NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

ILLINOIS
Predictions for Future Games
Game Breakdown
RPI Breakdown

Record: 22-10
Power Rating: 89.570
Ranking: 19

4-7 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
7-1 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
5-0 v #201-318

Home Ratings (13-2): 91.602 (13) 3-2 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 7-1 91.649 Non-League Ratings: 6-1 90.867 Last Ten Ratings: 2-0 109.57

Away Ratings (5-4): 89.453 (19)
0-3 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-318
League Ratings: 4-4 88.820
Non-League Ratings: 1-0 92.945
Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 89.414

Neutral Ratings (4-4): 88.004 (30) 1-2 v #1-25 1-2 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 2-1 90.360 Non-League Ratings: 2-3 85.789 Last Ten Ratings: 3-2 88.367

League Ratings (13-6): 90.914 (13)
3-5 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
6-1 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 7-1 91.649
Away Ratings: 4-4 88.820
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 90.360
Last Ten Ratings: 6-2 91.367

Non-League Ratings (9-4): 87.024 (36) 1-2 v #1-25 1-2 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 6-1 90.867 Away Ratings: 1-0 92.945 Neutral Ratings: 2-3 85.789 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 84.961

Wins Ratings: 92.035 (20)
4-7 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
7-1 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
5-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 13-2 93.043
Away Ratings: 5-4 92.875
Neutral Ratings: 4-4 90.543
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 94.461

Points Ratings: 87.074 (17) 4-8 v #1-25 4-1 v #26-50 6-1 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 13-2 89.973 Away Ratings: 5-4 86.195 Neutral Ratings: 4-4 85.344 League Ratings: 13-6 87.598 Non-League Ratings: 9-4 86.004 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 87.539

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 91.086 (12)
0-3 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 2-0 109.57
Away Ratings: 2-1 89.414
Neutral Ratings: 3-2 88.367
League Ratings: 6-2 91.367
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 84.961

Home Advantage: 6.8540 (82)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1484 (8)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.3342 (10)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4882 (10)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.6031 (10)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.7225 (17)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8907 (35)

Upward Stability: 2.9341 (164)

Downward Stability: 3.6467 (33)

RPI
RPI: 0.5993 (23)
3-7 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
7-1 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-318

RPI Home (13-2): 0.6164 (24) 2-0 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 5-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318

RPI Away (5-4): 0.5547 (29)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-318

RPI Neutral (4-4): 0.6173 (36) 1-2 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-2 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-318

RPI League (13-6): 0.6030 (21)
1-3 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
5-0 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-318

RPI Non-League (9-4): 0.5939 (34) 1-2 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 2-1 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-318

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5699 (18)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/19/1999	Home	W 76-53	vs. #273 Western Ill
11/22/1999	Away	W 72-62	vs. #112 Bradley
11/30/1999	Home	L 69-72	vs. #3 Duke
12/4/1999	Neut	L 67-69	vs. #26 Maryland
12/5/1999	Neut	W 72-61	vs. #33 Seton Hall
12/8/1999	Home	W 98-61	vs. #231 TX Pan American
12/11/1999	Home	W 81-48	vs. #158 Kansas St
12/18/1999	Home	W 84-70	vs. #24 Kansas
12/21/1999	Neut	L 72-78	vs. #40 Missouri
12/28/1999	Home	W 97-47	vs. #243 Bethune Cookman
12/30/1999	Home	W 107-71	vs. #182 Loyola Chi
1/6/2000	Home	W 80-77	vs. #11 Ohio St
1/8/2000	Away	L 59-63	vs. #17 Wisconsin
1/12/2000	Home	L 66-69	vs. #16 Purdue
1/16/2000	Away	L 91-95	vs. #73 Michigan
1/22/2000	Home	W 87-76	vs. #54 Penn St
1/26/2000	Away	W 69-58	vs. #45 Iowa
1/30/2000	Away	L 66-91	vs. #1 Michigan St
2/2/2000	Home	W 73-59	vs. #89 Minnesota
2/6/2000	Away	W 51-50	vs. #54 Penn St
2/9/2000	Home	W 75-59	vs. #73 Michigan
2/12/2000	Home	W 78-50	vs. #45 Iowa
2/17/2000	Away	W 89-80	vs. #89 Minnesota
2/19/2000	Away	W 63-30	vs. #251 Northwestern
2/22/2000	Home	W 87-63	vs. #20 Indiana
2/27/2000	Away	L 51-64	vs. #11 Ohio St
3/4/2000	Home	W 73-44	vs. #251 Northwestern
3/10/2000	Neut	W 72-69	vs. #20 Indiana
3/11/2000	Neut	W 94-84	vs. #54 Penn St
3/12/2000	Neut	L 61-76	vs. #1 Michigan St
3/17/2000	Neut	W 68-58	vs. #82 Pennsylvania
3/19/2000	Neut	L 76-93	vs. #6 Florida

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)