NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

OHIO
Predictions for Future Games
Game Breakdown
RPI Breakdown

Record: 20-13
Power Rating: 83.180
Ranking: 63

0-2 v #1-25
3-4 v #26-50
5-4 v #51-100
7-2 v #101-200
5-1 v #201-318

Home Ratings (10-2): 83.723 (62) 0-0 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 7-2 81.949 Non-League Ratings: 3-0 84.211 Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 82.875

Away Ratings (5-8): 82.043 (74)
0-1 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
2-1 v #201-318
League Ratings: 4-5 84.481
Non-League Ratings: 1-3 81.164
Last Ten Ratings: 1-3 83.195

Neutral Ratings (5-3): 84.277 (66) 0-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 2-1 85.797 Non-League Ratings: 3-2 81.547 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 85.797

League Ratings (13-8): 83.604 (56)
0-0 v #1-25
3-3 v #26-50
4-3 v #51-100
2-2 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 7-2 81.949
Away Ratings: 4-5 84.481
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 85.797
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 84.094

Non-League Ratings (7-5): 82.098 (74) 0-2 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 1-1 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 3-0 84.211 Away Ratings: 1-3 81.164 Neutral Ratings: 3-2 81.547 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 83.180

Wins Ratings: 84.299 (62)
0-2 v #1-25
3-4 v #26-50
5-4 v #51-100
7-2 v #101-200
5-1 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 10-2 84.779
Away Ratings: 5-8 82.725
Neutral Ratings: 5-3 86.010
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 85.584

Points Ratings: 82.121 (51) 0-1 v #1-25 3-4 v #26-50 4-5 v #51-100 10-3 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 10-2 82.254 Away Ratings: 5-8 81.795 Neutral Ratings: 5-3 82.449 League Ratings: 13-8 82.559 Non-League Ratings: 7-5 81.063 Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 82.492

Last Ten Ratings (6-4): 84.000 (53)
0-0 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
0-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 3-0 82.875
Away Ratings: 1-3 83.195
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 85.797
League Ratings: 6-4 84.094
Non-League Ratings: 0-0 83.180

Home Advantage: 4.8521 (139)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0817 (89)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2207 (86)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3641 (84)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4917 (82)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6505 (70)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8783 (51)

Upward Stability: 3.5679 (17)

Downward Stability: 3.8140 (16)

RPI
RPI: 0.5462 (73)
0-1 v #1-25
3-3 v #26-50
6-4 v #51-100
6-4 v #101-200
5-1 v #201-318

RPI Home (10-2): 0.5918 (56) 1-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-318

RPI Away (5-8): 0.4871 (111)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-5 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
2-1 v #201-318

RPI Neutral (5-3): 0.5740 (75) 0-0 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-318

RPI League (13-8): 0.5491 (71)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
6-2 v #51-100
2-4 v #101-200
5-1 v #201-318

RPI Non-League (7-5): 0.5412 (92) 0-1 v #1-25 1-3 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 1-1 v #201-318

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5263 (98)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/20/1999	Home	W 87-82	vs. #139 Cleveland St
11/26/1999	Neut	W 68-60	vs. #130 Princeton
11/30/1999	Home	W 95-77	vs. #103 Geo Washington
12/3/1999	Neut	W 73-65	vs. #163 Houston
12/4/1999	Away	L 66-86	vs. #45 Iowa
12/8/1999	Away	L 55-65	vs. #113 Eastern Mich
12/11/1999	Away	W 75-64	vs. #97 West Virginia
12/13/1999	Home	W 77-57	vs. #236 Central Florida
12/18/1999	Home	W 66-57	vs. #66 Toledo
12/22/1999	Away	L 66-68	vs. #212 Portland
12/28/1999	Neut	L 55-83	vs. #25 Gonzaga
12/29/1999	Neut	L 78-84	vs. #52 Wake Forest
12/30/1999	Neut	W 63-52	vs. #112 Bradley
1/5/2000	Away	L 69-73	vs. #35 Kent
1/8/2000	Away	W 57-54	vs. #87 Miami Ohio
1/11/2000	Home	L 60-62	vs. #92 Akron
1/14/2000	Away	L 59-73	vs. #2 Cincinnati
1/17/2000	Home	W 86-71	vs. #265 Buffalo
1/20/2000	Away	W 93-80	vs. #210 Central Mich
1/22/2000	Home	L 74-78	vs. #161 Western Mich
1/26/2000	Home	W 64-53	vs. #38 Ball St
1/29/2000	Home	W 77-53	vs. #74 Marshall
2/3/2000	Away	W 76-61	vs. #134 Northern Ill
2/5/2000	Away	L 69-73	vs. #43 Bowling Green
2/9/2000	Home	W 83-77	vs. #210 Central Mich
2/12/2000	Away	L 79-81	vs. #92 Akron
2/14/2000	Away	L 72-78	vs. #74 Marshall
2/21/2000	Home	W 68-65	vs. #87 Miami Ohio
2/23/2000	Away	W 82-62	vs. #265 Buffalo
2/26/2000	Home	W 81-71	vs. #35 Kent
3/1/2000	Neut	W 77-52	vs. #161 Western Mich
3/5/2000	Neut	W 69-68	vs. #35 Kent
3/6/2000	Neut	L 67-70	vs. #38 Ball St

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)