NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

RUTGERS
Predictions for Future Games
Game Breakdown
RPI Breakdown

Record: 15-15
Power Rating: 79.478
Ranking: 108

0-4 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
3-7 v #51-100
7-2 v #101-200
5-0 v #201-318

Home Ratings (8-6): 78.686 (118) 0-2 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 4-4 82.377 Non-League Ratings: 4-2 72.713 Last Ten Ratings: 2-3 81.228

Away Ratings (4-5): 82.037 (75)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-318
League Ratings: 2-5 80.959
Non-League Ratings: 2-0 88.510
Last Ten Ratings: 1-2 80.143

Neutral Ratings (3-4): 77.826 (118) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-4 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 0-2 73.072 Non-League Ratings: 3-2 81.307 Last Ten Ratings: 0-2 73.072

League Ratings (6-11): 79.072 (114)
0-3 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
3-5 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 4-4 82.377
Away Ratings: 2-5 80.959
Neutral Ratings: 0-2 73.072
Last Ten Ratings: 2-7 79.301

Non-League Ratings (9-4): 80.322 (95) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 4-1 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 4-2 72.713 Away Ratings: 2-0 88.510 Neutral Ratings: 3-2 81.307 Last Ten Ratings: 1-0 78.353

Wins Ratings: 79.732 (112)
0-4 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
3-6 v #51-100
8-3 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 8-6 77.955
Away Ratings: 4-5 83.791
Neutral Ratings: 3-4 77.939
Last Ten Ratings: 3-7 76.123

Points Ratings: 79.342 (95) 0-3 v #1-25 0-3 v #26-50 4-4 v #51-100 6-5 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 8-6 79.477 Away Ratings: 4-5 80.385 Neutral Ratings: 3-4 77.951 League Ratings: 6-11 79.170 Non-League Ratings: 9-4 79.670 Last Ten Ratings: 3-7 77.830

Last Ten Ratings (3-7): 76.846 (139)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-3 v #51-100
1-2 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 2-3 81.228
Away Ratings: 1-2 80.143
Neutral Ratings: 0-2 73.072
League Ratings: 2-7 79.301
Non-League Ratings: 1-0 78.353

Home Advantage: 2.5143 (204)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0737 (102)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2098 (101)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3451 (97)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4797 (95)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6424 (86)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8536 (95)

Upward Stability: 3.6438 (12)

Downward Stability: 3.4546 (52)

RPI
RPI: 0.5320 (102)
0-4 v #1-25
1-3 v #26-50
3-7 v #51-100
7-1 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-318

RPI Home (8-6): 0.5392 (148) 1-0 v #1-25 0-3 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 2-2 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318

RPI Away (4-5): 0.5226 (62)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
2-2 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-318

RPI Neutral (3-4): 0.5297 (120) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 2-1 v #201-318

RPI League (6-11): 0.5097 (132)
0-4 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
3-3 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318

RPI Non-League (9-4): 0.5611 (63) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 4-1 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5427 (66)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/20/1999	Away	W 74-49	vs. #205 Rider
11/22/1999	Home	W 77-63	vs. #293 Charleston Sou
11/26/1999	Neut	L 83-87	vs. #100 Murray St
11/27/1999	Neut	W 74-69	vs. #122 Mississippi St
11/28/1999	Neut	W 81-62	vs. #157 Nebraska
12/4/1999	Home	W 65-48	vs. #269 Umbc
12/8/1999	Away	W 73-70	vs. #111 St Josephs PA
12/12/1999	Home	L 60-66	vs. #130 Princeton
12/18/1999	Home	W 89-78	vs. #240 Elon
12/21/1999	Home	L 65-85	vs. #6 Florida
12/27/1999	Neut	L 59-65	vs. #81 Hofstra
12/28/1999	Neut	W 86-74	vs. #128 Siena
1/5/2000	Away	L 74-93	vs. #15 Syracuse
1/12/2000	Home	W 71-61	vs. #165 Providence
1/15/2000	Home	L 60-62	vs. #97 West Virginia
1/18/2000	Home	W 76-51	vs. #61 Notre Dame
1/23/2000	Home	W 73-60	vs. #62 Villanova
1/25/2000	Away	L 57-61	vs. #22 St Johns
1/29/2000	Away	L 55-71	vs. #79 Georgetown
2/2/2000	Away	W 78-72	vs. #151 Boston College
2/5/2000	Home	L 52-58	vs. #32 Miami Fla
2/9/2000	Home	L 63-65	vs. #33 Seton Hall
2/12/2000	Away	W 69-60	vs. #165 Providence
2/14/2000	Home	W 79-60	vs. #288 Albany NY
2/20/2000	Away	L 70-82	vs. #62 Villanova
2/22/2000	Home	W 88-71	vs. #79 Georgetown
2/26/2000	Away	L 62-67	vs. #125 Pittsburgh
2/28/2000	Home	L 69-74	vs. #23 Connecticut
3/4/2000	Neut	L 69-75	vs. #97 West Virginia
3/8/2000	Neut	L 62-74	vs. #61 Notre Dame

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)