NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

LIU BROOKLYN
Predictions for Future Games
Game Breakdown
RPI Breakdown

Record: 7-18
Power Rating: 63.365
Ranking: 289

0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-9 v #101-200
7-8 v #201-318

Home Ratings (2-7): 56.736 (311) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-3 v #101-200 2-4 v #201-318 League Ratings: 1-6 57.904 Non-League Ratings: 1-1 57.974 Last Ten Ratings: 2-3 58.513

Away Ratings (4-10): 68.599 (242)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-5 v #101-200
4-4 v #201-318
League Ratings: 2-4 71.459
Non-League Ratings: 2-6 67.256
Last Ten Ratings: 3-2 72.357

Neutral Ratings (1-1): 66.053 (239) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 0-0 63.365 Non-League Ratings: 1-1 65.553 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 63.365

League Ratings (3-10): 62.531 (290)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-5 v #101-200
3-5 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 1-6 57.904
Away Ratings: 2-4 71.459
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 63.365
Last Ten Ratings: 3-4 65.306

Non-League Ratings (4-8): 64.803 (279) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-4 v #101-200 4-3 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 1-1 57.974 Away Ratings: 2-6 67.256 Neutral Ratings: 1-1 65.553 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 67.099

Wins Ratings: 60.683 (288)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-9 v #101-200
7-8 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 2-7 52.840
Away Ratings: 4-10 67.086
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 64.558
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 63.801

Points Ratings: 66.078 (288) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-7 v #101-200 7-10 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 2-7 60.539 Away Ratings: 4-10 70.367 Neutral Ratings: 1-1 67.640 League Ratings: 3-10 65.758 Non-League Ratings: 4-8 66.703 Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 67.691

Last Ten Ratings (5-5): 65.775 (258)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
5-3 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 2-3 58.513
Away Ratings: 3-2 72.357
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 63.365
League Ratings: 3-4 65.306
Non-League Ratings: 2-1 67.099

Home Advantage: -7.521 (316)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0194 (283)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.0692 (289)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1287 (296)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.2028 (291)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.3301 (277)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.6452 (262)

Upward Stability: 2.7605 (213)

Downward Stability: 2.2520 (269)

RPI
RPI: 0.4149 (277)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
1-11 v #101-200
6-6 v #201-318

RPI Home (2-7): 0.4042 (295) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-4 v #101-200 2-3 v #201-318

RPI Away (4-10): 0.4154 (234)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
3-6 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-318

RPI Neutral (1-1): 0.4600 (196) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318

RPI League (3-10): 0.4134 (281)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
1-3 v #101-200
2-4 v #201-318

RPI Non-League (4-8): 0.4166 (273) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-4 v #101-200 4-2 v #201-318

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4599 (238)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/26/1999	Away	L 47-86	vs. #21 Tennessee
11/30/1999	Away	L 44-62	vs. #272 Towson
12/4/1999	Away	L 69-94	vs. #127 Fordham
12/6/1999	Away	W 62-58	vs. #271 Colgate
12/18/1999	Away	L 60-91	vs. #143 James Madison
12/27/1999	Away	L 63-79	vs. #165 Providence
12/29/1999	Neut	L 63-84	vs. #155 Maine
12/30/1999	Neut	W 72-56	vs. #311 Army
1/8/2000	Away	L 76-81	vs. #185 Robert Morris
1/15/2000	Home	L 58-88	vs. #144 Central Conn
1/17/2000	Home	L 70-76	vs. #217 Quinnipiac
1/19/2000	Home	L 63-66	vs. #209 St Francis NY
1/22/2000	Away	L 61-62	vs. #200 Fair Dickinson
1/24/2000	Home	L 44-69	vs. #257 Monmouth NJ
1/29/2000	Away	L 79-87	vs. #270 Wagner
1/31/2000	Home	W 78-74	vs. #314 Sacred Heart
2/3/2000	Away	W 72-56	vs. #314 Sacred Heart
2/5/2000	Home	W 60-56	vs. #270 Wagner
2/10/2000	Away	L 54-55	vs. #269 Umbc
2/12/2000	Away	W 81-61	vs. #276 Mt St Marys
2/17/2000	Away	L 53-64	vs. #257 Monmouth NJ
2/19/2000	Home	L 60-71	vs. #200 Fair Dickinson
2/22/2000	Away	W 78-76	vs. #209 St Francis NY
2/24/2000	Home	L 58-63	vs. #280 St Francis PA
2/26/2000	Home	L 58-73	vs. #185 Robert Morris

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)