NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Non-League

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:41:40 EDT 2000


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5813


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Wisconsin (11-4)0.63214-13-01-1
11. Michigan St (15-4)0.62506-31-02-0
13. Indiana (10-2)0.62293-01-12-1
26. Purdue (11-4)0.60802-12-22-1
32. Iowa (7-5)0.59872-30-11-1
34. Illinois (9-4)0.59391-31-11-0
39. Michigan (9-2)0.58230-11-00-0
56. Minnesota (8-3)0.56920-00-22-0
57. Ohio St (10-3)0.56811-10-11-1
58. Penn St (8-3)0.56760-10-12-1
257. Northwestern (5-8)0.42690-00-10-1


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5686


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Kentucky (10-5)0.64232-45-11-0
9. Florida (16-3)0.62594-21-12-0
15. LSU (15-1)0.61893-11-02-0
17. Tennessee (12-2)0.61691-20-03-0
20. Auburn (12-2)0.61300-21-03-0
38. Mississippi (11-1)0.58430-10-00-0
54. Vanderbilt (10-1)0.56950-00-02-0
98. South Carolina (8-5)0.53320-20-12-0
108. Arkansas (8-6)0.52810-20-11-1
117. Alabama (6-5)0.52460-00-20-1
173. Mississippi St (8-5)0.48400-10-00-0
177. Georgia (7-6)0.48190-10-21-2


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5671


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Kansas (11-4)0.63310-34-03-1
12. Texas (10-5)0.62411-41-13-0
19. Oklahoma St (13-2)0.61450-23-01-0
25. Iowa St (12-3)0.60810-23-01-0
27. Oklahoma (13-2)0.60690-21-02-0
52. Kansas St (7-4)0.56970-21-00-1
61. Colorado (9-3)0.56230-02-02-0
74. Missouri (7-6)0.55161-40-13-0
75. Baylor (8-2)0.55050-00-01-1
83. Texas Tech (8-2)0.54570-10-01-1
132. Nebraska (7-6)0.51300-10-00-2
258. Texas A&M (4-7)0.42520-00-10-2


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5637


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Connecticut (12-3)0.62203-21-00-1
22. Syracuse (13-2)0.60992-11-13-0
29. Villanova (10-3)0.60560-10-03-1
31. St Johns (10-4)0.59921-00-34-0
44. West Virginia (8-3)0.57850-10-02-1
53. Seton Hall (11-3)0.56961-21-00-0
63. Rutgers (9-4)0.56110-10-01-3
69. Georgetown (9-3)0.55640-21-10-0
94. Notre Dame (9-5)0.53870-31-11-1
95. Miami Fla (9-7)0.53620-32-00-2
100. Boston College (8-5)0.53170-10-11-2
102. Pittsburgh (8-3)0.52980-10-00-0
166. Providence (6-6)0.48930-11-00-2


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5610


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Cincinnati (13-3)0.64993-22-02-1
16. SO Mississippi (10-2)0.61870-00-12-0
46. DePaul (9-4)0.57692-30-11-0
49. Louisville (8-5)0.57312-11-10-2
55. Tulane (11-1)0.56940-10-02-0
64. NC Charlotte (8-5)0.56030-13-10-2
66. Uab (7-4)0.55960-11-10-1
72. St Louis (7-5)0.55370-12-21-0
79. Marquette (7-4)0.54820-10-11-0
133. South Florida (9-4)0.51241-10-10-0
147. Memphis (6-6)0.50710-12-00-3
153. Houston (5-7)0.50230-20-00-4


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5607


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. North Carolina (13-6)0.63444-43-22-0
10. Maryland (12-4)0.62552-20-15-0
28. Duke (11-4)0.60652-41-02-0
43. Wake Forest (9-4)0.58022-01-21-0
48. NO Carolina St (10-1)0.57531-00-01-1
99. Virginia (10-3)0.53280-10-02-1
136. Georgia Tech (8-5)0.51120-30-00-1
149. Florida St (5-6)0.50620-21-20-0
189. Clemson (6-7)0.47390-00-01-1


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5603


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. UCLA (11-4)0.64493-23-11-0
8. Arizona (12-4)0.62983-31-03-1
30. Stanford (11-1)0.60191-11-01-0
36. California (9-3)0.58690-11-02-2
60. Oregon (8-3)0.56480-01-12-1
76. Arizona St (7-4)0.55000-10-12-2
82. Oregon St (6-3)0.54630-00-11-1
85. USC (6-5)0.54470-20-21-1
172. Washington (4-7)0.48490-10-10-3
221. Washington St (4-5)0.44890-00-20-0


