NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

OHIO ST
Predictions for Future Games
Game Breakdown
RPI Breakdown

Record: 23-7
Power Rating: 91.021
Ranking: 11

7-3 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
6-2 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
8-0 v #201-318

Home Ratings (15-2): 90.279 (20) 4-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 7-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 7-1 91.138 Non-League Ratings: 8-1 81.279 Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 95.333

Away Ratings (7-3): 95.482 (4)
3-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-318
League Ratings: 6-2 95.251
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 89.755
Last Ten Ratings: 3-1 95.974

Neutral Ratings (1-2): 80.607 (99) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 0-1 78.677 Non-League Ratings: 1-1 84.255 Last Ten Ratings: 1-2 82.372

League Ratings (13-4): 93.388 (6)
6-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
5-1 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 7-1 91.138
Away Ratings: 6-2 95.251
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 78.677
Last Ten Ratings: 6-2 92.447

Non-League Ratings (10-3): 85.224 (46) 1-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 8-1 81.279 Away Ratings: 1-1 89.755 Neutral Ratings: 1-1 84.255 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 84.255

Wins Ratings: 94.368 (8)
7-3 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
6-2 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
8-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 15-2 92.966
Away Ratings: 7-3 100.42
Neutral Ratings: 1-2 80.947
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 93.322

Points Ratings: 87.583 (13) 6-3 v #1-25 3-2 v #26-50 4-2 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 7-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 15-2 87.271 Away Ratings: 7-3 90.423 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 80.700 League Ratings: 13-4 89.740 Non-League Ratings: 10-3 82.954 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 87.978

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 90.654 (15)
1-2 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 3-0 95.333
Away Ratings: 3-1 95.974
Neutral Ratings: 1-2 82.372
League Ratings: 6-2 92.447
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 84.255

Home Advantage: 2.2532 (212)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1364 (15)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.3062 (22)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4415 (31)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5462 (43)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6636 (58)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8418 (112)

Upward Stability: 2.3958 (268)

Downward Stability: 2.8191 (190)

RPI
RPI: 0.5964 (26)
7-3 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
4-3 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
8-0 v #201-318

RPI Home (15-2): 0.5922 (55) 3-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-1 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-318

RPI Away (7-3): 0.6231 (4)
1-1 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-318

RPI Neutral (1-2): 0.5311 (117) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-318

RPI League (13-4): 0.6180 (15)
2-2 v #1-25
4-0 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-318

RPI Non-League (10-3): 0.5681 (57) 0-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-318

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5397 (73)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/16/1999	Home	L 57-59	vs. #61 Notre Dame
11/29/1999	Home	W 74-51	vs. #224 Vermont
12/4/1999	Home	W 87-55	vs. #202 Duquesne
12/11/1999	Home	W 99-47	vs. #303 Florida A&M
12/13/1999	Home	W 83-75	vs. #256 Coast Carolina
12/16/1999	Away	L 67-80	vs. #24 Kansas
12/19/1999	Home	W 72-40	vs. #292 Eastern KY
12/22/1999	Home	W 64-61	vs. #66 Toledo
12/27/1999	Home	W 76-50	vs. #189 Oakland
12/29/1999	Home	W 79-43	vs. #228 American
1/6/2000	Away	L 77-80	vs. #19 Illinois
1/9/2000	Home	W 71-63	vs. #89 Minnesota
1/13/2000	Away	W 53-51	vs. #17 Wisconsin
1/15/2000	Away	W 58-44	vs. #251 Northwestern
1/20/2000	Home	W 78-67	vs. #1 Michigan St
1/22/2000	Away	W 65-64	vs. #22 St Johns
1/29/2000	Home	W 68-59	vs. #16 Purdue
2/2/2000	Home	W 51-48	vs. #17 Wisconsin
2/6/2000	Away	W 88-67	vs. #73 Michigan
2/9/2000	Home	L 64-67	vs. #45 Iowa
2/12/2000	Home	W 88-75	vs. #54 Penn St
2/15/2000	Away	L 72-83	vs. #1 Michigan St
2/19/2000	Away	W 82-71	vs. #20 Indiana
2/23/2000	Home	W 69-49	vs. #251 Northwestern
2/27/2000	Home	W 64-51	vs. #19 Illinois
3/1/2000	Away	W 79-73	vs. #54 Penn St
3/4/2000	Away	W 82-72	vs. #89 Minnesota
3/10/2000	Neut	L 66-71	vs. #54 Penn St
3/17/2000	Neut	W 87-61	vs. #104 Appalachian St
3/19/2000	Neut	L 62-75	vs. #32 Miami Fla

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)