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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Downward Stability

By conference
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:41:44 EDT 2000

Home Advantage = 4.0236

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Wisconsin (22-14)4.4482
2. North Carolina (22-14)4.2530
3. Florida (29-8)4.1592
4. SW Missouri St (22-10)4.0892
5. Creighton (22-10)4.0726
6. Miami Fla (23-11)4.0617
7. Connecticut (25-10)4.0434
8. Southern Ill (19-12)3.9768
9. Michigan St (32-7)3.9073
10. UCLA (21-12)3.9012

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. St Louis (18-14)3.9001
12. Richmond (18-12)3.8775
13. Indiana St (22-10)3.8387
14. Kentucky (22-10)3.8271
15. Villanova (19-12)3.8261
16. Ohio (20-13)3.8140
17. Maryland (25-10)3.8112
18. Purdue (23-10)3.7867
19. Massachusetts (16-15)3.7822
20. Miami Ohio (15-15)3.7728

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Arkansas (19-15)3.7671
22. Virginia Tech (16-15)3.7620
23. St Bonaventure (21-10)3.7427
24. Iona (20-11)3.7381
25. George Mason (19-11)3.7221
26. Louisville (18-12)3.7207
27. Gonzaga (26-9)3.7160
28. NC Wilmington (18-13)3.7033
29. St Johns (25-8)3.6974
30. Dayton (22-9)3.6892

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. DePaul (20-12)3.6625
32. NC Charlotte (17-15)3.6553
33. Illinois (22-10)3.6467
34. Auburn (23-10)3.6150
35. Bradley (14-16)3.6005
36. LSU (28-6)3.5973
37. Ball St (21-9)3.5782
38. Fresno St (24-10)3.5723
39. Geo Washington (15-15)3.5594
40. Murray St (22-9)3.5488

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. James Madison (20-9)3.5420
42. Toledo (18-13)3.5401
43. Wisc Green Bay (14-16)3.5265
44. Lamar (15-15)3.5233
45. Valparaiso (16-13)3.5184
46. Memphis (14-16)3.5115
47. Ul Lafayette (24-8)3.4942
48. Texas (24-9)3.4781
49. Wake Forest (17-14)3.4654
50. Kansas (23-10)3.4607

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Butler (23-9)3.4607
52. Rutgers (15-15)3.4546
53. Northwestern St (15-12)3.4534
54. South Alabama (20-10)3.4490
55. St Francis NY (16-13)3.4391
56. Florida Intl (15-14)3.4370
57. Detroit (18-12)3.4257
58. Siena (23-8)3.4232
59. SO Mississippi (17-12)3.4193
60. Xavier (20-11)3.4148

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Georgetown (17-14)3.3965
62. Robert Morris (17-12)3.3930
63. Northrn Arizona (16-11)3.3921
64. St Josephs PA (13-16)3.3806
65. Tennessee (24-7)3.3751
66. Seton Hall (22-10)3.3702
67. Rider (16-14)3.3699
68. Tulane (20-10)3.3693
69. SO Carolina St (19-14)3.3634
70. Niagara (17-12)3.3631

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. South Florida (17-13)3.3623
72. Indiana (20-9)3.3419
73. Arizona (27-7)3.3414
74. Oregon (21-8)3.3396
75. TCU (17-14)3.3373
76. Hampton (17-12)3.3359
77. Northern Iowa (14-15)3.3352
78. Pepperdine (25-9)3.3340
79. Marist (14-14)3.3193
80. Wyoming (18-12)3.3156

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. BYU (19-10)3.3125
82. Central Florida (12-18)3.3004
83. Samford (19-11)3.2972
84. Fair Dickinson (16-11)3.2872
85. Furman (10-18)3.2734
86. Missouri (18-13)3.2675
87. Oral Roberts (12-16)3.2655
88. Jackson St (16-15)3.2583
89. Colorado St (17-12)3.2537
90. Southern Utah (14-12)3.2384

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Virginia (19-11)3.2308
92. Oklahoma (27-7)3.2257
93. Troy St (16-11)3.2187
94. Temple (27-6)3.2155
95. Radford (17-10)3.2099
96. CS Northridge (18-10)3.2066
97. Bowling Green (21-7)3.2053
98. Syracuse (26-6)3.1995
99. Evansville (17-12)3.1987
100. Utah (21-9)3.1937

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Duke (29-5)3.1914
102. Fordham (14-15)3.1877
103. Oklahoma St (26-7)3.1828
104. Arizona St (17-12)3.1818
105. New Mexico St (21-9)3.1650
106. Oakland (12-17)3.1626
107. Appalachian St (20-9)3.1575
108. Kent (19-7)3.1562
109. Monmouth NJ (12-16)3.1556
110. Tulsa (32-5)3.1475

