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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Strength of Schedule

By conference
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:41:51 EDT 2000

Home Advantage = 4.0236

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Loyola Marymnt (0-25)0.4995
2. Rhode Island (5-25)0.4565
3. Northwestern (5-25)0.4142
4. Washington St (5-22)0.4098
5. Rice (3-22)0.4069
6. Washington (9-20)0.4031
7. Iowa (14-16)0.3741
8. Kansas St (9-19)0.3684
9. Georgia (10-20)0.3673
10. Buffalo (5-23)0.3536

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Central Mich (5-23)0.3487
12. Minnesota (12-16)0.3396
13. Florida St (12-17)0.3323
14. Houston (8-22)0.3315
15. Texas A&M (7-20)0.3247
16. San Diego St (4-22)0.3164
17. Oregon St (11-16)0.3046
18. Michigan (15-13)0.2968
19. Clemson (10-20)0.2901
20. Penn St (15-15)0.2878

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Western Mich (10-19)0.2808
22. Alabama (12-16)0.2803
23. Nebraska (11-19)0.2633
24. Wisconsin (22-14)0.2570
25. South Carolina (15-17)0.2557
26. Texas Tech (11-15)0.2524
27. North Texas (7-20)0.2486
28. Boston College (11-19)0.2426
29. Providence (10-19)0.2401
30. North Carolina (22-14)0.2397

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. NC Charlotte (17-15)0.2370
32. West Virginia (14-14)0.2349
33. St Louis (18-14)0.2327
34. St Marys CA (7-20)0.2314
35. Illinois St (9-20)0.2290
36. Wake Forest (17-14)0.2270
37. Uab (14-14)0.2233
38. USC (15-14)0.2217
39. UCLA (21-12)0.2200
40. Georgia Tech (13-17)0.2198

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. California (16-14)0.2156
42. St Josephs PA (13-16)0.2152
43. Mississippi St (13-17)0.2151
44. Missouri (18-13)0.2145
45. Idaho St (6-18)0.2135
46. Kentucky (22-10)0.2133
47. San Jose St (11-15)0.2121
48. Marquette (15-13)0.2111
49. LA Salle (11-17)0.2098
50. Northern Ill (11-15)0.2081

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Montana St (7-14)0.2050
52. Indiana (20-9)0.2014
53. Air Force (7-20)0.2011
54. Arkansas (19-15)0.2009
55. Pittsburgh (13-15)0.1989
56. Arizona St (17-12)0.1986
57. Geo Washington (15-15)0.1978
58. Memphis (14-16)0.1978
59. Duquesne (9-20)0.1968
60. Georgetown (17-14)0.1949

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Portland (7-18)0.1946
62. Mississippi (16-13)0.1939
63. Purdue (23-10)0.1915
64. Drake (10-18)0.1908
65. Auburn (23-10)0.1904
66. Baylor (13-15)0.1883
67. DePaul (20-12)0.1864
68. Eastern Mich (13-13)0.1839
69. Notre Dame (18-14)0.1829
70. Miami Ohio (15-15)0.1824

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Kansas (23-10)0.1803
72. Illinois (22-10)0.1711
73. Vanderbilt (19-10)0.1692
74. Sacramento St (8-16)0.1686
75. Massachusetts (16-15)0.1684
76. Villanova (19-12)0.1671
77. Fordham (14-15)0.1654
78. Oregon (21-8)0.1642
79. Louisville (18-12)0.1624
80. NO Carolina St (17-12)0.1619

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Virginia (19-11)0.1605
82. SO Mississippi (17-12)0.1602
83. Colorado (17-13)0.1592
84. Idaho (10-17)0.1588
85. Seton Hall (22-10)0.1552
86. Texas (24-9)0.1541
87. Bradley (14-16)0.1534
88. Wichita St (11-17)0.1523
89. Nevada (8-20)0.1513
90. Eastern KY (4-22)0.1494

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. St Johns (25-8)0.1487
92. Northern Iowa (14-15)0.1436
93. St Bonaventure (21-10)0.1424
94. Connecticut (25-10)0.1424
95. Miami Fla (23-11)0.1392
96. Tenn Martin (8-19)0.1392
97. Maryland (25-10)0.1387
98. Rutgers (15-15)0.1379
99. Tennessee (24-7)0.1355
100. Ohio St (23-7)0.1326

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Santa Clara (19-12)0.1310
102. Illinois Chi (10-20)0.1303
103. Florida (29-8)0.1236
104. Akron (16-11)0.1224
105. Ohio (20-13)0.1217
106. Arizona (27-7)0.1210
107. Wisc Green Bay (14-16)0.1205
108. Fla Atlantic (1-27)0.1201
109. Oklahoma St (26-7)0.1188
110. Toledo (18-13)0.1184

