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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

RPI

By conference
Last Updated Tue Apr 04 17:40:57 EDT 2000


Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Cincinnati (29-4)0.65693-28-18-1
2. Michigan St (32-7)0.639913-52-18-0
3. Duke (29-5)0.63856-51-09-0
4. Iowa St (29-5)0.63506-35-02-1
5. Kentucky (22-10)0.63274-78-34-0
6. St Johns (25-8)0.62865-14-56-1
7. Arizona (27-7)0.62645-34-18-2
8. Texas (24-9)0.62634-82-15-0
9. Florida (29-8)0.62516-54-36-0
10. Temple (27-6)0.62502-25-24-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Syracuse (26-6)0.61954-33-27-1
12. LSU (28-6)0.61704-36-25-0
13. Oklahoma (27-7)0.61604-63-02-1
14. Connecticut (25-10)0.61564-65-13-3
15. Tennessee (24-7)0.61525-32-26-1
16. Oklahoma St (26-7)0.61454-64-02-0
17. Stanford (26-4)0.61291-34-17-0
18. Maryland (25-10)0.61274-50-110-2
19. Kansas (23-10)0.61011-85-15-1
20. Wisconsin (22-14)0.60529-73-23-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Tulsa (32-5)0.60442-13-37-0
22. Indiana (20-9)0.60306-51-27-1
23. Illinois (22-10)0.59933-72-27-1
24. North Carolina (22-14)0.59735-73-25-4
25. Purdue (23-10)0.59716-52-36-2
26. Ohio St (23-7)0.59647-30-14-3
27. Auburn (23-10)0.59512-63-26-1
28. UCLA (21-12)0.59484-54-24-3
29. Miami Fla (23-11)0.58742-54-06-3
30. Fresno St (24-10)0.58643-21-24-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Utah St (24-6)0.58570-21-26-2
32. Oregon (21-8)0.58511-32-28-1
33. Gonzaga (26-9)0.58251-34-22-3
34. Seton Hall (22-10)0.57893-62-22-1
35. Kent (19-7)0.57850-02-05-6
36. Louisville (18-12)0.57772-34-24-5
37. DePaul (20-12)0.57632-51-57-1
38. SW Missouri St (22-10)0.57620-11-19-4
39. St Louis (18-14)0.57541-35-45-4
40. Missouri (18-13)0.57242-110-15-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Vanderbilt (19-10)0.57204-40-23-2
42. St Bonaventure (21-10)0.57101-31-24-1
43. Utah (21-9)0.57071-25-32-3
44. Villanova (19-12)0.57040-51-26-1
45. Pepperdine (25-9)0.56921-22-45-1
46. BYU (19-10)0.56730-14-34-3
47. Ball St (21-9)0.56661-10-29-4
48. Unlv (23-8)0.56600-42-36-1
49. Arkansas (19-15)0.56482-73-22-3
50. Dayton (22-9)0.56431-21-24-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. SMU (20-8)0.56400-23-12-3
52. Indiana St (22-10)0.56351-11-23-4
53. Wake Forest (17-14)0.56184-61-23-2
54. Iowa (14-16)0.56123-111-13-3
55. Hofstra (24-7)0.56040-20-13-3
56. Southern Ill (19-12)0.55860-10-53-4
57. Creighton (22-10)0.55850-12-24-2
58. NC Charlotte (17-15)0.55780-36-63-3
59. SE Missouri St (22-6)0.55680-10-02-1
60. SO Mississippi (17-12)0.55550-11-43-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Arizona St (17-12)0.55550-51-45-3
62. Butler (23-9)0.55540-10-12-2
63. Notre Dame (18-14)0.55503-52-53-1
64. Bowling Green (21-7)0.55460-01-25-3
65. New Mexico St (21-9)0.55190-10-34-3
66. Ul Lafayette (24-8)0.55160-11-11-1
67. Northrn Arizona (16-11)0.55100-11-33-2
68. Georgetown (17-14)0.54801-62-42-2
69. New Mexico (15-13)0.54751-13-50-4
70. Marquette (15-13)0.54680-33-43-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Penn St (15-15)0.54671-91-34-3
72. Virginia (19-11)0.54643-40-04-4
73. Ohio (20-13)0.54620-13-36-4
74. USC (15-14)0.54611-51-52-4
75. Long Beach St (22-5)0.54580-00-23-2
76. Toledo (18-13)0.54580-12-43-4
77. NO Carolina St (17-12)0.54532-60-04-3
78. Michigan (15-13)0.54502-81-12-2
79. Mississippi (16-13)0.54490-73-21-0
