NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:40:58 EDT 2000


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5698


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Kentucky (22-10)0.63274-78-34-0
9. Florida (29-8)0.62516-54-36-0
12. LSU (28-6)0.61704-36-25-0
15. Tennessee (24-7)0.61525-32-26-1
27. Auburn (23-10)0.59512-63-26-1
41. Vanderbilt (19-10)0.57204-40-23-2
49. Arkansas (19-15)0.56482-73-22-3
79. Mississippi (16-13)0.54490-73-21-0
84. South Carolina (15-17)0.54251-92-42-1
107. Alabama (12-16)0.52951-43-41-4
143. Mississippi St (13-17)0.50631-50-62-1
160. Georgia (10-20)0.49290-80-73-3


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5695


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Michigan St (32-7)0.639913-52-18-0
20. Wisconsin (22-14)0.60529-73-23-3
22. Indiana (20-9)0.60306-51-27-1
23. Illinois (22-10)0.59933-72-27-1
25. Purdue (23-10)0.59716-52-36-2
26. Ohio St (23-7)0.59647-30-14-3
54. Iowa (14-16)0.56123-111-13-3
71. Penn St (15-15)0.54671-91-34-3
78. Michigan (15-13)0.54502-81-12-2
109. Minnesota (12-16)0.52881-80-44-3
245. Northwestern (5-25)0.44240-90-30-6


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5603


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. St Johns (25-8)0.62865-14-56-1
11. Syracuse (26-6)0.61954-33-27-1
14. Connecticut (25-10)0.61564-65-13-3
29. Miami Fla (23-11)0.58742-54-06-3
34. Seton Hall (22-10)0.57893-62-22-1
44. Villanova (19-12)0.57040-51-26-1
63. Notre Dame (18-14)0.55503-52-53-1
68. Georgetown (17-14)0.54801-62-42-2
92. West Virginia (14-14)0.53790-40-43-4
102. Rutgers (15-15)0.53200-41-33-7
123. Pittsburgh (13-15)0.52020-51-41-4
144. Boston College (11-19)0.50450-61-52-4
172. Providence (10-19)0.48590-42-42-4


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5602


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Iowa St (29-5)0.63506-35-02-1
8. Texas (24-9)0.62634-82-15-0
13. Oklahoma (27-7)0.61604-63-02-1
16. Oklahoma St (26-7)0.61454-64-02-0
19. Kansas (23-10)0.61011-85-15-1
40. Missouri (18-13)0.57242-110-15-0
82. Colorado (17-13)0.54442-62-22-0
127. Baylor (13-15)0.51920-90-11-2
137. Texas Tech (11-15)0.51100-90-21-2
142. Kansas St (9-19)0.50650-101-20-3
149. Nebraska (11-19)0.49980-80-21-3
199. Texas A&M (7-20)0.46721-70-21-3


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5577


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Duke (29-5)0.63856-51-09-0
18. Maryland (25-10)0.61274-50-110-2
24. North Carolina (22-14)0.59735-73-25-4
53. Wake Forest (17-14)0.56184-61-23-2
72. Virginia (19-11)0.54643-40-04-4
77. NO Carolina St (17-12)0.54532-60-04-3
117. Florida St (12-17)0.52231-81-23-3
145. Georgia Tech (13-17)0.50411-80-02-5
163. Clemson (10-20)0.49110-70-03-5


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5534


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Cincinnati (29-4)0.65693-28-18-1
36. Louisville (18-12)0.57772-34-24-5
37. DePaul (20-12)0.57632-51-57-1
39. St Louis (18-14)0.57541-35-45-4
58. NC Charlotte (17-15)0.55780-36-63-3
60. SO Mississippi (17-12)0.55550-11-43-3
70. Marquette (15-13)0.54680-33-43-2
88. Tulane (20-10)0.54180-21-34-2
101. Uab (14-14)0.53220-23-21-7
120. Memphis (14-16)0.52170-22-43-6
128. South Florida (17-13)0.51911-21-34-2
180. Houston (8-22)0.47960-30-32-10


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5508


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Arizona (27-7)0.62645-34-18-2
17. Stanford (26-4)0.61291-34-17-0
28. UCLA (21-12)0.59484-54-24-3
32. Oregon (21-8)0.58511-32-28-1
61. Arizona St (17-12)0.55550-51-45-3
74. USC (15-14)0.54611-51-52-4
83. California (16-14)0.54250-52-34-4
140. Oregon St (11-16)0.50861-30-51-7
161. Washington (9-20)0.49230-52-31-8
238. Washington St (5-22)0.44390-40-61-5


