NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Upward Stability

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:41:42 EDT 2000

Home Court Advantage = 4.0236

MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 3.3846


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Bradley (14-16)3.7122
18. Northern Iowa (14-15)3.5668
27. Creighton (22-10)3.4428
32. Illinois St (9-20)3.4000
37. Southern Ill (19-12)3.3769
43. Wichita St (11-17)3.3524
50. Drake (10-18)3.2998
57. SW Missouri St (22-10)3.2745
72. Evansville (17-12)3.2265
79. Indiana St (22-10)3.1938


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 3.2388


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Old Dominion (11-19)3.6180
39. VA Commonwealth (14-14)3.3741
47. American (10-18)3.3102
58. NC Wilmington (18-13)3.2652
65. Richmond (18-12)3.2443
70. East Carolina (8-18)3.2317
80. William & Mary (9-17)3.1876
151. George Mason (19-11)2.9742
160. James Madison (20-9)2.9439


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 3.2351


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Memphis (14-16)3.8426
4. NC Charlotte (17-15)3.7578
5. St Louis (18-14)3.7529
31. Houston (8-22)3.4056
35. DePaul (20-12)3.3813
56. Louisville (18-12)3.2752
62. SO Mississippi (17-12)3.2533
91. South Florida (17-13)3.1295
115. Uab (14-14)3.0701
127. Tulane (20-10)3.0322
132. Marquette (15-13)3.0212
307. Cincinnati (29-4)1.8997


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 3.1855


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Rutgers (15-15)3.6438
23. Miami Fla (23-11)3.4850
33. Villanova (19-12)3.3937
42. Georgetown (17-14)3.3619
52. Notre Dame (18-14)3.2864
61. Connecticut (25-10)3.2542
74. West Virginia (14-14)3.2246
75. Pittsburgh (13-15)3.2142
93. Seton Hall (22-10)3.1263
113. Boston College (11-19)3.0755
155. St Johns (25-8)2.9638
173. Providence (10-19)2.9087
262. Syracuse (26-6)2.4736


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 3.1780


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Wisc Green Bay (14-16)3.7271
20. Illinois Chi (10-20)3.5299
34. Wright St (11-17)3.3930
71. Detroit (18-12)3.2311
131. Loyola Chi (14-14)3.0217
142. Cleveland St (15-14)2.9955
153. Wisc Milwaukee (14-14)2.9711
245. Butler (23-9)2.5545


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 3.1613


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Geo Washington (15-15)3.7500
14. Massachusetts (16-15)3.6063
25. St Josephs PA (13-16)3.4695
30. Virginia Tech (16-15)3.4185
44. Fordham (14-15)3.3461
68. LA Salle (11-17)3.2358
78. St Bonaventure (21-10)3.1954
95. Dayton (22-9)3.1250
123. Xavier (20-11)3.0511
134. Duquesne (9-20)3.0160
248. Rhode Island (5-25)2.5511
289. Temple (27-6)2.1711


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 3.1312


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. North Carolina (22-14)4.1129
22. Wake Forest (17-14)3.4965
66. Florida St (12-17)3.2378
83. Maryland (25-10)3.1723
96. Georgia Tech (13-17)3.1193
135. Clemson (10-20)3.0089
150. NO Carolina St (17-12)2.9749
161. Virginia (19-11)2.9437
297. Duke (29-5)2.1143


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 3.1243


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
24. Oral Roberts (12-16)3.4766
69. Chicago St (9-18)3.2328
81. Iupui (7-21)3.1828
86. Valparaiso (16-13)3.1564
99. Oakland (12-17)3.1131
121. Youngstown St (11-15)3.0597
128. Mo Kansas City (14-13)3.0305
158. Southern Utah (14-12)2.9481
167. Western Ill (6-22)2.9188


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 3.0873


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
26. Rider (16-14)3.4480
55. Canisius (10-20)3.2753
63. Marist (14-14)3.2497
67. Manhattan (12-15)3.2370
97. Niagara (17-12)3.1187
98. Fairfield (14-15)3.1149
119. Iona (20-11)3.0624
126. Loyola MD (7-21)3.0417
226. St Peters (5-23)2.6634
227. Siena (23-8)2.6619


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 3.0846


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Arkansas (19-15)3.7077
19. South Carolina (15-17)3.5460
45. Kentucky (22-10)3.3373
60. Alabama (12-16)3.2595
77. Auburn (23-10)3.1961
105. Florida (29-8)3.0935
136. Mississippi St (13-17)3.0077
146. Vanderbilt (19-10)2.9872
157. Georgia (10-20)2.9605
205. Mississippi (16-13)2.7907
233. Tennessee (24-7)2.6228
258. LSU (28-6)2.5058