80. Weber St (15-8)0.54470-02-12-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. TCU (17-14)0.54450-30-42-4
82. Colorado (17-13)0.54442-62-22-0
83. California (16-14)0.54250-52-34-4
84. South Carolina (15-17)0.54251-92-42-1
85. Siena (23-8)0.54240-00-01-4
86. Miami Ohio (15-15)0.54230-21-45-6
87. Pennsylvania (21-8)0.54190-40-23-1
88. Tulane (20-10)0.54180-21-34-2
89. Murray St (22-9)0.54090-10-11-3
90. Xavier (20-11)0.53881-22-32-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Delaware (24-7)0.53850-10-02-2
92. West Virginia (14-14)0.53790-40-43-4
93. CS Northridge (18-10)0.53780-02-03-4
94. Richmond (18-12)0.53500-10-01-4
95. Santa Clara (19-12)0.53490-21-63-1
96. Wyoming (18-12)0.53490-23-52-0
97. Marshall (19-8)0.53470-02-13-5
98. Princeton (18-10)0.53340-20-21-4
99. George Mason (19-11)0.53330-10-02-3
100. Iona (20-11)0.53330-10-12-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Uab (14-14)0.53220-23-21-7
102. Rutgers (15-15)0.53200-41-33-7
103. Colorado St (17-12)0.53060-03-63-6
104. Coll Of Charltn (20-6)0.53010-10-00-1
105. Sam Houston (19-7)0.53000-20-00-1
106. Montana (14-11)0.52990-00-23-6
107. Alabama (12-16)0.52951-43-41-4
108. Central Conn (25-6)0.52900-10-00-0
109. Minnesota (12-16)0.52881-80-44-3
110. Massachusetts (16-15)0.52730-51-31-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Appalachian St (20-9)0.52710-10-11-1
112. Bradley (14-16)0.52590-11-33-6
113. St Josephs PA (13-16)0.52531-30-53-2
114. South Alabama (20-10)0.52520-11-02-3
115. Hawaii (17-12)0.52410-21-34-5
116. Maine (23-7)0.52410-00-12-3
117. Florida St (12-17)0.52231-81-23-3
118. Geo Washington (15-15)0.52201-23-12-4
119. James Madison (20-9)0.52170-00-02-5
120. Memphis (14-16)0.52170-22-43-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Lafayette (22-7)0.52150-10-11-1
122. Akron (16-11)0.52120-11-24-5
123. Pittsburgh (13-15)0.52020-51-41-4
124. NC Wilmington (18-13)0.52000-30-04-3
125. San Diego (18-10)0.51980-22-41-2
126. Louisiana Tech (21-8)0.51960-01-12-2
127. Baylor (13-15)0.51920-90-11-2
128. South Florida (17-13)0.51911-21-34-2
129. Eastern Wash (12-9)0.51810-00-14-3
130. Evansville (17-12)0.51690-00-21-8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Fordham (14-15)0.51660-33-02-4
132. Texas El Paso (13-15)0.51540-21-34-5
133. San Francisco (18-9)0.51530-11-41-2
134. Detroit (18-12)0.51500-00-22-4
135. Navy (21-6)0.51490-00-00-3
136. Wisc Milwaukee (14-14)0.51420-30-20-3
137. Texas Tech (11-15)0.51100-90-21-2
138. Eastern Mich (13-13)0.51060-11-32-6
139. Virginia Tech (16-15)0.50950-21-33-3
140. Oregon St (11-16)0.50861-30-51-7

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Samford (19-11)0.50831-10-10-2
142. Kansas St (9-19)0.50650-101-20-3
143. Mississippi St (13-17)0.50631-50-62-1
144. Boston College (11-19)0.50450-61-52-4
145. Georgia Tech (13-17)0.50411-80-02-5
146. Fairfield (14-15)0.50240-20-21-5
147. Niagara (17-12)0.50120-20-11-4
148. Northern Iowa (14-15)0.49980-10-23-5
149. Nebraska (11-19)0.49980-80-21-3
150. Eastern Ill (15-12)0.49920-00-01-7

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Cleveland St (15-14)0.49920-21-11-3
152. Ul Monroe (17-9)0.49860-00-01-2
153. Robert Morris (17-12)0.49830-00-00-2
154. Wisc Green Bay (14-16)0.49820-11-11-3
155. Winthrop (17-9)0.49800-21-10-0
156. Bucknell (16-11)0.49710-00-01-4
157. San Jose St (11-15)0.49640-20-22-7
158. Fair Dickinson (16-11)0.49330-10-10-0
159. Austin Peay (15-10)0.49330-00-12-3
