NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Home Ratings

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:40:43 EDT 2000

Home Court Advantage = 4.0236

BIG TEN AVERAGE = 86.837


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Michigan St (14-0)101.314-01-03-0
13. Illinois (13-2)91.6023-20-03-0
18. Indiana (12-2)90.8363-10-05-1
20. Ohio St (15-2)90.2794-00-03-2
22. Wisconsin (11-3)89.8935-20-03-1
29. Purdue (12-3)87.9663-00-13-1
57. Minnesota (11-4)84.0321-41-02-0
58. Penn St (10-4)83.8661-40-02-0
64. Iowa (9-4)83.6731-40-03-0
65. Michigan (12-5)83.6131-51-03-0
241. Northwestern (5-12)68.1380-60-10-1


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 86.581


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Kentucky (13-0)97.7443-04-04-0
10. LSU (17-1)92.1693-12-03-0
12. Florida (15-2)91.6462-22-02-0
14. Tennessee (15-1)91.5332-02-14-0
24. Auburn (16-1)88.3741-11-07-0
38. Alabama (11-3)85.6341-23-02-0
40. Vanderbilt (14-3)85.5203-10-12-1
56. Mississippi (12-3)84.1010-23-03-1
80. Arkansas (11-5)82.0130-32-13-1
85. Mississippi St (9-4)81.5901-20-22-0
100. South Carolina (10-6)80.5100-51-12-0
127. Georgia (8-6)78.1400-31-23-1


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 84.804


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Iowa St (16-0)97.5193-01-02-0
6. Texas (13-1)93.7913-10-02-0
11. Kansas (13-1)92.0412-12-03-0
17. Oklahoma St (14-1)90.9792-10-01-0
21. Oklahoma (15-2)89.9642-21-02-0
28. Colorado (12-2)88.0292-10-12-0
74. Missouri (10-5)82.6921-40-03-0
113. Nebraska (10-6)78.8530-30-12-1
122. Texas Tech (8-6)78.5180-50-10-0
144. Baylor (10-7)77.0530-40-11-1
150. Kansas St (8-7)76.2880-40-12-2
199. Texas A&M (5-7)71.9171-30-01-0


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 82.981


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Cincinnati (14-1)93.5491-13-07-0
34. Louisville (13-3)87.1222-12-25-0
51. Uab (12-2)84.3300-12-04-0
52. DePaul (13-4)84.3281-13-12-2
55. St Louis (12-3)84.2260-13-14-0
59. Tulane (15-2)83.7680-11-05-1
60. NC Charlotte (11-3)83.7510-11-22-0
61. South Florida (12-2)83.7331-01-02-2
86. Marquette (12-4)81.2940-13-21-1
101. Memphis (10-5)80.3610-13-21-1
131. SO Mississippi (9-4)77.6750-00-12-2
204. Houston (4-9)71.6340-10-30-4


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 82.908


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Maryland (16-1)91.2122-13-02-0
31. Duke (13-2)87.6831-14-10-0
48. Virginia (11-2)85.0592-11-10-0
63. Wake Forest (10-4)83.6943-21-10-0
67. NO Carolina St (14-3)83.3941-23-00-0
75. North Carolina (9-5)82.6391-22-21-0
88. Georgia Tech (11-5)81.2321-32-10-0
126. Florida St (8-7)78.2100-43-20-1
188. Clemson (8-11)73.0510-31-21-1


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 82.558


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Arizona (17-1)93.0682-04-04-1
25. Stanford (11-2)88.3710-13-12-0
42. USC (10-3)85.4311-12-12-1
44. Arizona St (11-3)85.2590-22-13-0
45. Oregon (11-3)85.2311-13-04-1
49. UCLA (12-4)85.0461-35-01-1
111. California (10-7)79.1091-21-32-1
125. Oregon St (7-6)78.2281-10-41-1
178. Washington (4-9)73.7670-41-30-2
195. Washington St (5-9)72.0730-30-41-1


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 81.788


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Syracuse (17-1)92.9081-03-15-0
19. St Johns (13-1)90.4821-13-04-0
36. Connecticut (13-3)86.0632-01-21-1
47. Villanova (13-2)85.1360-01-24-0
79. Seton Hall (13-3)82.1600-01-22-1
82. Notre Dame (13-4)81.8860-12-20-0
95. Miami Fla (11-5)81.0520-31-12-0
97. Georgetown (11-4)81.0060-02-21-2
104. West Virginia (7-3)80.1550-10-12-1
118. Rutgers (8-6)78.6860-10-33-0
139. Pittsburgh (9-7)77.4110-20-33-1
174. Boston College (7-8)74.1780-10-21-3
194. Providence (8-9)72.1250-11-12-2


