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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Main Power Ratings

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:40:54 EDT 2000

Home Court Advantage = 4.0236

BIG TEN AVERAGE = 85.952


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Michigan St (32-7)96.61013-64-07-0
11. Ohio St (23-7)91.0217-30-26-2
16. Purdue (23-10)89.9127-52-38-2
17. Wisconsin (22-14)89.8509-94-14-3
19. Illinois (22-10)89.5704-73-27-1
20. Indiana (20-9)89.5235-63-17-2
45. Iowa (14-16)84.3844-100-25-4
54. Penn St (15-15)83.6862-111-23-2
73. Michigan (15-13)82.0152-92-12-2
89. Minnesota (12-16)80.9221-101-43-1
251. Northwestern (5-25)67.9780-110-20-6


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 84.601


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Florida (29-8)92.0765-55-36-0
14. LSU (28-6)90.7554-36-25-0
18. Kentucky (22-10)89.8063-69-34-1
21. Tennessee (24-7)89.3855-22-38-1
31. Auburn (23-10)86.5962-63-26-1
42. Vanderbilt (19-10)84.6844-40-23-2
50. Arkansas (19-15)84.0362-73-22-4
72. South Carolina (15-17)82.1541-93-41-1
84. Mississippi (16-13)81.1910-73-22-0
107. Alabama (12-16)79.4821-43-41-3
122. Mississippi St (13-17)78.2741-50-62-1
142. Georgia (10-20)76.7730-80-63-5


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 83.450


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Duke (29-5)93.5262-45-19-0
26. Maryland (25-10)88.0633-42-28-2
27. North Carolina (22-14)87.7374-64-35-4
52. Wake Forest (17-14)83.8582-33-43-3
53. Virginia (19-11)83.8400-34-12-5
65. NO Carolina St (17-12)82.6811-22-43-3
110. Florida St (12-17)79.0070-42-63-5
123. Georgia Tech (13-17)78.1140-51-32-5
167. Clemson (10-20)74.2190-30-43-5


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 83.371


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Stanford (26-4)93.4731-27-24-0
10. Arizona (27-7)91.1235-35-16-1
28. Oregon (21-8)87.3092-33-27-1
29. UCLA (21-12)86.8672-67-23-3
44. Arizona St (17-12)84.4900-51-36-4
60. USC (15-14)83.2941-42-72-3
78. California (16-14)81.5421-51-53-2
115. Oregon St (11-16)78.7281-30-72-6
146. Washington (9-20)76.4970-62-41-5
219. Washington St (5-22)70.3890-50-71-4


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 83.231


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Iowa St (29-5)93.4806-36-01-1
9. Oklahoma St (26-7)91.4174-64-02-0
12. Oklahoma (27-7)90.8114-63-03-1
13. Texas (24-9)90.8064-83-16-0
24. Kansas (23-10)88.7212-84-24-0
40. Missouri (18-13)84.9182-101-23-0
68. Colorado (17-13)82.4353-60-24-1
131. Texas Tech (11-15)77.5330-90-21-2
137. Baylor (13-15)76.9590-90-12-2
157. Nebraska (11-19)75.1810-80-22-4
158. Kansas St (9-19)75.0770-101-21-3
203. Texas A&M (7-20)71.4371-70-11-4


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 82.874


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Syracuse (26-6)90.4284-32-26-1
22. St Johns (25-8)89.3025-32-37-1
23. Connecticut (25-10)89.0444-64-25-2
32. Miami Fla (23-11)86.4543-42-27-3
33. Seton Hall (22-10)86.0823-61-14-2
61. Notre Dame (18-14)83.2574-41-52-2
62. Villanova (19-12)83.1870-51-26-2
79. Georgetown (17-14)81.4591-52-43-3
97. West Virginia (14-14)80.2300-41-32-5
108. Rutgers (15-15)79.4780-40-23-7
125. Pittsburgh (13-15)78.0580-50-32-5
151. Boston College (11-19)76.0690-60-44-5
165. Providence (10-19)74.3120-42-23-6


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 82.592


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Cincinnati (29-4)94.1433-210-18-1
36. DePaul (20-12)85.5562-54-57-1
37. Louisville (18-12)85.4621-46-35-3
47. St Louis (18-14)84.1711-35-46-5
48. NC Charlotte (17-15)84.0870-36-63-5
77. Tulane (20-10)81.6790-11-56-3
85. Marquette (15-13)81.1330-34-43-4
91. SO Mississippi (17-12)80.8030-11-55-4
93. South Florida (17-13)80.7641-22-33-5
98. Memphis (14-16)79.9530-23-45-6
114. Uab (14-14)78.7370-23-43-6
163. Houston (8-22)74.6110-30-43-12