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5312


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
21. Tulsa (32-5)0.60442-13-37-0
30. Fresno St (24-10)0.58643-21-24-3
51. SMU (20-8)0.56400-23-12-3
81. TCU (17-14)0.54450-30-42-4
115. Hawaii (17-12)0.52410-21-34-5
132. Texas El Paso (13-15)0.51540-21-34-5
157. San Jose St (11-15)0.49640-20-22-7
278. Rice (3-22)0.41430-30-20-4


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5256


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
43. Utah (21-9)0.57071-25-32-3
46. BYU (19-10)0.56730-14-34-3
48. Unlv (23-8)0.56600-42-36-1
69. New Mexico (15-13)0.54751-13-50-4
96. Wyoming (18-12)0.53490-23-52-0
103. Colorado St (17-12)0.53060-03-63-6
219. Air Force (7-20)0.45580-01-71-4
260. San Diego St (4-22)0.43250-10-80-6


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5242


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Temple (27-6)0.62502-25-24-1
42. St Bonaventure (21-10)0.57101-31-24-1
50. Dayton (22-9)0.56431-21-24-1
90. Xavier (20-11)0.53881-22-32-2
110. Massachusetts (16-15)0.52730-51-31-3
113. St Josephs PA (13-16)0.52531-30-53-2
118. Geo Washington (15-15)0.52201-23-12-4
131. Fordham (14-15)0.51660-33-02-4
139. Virginia Tech (16-15)0.50950-21-33-3
173. LA Salle (11-17)0.48540-20-42-2
215. Duquesne (9-20)0.45820-10-42-3
229. Rhode Island (5-25)0.44760-40-30-6


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5202


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
38. SW Missouri St (22-10)0.57620-11-19-4
52. Indiana St (22-10)0.56351-11-23-4
56. Southern Ill (19-12)0.55860-10-53-4
57. Creighton (22-10)0.55850-12-24-2
112. Bradley (14-16)0.52590-11-33-6
130. Evansville (17-12)0.51690-00-21-8
148. Northern Iowa (14-15)0.49980-10-23-5
186. Wichita St (11-17)0.47620-11-21-7
198. Drake (10-18)0.46731-00-31-6
213. Illinois St (9-20)0.45860-12-10-7


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5183


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. Kent (19-7)0.57850-02-05-6
47. Ball St (21-9)0.56661-10-29-4
64. Bowling Green (21-7)0.55460-01-25-3
73. Ohio (20-13)0.54620-13-36-4
76. Toledo (18-13)0.54580-12-43-4
86. Miami Ohio (15-15)0.54230-21-45-6
97. Marshall (19-8)0.53470-02-13-5
122. Akron (16-11)0.52120-11-24-5
138. Eastern Mich (13-13)0.51060-11-32-6
166. Northern Ill (11-15)0.48811-01-32-6
185. Western Mich (10-19)0.47670-00-35-7
253. Buffalo (5-23)0.43670-20-30-10
254. Central Mich (5-23)0.43620-10-30-9


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.5011


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
67. Northrn Arizona (16-11)0.55100-11-33-2
80. Weber St (15-8)0.54470-02-12-3
93. CS Northridge (18-10)0.53780-02-03-4
106. Montana (14-11)0.52990-00-23-6
129. Eastern Wash (12-9)0.51810-00-14-3
175. Portland St (12-13)0.48130-00-12-7
202. Montana St (7-14)0.46420-10-01-6
244. Idaho St (6-18)0.44240-10-01-6
248. Sacramento St (8-16)0.44060-10-01-4


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4941


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
33. Gonzaga (26-9)0.58251-34-22-3
45. Pepperdine (25-9)0.56921-22-45-1
95. Santa Clara (19-12)0.53490-21-63-1
125. San Diego (18-10)0.51980-22-41-2
133. San Francisco (18-9)0.51530-11-41-2
264. Portland (7-18)0.42800-00-51-2
265. St Marys CA (7-20)0.42780-00-50-4
312. Loyola Marymnt (0-25)0.37560-00-50-5


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4921


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
62. Butler (23-9)0.55540-10-12-2
134. Detroit (18-12)0.51500-00-22-4
136. Wisc Milwaukee (14-14)0.51420-30-20-3
151. Cleveland St (15-14)0.49920-21-11-3
154. Wisc Green Bay (14-16)0.49820-11-11-3
207. Loyola Chi (14-14)0.46150-10-00-3
225. Wright St (11-17)0.45001-00-00-3
240. Illinois Chi (10-20)0.44340-00-10-4