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 80.477


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Utah (15-0)95.2841-00-07-0
37. Wyoming (12-1)85.8420-01-03-1
43. Unlv (15-2)85.3410-11-04-1
71. BYU (11-2)82.8860-01-13-1
91. Colorado St (9-3)81.1130-01-04-3
136. New Mexico (10-7)77.5290-01-22-4
209. Air Force (4-7)71.3270-00-12-4
267. San Diego St (4-9)64.4930-00-10-6


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 80.409


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
23. Butler (14-0)89.3500-00-01-0
33. Detroit (13-0)87.3070-01-01-0
90. Wisc Green Bay (10-2)81.1300-01-11-0
115. Wright St (11-3)78.8041-00-10-0
123. Wisc Milwaukee (10-3)78.3650-10-10-0
140. Cleveland St (9-5)77.2110-12-00-1
155. Loyola Chi (12-3)76.0350-00-11-0
168. Illinois Chi (9-5)75.0670-00-20-1


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 80.402


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
39. Bradley (12-2)85.5250-10-04-1
46. Indiana St (12-1)85.2040-00-04-1
68. SW Missouri St (12-2)83.3290-00-05-2
76. Southern Ill (11-3)82.3160-01-03-2
77. Creighton (10-3)82.3080-10-03-2
106. Evansville (12-3)79.5930-00-02-3
116. Northern Iowa (10-4)78.7500-00-04-3
157. Wichita St (9-6)75.8400-00-12-4
158. Drake (8-5)75.7411-00-02-3
162. Illinois St (7-6)75.4160-10-02-3


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 80.075


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Bowling Green (11-0)91.4070-01-03-0
32. Kent (10-1)87.5870-00-04-1
62. Ohio (10-2)83.7230-01-04-0
72. Ball St (9-2)82.8540-01-04-0
73. Akron (10-2)82.7010-01-02-2
84. Marshall (10-3)81.6120-01-02-2
103. Toledo (7-3)80.1690-00-02-1
107. Northern Ill (7-4)79.4751-00-12-3
112. Miami Ohio (8-5)78.9600-01-12-4
141. Eastern Mich (6-4)77.1030-00-11-2
152. Western Mich (7-5)76.2670-00-03-2
214. Central Mich (3-10)70.7840-00-20-5
239. Buffalo (4-9)68.3360-10-10-4


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 79.989


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
26. Tulsa (14-1)88.1570-00-03-1
69. SMU (13-2)83.0250-10-02-1
92. Fresno St (12-4)81.0951-00-12-3
94. Hawaii (14-4)81.0600-11-03-3
110. TCU (12-5)79.1590-10-11-2
114. Texas El Paso (11-6)78.8330-10-14-2
117. San Jose St (7-3)78.6910-10-01-2
223. Rice (3-7)69.8920-10-00-3


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 79.468


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Temple (13-0)94.9591-02-06-0
30. Xavier (13-1)87.7751-01-03-0
54. Dayton (13-2)84.2470-12-01-1
70. St Bonaventure (11-2)83.0111-02-12-0
98. Geo Washington (9-4)80.7870-14-11-0
105. Virginia Tech (9-4)79.6890-03-01-1
129. St Josephs PA (7-6)77.7861-10-21-2
145. Massachusetts (6-6)76.8510-20-22-1
166. LA Salle (6-5)75.1750-10-31-0
167. Fordham (6-5)75.1160-12-00-2
197. Duquesne (7-6)72.0250-01-10-2
258. Rhode Island (1-9)66.1890-20-20-2


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 77.336


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
78. Northrn Arizona (10-2)82.2400-00-03-0
81. CS Northridge (11-1)81.9280-00-01-0
83. Eastern Wash (7-1)81.6160-00-02-0
132. Weber St (8-4)77.6730-01-02-2
133. Montana St (5-2)77.6570-00-01-1
148. Portland St (6-4)76.5210-00-12-0
153. Montana (9-5)76.2280-10-02-2
210. Sacramento St (6-6)71.2270-00-01-2
213. Idaho St (3-6)70.9300-00-00-2


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 76.946


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
27. Pepperdine (11-1)88.1161-00-14-0
35. Gonzaga (11-1)86.3920-01-01-1
87. Santa Clara (10-3)81.2461-12-11-1
99. San Diego (9-2)80.7480-11-00-1
142. San Francisco (10-4)77.0740-10-10-1
171. Portland (6-5)74.4270-10-12-1
215. St Marys CA (6-6)70.5780-10-10-2
309. Loyola Marymnt (0-10)56.9890-10-20-2