160. Georgia (10-20)0.49290-80-73-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Washington (9-20)0.49230-52-31-8
162. Florida Intl (15-14)0.49210-00-30-3
163. Clemson (10-20)0.49110-70-03-5
164. Radford (17-10)0.49010-10-00-2
165. Georgia St (16-12)0.48910-10-10-1
166. Northern Ill (11-15)0.48811-01-32-6
167. Lamar (15-15)0.48790-20-00-3
168. Davidson (12-13)0.48790-20-01-3
169. Quinnipiac (17-10)0.48730-00-20-0
170. Tennessee Tech (14-12)0.48650-10-00-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Middle Tenn St (13-13)0.48600-20-02-3
172. Providence (10-19)0.48590-42-42-4
173. LA Salle (11-17)0.48540-20-42-2
174. VA Commonwealth (14-14)0.48320-01-02-5
175. Portland St (12-13)0.48130-00-12-7
176. St Francis NY (16-13)0.48130-10-01-1
177. Northwestern St (15-12)0.48120-00-00-1
178. Arkansas St (10-17)0.48070-20-10-4
179. Troy St (16-11)0.48040-00-00-1
180. Houston (8-22)0.47960-30-32-10

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Vermont (16-12)0.47900-10-11-3
182. Rider (16-14)0.47820-00-03-5
183. William & Mary (9-17)0.47810-10-11-3
184. Geo Southern (14-12)0.47710-10-00-1
185. Western Mich (10-19)0.47670-00-35-7
186. Wichita St (11-17)0.47620-11-21-7
187. Tex San Antonio (11-12)0.47620-20-00-1
188. Jacksonville St (16-8)0.47480-00-00-1
189. UC Irvine (13-14)0.47240-10-20-5
190. Alcorn St (17-10)0.47100-20-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Texas Arlington (13-12)0.47020-00-10-1
192. Boise St (11-15)0.46960-10-33-3
193. NC Greensboro (14-13)0.46930-00-00-1
194. Drexel (13-17)0.46920-00-10-7
195. Marist (14-14)0.46900-00-01-5
196. Idaho (10-17)0.46890-10-30-4
197. Western KY (11-17)0.46750-00-11-3
198. Drake (10-18)0.46731-00-31-6
199. Texas A&M (7-20)0.46721-70-21-3
200. Santa Barbara (12-14)0.46590-10-30-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Southern Utah (14-12)0.46430-00-20-2
202. Montana St (7-14)0.46420-10-01-6
203. Valparaiso (16-13)0.46420-10-00-2
204. Bethune Cookman (13-13)0.46400-20-10-2
205. Coppin St (15-15)0.46320-30-10-3
206. Central Florida (12-18)0.46220-00-20-1
207. Loyola Chi (14-14)0.46150-10-00-3
208. Hampton (17-12)0.46120-00-00-2
209. Campbell (12-14)0.46080-00-00-2
210. SO Carolina St (19-14)0.46050-10-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Wofford (12-15)0.46000-10-10-3
212. Oakland (12-17)0.45940-20-10-4
213. Illinois St (9-20)0.45860-12-10-7
214. Tenn Martin (8-19)0.45830-10-12-5
215. Duquesne (9-20)0.45820-10-42-3
216. Monmouth NJ (12-16)0.45740-00-20-1
217. Jackson St (16-15)0.45710-10-10-2
218. Mo Kansas City (14-13)0.45630-11-10-0
219. Air Force (7-20)0.45580-01-71-4
220. East Tenn St (12-15)0.45500-00-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Manhattan (12-15)0.45260-00-00-5
222. Canisius (10-20)0.45210-10-11-7
223. East Carolina (8-18)0.45140-00-00-6
224. New Orleans (11-18)0.45000-00-10-5
225. Wright St (11-17)0.45001-00-00-3
226. NC Asheville (9-19)0.44980-30-20-2
227. Elon (10-13)0.44900-10-10-2
228. Alabama A&M (13-9)0.44870-00-00-0
229. Rhode Island (5-25)0.44760-40-30-6
230. North Texas (7-20)0.44740-20-21-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Youngstown St (11-15)0.44670-10-20-1
232. Nevada (8-20)0.44660-10-40-6
233. Southern (16-10)0.44660-00-00-0
234. Hartford (10-19)0.44610-10-10-5
235. Westrn Carolina (11-14)0.44570-00-10-2
236. Towson (11-17)0.44520-00-00-6
237. American (10-18)0.44470-00-10-6
238. Washington St (5-22)0.44390-40-61-5
239. Chattanooga (9-18)0.44380-00-00-2
