4685


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
149. Troy St (10-2)0.53910-00-00-0
168. Samford (8-2)0.52880-00-00-0
209. Jacksonville St (9-3)0.49800-00-00-0
225. Georgia St (8-6)0.48790-00-10-1
233. Central Florida (8-7)0.48390-00-10-0
249. Campbell (6-7)0.46240-00-00-0
270. Jacksonville (5-6)0.44610-00-00-0
271. Stetson (5-5)0.44580-00-00-0
279. Mercer (4-6)0.43220-00-00-0
316. Fla Atlantic (1-10)0.36090-00-00-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4557


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
165. Lafayette (9-1)0.53040-00-00-0
172. Navy (13-2)0.52720-00-00-2
199. Bucknell (7-4)0.50710-00-01-1
285. Lehigh (4-7)0.42780-00-00-1
293. Colgate (5-6)0.41400-00-00-0
305. Army (2-9)0.39450-00-00-0
307. Holy Cross (4-9)0.38890-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4550


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
127. Pennsylvania (11-2)0.55190-00-11-1
130. Princeton (10-2)0.55060-00-01-1
263. Yale (6-5)0.45130-00-01-1
265. Columbia (5-5)0.45010-00-00-2
282. Harvard (5-7)0.42930-00-00-2
286. Dartmouth (5-6)0.42660-00-00-2
297. Brown (6-7)0.40260-00-00-2
311. Cornell (4-7)0.37780-00-00-2


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4455


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
192. Centenary (4-1)0.51230-00-00-0
237. TX Pan American (7-3)0.48060-00-00-1
264. Denver (5-9)0.45120-00-10-3
288. Stony Brook (1-9)0.42290-10-00-1
296. Belmont (3-9)0.40370-00-00-1
298. Albany NY (3-4)0.40230-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4337


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
146. Alcorn St (9-0)0.54030-00-00-0
193. Southern (8-1)0.51210-00-00-0
238. Jackson St (7-4)0.47840-00-00-1
268. Miss Valley St (4-4)0.44660-00-00-1
284. Alabama St (5-5)0.42810-00-00-1
294. Texas Southern (4-4)0.40940-00-00-0
300. Prairie View (3-5)0.39960-00-00-0
309. Ark Pine Bluff (3-6)0.37900-00-00-0
318. Grambling (0-9)0.30960-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4328


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
212. SO Carolina St (10-3)0.49730-00-00-0
232. NO Carolina A&T (6-2)0.48470-00-00-0
235. Bethune Cookman (7-2)0.48220-00-00-0
255. Hampton (7-5)0.45880-00-00-1
260. Coppin St (7-4)0.45330-00-00-0
266. Florida A&M (5-5)0.44770-00-00-0
291. Norfolk St (4-5)0.41600-00-00-0
299. Delaware St (4-8)0.39960-00-00-1
303. MD Eastrn Shore (6-6)0.39710-00-00-0
306. Morgan St (4-8)0.39080-00-00-1
317. Howard (1-9)0.33320-00-00-0
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