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 79.921


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Tulsa (32-5)91.5712-03-44-0
41. Fresno St (24-10)84.8493-20-23-4
59. SMU (20-8)83.3020-22-12-1
101. TCU (17-14)79.7630-30-22-5
105. Hawaii (17-12)79.5460-21-43-3
133. Texas El Paso (13-15)77.3950-21-31-4
138. San Jose St (11-15)76.8510-20-23-5
268. Rice (3-22)66.0870-30-20-2


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 79.492


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. Kent (19-7)85.6270-03-15-6
38. Ball St (21-9)85.2131-11-29-4
43. Bowling Green (21-7)84.5950-01-27-3
63. Ohio (20-13)83.1800-23-45-4
66. Toledo (18-13)82.6450-23-31-5
74. Marshall (19-8)81.9560-02-24-5
87. Miami Ohio (15-15)80.9500-22-56-5
92. Akron (16-11)80.7790-11-44-3
113. Eastern Mich (13-13)78.7560-11-42-5
134. Northern Ill (11-15)77.3171-01-42-6
161. Western Mich (10-19)74.9660-01-43-8
210. Central Mich (5-23)71.0770-10-41-9
265. Buffalo (5-23)66.3400-10-61-9


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 79.408


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Temple (27-6)91.6782-23-29-1
49. St Bonaventure (21-10)84.0661-31-27-1
55. Dayton (22-9)83.6541-21-24-1
70. Xavier (20-11)82.2281-21-23-3
90. Massachusetts (16-15)80.8610-50-21-4
103. Geo Washington (15-15)79.5760-23-15-4
111. St Josephs PA (13-16)78.9261-30-22-7
124. Virginia Tech (16-15)78.0820-21-23-5
127. Fordham (14-15)77.5930-32-01-5
156. LA Salle (11-17)75.3430-20-12-6
202. Duquesne (9-20)71.4720-20-12-7
233. Rhode Island (5-25)69.4200-40-30-9


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 78.939


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
56. Creighton (22-10)83.5700-11-16-3
57. SW Missouri St (22-10)83.5400-11-17-4
64. Indiana St (22-10)82.9351-10-13-5
67. Southern Ill (19-12)82.5420-11-24-7
112. Bradley (14-16)78.9160-10-14-8
120. Evansville (17-12)78.4680-00-01-10
140. Northern Iowa (14-15)76.8120-11-12-6
159. Wichita St (11-17)75.0510-10-12-8
168. Drake (10-18)73.9831-00-11-8
173. Illinois St (9-20)73.5720-11-11-8


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 78.426


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
39. Unlv (23-8)84.9700-31-26-3
46. Utah (21-9)84.3231-23-24-3
69. BYU (19-10)82.3310-15-32-2
88. Wyoming (18-12)80.9400-22-33-4
94. Colorado St (17-12)80.7500-02-64-4
109. New Mexico (15-13)79.4541-11-34-6
227. Air Force (7-20)69.8980-00-62-5
278. San Diego St (4-22)64.7430-10-70-8


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 77.094


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. Gonzaga (26-9)88.1421-34-27-4
30. Pepperdine (25-9)86.8112-41-39-1
71. San Diego (18-10)82.1661-41-22-3
76. Santa Clara (19-12)81.6831-30-66-2
95. San Francisco (18-9)80.5080-21-32-3
212. Portland (7-18)70.9580-20-32-6
239. St Marys CA (7-20)68.9960-30-20-8
310. Loyola Marymnt (0-25)57.4890-20-30-9


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 76.932


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
83. CS Northridge (18-10)81.2520-02-01-5
86. Northrn Arizona (16-11)81.0960-11-34-2
99. Eastern Wash (12-9)79.8510-10-03-3
102. Weber St (15-8)79.7470-02-02-5
116. Montana (14-11)78.6730-20-04-5
150. Portland St (12-13)76.1620-00-22-6
178. Montana St (7-14)73.2860-10-00-7
199. Idaho St (6-18)71.7700-10-01-7
218. Sacramento St (8-16)70.5470-10-02-5


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 76.106


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
51. Butler (23-9)83.8730-10-11-2
117. Detroit (18-12)78.6510-00-22-4
139. Cleveland St (15-14)76.8330-20-22-4
148. Wisc Milwaukee (14-14)76.4240-30-20-3
154. Wisc Green Bay (14-16)75.7900-11-11-4
182. Loyola Chi (14-14)72.8830-10-00-3
187. Wright St (11-17)72.4751-00-00-3
195. Illinois Chi (10-20)71.9180-00-20-3