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4901


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
94. Richmond (18-12)0.53500-10-01-4
99. George Mason (19-11)0.53330-10-02-3
119. James Madison (20-9)0.52170-00-02-5
124. NC Wilmington (18-13)0.52000-30-04-3
174. VA Commonwealth (14-14)0.48320-01-02-5
183. William & Mary (9-17)0.47810-10-11-3
223. East Carolina (8-18)0.45140-00-00-6
237. American (10-18)0.44470-00-10-6
241. Old Dominion (11-19)0.44340-00-02-5


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4777


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. Utah St (24-6)0.58570-21-26-2
65. New Mexico St (21-9)0.55190-10-34-3
75. Long Beach St (22-5)0.54580-00-23-2
189. UC Irvine (13-14)0.47240-10-20-5
192. Boise St (11-15)0.46960-10-33-3
196. Idaho (10-17)0.46890-10-30-4
200. Santa Barbara (12-14)0.46590-10-30-4
230. North Texas (7-20)0.44740-20-21-6
232. Nevada (8-20)0.44660-10-40-6
249. Pacific (10-18)0.44050-01-30-5
255. Cal Poly (7-18)0.43520-00-21-6
294. CS Fullerton (8-18)0.40280-00-20-3


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4768


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
66. Ul Lafayette (24-8)0.55160-11-11-1
114. South Alabama (20-10)0.52520-11-02-3
126. Louisiana Tech (21-8)0.51960-01-12-2
162. Florida Intl (15-14)0.49210-00-30-3
178. Arkansas St (10-17)0.48070-20-10-4
197. Western KY (11-17)0.46750-00-11-3
224. New Orleans (11-18)0.45000-00-10-5
282. Denver (6-22)0.41080-00-20-4
300. Arkansas Lr (4-24)0.39410-20-00-4


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4735


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
85. Siena (23-8)0.54240-00-01-4
100. Iona (20-11)0.53330-10-12-2
146. Fairfield (14-15)0.50240-20-21-5
147. Niagara (17-12)0.50120-20-11-4
182. Rider (16-14)0.47820-00-03-5
195. Marist (14-14)0.46900-00-01-5
221. Manhattan (12-15)0.45260-00-00-5
222. Canisius (10-20)0.45210-10-11-7
292. St Peters (5-23)0.40560-00-10-5
296. Loyola MD (7-21)0.39820-00-01-5


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4726


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
59. SE Missouri St (22-6)0.55680-10-02-1
89. Murray St (22-9)0.54090-10-11-3
150. Eastern Ill (15-12)0.49920-00-01-7
159. Austin Peay (15-10)0.49330-00-12-3
170. Tennessee Tech (14-12)0.48650-10-00-4
171. Middle Tenn St (13-13)0.48600-20-02-3
214. Tenn Martin (8-19)0.45830-10-12-5
274. Tennessee St (7-22)0.41850-00-12-4
295. Morehead St (5-18)0.39880-00-00-4
305. Eastern KY (4-22)0.38740-00-20-4


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4668


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
55. Hofstra (24-7)0.56040-20-13-3
91. Delaware (24-7)0.53850-10-02-2
116. Maine (23-7)0.52410-00-12-3
181. Vermont (16-12)0.47900-10-11-3
194. Drexel (13-17)0.46920-00-10-7
234. Hartford (10-19)0.44610-10-10-5
236. Towson (11-17)0.44520-00-00-6
273. Boston U (6-21)0.41870-00-00-6
287. Northeastern (7-20)0.40750-00-11-3
311. New Hampshire (3-25)0.37900-20-00-4


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4618


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
108. Central Conn (25-6)0.52900-10-00-0
153. Robert Morris (17-12)0.49830-00-00-2
158. Fair Dickinson (16-11)0.49330-10-10-0
176. St Francis NY (16-13)0.48130-10-01-1
216. Monmouth NJ (12-16)0.45740-00-20-1
252. Mt St Marys (9-18)0.43760-10-10-2
268. Wagner (10-16)0.42460-00-20-0
271. St Francis PA (8-18)0.41990-00-00-1
277. Liu Brooklyn (7-18)0.41490-10-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4594


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
105. Sam Houston (19-7)0.53000-20-00-1
152. Ul Monroe (17-9)0.49860-00-01-2
167. Lamar (15-15)0.48790-20-00-3
177. Northwestern St (15-12)0.48120-00-00-1
187. Tex San Antonio (11-12)0.47620-20-00-1
191. Texas Arlington (13-12)0.47020-00-10-1
247. SW Texas St (10-16)0.44080-00-00-0
250. Nicholls St (9-17)0.43940-10-10-1
262. SE Louisiana (8-17)0.43100-10-00-2
279. McNeese St (6-21)0.41390-00-00-4
306. Stephen Austin (4-19)0.38410-00-00-0


