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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Upward Stability

By conference
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:41:41 EDT 2000

Home Advantage = 4.0236

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. North Carolina (22-14)4.1129
2. Wisconsin (22-14)3.9721
3. Memphis (14-16)3.8426
4. NC Charlotte (17-15)3.7578
5. St Louis (18-14)3.7529
6. Geo Washington (15-15)3.7500
7. Wisc Green Bay (14-16)3.7271
8. Bradley (14-16)3.7122
9. Arkansas (19-15)3.7077
10. Miami Ohio (15-15)3.6754

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Mercer (10-21)3.6497
12. Rutgers (15-15)3.6438
13. Old Dominion (11-19)3.6180
14. Massachusetts (16-15)3.6063
15. Central Florida (12-18)3.5932
16. Furman (10-18)3.5821
17. Ohio (20-13)3.5679
18. Northern Iowa (14-15)3.5668
19. South Carolina (15-17)3.5460
20. Illinois Chi (10-20)3.5299

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. UCLA (21-12)3.5217
22. Wake Forest (17-14)3.4965
23. Miami Fla (23-11)3.4850
24. Oral Roberts (12-16)3.4766
25. St Josephs PA (13-16)3.4695
26. Rider (16-14)3.4480
27. Creighton (22-10)3.4428
28. SW Texas St (10-16)3.4356
29. Florida Intl (15-14)3.4283
30. Virginia Tech (16-15)3.4185

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Houston (8-22)3.4056
32. Illinois St (9-20)3.4000
33. Villanova (19-12)3.3937
34. Wright St (11-17)3.3930
35. DePaul (20-12)3.3813
36. Iowa (14-16)3.3783
37. Southern Ill (19-12)3.3769
38. Purdue (23-10)3.3758
39. VA Commonwealth (14-14)3.3741
40. Monmouth NJ (12-16)3.3671

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Missouri (18-13)3.3635
42. Georgetown (17-14)3.3619
43. Wichita St (11-17)3.3524
44. Fordham (14-15)3.3461
45. Kentucky (22-10)3.3373
46. Western Mich (10-19)3.3282
47. American (10-18)3.3102
48. Western KY (11-17)3.3093
49. Florida A&M (9-21)3.3000
50. Drake (10-18)3.2998

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Lamar (15-15)3.2993
52. Notre Dame (18-14)3.2864
53. Northern Ill (11-15)3.2848
54. Drexel (13-17)3.2755
55. Canisius (10-20)3.2753
56. Louisville (18-12)3.2752
57. SW Missouri St (22-10)3.2745
58. NC Wilmington (18-13)3.2652
59. Northwestern St (15-12)3.2637
60. Alabama (12-16)3.2595

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Connecticut (25-10)3.2542
62. SO Mississippi (17-12)3.2533
63. Marist (14-14)3.2497
64. TCU (17-14)3.2454
65. Richmond (18-12)3.2443
66. Florida St (12-17)3.2378
67. Manhattan (12-15)3.2370
68. LA Salle (11-17)3.2358
69. Chicago St (9-18)3.2328
70. East Carolina (8-18)3.2317

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Detroit (18-12)3.2311
72. Evansville (17-12)3.2265
73. Nevada (8-20)3.2260
74. West Virginia (14-14)3.2246
75. Pittsburgh (13-15)3.2142
76. Penn St (15-15)3.1990
77. Auburn (23-10)3.1961
78. St Bonaventure (21-10)3.1954
79. Indiana St (22-10)3.1938
80. William & Mary (9-17)3.1876

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Iupui (7-21)3.1828
82. New Orleans (11-18)3.1786
83. Maryland (25-10)3.1723
84. Washington (9-20)3.1711
85. St Francis NY (16-13)3.1592
86. Valparaiso (16-13)3.1564
87. Toledo (18-13)3.1520
88. Campbell (12-14)3.1484
89. Idaho (10-17)3.1426
90. Chattanooga (9-18)3.1419

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. South Florida (17-13)3.1295
92. Wyoming (18-12)3.1264
93. Seton Hall (22-10)3.1263
94. California (16-14)3.1256
95. Dayton (22-9)3.1250
96. Georgia Tech (13-17)3.1193
97. Niagara (17-12)3.1187
98. Fairfield (14-15)3.1149
99. Oakland (12-17)3.1131
100. Robert Morris (17-12)3.1122

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Wagner (10-16)3.1115
102. Texas El Paso (13-15)3.1106
103. Jackson St (16-15)3.1100
104. Arizona St (17-12)3.0955
105. Florida (29-8)3.0935
106. Santa Clara (19-12)3.0920
107. Colorado St (17-12)3.0855
108. East Tenn St (12-15)3.0830
109. USC (15-14)3.0814
110. Umbc (10-18)3.0806