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Ball St (21-9)0.1179
112. Texas El Paso (13-15)0.1158
113. South Florida (17-13)0.1143
114. VMI (2-23)0.1132
115. Virginia Tech (16-15)0.1128
116. New Mexico (15-13)0.1106
117. TCU (17-14)0.1079
118. Tulane (20-10)0.1067
119. Michigan St (32-7)0.1053
120. Hawaii (17-12)0.1049

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Colorado St (17-12)0.1020
122. Southern Ill (19-12)0.1012
123. Oklahoma (27-7)0.1001
124. Tennessee St (7-22)0.0997
125. Indiana St (22-10)0.0984
126. Eastern Wash (12-9)0.0981
127. Cal Poly (7-18)0.0979
128. Syracuse (26-6)0.0969
129. Iowa St (29-5)0.0951
130. Fresno St (24-10)0.0935

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. LSU (28-6)0.0917
132. Wisc Milwaukee (14-14)0.0898
133. Wright St (11-17)0.0897
134. Utah (21-9)0.0896
135. BYU (19-10)0.0857
136. William & Mary (9-17)0.0846
137. Gonzaga (26-9)0.0845
138. SW Missouri St (22-10)0.0842
139. Wyoming (18-12)0.0833
140. East Carolina (8-18)0.0802

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Pepperdine (25-9)0.0796
142. Dayton (22-9)0.0787
143. Duke (29-5)0.0783
144. Denver (6-22)0.0750
145. Xavier (20-11)0.0737
146. Centenary (7-16)0.0734
147. Northrn Arizona (16-11)0.0733
148. Creighton (22-10)0.0733
149. Portland St (12-13)0.0720
150. Cincinnati (29-4)0.0706

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Bowling Green (21-7)0.0700
152. Evansville (17-12)0.0666
153. Belmont (4-20)0.0651
154. Temple (27-6)0.0636
155. Arkansas St (10-17)0.0616
156. Kent (19-7)0.0571
157. CS Northridge (18-10)0.0538
158. Stony Brook (5-21)0.0522
159. Stanford (26-4)0.0520
160. San Diego (18-10)0.0497

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. SMU (20-8)0.0489
162. Boise St (11-15)0.0426
163. Pacific (10-18)0.0410
164. Morehead St (5-18)0.0399
165. Montana (14-11)0.0372
166. Arkansas Lr (4-24)0.0345
167. Detroit (18-12)0.0317
168. Unlv (23-8)0.0314
169. Marshall (19-8)0.0297
170. Loyola Chi (14-14)0.0270

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Cleveland St (15-14)0.0261
172. Western Ill (6-22)0.0218
173. CS Fullerton (8-18)0.0168
174. Tulsa (32-5)0.0166
175. San Francisco (18-9)0.0162
176. New Mexico St (21-9)0.0129
177. TX Pan American (8-14)0.0102
178. McNeese St (6-21)0.0093
179. Weber St (15-8)0.0029
180. Western KY (11-17)-0.001

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Old Dominion (11-19)-0.003
182. Oakland (12-17)-0.005
183. Chicago St (9-18)-0.006
184. VA Commonwealth (14-14)-0.006
185. Utah St (24-6)-0.006
186. Iupui (7-21)-0.012
187. The Citadel (6-19)-0.025
188. Santa Barbara (12-14)-0.025
189. New Orleans (11-18)-0.026
190. NC Wilmington (18-13)-0.027

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. St Peters (5-23)-0.033
192. Sacred Heart (3-25)-0.035
193. UC Irvine (13-14)-0.035
194. Stephen Austin (4-19)-0.036
195. Wofford (12-15)-0.036
196. Grambling (0-27)-0.036
197. Charleston Sou (6-19)-0.041
198. Youngstown St (11-15)-0.042
199. Nicholls St (9-17)-0.043
200. New Hampshire (3-25)-0.044

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. SE Louisiana (8-17)-0.046
202. Army (3-23)-0.047
203. American (10-18)-0.048
204. Middle Tenn St (13-13)-0.049
205. Howard (1-27)-0.051
206. Eastern Ill (15-12)-0.052
207. Loyola MD (7-21)-0.056
208. Westrn Carolina (11-14)-0.057
209. NC Asheville (9-19)-0.061
210. High Point (7-17)-0.066