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4590


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
104. Coll Of Charltn (20-6)0.53010-10-00-1
111. Appalachian St (20-9)0.52710-10-11-1
168. Davidson (12-13)0.48790-20-01-3
184. Geo Southern (14-12)0.47710-10-00-1
193. NC Greensboro (14-13)0.46930-00-00-1
211. Wofford (12-15)0.46000-10-10-3
220. East Tenn St (12-15)0.45500-00-10-1
235. Westrn Carolina (11-14)0.44570-00-10-2
239. Chattanooga (9-18)0.44380-00-00-2
257. Furman (10-18)0.43420-00-00-2
298. The Citadel (6-19)0.39660-00-00-1
309. VMI (2-23)0.38090-10-00-2


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4542


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
121. Lafayette (22-7)0.52150-10-11-1
135. Navy (21-6)0.51490-00-00-3
156. Bucknell (16-11)0.49710-00-01-4
242. Colgate (11-16)0.44290-10-00-2
284. Lehigh (6-21)0.41050-00-10-2
286. Holy Cross (10-18)0.40990-10-00-1
308. Army (3-23)0.38280-10-10-1


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4477


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
141. Samford (19-11)0.50831-10-10-2
165. Georgia St (16-12)0.48910-10-10-1
179. Troy St (16-11)0.48040-00-00-1
188. Jacksonville St (16-8)0.47480-00-00-1
206. Central Florida (12-18)0.46220-00-20-1
209. Campbell (12-14)0.46080-00-00-2
267. Stetson (12-15)0.42570-00-10-2
276. Mercer (10-21)0.41620-00-30-0
303. Jacksonville (7-18)0.38990-00-00-0
316. Fla Atlantic (1-27)0.36970-10-30-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4425


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
155. Winthrop (17-9)0.49800-21-10-0
164. Radford (17-10)0.49010-10-00-2
226. NC Asheville (9-19)0.44980-30-20-2
227. Elon (10-13)0.44900-10-10-2
263. Coast Carolina (9-18)0.42860-10-20-2
266. Liberty (10-14)0.42630-00-01-1
288. High Point (7-17)0.40710-10-20-1
302. Charleston Sou (6-19)0.39130-00-00-1


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4408


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
87. Pennsylvania (21-8)0.54190-40-23-1
98. Princeton (18-10)0.53340-20-21-4
243. Columbia (12-14)0.44250-10-10-4
272. Harvard (11-15)0.41890-00-00-4
289. Cornell (9-17)0.40670-00-20-4
293. Dartmouth (7-18)0.40310-00-00-5
301. Yale (7-20)0.39160-00-01-5
304. Brown (8-19)0.38810-00-00-5


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4376


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
201. Southern Utah (14-12)0.46430-00-20-2
203. Valparaiso (16-13)0.46420-10-00-2
212. Oakland (12-17)0.45940-20-10-4
218. Mo Kansas City (14-13)0.45630-11-10-0
231. Youngstown St (11-15)0.44670-10-20-1
251. Oral Roberts (12-16)0.43811-00-00-2
275. Chicago St (9-18)0.41810-00-20-1
297. Western Ill (6-22)0.39660-20-10-2
299. Iupui (7-21)0.39440-10-00-2


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4197


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
256. TX Pan American (8-14)0.43520-10-20-3
261. Stony Brook (5-21)0.43110-10-30-3
270. Centenary (7-16)0.42140-20-10-2
280. Belmont (4-20)0.41360-00-20-3
282. Denver (6-22)0.41080-00-20-4
291. Albany NY (7-16)0.40590-10-00-1


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4195


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
204. Bethune Cookman (13-13)0.46400-20-10-2
205. Coppin St (15-15)0.46320-30-10-3
208. Hampton (17-12)0.46120-00-00-2
210. SO Carolina St (19-14)0.46050-10-20-1
259. NO Carolina A&T (14-13)0.43270-10-00-0
283. Florida A&M (9-21)0.41070-10-10-0
285. MD Eastrn Shore (11-17)0.41000-10-00-3
290. Norfolk St (11-16)0.40660-00-00-0
313. Delaware St (6-22)0.37350-10-00-1
314. Morgan St (5-24)0.37100-00-20-3
317. Howard (1-27)0.36120-30-10-3


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4131


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
190. Alcorn St (17-10)0.47100-20-10-2
217. Jackson St (16-15)0.45710-10-10-2
233. Southern (16-10)0.44660-00-00-0
258. Alabama St (9-14)0.43340-00-00-3
269. Texas Southern (10-12)0.42240-00-10-1
281. Miss Valley St (6-19)0.41350-30-10-1
307. Prairie View (6-19)0.38330-00-00-2
315. Ark Pine Bluff (4-19)0.37010-10-10-1
318. Grambling (0-27)0.32030-10-00-2
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