NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

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TULSA
Predictions for Future Games
Game Breakdown
RPI Breakdown

Record: 32-5
Power Rating: 91.571
Ranking: 8

2-0 v #1-25
3-4 v #26-50
4-0 v #51-100
15-0 v #101-200
8-1 v #201-318

Home Ratings (14-1): 88.157 (26) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 8-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 6-1 88.314 Non-League Ratings: 8-0 88.571 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 83.009

Away Ratings (10-2): 91.642 (6)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
5-0 v #101-200
3-1 v #201-318
League Ratings: 6-1 92.259
Non-League Ratings: 4-1 88.181
Last Ten Ratings: 1-0 92.321

Neutral Ratings (8-2): 93.118 (7) 2-0 v #1-25 3-2 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 2-1 86.337 Non-League Ratings: 6-1 95.790 Last Ten Ratings: 5-2 92.048

League Ratings (14-3): 89.317 (21)
0-0 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
9-0 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 6-1 88.314
Away Ratings: 6-1 92.259
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 86.337
Last Ten Ratings: 4-2 86.845

Non-League Ratings (18-2): 94.044 (2) 2-0 v #1-25 3-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 6-0 v #101-200 5-1 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 8-0 88.571 Away Ratings: 4-1 88.181 Neutral Ratings: 6-1 95.790 Last Ten Ratings: 3-1 94.540

Wins Ratings: 93.448 (12)
2-0 v #1-25
3-4 v #26-50
4-0 v #51-100
15-0 v #101-200
8-1 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 14-1 87.948
Away Ratings: 10-2 94.417
Neutral Ratings: 8-2 94.956
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 91.312

Points Ratings: 89.868 (5) 2-1 v #1-25 3-0 v #26-50 8-3 v #51-100 11-0 v #101-200 8-1 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 14-1 88.376 Away Ratings: 10-2 89.024 Neutral Ratings: 8-2 91.368 League Ratings: 14-3 88.446 Non-League Ratings: 18-2 91.267 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 88.673

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 89.806 (19)
1-3 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 1-1 83.009
Away Ratings: 1-0 92.321
Neutral Ratings: 5-2 92.048
League Ratings: 4-2 86.845
Non-League Ratings: 3-1 94.540

Home Advantage: -0.131 (257)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0713 (110)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2017 (106)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3342 (108)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4519 (112)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.5945 (126)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8264 (135)

Upward Stability: 2.0386 (301)

Downward Stability: 3.1475 (110)

RPI
RPI: 0.6044 (21)
2-1 v #1-25
3-3 v #26-50
7-0 v #51-100
11-0 v #101-200
9-1 v #201-318

RPI Home (14-1): 0.5996 (42) 1-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-1 v #51-100 6-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318

RPI Away (10-2): 0.5777 (17)
0-1 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-318

RPI Neutral (8-2): 0.6436 (21) 1-2 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318

RPI League (14-3): 0.5993 (25)
0-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
5-0 v #51-100
6-0 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-318

RPI Non-League (18-2): 0.6088 (24) 2-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 7-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 6-1 v #201-318

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5176 (110)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/21/1999	Away	W 91-66	vs. #233 Rhode Island
11/24/1999	Home	W 100-73	vs. #180 Georgia St
11/27/1999	Home	W 97-45	vs. #313 Ark Pine Bluff
11/29/1999	Away	W 79-73	vs. #111 St Josephs PA
12/1/1999	Home	W 76-59	vs. #190 Tex San Antonio
12/4/1999	Home	W 88-73	vs. #114 Uab
12/7/1999	Home	W 69-60	vs. #57 SW Missouri St
12/11/1999	Away	L 59-60	vs. #214 Oral Roberts
12/18/1999	Home	W 72-52	vs. #309 Delaware St
12/21/1999	Neut	W 80-66	vs. #151 Boston College
12/22/1999	Neut	W 76-61	vs. #48 NC Charlotte
12/23/1999	Neut	W 88-68	vs. #21 Tennessee
12/28/1999	Home	W 81-60	vs. #192 Mo Kansas City
12/30/1999	Away	W 113-77	vs. #246 North Texas
1/6/2000	Away	W 94-73	vs. #101 TCU
1/12/2000	Away	W 75-67	vs. #56 Creighton
1/16/2000	Away	W 67-49	vs. #268 Rice
1/20/2000	Home	W 67-41	vs. #138 San Jose St
1/22/2000	Home	W 100-78	vs. #105 Hawaii
1/24/2000	Home	W 84-44	vs. #247 Centenary
1/27/2000	Away	W 89-71	vs. #133 Texas El Paso
1/29/2000	Away	L 73-75	vs. #41 Fresno St
2/3/2000	Home	W 70-59	vs. #59 SMU
2/5/2000	Home	W 103-70	vs. #101 TCU
2/14/2000	Home	W 75-33	vs. #268 Rice
2/17/2000	Away	W 75-61	vs. #105 Hawaii
2/19/2000	Away	W 64-56	vs. #138 San Jose St
2/24/2000	Home	L 72-73	vs. #41 Fresno St
2/26/2000	Home	W 85-55	vs. #133 Texas El Paso
3/4/2000	Away	W 83-78	vs. #59 SMU
3/9/2000	Neut	W 71-51	vs. #268 Rice
3/10/2000	Neut	W 93-71	vs. #101 TCU
3/11/2000	Neut	L 72-75	vs. #41 Fresno St
3/17/2000	Neut	W 89-62	vs. #39 Unlv
3/19/2000	Neut	W 69-61	vs. #2 Cincinnati
3/24/2000	Neut	W 80-71	vs. #32 Miami Fla
3/26/2000	Neut	L 55-59	vs. #27 North Carolina

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)