NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

NEW MEXICO ST
Predictions for Future Games
Game Breakdown
RPI Breakdown

Record: 21-9
Power Rating: 81.916
Ranking: 75

0-1 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
2-3 v #51-100
12-1 v #101-200
7-1 v #201-318

Home Ratings (12-2): 81.006 (96) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 7-1 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 6-2 77.963 Non-League Ratings: 6-0 84.026 Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 76.463

Away Ratings (7-6): 81.307 (79)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
3-1 v #201-318
League Ratings: 5-3 78.573
Non-League Ratings: 2-3 80.713
Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 82.870

Neutral Ratings (2-1): 85.651 (50) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 2-1 85.510 Non-League Ratings: 0-0 81.916 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 85.510

League Ratings (13-6): 80.543 (94)
0-0 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
6-1 v #101-200
6-1 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 6-2 77.963
Away Ratings: 5-3 78.573
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 85.510
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 81.901

Non-League Ratings (8-3): 84.651 (52) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 6-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 6-0 84.026 Away Ratings: 2-3 80.713 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 81.916 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 81.916

Wins Ratings: 83.547 (72)
0-1 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
2-3 v #51-100
12-1 v #101-200
7-1 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 12-2 80.735
Away Ratings: 7-6 83.965
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 87.735
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 82.594

Points Ratings: 80.163 (79) 0-1 v #1-25 0-3 v #26-50 2-3 v #51-100 13-1 v #101-200 6-1 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 12-2 80.893 Away Ratings: 7-6 78.436 Neutral Ratings: 2-1 83.444 League Ratings: 13-6 79.545 Non-League Ratings: 8-3 81.385 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 81.120

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 81.877 (77)
0-0 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 2-2 76.463
Away Ratings: 3-0 82.870
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 85.510
League Ratings: 7-3 81.901
Non-League Ratings: 0-0 81.916

Home Advantage: 2.9084 (190)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0548 (155)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1610 (150)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2735 (151)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.3797 (154)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.5283 (155)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8132 (147)

Upward Stability: 2.7742 (209)

Downward Stability: 3.1650 (105)

RPI
RPI: 0.5519 (65)
0-1 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
4-3 v #51-100
10-1 v #101-200
7-1 v #201-318

RPI Home (12-2): 0.5628 (110) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 6-1 v #201-318

RPI Away (7-6): 0.5202 (65)
0-2 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-318

RPI Neutral (2-1): 0.6389 (25) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318

RPI League (13-6): 0.5326 (102)
0-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
9-2 v #201-318

RPI Non-League (8-3): 0.5852 (37) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 5-1 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5026 (145)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/16/1999	Home	W 69-55	vs. #81 Hofstra
11/19/1999	Away	L 60-84	vs. #10 Arizona
11/30/1999	Home	W 66-49	vs. #278 San Diego St
12/4/1999	Home	W 68-43	vs. #133 Texas El Paso
12/8/1999	Home	W 66-57	vs. #109 New Mexico
12/17/1999	Home	W 84-75	vs. #131 Texas Tech
12/21/1999	Away	L 53-76	vs. #68 Colorado
12/23/1999	Away	W 63-60	vs. #109 New Mexico
12/30/1999	Home	W 79-75	vs. #146 Washington
1/2/2000	Away	L 59-68	vs. #59 SMU
1/6/2000	Away	W 74-73	vs. #133 Texas El Paso
1/13/2000	Home	W 91-77	vs. #234 Cal Poly
1/15/2000	Home	W 76-61	vs. #164 Santa Barbara
1/20/2000	Away	L 66-78	vs. #58 Long Beach St
1/22/2000	Away	W 48-47	vs. #211 Pacific
1/26/2000	Away	L 73-75	vs. #246 North Texas
1/29/2000	Home	W 66-59	vs. #184 UC Irvine
2/3/2000	Away	W 72-66	vs. #206 Nevada
2/5/2000	Away	L 51-66	vs. #34 Utah St
2/10/2000	Home	W 74-62	vs. #181 Idaho
2/13/2000	Home	L 65-66	vs. #170 Boise St
2/17/2000	Away	W 57-52	vs. #181 Idaho
2/19/2000	Away	W 70-66	vs. #170 Boise St
2/24/2000	Home	L 66-70	vs. #34 Utah St
2/26/2000	Home	W 73-43	vs. #206 Nevada
3/1/2000	Home	W 97-79	vs. #246 North Texas
3/4/2000	Away	W 80-65	vs. #255 CS Fullerton
3/9/2000	Neut	W 70-51	vs. #184 UC Irvine
3/10/2000	Neut	W 89-84	vs. #58 Long Beach St
3/11/2000	Neut	L 66-71	vs. #34 Utah St

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)