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5346


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Temple (10-4)0.63892-22-13-1
40. Dayton (10-3)0.58161-10-13-0
50. Xavier (10-3)0.57271-11-02-2
62. St Bonaventure (8-4)0.56120-10-12-1
70. St Josephs PA (5-6)0.55440-20-13-1
77. Fordham (7-5)0.54920-10-02-3
121. Geo Washington (6-7)0.52181-11-01-3
125. LA Salle (6-5)0.51870-10-11-1
154. Massachusetts (5-7)0.50170-21-01-2
163. Virginia Tech (7-6)0.49050-00-12-2
198. Duquesne (5-7)0.46260-00-11-2
199. Rhode Island (3-10)0.46200-20-00-4


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5264


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. BYU (10-2)0.61550-11-02-0
42. Utah (10-4)0.58081-22-10-1
78. Unlv (10-4)0.54840-40-02-0
96. New Mexico (6-7)0.53551-10-10-2
105. Colorado St (9-5)0.52930-01-21-3
118. Wyoming (9-5)0.52440-20-10-0
209. San Diego St (4-7)0.45640-10-10-2
265. Air Force (3-9)0.42070-00-10-1


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5239


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
21. Kent (6-1)0.61120-01-01-1
23. Ball St (7-2)0.60981-10-13-0
71. Toledo (5-5)0.55430-10-21-1
81. Marshall (6-1)0.54720-00-00-1
86. Miami Ohio (4-4)0.54360-20-12-0
92. Ohio (7-5)0.54120-10-12-2
119. Eastern Mich (4-3)0.52370-10-00-1
126. Bowling Green (7-2)0.51860-00-00-1
137. Northern Ill (4-3)0.51081-00-10-0
138. Akron (5-3)0.51030-10-00-1
150. Western Mich (4-4)0.50560-00-01-2
239. Central Mich (2-6)0.43790-10-00-1
292. Buffalo (2-7)0.39630-20-00-0


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5213


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
24. Tulsa (18-2)0.60882-13-02-0
45. SMU (11-2)0.57710-01-12-1
68. Texas El Paso (9-4)0.55650-00-13-2
84. Hawaii (11-2)0.54480-01-02-2
87. Fresno St (10-7)0.54300-21-22-1
115. TCU (8-7)0.52530-00-20-4
193. San Jose St (5-6)0.46690-00-01-3
317. Rice (2-8)0.34780-00-00-0


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5210


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
47. SW Missouri St (7-4)0.57620-11-14-1
80. Southern Ill (6-5)0.54790-10-21-2
90. Northern Iowa (7-3)0.54190-10-01-1
93. Creighton (8-3)0.54100-10-11-0
101. Evansville (8-2)0.52990-00-00-2
106. Indiana St (7-5)0.52891-10-11-1
142. Bradley (4-7)0.50910-10-20-2
157. Wichita St (5-3)0.49660-10-11-0
176. Drake (5-3)0.48321-00-00-1
210. Illinois St (4-6)0.45480-11-00-1


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.5018


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
33. Weber St (5-2)0.59600-02-10-0
88. CS Northridge (7-3)0.54240-02-00-1
122. Montana St (4-4)0.51960-10-00-2
135. Northrn Arizona (4-6)0.51190-11-30-0
156. Portland St (5-3)0.49720-00-10-2
180. Montana (3-6)0.47900-00-21-1
184. Idaho St (3-6)0.47610-10-01-1
201. Sacramento St (5-5)0.46170-10-00-0
251. Eastern Wash (1-4)0.43240-00-10-1


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4887


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
113. NC Wilmington (7-5)0.52640-30-01-0
120. Richmond (5-6)0.52190-10-01-2
129. George Mason (6-6)0.51570-10-00-3
143. VA Commonwealth (7-4)0.50910-01-01-2
144. William & Mary (3-6)0.50890-10-10-0
170. James Madison (7-4)0.48570-00-00-2
182. East Carolina (3-6)0.47700-00-00-2
245. American (4-6)0.43470-00-10-1
268. Old Dominion (5-8)0.41910-00-00-2


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4886


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. Gonzaga (12-6)0.58871-32-11-2
51. Pepperdine (11-6)0.57001-21-22-1
59. San Francisco (11-1)0.56710-11-00-0
97. Santa Clara (9-6)0.53500-20-23-1
161. San Diego (7-5)0.49220-20-10-1
270. St Marys CA (4-8)0.41750-00-00-2
291. Portland (3-7)0.39650-00-11-0
318. Loyola Marymnt (0-10)0.34190-00-00-3