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. St Francis PA (8-18)3.0786
112. Central Mich (5-23)3.0783
113. Boston College (11-19)3.0755
114. Nebraska (11-19)3.0754
115. Uab (14-14)3.0701
116. Portland St (12-13)3.0684
117. Kansas (23-10)3.0660
118. Stetson (12-15)3.0643
119. Iona (20-11)3.0624
120. Tennessee St (7-22)3.0612

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Youngstown St (11-15)3.0597
122. CS Northridge (18-10)3.0553
123. Xavier (20-11)3.0511
124. NC Greensboro (14-13)3.0438
125. Hawaii (17-12)3.0432
126. Loyola MD (7-21)3.0417
127. Tulane (20-10)3.0322
128. Mo Kansas City (14-13)3.0305
129. Norfolk St (11-16)3.0251
130. Arkansas St (10-17)3.0237

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Loyola Chi (14-14)3.0217
132. Marquette (15-13)3.0212
133. Hampton (17-12)3.0204
134. Duquesne (9-20)3.0160
135. Clemson (10-20)3.0089
136. Mississippi St (13-17)3.0077
137. SO Carolina St (19-14)3.0035
138. New Mexico (15-13)3.0034
139. BYU (19-10)3.0006
140. Nicholls St (9-17)3.0004

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Ball St (21-9)2.9996
142. Cleveland St (15-14)2.9955
143. Oregon St (11-16)2.9905
144. Eastern Mich (13-13)2.9887
145. Coast Carolina (9-18)2.9881
146. Vanderbilt (19-10)2.9872
147. Fresno St (24-10)2.9832
148. Eastern Ill (15-12)2.9818
149. Gonzaga (26-9)2.9751
150. NO Carolina St (17-12)2.9749

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. George Mason (19-11)2.9742
152. San Jose St (11-15)2.9724
153. Wisc Milwaukee (14-14)2.9711
154. Idaho St (6-18)2.9646
155. St Johns (25-8)2.9638
156. Pacific (10-18)2.9610
157. Georgia (10-20)2.9605
158. Southern Utah (14-12)2.9481
159. Texas Arlington (13-12)2.9445
160. James Madison (20-9)2.9439

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Virginia (19-11)2.9437
162. Harvard (11-15)2.9420
163. Pepperdine (25-9)2.9379
164. Illinois (22-10)2.9341
165. Northrn Arizona (16-11)2.9199
166. Cal Poly (7-18)2.9196
167. Western Ill (6-22)2.9188
168. Michigan (15-13)2.9168
169. Indiana (20-9)2.9148
170. McNeese St (6-21)2.9135

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Boise St (11-15)2.9131
172. Wofford (12-15)2.9105
173. Providence (10-19)2.9087
174. Jacksonville (7-18)2.9041
175. Minnesota (12-16)2.9040
176. Holy Cross (10-18)2.9018
177. Westrn Carolina (11-14)2.8976
178. Towson (11-17)2.8927
179. Texas (24-9)2.8764
180. CS Fullerton (8-18)2.8689

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Delaware St (6-22)2.8604
182. Charleston Sou (6-19)2.8545
183. Colorado (17-13)2.8492
184. MD Eastrn Shore (11-17)2.8446
185. The Citadel (6-19)2.8422
186. South Alabama (20-10)2.8416
187. Geo Southern (14-12)2.8379
188. Denver (6-22)2.8376
189. NC Asheville (9-19)2.8328
190. NO Carolina A&T (14-13)2.8327

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Southern (16-10)2.8327
192. Brown (8-19)2.8277
193. Murray St (22-9)2.8277
194. Hartford (10-19)2.8246
195. Santa Barbara (12-14)2.8228
196. Middle Tenn St (13-13)2.8199
197. Liberty (10-14)2.8196
198. Kansas St (9-19)2.8162
199. Utah (21-9)2.8134
200. Mt St Marys (9-18)2.8066

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Akron (16-11)2.8004
202. Troy St (16-11)2.7990
203. Oregon (21-8)2.7967
204. Yale (7-20)2.7927
205. Mississippi (16-13)2.7907
206. Tenn Martin (8-19)2.7823
207. Fair Dickinson (16-11)2.7823
208. Sacramento St (8-16)2.7769
209. New Mexico St (21-9)2.7742
210. Montana (14-11)2.7652