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Chattanooga (9-18)-0.069
212. Butler (23-9)-0.071
213. Furman (10-18)-0.072
214. Canisius (10-20)-0.073
215. Lehigh (6-21)-0.074
216. Florida Intl (15-14)-0.081
217. Oral Roberts (12-16)-0.082
218. Fairfield (14-15)-0.084
219. Mercer (10-21)-0.086
220. Davidson (12-13)-0.086

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Lamar (15-15)-0.088
222. Tex San Antonio (11-12)-0.091
223. Boston U (6-21)-0.093
224. Richmond (18-12)-0.095
225. Mt St Marys (9-18)-0.100
226. Ark Pine Bluff (4-19)-0.105
227. East Tenn St (12-15)-0.107
228. Prairie View (6-19)-0.111
229. Liu Brooklyn (7-18)-0.114
230. Yale (7-20)-0.114

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Morgan St (5-24)-0.116
232. Coast Carolina (9-18)-0.116
233. Geo Southern (14-12)-0.118
234. SW Texas St (10-16)-0.119
235. George Mason (19-11)-0.121
236. Dartmouth (7-18)-0.122
237. NC Greensboro (14-13)-0.122
238. Tennessee Tech (14-12)-0.125
239. Campbell (12-14)-0.125
240. Northeastern (7-20)-0.127

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Miss Valley St (6-19)-0.128
242. St Francis PA (8-18)-0.130
243. Valparaiso (16-13)-0.130
244. Mo Kansas City (14-13)-0.133
245. Central Florida (12-18)-0.135
246. Murray St (22-9)-0.135
247. James Madison (20-9)-0.137
248. Drexel (13-17)-0.142
249. Brown (8-19)-0.143
250. Hartford (10-19)-0.144

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Austin Peay (15-10)-0.145
252. Albany NY (7-16)-0.145
253. Jacksonville (7-18)-0.145
254. Southern Utah (14-12)-0.149
255. South Alabama (20-10)-0.149
256. Texas Arlington (13-12)-0.149
257. Elon (10-13)-0.150
258. Appalachian St (20-9)-0.150
259. Liberty (10-14)-0.152
260. Florida A&M (9-21)-0.153

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Louisiana Tech (21-8)-0.153
262. Monmouth NJ (12-16)-0.154
263. Pennsylvania (21-8)-0.157
264. Niagara (17-12)-0.159
265. Umbc (10-18)-0.165
266. Northwestern St (15-12)-0.167
267. Rider (16-14)-0.173
268. Delaware St (6-22)-0.176
269. Marist (14-14)-0.177
270. Manhattan (12-15)-0.177

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Cornell (9-17)-0.179
272. Stetson (12-15)-0.180
273. Ul Lafayette (24-8)-0.181
274. Iona (20-11)-0.181
275. Colgate (11-16)-0.183
276. Towson (11-17)-0.183
277. SE Missouri St (22-6)-0.184
278. Princeton (18-10)-0.187
279. Holy Cross (10-18)-0.187
280. Ul Monroe (17-9)-0.197

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Sam Houston (19-7)-0.203
282. Long Beach St (22-5)-0.212
283. Norfolk St (11-16)-0.212
284. Alabama St (9-14)-0.213
285. Bucknell (16-11)-0.215
286. Wagner (10-16)-0.215
287. MD Eastrn Shore (11-17)-0.216
288. Columbia (12-14)-0.222
289. St Francis NY (16-13)-0.225
290. Harvard (11-15)-0.225

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Samford (19-11)-0.227
292. Jackson St (16-15)-0.234
293. Vermont (16-12)-0.241
294. Radford (17-10)-0.241
295. Georgia St (16-12)-0.250
296. Robert Morris (17-12)-0.254
297. Troy St (16-11)-0.270
298. Bethune Cookman (13-13)-0.274
299. Quinnipiac (17-10)-0.275
300. Coppin St (15-15)-0.276

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. SO Carolina St (19-14)-0.281
302. Hofstra (24-7)-0.287
303. Siena (23-8)-0.288
304. Fair Dickinson (16-11)-0.288
305. Jacksonville St (16-8)-0.290
306. Texas Southern (10-12)-0.295
307. Winthrop (17-9)-0.298
308. NO Carolina A&T (14-13)-0.305
309. Lafayette (22-7)-0.306
310. Southern (16-10)-0.316

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Delaware (24-7)-0.331
312. Alabama A&M (13-9)-0.339
313. Coll Of Charltn (20-6)-0.351
314. Alcorn St (17-10)-0.358
315. Hampton (17-12)-0.363
316. Maine (23-7)-0.386
317. Central Conn (25-6)-0.408
318. Navy (21-6)-0.426
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