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 74.409


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
34. Utah St (24-6)86.0640-21-17-2
58. Long Beach St (22-5)83.4770-00-23-1
75. New Mexico St (21-9)81.9160-10-32-3
164. Santa Barbara (12-14)74.5890-10-20-6
170. Boise St (11-15)73.9030-20-22-4
181. Idaho (10-17)72.9810-20-20-5
184. UC Irvine (13-14)72.6030-10-10-7
206. Nevada (8-20)71.1690-10-40-7
211. Pacific (10-18)70.9920-01-30-5
234. Cal Poly (7-18)69.3460-00-21-7
246. North Texas (7-20)68.5560-20-21-5
255. CS Fullerton (8-18)67.3070-00-20-5


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 73.688


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
126. Richmond (18-12)77.6790-10-01-2
132. NC Wilmington (18-13)77.4100-30-01-0
135. George Mason (19-11)77.0240-00-10-2
143. James Madison (20-9)76.6670-00-00-2
177. VA Commonwealth (14-14)73.3510-01-01-2
207. Old Dominion (11-19)71.1570-00-10-1
215. William & Mary (9-17)70.8310-10-10-0
228. American (10-18)69.6000-10-00-0
232. East Carolina (8-18)69.4700-00-00-2


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 72.837


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
80. SE Missouri St (22-6)81.4360-10-02-1
100. Murray St (22-9)79.8010-10-11-3
145. Eastern Ill (15-12)76.5190-00-11-6
149. Austin Peay (15-10)76.1980-00-12-3
162. Tennessee Tech (14-12)74.6180-00-10-4
166. Middle Tenn St (13-13)74.2460-20-02-3
226. Tenn Martin (8-19)69.9020-10-12-5
263. Morehead St (5-18)66.5830-00-00-5
264. Tennessee St (7-22)66.3430-00-12-4
292. Eastern KY (4-22)62.7200-10-10-4


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 72.524


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
96. Ul Lafayette (24-8)80.4740-11-10-1
106. Louisiana Tech (21-8)79.5320-01-11-2
129. South Alabama (20-10)77.5660-10-03-3
172. Florida Intl (15-14)73.7500-00-21-4
191. Western KY (11-17)72.2240-00-11-4
196. Arkansas St (10-17)71.8740-20-11-3
220. New Orleans (11-18)70.3170-00-00-6
275. Denver (6-22)65.1460-00-10-6
299. Arkansas Lr (4-24)61.8310-20-20-2


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 71.075


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
104. Appalachian St (20-9)79.5650-20-01-1
119. Coll Of Charltn (20-6)78.5250-00-10-0
169. Davidson (12-13)73.9420-20-11-1
193. Wofford (12-15)71.9880-10-10-3
194. Geo Southern (14-12)71.9340-10-00-0
197. NC Greensboro (14-13)71.8400-00-00-1
216. East Tenn St (12-15)70.7690-00-10-1
221. Furman (10-18)70.2530-00-00-3
225. Westrn Carolina (11-14)69.9590-00-10-2
237. Chattanooga (9-18)69.1420-00-00-2
283. The Citadel (6-19)64.1560-00-00-2
306. VMI (2-23)60.8300-10-00-2


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 70.855


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
118. Sam Houston (19-7)78.6200-20-00-0
152. Ul Monroe (17-9)76.0070-00-01-2
176. Northwestern St (15-12)73.4170-00-00-0
186. Lamar (15-15)72.4780-20-00-4
188. Texas Arlington (13-12)72.4560-00-10-1
190. Tex San Antonio (11-12)72.2800-20-00-0
230. SW Texas St (10-16)69.5530-00-01-0
238. Nicholls St (9-17)69.0800-10-10-1
262. SE Louisiana (8-17)66.6200-10-00-2
274. McNeese St (6-21)65.2450-00-00-3
286. Stephen Austin (4-19)63.6540-00-00-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 70.428


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
128. Siena (23-8)77.5720-00-00-2
147. Iona (20-11)76.4330-00-20-2
175. Fairfield (14-15)73.5670-20-20-0
183. Niagara (17-12)72.7570-20-10-0
205. Rider (16-14)71.2790-00-00-1
208. Marist (14-14)71.1340-00-00-1
229. Manhattan (12-15)69.5540-00-00-1
252. Canisius (10-20)67.7700-10-10-2
295. Loyola MD (7-21)62.5860-00-00-2
301. St Peters (5-23)61.6280-00-10-1


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 70.318


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
171. Valparaiso (16-13)73.8620-10-00-3
179. Southern Utah (14-12)73.2810-00-10-1
189. Oakland (12-17)72.3450-30-10-4
192. Mo Kansas City (14-13)72.0210-10-11-0
214. Oral Roberts (12-16)70.8661-00-00-2
223. Youngstown St (11-15)70.0890-10-20-1
248. Chicago St (9-18)68.3760-00-20-1
260. Iupui (7-21)66.7050-10-00-3
273. Western Ill (6-22)65.3210-20-00-3