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. South Carolina (15-17)3.1459
112. SW Texas St (10-16)3.1378
113. Mo Kansas City (14-13)3.1339
114. California (16-14)3.1256
115. Montana (14-11)3.1204
116. Central Conn (25-6)3.1155
117. Old Dominion (11-19)3.1137
118. Georgia St (16-12)3.1115
119. Colorado (17-13)3.1087
120. Fairfield (14-15)3.1037

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Santa Clara (19-12)3.1016
122. Coll Of Charltn (20-6)3.0970
123. Marshall (19-8)3.0921
124. Texas Arlington (13-12)3.0905
125. East Tenn St (12-15)3.0902
126. West Virginia (14-14)3.0890
127. VA Commonwealth (14-14)3.0842
128. New Mexico (15-13)3.0776
129. Western KY (11-17)3.0646
130. Vermont (16-12)3.0596

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Cleveland St (15-14)3.0590
132. Iowa St (29-5)3.0561
133. Louisiana Tech (21-8)3.0513
134. Southern (16-10)3.0486
135. Mercer (10-21)3.0473
136. Eastern Ill (15-12)3.0397
137. Vanderbilt (19-10)3.0358
138. Weber St (15-8)3.0344
139. Sam Houston (19-7)3.0328
140. Wisc Milwaukee (14-14)3.0189

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Iowa (14-16)3.0138
142. Ul Monroe (17-9)3.0116
143. Coppin St (15-15)3.0103
144. Notre Dame (18-14)2.9974
145. American (10-18)2.9962
146. Portland St (12-13)2.9956
147. Manhattan (12-15)2.9927
148. Drexel (13-17)2.9910
149. Marquette (15-13)2.9906
150. Canisius (10-20)2.9790

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Youngstown St (11-15)2.9745
152. USC (15-14)2.9686
153. Utah St (24-6)2.9672
154. Wright St (11-17)2.9655
155. Geo Southern (14-12)2.9624
156. Northern Ill (11-15)2.9624
157. Austin Peay (15-10)2.9573
158. NO Carolina A&T (14-13)2.9528
159. Delaware (24-7)2.9519
160. Cincinnati (29-4)2.9487

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Akron (16-11)2.9372
162. Middle Tenn St (13-13)2.9345
163. Texas El Paso (13-15)2.9337
164. Eastern Mich (13-13)2.9323
165. Loyola Chi (14-14)2.9315
166. Illinois Chi (10-20)2.9294
167. NO Carolina St (17-12)2.9224
168. Santa Barbara (12-14)2.9220
169. Tennessee Tech (14-12)2.9205
170. Quinnipiac (17-10)2.9205

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. UC Irvine (13-14)2.9132
172. Jacksonville St (16-8)2.9129
173. Long Beach St (22-5)2.9058
174. NC Greensboro (14-13)2.8934
175. Stetson (12-15)2.8781
176. Wagner (10-16)2.8762
177. Unlv (23-8)2.8725
178. Mississippi (16-13)2.8701
179. New Orleans (11-18)2.8676
180. Mississippi St (13-17)2.8671

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Pittsburgh (13-15)2.8621
182. Chattanooga (9-18)2.8618
183. Campbell (12-14)2.8524
184. Harvard (11-15)2.8450
185. Bucknell (16-11)2.8433
186. SE Missouri St (22-6)2.8432
187. SMU (20-8)2.8325
188. Wichita St (11-17)2.8259
189. LA Salle (11-17)2.8254
190. Ohio St (23-7)2.8191

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Uab (14-14)2.8136
192. Alabama (12-16)2.8050
193. Chicago St (9-18)2.7760
194. Umbc (10-18)2.7759
195. Florida St (12-17)2.7743
196. Boise St (11-15)2.7685
197. Bethune Cookman (13-13)2.7643
198. Tex San Antonio (11-12)2.7639
199. Nebraska (11-19)2.7508
200. Hawaii (17-12)2.7503

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Georgia Tech (13-17)2.7497
202. Norfolk St (11-16)2.7497
203. Florida A&M (9-21)2.7449
204. Western Mich (10-19)2.7359
205. Idaho (10-17)2.7347
206. Davidson (12-13)2.7244
207. Wofford (12-15)2.7116
208. Maine (23-7)2.7107
209. Columbia (12-14)2.7100
210. Westrn Carolina (11-14)2.7096