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 74.689


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
93. James Madison (13-0)81.0650-00-00-0
109. NC Wilmington (12-2)79.2420-01-00-1
135. George Mason (12-2)77.5840-00-00-0
149. VA Commonwealth (12-3)76.4910-01-01-0
191. William & Mary (7-4)72.7530-00-00-0
196. Richmond (7-6)72.0460-00-10-0
198. Old Dominion (8-5)71.9660-00-00-0
201. American (8-4)71.8030-00-00-0
228. East Carolina (5-6)69.2510-00-00-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 73.991


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
41. Utah St (12-1)85.5100-00-04-1
53. Long Beach St (11-1)84.2740-01-02-1
96. New Mexico St (12-2)81.0060-00-02-1
147. Santa Barbara (7-5)76.6160-10-10-3
173. Idaho (5-4)74.2460-10-00-3
202. Boise St (7-7)71.7670-10-01-3
207. Pacific (7-6)71.5190-01-00-3
219. Nevada (5-7)70.1750-00-00-4
222. UC Irvine (8-5)69.9190-00-00-2
236. North Texas (5-7)68.6300-10-01-1
248. Cal Poly (4-9)67.2170-00-01-4
251. CS Fullerton (6-7)67.0180-00-00-3


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 72.933


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
120. Louisiana Tech (10-1)78.6490-00-00-0
121. Ul Lafayette (14-4)78.5640-01-10-1
128. Western KY (8-2)77.8960-00-00-0
130. South Alabama (12-3)77.6950-00-01-1
190. Florida Intl (10-7)72.7850-00-10-1
206. Arkansas St (6-5)71.5530-00-01-1
218. New Orleans (8-6)70.2200-00-00-0
255. Denver (5-9)66.6660-00-00-4
281. Arkansas Lr (4-10)62.3700-10-00-1


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 72.729


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
102. SE Missouri St (14-1)80.2840-00-00-0
124. Eastern Ill (9-2)78.2300-01-00-1
159. Austin Peay (8-3)75.6360-00-02-0
160. Murray St (9-3)75.6170-00-00-2
165. Tennessee Tech (9-3)75.3060-00-00-1
180. Middle Tenn St (8-4)73.6480-10-00-1
200. Tenn Martin (6-4)71.8080-01-01-0
238. Tennessee St (5-5)68.4050-00-01-0
261. Morehead St (3-7)64.9890-00-00-1
274. Eastern KY (3-8)63.3690-00-00-1


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 70.995


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
134. Siena (13-1)77.5990-00-00-0
172. Niagara (10-2)74.3350-00-10-0
175. Iona (9-3)74.0540-00-00-1
176. Fairfield (8-2)73.9500-00-00-0
189. Rider (9-3)72.8070-00-00-1
203. Marist (8-4)71.6930-00-00-0
216. Canisius (8-5)70.5750-00-20-0
224. Manhattan (7-4)69.7800-00-00-0
271. Loyola MD (5-7)63.7420-00-00-0
289. St Peters (4-8)61.4170-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 70.547


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
50. Southern Utah (11-0)84.4760-00-00-0
169. Valparaiso (8-1)74.6740-00-00-0
185. Mo Kansas City (9-3)73.2550-00-01-0
187. Oral Roberts (7-3)73.1041-00-00-1
234. Oakland (6-6)68.9070-00-00-2
243. Youngstown St (5-5)67.6380-00-00-1
244. Chicago St (6-5)67.6140-00-00-0
272. Iupui (3-8)63.6620-00-00-0
288. Western Ill (2-8)61.5940-00-00-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 70.534


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
119. Coll Of Charltn (9-1)78.6810-00-00-0
146. Appalachian St (8-1)76.6200-00-00-0
161. Wofford (8-1)75.5200-00-00-0
183. Davidson (6-3)73.2970-01-00-0
186. Geo Southern (9-2)73.1060-00-00-0
211. Furman (5-4)71.0850-00-00-0
212. Westrn Carolina (6-3)70.9750-00-00-0
229. East Tenn St (6-5)69.2150-00-00-0
231. NC Greensboro (8-4)69.1910-00-00-0
237. Chattanooga (6-6)68.6190-00-01-1
290. The Citadel (2-8)61.1320-00-00-0
302. VMI (1-9)58.9630-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 69.690


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
89. Sam Houston (7-0)81.2140-00-00-0
163. Ul Monroe (9-2)75.3980-00-01-0
177. Northwestern St (9-2)73.7920-00-00-0
179. Lamar (10-3)73.7470-00-00-0
192. Tex San Antonio (6-2)72.5150-00-00-0
225. Texas Arlington (7-4)69.6940-00-00-0
250. SW Texas St (5-6)67.1070-00-00-0
254. Nicholls St (5-5)66.6820-00-00-0
264. SE Louisiana (5-6)64.8040-00-00-0
269. McNeese St (4-8)64.1550-00-00-0
307. Stephen Austin (1-12)57.4820-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 69.558