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 68.637


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
144. Central Conn (25-6)76.6150-10-00-0
185. Robert Morris (17-12)72.5710-00-00-2
200. Fair Dickinson (16-11)71.6860-00-10-1
209. St Francis NY (16-13)71.1140-10-00-1
257. Monmouth NJ (12-16)67.0730-00-20-0
270. Wagner (10-16)65.7370-00-20-0
276. Mt St Marys (9-18)64.8970-10-00-3
280. St Francis PA (8-18)64.6730-00-00-1
289. Liu Brooklyn (7-18)63.3650-10-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 68.470


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
160. Winthrop (17-9)75.0070-11-10-1
174. Radford (17-10)73.5680-10-00-1
240. Elon (10-13)68.9600-10-10-2
242. NC Asheville (9-19)68.6850-30-20-2
256. Coast Carolina (9-18)67.1620-10-10-2
258. Liberty (10-14)66.9450-00-00-1
279. High Point (7-17)64.7320-10-20-1
293. Charleston Sou (6-19)62.7020-00-00-1


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 68.172


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
81. Hofstra (24-7)81.3460-20-10-2
136. Delaware (24-7)76.9690-10-01-2
155. Maine (23-7)75.7790-00-10-3
224. Vermont (16-12)70.0740-20-01-1
245. Drexel (13-17)68.5570-00-10-4
272. Towson (11-17)65.5150-00-00-3
285. Hartford (10-19)63.7510-10-10-2
294. Northeastern (7-20)62.6190-00-10-2
296. Boston U (6-21)62.0990-00-00-5
315. New Hampshire (3-25)55.0130-20-00-2


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 68.099


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
153. Samford (19-11)75.9021-10-00-3
180. Georgia St (16-12)73.0330-10-10-1
201. Jacksonville St (16-8)71.5110-00-00-1
204. Troy St (16-11)71.4080-00-00-1
236. Central Florida (12-18)69.2680-00-20-2
244. Campbell (12-14)68.5590-00-00-2
259. Stetson (12-15)66.8140-00-10-1
261. Mercer (10-21)66.6770-00-30-0
282. Jacksonville (7-18)64.3720-00-00-0
316. Fla Atlantic (1-27)53.4490-10-30-1


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 67.856


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
121. Lafayette (22-7)78.4450-10-00-2
141. Navy (21-6)76.7790-00-00-2
198. Bucknell (16-11)71.7820-00-10-1
271. Colgate (11-16)65.5650-10-00-0
284. Holy Cross (10-18)63.7680-10-00-0
302. Lehigh (6-21)61.4800-00-10-3
311. Army (3-23)57.1740-10-10-1


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 66.945


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
82. Pennsylvania (21-8)81.2550-40-11-2
130. Princeton (18-10)77.5410-20-20-4
267. Columbia (12-14)66.1920-10-10-2
277. Harvard (11-15)64.8750-00-00-3
297. Cornell (9-17)62.0840-00-20-2
300. Dartmouth (7-18)61.7500-00-00-4
305. Brown (8-19)61.1940-00-00-3
307. Yale (7-20)60.6720-00-00-4


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 65.482


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
231. TX Pan American (8-14)69.4790-20-10-4
247. Centenary (7-16)68.4990-20-10-2
275. Denver (6-22)65.1460-00-10-6
288. Albany NY (7-16)63.3920-10-00-1
290. Stony Brook (5-21)63.2020-10-30-3
291. Belmont (4-20)63.1730-00-20-3


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 63.112


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
222. Hampton (17-12)70.1590-00-00-2
235. SO Carolina St (19-14)69.3160-10-00-3
243. Bethune Cookman (13-13)68.6150-20-10-1
253. Coppin St (15-15)67.4420-30-10-1
254. NO Carolina A&T (14-13)67.4150-10-00-0
287. Norfolk St (11-16)63.4130-00-00-0
298. MD Eastrn Shore (11-17)62.0000-10-00-3
303. Florida A&M (9-21)61.3690-20-00-1
309. Delaware St (6-22)58.4890-10-00-0
312. Morgan St (5-24)56.2700-00-30-2
317. Howard (1-27)49.7410-20-20-2


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 62.664


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
213. Alcorn St (17-10)70.9010-20-10-1
241. Jackson St (16-15)68.8960-10-20-2
250. Southern (16-10)68.1600-00-00-0
266. Texas Southern (10-12)66.2200-00-10-1
281. Alabama St (9-14)64.4720-00-00-2
304. Miss Valley St (6-19)61.3330-30-10-1
308. Prairie View (6-19)60.1460-00-00-2
313. Ark Pine Bluff (4-19)55.9560-10-10-1
318. Grambling (0-27)47.8930-10-00-2
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