NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

ARKANSAS
Predictions for Future Games
Game Breakdown
RPI Breakdown

Record: 19-15
Power Rating: 84.036
Ranking: 50

2-7 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
2-4 v #51-100
6-2 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-318

Home Ratings (11-5): 82.013 (80) 0-3 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 5-3 83.150 Non-League Ratings: 6-2 78.435 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 86.474

Away Ratings (2-8): 79.599 (107)
0-3 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
2-2 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318
League Ratings: 2-6 83.509
Non-League Ratings: 0-2 75.411
Last Ten Ratings: 0-2 87.614

Neutral Ratings (6-2): 92.185 (8) 2-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 4-0 94.107 Non-League Ratings: 2-2 86.396 Last Ten Ratings: 4-1 91.068

League Ratings (11-9): 86.292 (34)
2-5 v #1-25
3-1 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
5-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 5-3 83.150
Away Ratings: 2-6 83.509
Neutral Ratings: 4-0 94.107
Last Ten Ratings: 6-3 90.202

Non-League Ratings (8-6): 78.634 (119) 0-2 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 6-2 78.435 Away Ratings: 0-2 75.411 Neutral Ratings: 2-2 86.396 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 82.443

Wins Ratings: 85.314 (52)
2-7 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
2-3 v #51-100
6-3 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 11-5 82.454
Away Ratings: 2-8 79.548
Neutral Ratings: 6-2 95.861
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 92.286

Points Ratings: 82.780 (44) 2-7 v #1-25 3-3 v #26-50 3-4 v #51-100 5-1 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 11-5 81.318 Away Ratings: 2-8 80.116 Neutral Ratings: 6-2 88.167 League Ratings: 11-9 84.013 Non-League Ratings: 8-6 79.847 Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 86.507

Last Ten Ratings (6-4): 89.493 (22)
1-2 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 2-1 86.474
Away Ratings: 0-2 87.614
Neutral Ratings: 4-1 91.068
League Ratings: 6-3 90.202
Non-League Ratings: 0-1 82.443

Home Advantage: 0.8439 (237)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1160 (40)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2926 (35)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4384 (32)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5583 (35)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6928 (40)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8807 (46)

Upward Stability: 3.7077 (9)

Downward Stability: 3.7671 (21)

RPI
RPI: 0.5648 (49)
2-7 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
2-3 v #51-100
7-3 v #101-200
5-0 v #201-318

RPI Home (11-5): 0.5827 (75) 1-2 v #1-25 3-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318

RPI Away (2-8): 0.4717 (138)
0-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
2-3 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318

RPI Neutral (6-2): 0.6455 (19) 2-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-318

RPI League (11-9): 0.5905 (28)
2-5 v #1-25
3-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
6-2 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318

RPI Non-League (8-6): 0.5281 (108) 0-1 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-318

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5669 (23)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/22/1999	Home	W 102-95	vs. #188 Texas Arlington
11/26/1999	Neut	W 71-54	vs. #261 Mercer
11/27/1999	Neut	L 71-77	vs. #4 Iowa St
11/28/1999	Neut	W 79-60	vs. #76 Santa Clara
12/4/1999	Home	W 98-60	vs. #241 Jackson St
12/7/1999	Home	L 52-66	vs. #12 Oklahoma
12/15/1999	Home	W 70-56	vs. #231 TX Pan American
12/18/1999	Home	W 85-60	vs. #261 Mercer
12/20/1999	Home	L 64-70	vs. #52 Wake Forest
12/23/1999	Away	L 81-87	vs. #165 Providence
12/28/1999	Home	W 102-59	vs. #213 Alcorn St
12/30/1999	Home	W 73-55	vs. #247 Centenary
1/3/2000	Away	L 71-76	vs. #98 Memphis
1/5/2000	Home	W 71-64	vs. #84 Mississippi
1/8/2000	Home	L 65-76	vs. #72 South Carolina
1/12/2000	Away	W 74-54	vs. #142 Georgia
1/19/2000	Away	L 64-73	vs. #107 Alabama
1/22/2000	Home	W 83-73	vs. #122 Mississippi St
1/26/2000	Away	L 75-96	vs. #14 LSU
2/2/2000	Away	L 82-87	vs. #84 Mississippi
2/5/2000	Away	L 55-73	vs. #31 Auburn
2/9/2000	Home	W 81-66	vs. #107 Alabama
2/12/2000	Away	W 87-81	vs. #122 Mississippi St
2/15/2000	Home	L 71-80	vs. #6 Florida
2/19/2000	Home	L 67-78	vs. #14 LSU
2/23/2000	Home	W 78-63	vs. #42 Vanderbilt
2/26/2000	Away	L 55-60	vs. #18 Kentucky
3/1/2000	Away	L 66-73	vs. #21 Tennessee
3/5/2000	Home	W 64-55	vs. #31 Auburn
3/9/2000	Neut	W 71-64	vs. #142 Georgia
3/10/2000	Neut	W 86-72	vs. #18 Kentucky
3/11/2000	Neut	W 69-67	vs. #14 LSU
3/12/2000	Neut	W 75-67	vs. #31 Auburn
3/17/2000	Neut	L 71-75	vs. #32 Miami Fla

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)