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. SE Louisiana (8-17)2.7643
212. Ul Lafayette (24-8)2.7640
213. Liu Brooklyn (7-18)2.7605
214. Tennessee Tech (14-12)2.7514
215. Georgia St (16-12)2.7440
216. UC Irvine (13-14)2.7404
217. Northeastern (7-20)2.7342
218. Dartmouth (7-18)2.7180
219. Colgate (11-16)2.7023
220. Radford (17-10)2.7020

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Marshall (19-8)2.7008
222. Tex San Antonio (11-12)2.6876
223. Cornell (9-17)2.6776
224. Bucknell (16-11)2.6712
225. Austin Peay (15-10)2.6686
226. St Peters (5-23)2.6634
227. Siena (23-8)2.6619
228. Coppin St (15-15)2.6397
229. North Texas (7-20)2.6358
230. High Point (7-17)2.6337

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Arizona (27-7)2.6326
232. Bowling Green (21-7)2.6317
233. Tennessee (24-7)2.6228
234. Ul Monroe (17-9)2.6184
235. Jacksonville St (16-8)2.6176
236. Vermont (16-12)2.6151
237. Baylor (13-15)2.6136
238. Oklahoma St (26-7)2.6125
239. Oklahoma (27-7)2.6095
240. Columbia (12-14)2.5965

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Stephen Austin (4-19)2.5855
242. Weber St (15-8)2.5712
243. Appalachian St (20-9)2.5707
244. Air Force (7-20)2.5676
245. Butler (23-9)2.5545
246. Samford (19-11)2.5530
247. Montana St (7-14)2.5524
248. Rhode Island (5-25)2.5511
249. Eastern Wash (12-9)2.5463
250. Lehigh (6-21)2.5435

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Morehead St (5-18)2.5418
252. Davidson (12-13)2.5391
253. Michigan St (32-7)2.5193
254. Quinnipiac (17-10)2.5186
255. Boston U (6-21)2.5107
256. Alabama St (9-14)2.5093
257. Louisiana Tech (21-8)2.5080
258. LSU (28-6)2.5058
259. Texas Tech (11-15)2.5019
260. Morgan St (5-24)2.4835

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Kent (19-7)2.4806
262. Syracuse (26-6)2.4736
263. SMU (20-8)2.4627
264. Bethune Cookman (13-13)2.4430
265. Unlv (23-8)2.4225
266. Texas A&M (7-20)2.4182
267. Portland (7-18)2.4104
268. Ohio St (23-7)2.3958
269. Prairie View (6-19)2.3651
270. San Francisco (18-9)2.3647

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Albany NY (7-16)2.3487
272. Delaware (24-7)2.3356
273. Eastern KY (4-22)2.3306
274. Army (3-23)2.3274
275. Elon (10-13)2.3209
276. Utah St (24-6)2.2892
277. Texas Southern (10-12)2.2792
278. SE Missouri St (22-6)2.2725
279. San Diego (18-10)2.2724
280. Sacred Heart (3-25)2.2642

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Central Conn (25-6)2.2434
282. Stony Brook (5-21)2.2379
283. St Marys CA (7-20)2.2360
284. Washington St (5-22)2.2133
285. Iowa St (29-5)2.2020
286. Belmont (4-20)2.2002
287. Miss Valley St (6-19)2.1930
288. Rice (3-22)2.1788
289. Temple (27-6)2.1711
290. Sam Houston (19-7)2.1711

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. TX Pan American (8-14)2.1651
292. New Hampshire (3-25)2.1631
293. Maine (23-7)2.1381
294. Arkansas Lr (4-24)2.1327
295. Buffalo (5-23)2.1229
296. Winthrop (17-9)2.1151
297. Duke (29-5)2.1143
298. Coll Of Charltn (20-6)2.1042
299. Alcorn St (17-10)2.0830
300. Princeton (18-10)2.0705

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Tulsa (32-5)2.0386
302. Centenary (7-16)1.9669
303. Lafayette (22-7)1.9646
304. VMI (2-23)1.9461
305. Hofstra (24-7)1.9417
306. Northwestern (5-25)1.9063
307. Cincinnati (29-4)1.8997
308. Alabama A&M (13-9)1.8936
309. Long Beach St (22-5)1.8900
310. Navy (21-6)1.8490

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Pennsylvania (21-8)1.8158
312. Ark Pine Bluff (4-19)1.8124
313. San Diego St (4-22)1.7443
314. Stanford (26-4)1.7290
315. Howard (1-27)1.4913
316. Fla Atlantic (1-27)1.3614
317. Grambling (0-27)1.0823
318. Loyola Marymnt (0-25)0.8938
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