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.9855


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Miami Ohio (15-15)3.6754
17. Ohio (20-13)3.5679
46. Western Mich (10-19)3.3282
53. Northern Ill (11-15)3.2848
87. Toledo (18-13)3.1520
112. Central Mich (5-23)3.0783
141. Ball St (21-9)2.9996
144. Eastern Mich (13-13)2.9887
201. Akron (16-11)2.8004
221. Marshall (19-8)2.7008
232. Bowling Green (21-7)2.6317
261. Kent (19-7)2.4806
295. Buffalo (5-23)2.1229


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 2.9469


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Wisconsin (22-14)3.9721
36. Iowa (14-16)3.3783
38. Purdue (23-10)3.3758
76. Penn St (15-15)3.1990
164. Illinois (22-10)2.9341
168. Michigan (15-13)2.9168
169. Indiana (20-9)2.9148
175. Minnesota (12-16)2.9040
253. Michigan St (32-7)2.5193
268. Ohio St (23-7)2.3958
306. Northwestern (5-25)1.9063


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.9357


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. Monmouth NJ (12-16)3.3671
85. St Francis NY (16-13)3.1592
100. Robert Morris (17-12)3.1122
101. Wagner (10-16)3.1115
111. St Francis PA (8-18)3.0786
200. Mt St Marys (9-18)2.8066
207. Fair Dickinson (16-11)2.7823
213. Liu Brooklyn (7-18)2.7605
281. Central Conn (25-6)2.2434


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 2.8915


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Florida Intl (15-14)3.4283
48. Western KY (11-17)3.3093
82. New Orleans (11-18)3.1786
130. Arkansas St (10-17)3.0237
186. South Alabama (20-10)2.8416
188. Denver (6-22)2.8376
212. Ul Lafayette (24-8)2.7640
257. Louisiana Tech (21-8)2.5080
294. Arkansas Lr (4-24)2.1327


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 2.8804


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. SW Texas St (10-16)3.4356
51. Lamar (15-15)3.2993
59. Northwestern St (15-12)3.2637
140. Nicholls St (9-17)3.0004
159. Texas Arlington (13-12)2.9445
170. McNeese St (6-21)2.9135
211. SE Louisiana (8-17)2.7643
222. Tex San Antonio (11-12)2.6876
234. Ul Monroe (17-9)2.6184
241. Stephen Austin (4-19)2.5855
290. Sam Houston (19-7)2.1711


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.8435


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Mercer (10-21)3.6497
15. Central Florida (12-18)3.5932
88. Campbell (12-14)3.1484
118. Stetson (12-15)3.0643
174. Jacksonville (7-18)2.9041
202. Troy St (16-11)2.7990
215. Georgia St (16-12)2.7440
235. Jacksonville St (16-8)2.6176
246. Samford (19-11)2.5530
316. Fla Atlantic (1-27)1.3614


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 2.8357


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
21. UCLA (21-12)3.5217
84. Washington (9-20)3.1711
94. California (16-14)3.1256
104. Arizona St (17-12)3.0955
109. USC (15-14)3.0814
143. Oregon St (11-16)2.9905
203. Oregon (21-8)2.7967
231. Arizona (27-7)2.6326
284. Washington St (5-22)2.2133
314. Stanford (26-4)1.7290


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 2.8022


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
116. Portland St (12-13)3.0684
122. CS Northridge (18-10)3.0553
154. Idaho St (6-18)2.9646
165. Northrn Arizona (16-11)2.9199
208. Sacramento St (8-16)2.7769
210. Montana (14-11)2.7652
242. Weber St (15-8)2.5712
247. Montana St (7-14)2.5524
249. Eastern Wash (12-9)2.5463


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 2.7916


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Furman (10-18)3.5821
90. Chattanooga (9-18)3.1419
108. East Tenn St (12-15)3.0830
124. NC Greensboro (14-13)3.0438
172. Wofford (12-15)2.9105
177. Westrn Carolina (11-14)2.8976
185. The Citadel (6-19)2.8422
187. Geo Southern (14-12)2.8379
243. Appalachian St (20-9)2.5707
252. Davidson (12-13)2.5391
298. Coll Of Charltn (20-6)2.1042
304. VMI (2-23)1.9461


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 2.7653


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
73. Nevada (8-20)3.2260
89. Idaho (10-17)3.1426
156. Pacific (10-18)2.9610
166. Cal Poly (7-18)2.9196
171. Boise St (11-15)2.9131
180. CS Fullerton (8-18)2.8689
195. Santa Barbara (12-14)2.8228
209. New Mexico St (21-9)2.7742
216. UC Irvine (13-14)2.7404
229. North Texas (7-20)2.6358
276. Utah St (24-6)2.2892
309. Long Beach St (22-5)1.8900