240. Illinois Chi (10-20)0.44340-00-10-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Old Dominion (11-19)0.44340-00-02-5
242. Colgate (11-16)0.44290-10-00-2
243. Columbia (12-14)0.44250-10-10-4
244. Idaho St (6-18)0.44240-10-01-6
245. Northwestern (5-25)0.44240-90-30-6
246. Umbc (10-18)0.44100-10-10-1
247. SW Texas St (10-16)0.44080-00-00-0
248. Sacramento St (8-16)0.44060-10-01-4
249. Pacific (10-18)0.44050-01-30-5
250. Nicholls St (9-17)0.43940-10-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Oral Roberts (12-16)0.43811-00-00-2
252. Mt St Marys (9-18)0.43760-10-10-2
253. Buffalo (5-23)0.43670-20-30-10
254. Central Mich (5-23)0.43620-10-30-9
255. Cal Poly (7-18)0.43520-00-21-6
256. TX Pan American (8-14)0.43520-10-20-3
257. Furman (10-18)0.43420-00-00-2
258. Alabama St (9-14)0.43340-00-00-3
259. NO Carolina A&T (14-13)0.43270-10-00-0
260. San Diego St (4-22)0.43250-10-80-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Stony Brook (5-21)0.43110-10-30-3
262. SE Louisiana (8-17)0.43100-10-00-2
263. Coast Carolina (9-18)0.42860-10-20-2
264. Portland (7-18)0.42800-00-51-2
265. St Marys CA (7-20)0.42780-00-50-4
266. Liberty (10-14)0.42630-00-01-1
267. Stetson (12-15)0.42570-00-10-2
268. Wagner (10-16)0.42460-00-20-0
269. Texas Southern (10-12)0.42240-00-10-1
270. Centenary (7-16)0.42140-20-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. St Francis PA (8-18)0.41990-00-00-1
272. Harvard (11-15)0.41890-00-00-4
273. Boston U (6-21)0.41870-00-00-6
274. Tennessee St (7-22)0.41850-00-12-4
275. Chicago St (9-18)0.41810-00-20-1
276. Mercer (10-21)0.41620-00-30-0
277. Liu Brooklyn (7-18)0.41490-10-00-0
278. Rice (3-22)0.41430-30-20-4
279. McNeese St (6-21)0.41390-00-00-4
280. Belmont (4-20)0.41360-00-20-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Miss Valley St (6-19)0.41350-30-10-1
282. Denver (6-22)0.41080-00-20-4
283. Florida A&M (9-21)0.41070-10-10-0
284. Lehigh (6-21)0.41050-00-10-2
285. MD Eastrn Shore (11-17)0.41000-10-00-3
286. Holy Cross (10-18)0.40990-10-00-1
287. Northeastern (7-20)0.40750-00-11-3
288. High Point (7-17)0.40710-10-20-1
289. Cornell (9-17)0.40670-00-20-4
290. Norfolk St (11-16)0.40660-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Albany NY (7-16)0.40590-10-00-1
292. St Peters (5-23)0.40560-00-10-5
293. Dartmouth (7-18)0.40310-00-00-5
294. CS Fullerton (8-18)0.40280-00-20-3
295. Morehead St (5-18)0.39880-00-00-4
296. Loyola MD (7-21)0.39820-00-01-5
297. Western Ill (6-22)0.39660-20-10-2
298. The Citadel (6-19)0.39660-00-00-1
299. Iupui (7-21)0.39440-10-00-2
300. Arkansas Lr (4-24)0.39410-20-00-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Yale (7-20)0.39160-00-01-5
302. Charleston Sou (6-19)0.39130-00-00-1
303. Jacksonville (7-18)0.38990-00-00-0
304. Brown (8-19)0.38810-00-00-5
305. Eastern KY (4-22)0.38740-00-20-4
306. Stephen Austin (4-19)0.38410-00-00-0
307. Prairie View (6-19)0.38330-00-00-2
308. Army (3-23)0.38280-10-10-1
309. VMI (2-23)0.38090-10-00-2
310. Sacred Heart (3-25)0.38010-20-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. New Hampshire (3-25)0.37900-20-00-4
312. Loyola Marymnt (0-25)0.37560-00-50-5
313. Delaware St (6-22)0.37350-10-00-1
314. Morgan St (5-24)0.37100-00-20-3
315. Ark Pine Bluff (4-19)0.37010-10-10-1
316. Fla Atlantic (1-27)0.36970-10-30-0
317. Howard (1-27)0.36120-30-10-3
318. Grambling (0-27)0.32030-10-00-2
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