NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

HOUSTON
Predictions for Future Games
Game Breakdown
RPI Breakdown

Record: 8-22
Power Rating: 74.611
Ranking: 163

0-3 v #1-25
0-4 v #26-50
3-12 v #51-100
2-3 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-318

Home Ratings (4-9): 71.634 (204) 0-2 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 1-4 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 1-7 73.329 Non-League Ratings: 3-2 74.369 Last Ten Ratings: 0-5 72.501

Away Ratings (1-10): 76.396 (136)
0-1 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
1-5 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318
League Ratings: 1-7 80.794
Non-League Ratings: 0-3 79.642
Last Ten Ratings: 0-3 79.470

Neutral Ratings (3-3): 78.798 (111) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-3 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 1-1 79.673 Non-League Ratings: 2-2 73.908 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 79.673

League Ratings (3-15): 74.253 (169)
0-1 v #1-25
0-4 v #26-50
3-8 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 1-7 73.329
Away Ratings: 1-7 80.794
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 79.673
Last Ten Ratings: 1-9 75.888

Non-League Ratings (5-7): 75.365 (161) 0-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-4 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 3-2 74.369 Away Ratings: 0-3 79.642 Neutral Ratings: 2-2 73.908 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 74.611

Wins Ratings: 73.693 (167)
0-3 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
2-12 v #51-100
3-4 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 4-9 69.661
Away Ratings: 1-10 74.669
Neutral Ratings: 3-3 80.935
Last Ten Ratings: 1-9 69.341

Points Ratings: 75.654 (153) 0-3 v #1-25 0-4 v #26-50 3-12 v #51-100 2-3 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 4-9 73.620 Away Ratings: 1-10 78.283 Neutral Ratings: 3-3 75.966 League Ratings: 3-15 75.810 Non-League Ratings: 5-7 75.247 Last Ten Ratings: 1-9 75.048

Last Ten Ratings (1-9): 72.259 (194)
0-1 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
1-2 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 0-5 72.501
Away Ratings: 0-3 79.470
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 79.673
League Ratings: 1-9 75.888
Non-League Ratings: 0-0 74.611

Home Advantage: -1.585 (284)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0852 (79)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2402 (75)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3978 (63)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5413 (45)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6993 (33)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8999 (20)

Upward Stability: 3.4056 (31)

Downward Stability: 2.4759 (247)

RPI
RPI: 0.4796 (180)
0-3 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
2-10 v #51-100
2-6 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-318

RPI Home (4-9): 0.4887 (223) 0-3 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 1-3 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318

RPI Away (1-10): 0.4411 (186)
0-0 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
1-5 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318

RPI Neutral (3-3): 0.5303 (118) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-318

RPI League (3-15): 0.4644 (209)
0-1 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
2-9 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318

RPI Non-League (5-7): 0.5023 (153) 0-2 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5506 (47)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/20/1999	Neut	L 70-95	vs. #78 California
11/21/1999	Neut	W 93-92	vs. #103 Geo Washington
11/27/1999	Home	L 80-94	vs. #59 SMU
12/3/1999	Neut	L 65-73	vs. #63 Ohio
12/4/1999	Neut	W 84-80	vs. #266 Texas Southern
12/7/1999	Home	W 84-71	vs. #268 Rice
12/11/1999	Home	W 90-72	vs. #171 Valparaiso
12/15/1999	Away	L 81-82	vs. #152 Ul Monroe
12/18/1999	Away	L 75-83	vs. #79 Georgetown
12/21/1999	Home	W 72-70	vs. #218 Sacramento St
12/30/1999	Home	L 76-82	vs. #23 Connecticut
1/2/2000	Away	L 80-90	vs. #13 Texas
1/5/2000	Away	L 76-82	vs. #91 SO Mississippi
1/8/2000	Home	W 75-74	vs. #77 Tulane
1/12/2000	Away	L 74-92	vs. #48 NC Charlotte
1/16/2000	Home	L 68-77	vs. #36 DePaul
1/22/2000	Away	W 98-89	vs. #98 Memphis
1/26/2000	Away	L 77-87	vs. #93 South Florida
1/29/2000	Away	L 75-78	vs. #77 Tulane
2/2/2000	Home	L 87-90	vs. #114 Uab
2/5/2000	Away	L 61-65	vs. #85 Marquette
2/12/2000	Away	L 70-82	vs. #47 St Louis
2/17/2000	Home	L 65-77	vs. #2 Cincinnati
2/19/2000	Home	L 74-81	vs. #93 South Florida
2/23/2000	Home	L 81-84	vs. #98 Memphis
2/26/2000	Away	L 66-69	vs. #114 Uab
3/1/2000	Home	L 65-67	vs. #91 SO Mississippi
3/4/2000	Home	L 74-88	vs. #37 Louisville
3/8/2000	Neut	W 77-75	vs. #85 Marquette
3/9/2000	Neut	L 69-76	vs. #77 Tulane

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)