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.7544


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
64. TCU (17-14)3.2454
102. Texas El Paso (13-15)3.1106
125. Hawaii (17-12)3.0432
147. Fresno St (24-10)2.9832
152. San Jose St (11-15)2.9724
263. SMU (20-8)2.4627
288. Rice (3-22)2.1788
301. Tulsa (32-5)2.0386


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 2.7504


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
41. Missouri (18-13)3.3635
114. Nebraska (11-19)3.0754
117. Kansas (23-10)3.0660
179. Texas (24-9)2.8764
183. Colorado (17-13)2.8492
198. Kansas St (9-19)2.8162
237. Baylor (13-15)2.6136
238. Oklahoma St (26-7)2.6125
239. Oklahoma (27-7)2.6095
259. Texas Tech (11-15)2.5019
266. Texas A&M (7-20)2.4182
285. Iowa St (29-5)2.2020


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.7222


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
49. Florida A&M (9-21)3.3000
129. Norfolk St (11-16)3.0251
133. Hampton (17-12)3.0204
137. SO Carolina St (19-14)3.0035
181. Delaware St (6-22)2.8604
184. MD Eastrn Shore (11-17)2.8446
190. NO Carolina A&T (14-13)2.8327
228. Coppin St (15-15)2.6397
260. Morgan St (5-24)2.4835
264. Bethune Cookman (13-13)2.4430
315. Howard (1-27)1.4913


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 2.7205


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
92. Wyoming (18-12)3.1264
107. Colorado St (17-12)3.0855
138. New Mexico (15-13)3.0034
139. BYU (19-10)3.0006
199. Utah (21-9)2.8134
244. Air Force (7-20)2.5676
265. Unlv (23-8)2.4225
313. San Diego St (4-22)1.7443


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 2.7038


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
120. Tennessee St (7-22)3.0612
148. Eastern Ill (15-12)2.9818
193. Murray St (22-9)2.8277
196. Middle Tenn St (13-13)2.8199
206. Tenn Martin (8-19)2.7823
214. Tennessee Tech (14-12)2.7514
225. Austin Peay (15-10)2.6686
251. Morehead St (5-18)2.5418
273. Eastern KY (4-22)2.3306
278. SE Missouri St (22-6)2.2725


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 2.6583


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
145. Coast Carolina (9-18)2.9881
182. Charleston Sou (6-19)2.8545
189. NC Asheville (9-19)2.8328
197. Liberty (10-14)2.8196
220. Radford (17-10)2.7020
230. High Point (7-17)2.6337
275. Elon (10-13)2.3209
296. Winthrop (17-9)2.1151


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 2.5551


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
162. Harvard (11-15)2.9420
192. Brown (8-19)2.8277
204. Yale (7-20)2.7927
218. Dartmouth (7-18)2.7180
223. Cornell (9-17)2.6776
240. Columbia (12-14)2.5965
300. Princeton (18-10)2.0705
311. Pennsylvania (21-8)1.8158


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 2.5431


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
54. Drexel (13-17)3.2755
178. Towson (11-17)2.8927
194. Hartford (10-19)2.8246
217. Northeastern (7-20)2.7342
236. Vermont (16-12)2.6151
255. Boston U (6-21)2.5107
272. Delaware (24-7)2.3356
292. New Hampshire (3-25)2.1631
293. Maine (23-7)2.1381
305. Hofstra (24-7)1.9417


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 2.4228


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
176. Holy Cross (10-18)2.9018
219. Colgate (11-16)2.7023
224. Bucknell (16-11)2.6712
250. Lehigh (6-21)2.5435
274. Army (3-23)2.3274
303. Lafayette (22-7)1.9646
310. Navy (21-6)1.8490


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.3978


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
106. Santa Clara (19-12)3.0920
149. Gonzaga (26-9)2.9751
163. Pepperdine (25-9)2.9379
267. Portland (7-18)2.4104
270. San Francisco (18-9)2.3647
279. San Diego (18-10)2.2724
283. St Marys CA (7-20)2.2360
318. Loyola Marymnt (0-25)0.8938


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 2.2927


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
188. Denver (6-22)2.8376
271. Albany NY (7-16)2.3487
282. Stony Brook (5-21)2.2379
286. Belmont (4-20)2.2002
291. TX Pan American (8-14)2.1651
302. Centenary (7-16)1.9669


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.2519


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
103. Jackson St (16-15)3.1100
191. Southern (16-10)2.8327
256. Alabama St (9-14)2.5093
269. Prairie View (6-19)2.3651
277. Texas Southern (10-12)2.2792
287. Miss Valley St (6-19)2.1930
299. Alcorn St (17-10)2.0830
312. Ark Pine Bluff (4-19)1.8124
317. Grambling (0-27)1.0823
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