NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

UL LAFAYETTE
Predictions for Future Games
Game Breakdown
RPI Breakdown

Record: 24-8
Power Rating: 80.474
Ranking: 96

0-1 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
11-5 v #101-200
12-0 v #201-318

Home Ratings (14-4): 78.564 (121) 0-0 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 7-2 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 9-1 78.553 Non-League Ratings: 5-3 74.986 Last Ten Ratings: 4-0 81.584

Away Ratings (10-4): 82.230 (71)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
4-3 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-318
League Ratings: 7-2 80.947
Non-League Ratings: 3-2 79.724
Last Ten Ratings: 4-2 80.267

Neutral Ratings (0-0): 80.474 (101) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 0-0 80.474 Non-League Ratings: 0-0 80.474 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 80.474

League Ratings (16-3): 82.107 (74)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
9-3 v #101-200
7-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 9-1 78.553
Away Ratings: 7-2 80.947
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 80.474
Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 80.631

Non-League Ratings (8-5): 77.799 (130) 0-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 2-2 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 5-3 74.986 Away Ratings: 3-2 79.724 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 80.474 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 80.474

Wins Ratings: 81.992 (88)
0-1 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
9-4 v #101-200
12-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 14-4 79.172
Away Ratings: 10-4 84.441
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 81.992
Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 84.793

Points Ratings: 78.730 (104) 0-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 11-5 v #101-200 12-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 14-4 77.543 Away Ratings: 10-4 79.914 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 78.730 League Ratings: 16-3 80.049 Non-League Ratings: 8-5 76.398 Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 80.183

Last Ten Ratings (8-2): 82.514 (73)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 4-0 81.584
Away Ratings: 4-2 80.267
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 80.474
League Ratings: 8-2 80.631
Non-League Ratings: 0-0 80.474

Home Advantage: 0.3576 (247)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0294 (235)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1011 (226)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1866 (219)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.2877 (206)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.4396 (201)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7541 (191)

Upward Stability: 2.7640 (212)

Downward Stability: 3.4942 (47)

RPI
RPI: 0.5516 (66)
0-1 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
10-5 v #101-200
12-0 v #201-318

RPI Home (14-4): 0.5727 (85) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 2-2 v #51-100 5-2 v #101-200 7-0 v #201-318

RPI Away (10-4): 0.5245 (61)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
3-2 v #101-200
7-0 v #201-318

RPI Neutral (0-0): 0.5516 (95) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-318

RPI League (16-3): 0.5667 (50)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
6-1 v #101-200
9-0 v #201-318

RPI Non-League (8-5): 0.5296 (104) 0-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4855 (169)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/20/1999	Away	L 48-82	vs. #13 Texas
11/27/1999	Home	W 70-64	vs. #232 East Carolina
11/30/1999	Away	W 81-68	vs. #275 Denver
12/4/1999	Away	L 54-67	vs. #131 Texas Tech
12/6/1999	Away	W 74-59	vs. #246 North Texas
12/11/1999	Home	L 47-65	vs. #91 SO Mississippi
12/14/1999	Home	W 81-79	vs. #186 Lamar
12/16/1999	Away	W 74-61	vs. #274 McNeese St
12/20/1999	Home	W 66-60	vs. #32 Miami Fla
12/21/1999	Home	L 53-99	vs. #30 Pepperdine
12/22/1999	Home	L 56-59	vs. #124 Virginia Tech
1/2/2000	Home	W 71-54	vs. #128 Siena
1/6/2000	Home	W 76-60	vs. #275 Denver
1/10/2000	Away	W 84-71	vs. #231 TX Pan American
1/15/2000	Home	W 84-72	vs. #106 Louisiana Tech
1/17/2000	Home	W 101-88	vs. #231 TX Pan American
1/20/2000	Home	W 87-73	vs. #196 Arkansas St
1/22/2000	Home	W 89-75	vs. #299 Arkansas Lr
1/27/2000	Away	W 64-60	vs. #172 Florida Intl
1/29/2000	Away	W 86-77	vs. #191 Western KY
2/3/2000	Home	L 65-69	vs. #129 South Alabama
2/5/2000	Home	W 66-58	vs. #220 New Orleans
2/10/2000	Away	W 88-62	vs. #299 Arkansas Lr
2/12/2000	Away	W 79-75	vs. #196 Arkansas St
2/17/2000	Home	W 72-64	vs. #191 Western KY
2/19/2000	Home	W 75-69	vs. #172 Florida Intl
2/21/2000	Away	L 75-80	vs. #106 Louisiana Tech
2/24/2000	Away	L 58-71	vs. #129 South Alabama
2/26/2000	Away	W 93-77	vs. #220 New Orleans
3/5/2000	Home	W 55-35	vs. #220 New Orleans
3/6/2000	Home	W 73-58	vs. #106 Louisiana Tech
3/7/2000	Away	W 51-50	vs. #129 South Alabama

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)