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4850


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
73. Wisc Milwaukee (7-5)0.55350-30-20-0
114. Wisc Green Bay (8-7)0.52570-11-11-1
128. Detroit (8-5)0.51650-00-21-2
151. Butler (8-7)0.50430-10-12-2
167. Loyola Chi (10-3)0.48860-10-00-0
183. Cleveland St (6-8)0.47690-21-10-2
277. Wright St (5-8)0.41211-00-00-1
285. Illinois Chi (4-10)0.40200-00-10-2


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4787


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. New Mexico St (8-3)0.58520-10-03-2
65. Utah St (5-6)0.55990-21-22-2
139. UC Irvine (6-4)0.50960-10-10-1
141. Long Beach St (6-3)0.50920-00-12-1
148. Boise St (5-5)0.50670-10-12-1
159. Idaho (4-6)0.49520-10-10-0
203. North Texas (2-9)0.45960-20-00-4
230. Cal Poly (2-7)0.44330-00-11-3
250. Pacific (4-7)0.43250-01-10-2
266. CS Fullerton (5-5)0.42070-00-10-0
272. Santa Barbara (2-7)0.41670-10-20-1
282. Nevada (1-9)0.40570-10-10-3


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4776


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
104. Ul Lafayette (8-5)0.52960-11-11-1
130. Florida Intl (6-6)0.51560-00-30-1
131. Arkansas St (3-7)0.51450-20-10-2
152. Louisiana Tech (8-3)0.50360-01-11-0
160. South Alabama (5-6)0.49270-11-00-2
216. New Orleans (4-7)0.45080-00-10-2
241. Denver (3-8)0.43750-00-20-2
253. Western KY (2-8)0.42970-00-11-1
259. Arkansas Lr (3-8)0.42470-20-00-2


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4671


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
41. SE Missouri St (5-2)0.58150-10-00-0
89. Murray St (6-4)0.54210-10-10-1
140. Austin Peay (4-2)0.50940-00-11-0
179. Eastern Ill (3-4)0.47960-00-01-2
186. Tennessee Tech (3-4)0.47570-10-00-0
191. Tenn Martin (1-7)0.47000-10-11-1
206. Middle Tenn St (2-4)0.45830-20-00-0
279. Eastern KY (2-6)0.40790-00-20-0
306. Tennessee St (1-9)0.37870-00-10-1
309. Morehead St (1-4)0.36830-00-00-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4645


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
110. Rider (7-3)0.52740-00-02-1
116. Niagara (6-3)0.52520-20-10-0
134. Siena (6-4)0.51210-00-00-2
162. Iona (4-6)0.49090-10-10-1
168. Fairfield (2-7)0.48780-20-20-1
207. St Peters (3-6)0.45780-00-10-1
246. Marist (4-5)0.43370-00-00-2
276. Canisius (1-9)0.41390-10-10-3
281. Manhattan (3-5)0.40660-00-00-1
295. Loyola MD (3-6)0.38900-00-00-2


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4550


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
112. Coll Of Charltn (5-2)0.52650-10-00-1
155. Davidson (2-6)0.50080-20-01-3
164. Appalachian St (4-6)0.49050-10-11-1
174. Geo Southern (4-5)0.48330-10-00-1
175. NC Greensboro (5-5)0.48330-00-00-1
188. Westrn Carolina (4-4)0.47480-00-10-2
224. Chattanooga (2-7)0.44740-00-00-2
233. Wofford (2-6)0.44230-10-10-3
240. East Tenn St (3-6)0.43790-00-10-1
256. VMI (1-7)0.42780-10-00-2
289. Furman (3-7)0.39700-00-00-2
316. The Citadel (1-8)0.34840-00-00-1


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4510


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
103. Hofstra (5-5)0.52970-20-11-2
111. Delaware (8-2)0.52740-10-01-0
185. Maine (7-3)0.47600-00-10-0
187. Hartford (3-6)0.47520-10-10-1
200. Vermont (5-4)0.46200-10-10-0
231. Towson (4-5)0.44260-00-00-1
243. Drexel (3-7)0.43570-00-10-2
290. Boston U (1-7)0.39670-00-00-1
296. New Hampshire (1-8)0.38660-20-00-0
307. Northeastern (2-7)0.37860-00-10-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4508


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
91. Sam Houston (4-3)0.54140-20-00-1
124. SE Louisiana (3-4)0.51890-10-00-2
146. Lamar (4-6)0.50720-20-00-3
165. Ul Monroe (4-3)0.49030-00-01-2
218. Texas Arlington (2-4)0.45060-00-10-1
238. Tex San Antonio (0-5)0.43850-20-00-1
267. McNeese St (1-8)0.41940-00-00-4
269. Nicholls St (1-6)0.41890-10-10-1
280. Northwestern St (2-4)0.40730-00-00-1
299. SW Texas St (1-5)0.38350-00-00-0
301. Stephen Austin (1-5)0.38310-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4506