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
143. Winthrop (11-1)77.0620-00-00-0
182. Elon (8-1)73.5460-00-00-0
193. Radford (8-2)72.3840-00-00-0
220. NC Asheville (7-3)70.1230-00-00-0
247. Liberty (6-4)67.3350-00-00-0
252. Coast Carolina (5-5)66.8220-00-00-0
253. High Point (5-3)66.7240-00-00-0
279. Charleston Sou (4-5)62.4710-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 67.811


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
66. Hofstra (11-0)83.4870-00-00-0
154. Delaware (12-1)76.2230-00-01-0
156. Maine (10-1)75.9350-00-00-1
208. Vermont (9-2)71.3590-00-01-0
257. Drexel (6-5)66.5180-00-00-1
273. Hartford (6-7)63.3910-00-00-1
277. Towson (5-7)63.0510-00-00-1
278. Northeastern (4-7)62.4750-00-00-1
291. Boston U (4-7)61.0520-00-00-1
315. New Hampshire (2-10)54.6180-00-00-1


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 66.524


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
181. Troy St (10-2)73.6430-00-00-0
184. Samford (8-2)73.2610-00-00-0
227. Georgia St (8-6)69.2730-00-00-2
230. Central Florida (8-7)69.2090-00-10-1
232. Jacksonville St (9-3)69.1910-00-00-1
262. Jacksonville (5-6)64.9460-00-00-0
263. Campbell (6-7)64.8170-00-00-0
266. Stetson (5-5)64.5090-00-00-0
280. Mercer (4-6)62.4660-00-00-0
316. Fla Atlantic (1-10)53.9260-00-00-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 65.987


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
164. Central Conn (14-1)75.3960-00-00-0
221. Robert Morris (8-3)70.1140-00-00-0
235. Fair Dickinson (9-4)68.6450-00-00-0
246. St Francis NY (7-4)67.3880-00-00-0
260. Monmouth NJ (7-5)65.4880-00-00-0
268. St Francis PA (6-6)64.3160-00-00-0
270. Wagner (5-5)63.7730-00-00-0
284. Mt St Marys (5-5)62.0320-00-00-0
311. Liu Brooklyn (2-7)56.7360-00-00-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 65.347


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
138. Navy (13-2)77.4820-00-10-0
170. Lafayette (9-1)74.4770-00-00-0
226. Bucknell (7-4)69.3640-00-00-0
294. Colgate (5-6)60.6830-00-00-0
297. Lehigh (4-7)59.7140-00-00-1
300. Holy Cross (4-9)59.0020-00-00-0
312. Army (2-9)56.7050-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 65.139


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
108. Pennsylvania (11-2)79.2630-00-01-2
151. Princeton (10-2)76.2800-00-01-1
282. Dartmouth (5-6)62.0930-00-00-1
285. Columbia (5-5)62.0000-00-00-1
286. Yale (6-5)61.9690-00-00-1
287. Harvard (5-7)61.6640-00-00-1
296. Brown (6-7)60.5140-00-00-1
308. Cornell (4-7)57.3280-00-00-1


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 64.744


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
205. TX Pan American (7-3)71.5680-00-00-0
217. Centenary (4-1)70.5150-00-00-0
255. Denver (5-9)66.6660-00-00-4
283. Belmont (3-9)62.0320-00-00-1
301. Albany NY (3-4)58.9900-00-00-0
304. Stony Brook (1-9)58.6940-00-10-1


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 61.840


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
137. Alcorn St (9-0)77.5110-00-00-0
242. Southern (8-1)67.7540-00-00-0
259. Jackson St (7-4)66.1420-00-00-1
276. Miss Valley St (4-4)63.1030-00-00-1
293. Alabama St (5-5)60.8620-00-00-1
295. Texas Southern (4-4)60.6110-00-00-0
306. Prairie View (3-5)57.6850-00-00-0
314. Ark Pine Bluff (3-6)56.0220-00-00-0
318. Grambling (0-9)46.8690-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 61.426


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
233. NO Carolina A&T (6-2)68.9070-00-00-0
245. Bethune Cookman (7-2)67.4110-00-00-0
249. SO Carolina St (10-3)67.1990-00-00-0
265. Hampton (7-5)64.7610-00-10-0
275. Coppin St (7-4)63.2660-00-00-0
292. Florida A&M (5-5)60.9820-00-00-0
299. MD Eastrn Shore (6-6)59.4900-00-00-0
303. Norfolk St (4-5)58.7960-00-00-0
305. Delaware St (4-8)58.0630-00-00-0
310. Morgan St (4-8)56.9070-00-00-0
317. Howard (1-9)49.9050-00-00-0
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