NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

TENNESSEE
Predictions for Future Games
Game Breakdown
RPI Breakdown

Record: 24-7
Power Rating: 89.385
Ranking: 21

5-2 v #1-25
2-3 v #26-50
8-1 v #51-100
6-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-318

Home Ratings (15-1): 91.533 (14) 2-0 v #1-25 2-1 v #26-50 5-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 7-1 89.358 Non-League Ratings: 8-0 85.979 Last Ten Ratings: 4-0 90.963

Away Ratings (7-3): 90.971 (14)
2-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318
League Ratings: 5-3 88.861
Non-League Ratings: 2-0 93.447
Last Ten Ratings: 1-2 83.049

Neutral Ratings (2-3): 84.713 (61) 1-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 0-1 75.135 Non-League Ratings: 2-2 88.885 Last Ten Ratings: 1-2 85.986

League Ratings (12-5): 89.033 (24)
4-1 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 7-1 89.358
Away Ratings: 5-3 88.861
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 75.135
Last Ten Ratings: 5-3 85.256

Non-League Ratings (12-2): 90.002 (16) 1-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 5-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 8-0 85.979 Away Ratings: 2-0 93.447 Neutral Ratings: 2-2 88.885 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 90.315

Wins Ratings: 91.947 (22)
5-2 v #1-25
1-3 v #26-50
8-1 v #51-100
7-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 15-1 94.916
Away Ratings: 7-3 94.752
Neutral Ratings: 2-3 85.432
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 88.209

Points Ratings: 86.645 (21) 5-3 v #1-25 2-2 v #26-50 7-2 v #51-100 7-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 15-1 87.848 Away Ratings: 7-3 87.133 Neutral Ratings: 2-3 84.215 League Ratings: 12-5 86.256 Non-League Ratings: 12-2 87.344 Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 85.002

Last Ten Ratings (6-4): 86.627 (38)
3-1 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 4-0 90.963
Away Ratings: 1-2 83.049
Neutral Ratings: 1-2 85.986
League Ratings: 5-3 85.256
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 90.315

Home Advantage: 6.6720 (91)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1120 (48)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2840 (39)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4340 (38)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5646 (31)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.7074 (25)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8948 (28)

Upward Stability: 2.6228 (233)

Downward Stability: 3.3751 (65)

RPI
RPI: 0.6152 (15)
5-3 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
6-1 v #51-100
8-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-318

RPI Home (15-1): 0.6392 (11) 1-0 v #1-25 4-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 6-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-318

RPI Away (7-3): 0.5980 (7)
2-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
5-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318

RPI Neutral (2-3): 0.5725 (76) 1-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-318

RPI League (12-5): 0.6138 (19)
4-1 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
4-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318

RPI Non-League (12-2): 0.6169 (17) 1-2 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5622 (30)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/22/1999	Home	W 95-56	vs. #240 Elon
11/24/1999	Home	W 79-63	vs. #242 NC Asheville
11/26/1999	Home	W 86-47	vs. #289 Liu Brooklyn
11/29/1999	Home	W 102-90	vs. #93 South Florida
12/1/1999	Home	W 78-59	vs. #87 Miami Ohio
12/4/1999	Away	W 76-50	vs. #125 Pittsburgh
12/8/1999	Home	W 94-54	vs. #97 West Virginia
12/10/1999	Home	W 78-77	vs. #166 Middle Tenn St
12/18/1999	Away	W 74-69	vs. #98 Memphis
12/22/1999	Neut	W 87-74	vs. #67 Southern Ill
12/23/1999	Neut	L 68-88	vs. #8 Tulsa
1/2/2000	Home	W 72-46	vs. #174 Radford
1/5/2000	Away	W 60-52	vs. #72 South Carolina
1/8/2000	Away	W 64-59	vs. #14 LSU
1/12/2000	Home	L 73-76	vs. #42 Vanderbilt
1/15/2000	Home	W 98-60	vs. #84 Mississippi
1/18/2000	Away	W 81-79	vs. #6 Florida
1/25/2000	Home	W 105-76	vs. #31 Auburn
1/29/2000	Home	W 73-66	vs. #72 South Carolina
2/1/2000	Away	L 68-81	vs. #18 Kentucky
2/6/2000	Away	W 88-81	vs. #122 Mississippi St
2/9/2000	Home	W 110-83	vs. #142 Georgia
2/12/2000	Home	W 76-73	vs. #6 Florida
2/19/2000	Away	L 72-85	vs. #42 Vanderbilt
2/23/2000	Home	W 74-67	vs. #18 Kentucky
2/26/2000	Away	L 75-80	vs. #107 Alabama
3/1/2000	Home	W 73-66	vs. #50 Arkansas
3/4/2000	Away	W 83-66	vs. #142 Georgia
3/10/2000	Neut	L 68-75	vs. #72 South Carolina
3/19/2000	Neut	W 65-51	vs. #23 Connecticut
3/24/2000	Neut	L 69-74	vs. #27 North Carolina

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)