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
107. Liberty (6-3)0.52880-00-01-1
158. Winthrop (5-6)0.49620-21-10-0
194. Radford (5-7)0.46670-10-00-2
232. Elon (3-8)0.44250-10-10-2
248. NC Asheville (1-11)0.43300-30-20-2
255. Coast Carolina (2-10)0.42910-10-20-2
283. Charleston Sou (2-7)0.40440-00-00-1
284. High Point (2-8)0.40380-10-20-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4464


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
145. Central Conn (13-3)0.50790-10-00-0
178. Fair Dickinson (7-6)0.48130-10-10-0
212. St Francis NY (7-7)0.45370-10-01-1
213. Mt St Marys (5-8)0.45340-10-10-2
217. Monmouth NJ (6-8)0.45070-00-20-1
226. Robert Morris (5-8)0.44610-00-00-2
273. Liu Brooklyn (4-8)0.41660-10-00-0
274. Wagner (6-8)0.41490-00-20-0
294. St Francis PA (4-9)0.39330-00-00-1


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4410


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
202. Southern Utah (2-5)0.46150-00-20-2
204. Western Ill (3-8)0.45910-20-10-2
205. Youngstown St (2-7)0.45910-10-20-1
227. Mo Kansas City (3-6)0.44560-11-10-0
236. Valparaiso (4-7)0.44000-10-00-2
244. Oral Roberts (3-7)0.43511-00-00-2
262. Chicago St (2-8)0.42360-00-20-1
263. Iupui (3-9)0.42290-10-00-2
264. Oakland (1-12)0.42220-20-10-4


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4403


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
127. Bucknell (8-6)0.51700-00-01-4
181. Lafayette (8-6)0.47800-10-11-1
190. Navy (9-4)0.47290-00-00-3
214. Colgate (6-7)0.45330-10-00-2
261. Holy Cross (7-8)0.42390-10-00-1
305. Lehigh (2-11)0.37890-00-10-2
313. Army (1-12)0.35790-10-10-1


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4377


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
109. Samford (5-5)0.52751-10-10-2
196. Georgia St (2-6)0.46400-10-10-1
197. Jacksonville St (4-2)0.46290-00-00-1
220. Troy St (3-5)0.44950-00-00-1
225. Campbell (2-5)0.44710-00-00-2
229. Stetson (4-4)0.44410-00-10-2
260. Fla Atlantic (0-8)0.42460-10-30-0
271. Central Florida (1-9)0.41720-00-20-1
308. Jacksonville (2-5)0.37340-00-00-0
310. Mercer (1-9)0.36680-00-30-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4355


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
67. Princeton (7-7)0.55870-20-21-2
123. Pennsylvania (7-8)0.51950-40-21-1
215. Cornell (6-6)0.45190-00-20-0
234. Columbia (5-7)0.44220-10-10-0
297. Dartmouth (2-9)0.38500-00-00-1
298. Harvard (4-8)0.38490-00-00-0
303. Brown (4-9)0.38010-00-00-1
312. Yale (2-11)0.36200-00-00-2


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4307


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
223. Stony Brook (5-19)0.44780-10-30-3
241. Denver (3-8)0.43750-00-20-2
242. TX Pan American (5-13)0.43730-10-20-3
249. Centenary (5-14)0.43270-20-10-2
252. Belmont (3-17)0.43140-00-20-3
288. Albany NY (5-16)0.39780-10-00-1


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4228


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
192. Howard (0-9)0.46890-30-10-3
208. MD Eastrn Shore (2-6)0.45730-10-00-3
219. Bethune Cookman (1-6)0.44970-20-10-2
237. Hampton (3-6)0.43890-00-00-2
247. NO Carolina A&T (2-5)0.43310-10-00-0
254. Coppin St (0-9)0.42950-30-10-3
275. Florida A&M (1-10)0.41410-10-10-0
278. Delaware St (1-8)0.41200-10-00-1
287. Morgan St (0-10)0.39920-00-20-3
293. SO Carolina St (2-9)0.39540-10-20-1
315. Norfolk St (1-8)0.35310-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4149


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
171. Alcorn St (3-6)0.48560-20-10-2
195. Alabama St (1-6)0.46410-00-00-3
211. Miss Valley St (0-10)0.45450-30-10-1
228. Jackson St (3-9)0.44440-10-10-2
286. Texas Southern (1-5)0.40100-00-10-1
300. Ark Pine Bluff (0-9)0.38350-10-10-1
302. Prairie View (1-9)0.38310-00-00-2
311. Grambling (0-11)0.36320-10-00-2
314. Southern (1-6)0.35460-00-00-0
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