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Colgate (11-16)2.7050
212. Towson (11-17)2.7050
213. Penn St (15-15)2.6984
214. Nicholls St (9-17)2.6947
215. Coast Carolina (9-18)2.6922
216. Illinois St (9-20)2.6872
217. Winthrop (17-9)2.6860
218. Nevada (8-20)2.6797
219. Holy Cross (10-18)2.6796
220. William & Mary (9-17)2.6781

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Michigan (15-13)2.6638
222. Hartford (10-19)2.6592
223. Pacific (10-18)2.6510
224. Boston College (11-19)2.6497
225. East Carolina (8-18)2.6481
226. Oregon St (11-16)2.6472
227. Iupui (7-21)2.6469
228. Liberty (10-14)2.6434
229. Drake (10-18)2.6187
230. Alcorn St (17-10)2.6173

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Eastern Wash (12-9)2.6123
232. Arkansas St (10-17)2.6070
233. Washington (9-20)2.5942
234. Cornell (9-17)2.5924
235. NC Asheville (9-19)2.5869
236. San Jose St (11-15)2.5804
237. MD Eastrn Shore (11-17)2.5754
238. San Francisco (18-9)2.5712
239. Stanford (26-4)2.5616
240. Clemson (10-20)2.5553

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Hofstra (24-7)2.5505
242. Baylor (13-15)2.5367
243. St Francis PA (8-18)2.5169
244. Mt St Marys (9-18)2.5078
245. Minnesota (12-16)2.4936
246. Brown (8-19)2.4787
247. Houston (8-22)2.4759
248. Navy (21-6)2.4310
249. Cal Poly (7-18)2.3975
250. Providence (10-19)2.3888

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Princeton (18-10)2.3768
252. Elon (10-13)2.3491
253. Northeastern (7-20)2.3403
254. SE Louisiana (8-17)2.3289
255. Georgia (10-20)2.3199
256. Tenn Martin (8-19)2.3192
257. Alabama St (9-14)2.3150
258. Dartmouth (7-18)2.3047
259. Jacksonville (7-18)2.3028
260. San Diego (18-10)2.2991

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Duquesne (9-20)2.2979
262. Alabama A&M (13-9)2.2969
263. Sacramento St (8-16)2.2959
264. Tennessee St (7-22)2.2850
265. Yale (7-20)2.2762
266. Lafayette (22-7)2.2737
267. Pennsylvania (21-8)2.2684
268. Texas Southern (10-12)2.2639
269. Liu Brooklyn (7-18)2.2520
270. Kansas St (9-19)2.2165

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Loyola MD (7-21)2.2076
272. Idaho St (6-18)2.2017
273. CS Fullerton (8-18)2.1981
274. McNeese St (6-21)2.1963
275. Texas Tech (11-15)2.1961
276. Delaware St (6-22)2.1679
277. North Texas (7-20)2.1664
278. Air Force (7-20)2.1662
279. Central Mich (5-23)2.1639
280. Boston U (6-21)2.1608

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Lehigh (6-21)2.1410
282. TX Pan American (8-14)2.1317
283. Western Ill (6-22)2.1271
284. High Point (7-17)2.1167
285. The Citadel (6-19)2.1014
286. Charleston Sou (6-19)2.0644
287. Denver (6-22)2.0533
288. Albany NY (7-16)2.0258
289. Montana St (7-14)1.9426
290. Texas A&M (7-20)1.9291

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. St Peters (5-23)1.8981
292. Morehead St (5-18)1.8974
293. St Marys CA (7-20)1.8749
294. Morgan St (5-24)1.8594
295. Portland (7-18)1.8427
296. Stephen Austin (4-19)1.8268
297. Prairie View (6-19)1.8131
298. Rhode Island (5-25)1.8131
299. Centenary (7-16)1.7847
300. Miss Valley St (6-19)1.7319

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Stony Brook (5-21)1.6307
302. Washington St (5-22)1.5731
303. Northwestern (5-25)1.5572
304. Eastern KY (4-22)1.5555
305. Belmont (4-20)1.5297
306. Army (3-23)1.5035
307. Buffalo (5-23)1.4786
308. Arkansas Lr (4-24)1.4436
309. Ark Pine Bluff (4-19)1.3712
310. Sacred Heart (3-25)1.3709

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Rice (3-22)1.3285
312. San Diego St (4-22)1.3089
313. New Hampshire (3-25)1.3044
314. VMI (2-23)1.2377
315. Howard (1-27)0.8683
316. Fla Atlantic (1-27)0.7595
317. Grambling (0-27)0.5794
318. Loyola Marymnt (0-25)0.4718
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