NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

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CONNECTICUT
Predictions for Future Games
Game Breakdown
RPI Breakdown

Record: 25-10
Power Rating: 89.044
Ranking: 23

4-6 v #1-25
4-2 v #26-50
5-2 v #51-100
8-0 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-318

Home Ratings (13-3): 86.063 (36) 2-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 2-1 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 5-3 83.509 Non-League Ratings: 8-0 94.575 Last Ten Ratings: 2-0 88.544

Away Ratings (6-4): 90.528 (16)
0-3 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318
League Ratings: 5-3 90.907
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 83.856
Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 85.278

Neutral Ratings (6-3): 90.267 (15) 2-2 v #1-25 2-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 3-1 89.997 Non-League Ratings: 3-2 89.716 Last Ten Ratings: 4-2 88.528

League Ratings (13-7): 88.159 (28)
1-4 v #1-25
3-1 v #26-50
4-2 v #51-100
5-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 5-3 83.509
Away Ratings: 5-3 90.907
Neutral Ratings: 3-1 89.997
Last Ten Ratings: 6-2 88.493

Non-League Ratings (12-3): 91.048 (10) 3-2 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 8-0 94.575 Away Ratings: 1-1 83.856 Neutral Ratings: 3-2 89.716 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 86.481

Wins Ratings: 91.808 (23)
4-6 v #1-25
4-2 v #26-50
5-2 v #51-100
8-0 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 13-3 87.370
Away Ratings: 6-4 94.155
Neutral Ratings: 6-3 93.366
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 93.011

Points Ratings: 86.208 (23) 4-3 v #1-25 4-4 v #26-50 5-3 v #51-100 8-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 13-3 84.546 Away Ratings: 6-4 87.005 Neutral Ratings: 6-3 87.001 League Ratings: 13-7 85.558 Non-League Ratings: 12-3 87.583 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 85.317

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 89.331 (23)
0-2 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 2-0 88.544
Away Ratings: 1-1 85.278
Neutral Ratings: 4-2 88.528
League Ratings: 6-2 88.493
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 86.481

Home Advantage: -0.317 (265)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1289 (21)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.3078 (20)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4618 (20)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5803 (20)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.7087 (24)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8864 (38)

Upward Stability: 3.2542 (61)

Downward Stability: 4.0434 (7)

RPI
RPI: 0.6156 (14)
4-6 v #1-25
5-1 v #26-50
3-3 v #51-100
10-0 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-318

RPI Home (13-3): 0.6053 (35) 2-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 5-2 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-318

RPI Away (6-4): 0.5986 (6)
1-3 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318

RPI Neutral (6-3): 0.6530 (13) 0-1 v #1-25 3-1 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-318

RPI League (13-7): 0.6108 (20)
1-5 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
6-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-318

RPI Non-League (12-3): 0.6220 (14) 2-2 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-318

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5828 (8)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/11/1999	Neut	L 68-70	vs. #45 Iowa
11/12/1999	Neut	W 71-66	vs. #3 Duke
11/19/1999	Home	W 89-52	vs. #224 Vermont
11/22/1999	Home	W 79-65	vs. #90 Massachusetts
11/29/1999	Home	W 89-44	vs. #253 Coppin St
12/4/1999	Home	W 98-68	vs. #242 NC Asheville
12/7/1999	Neut	W 78-69	vs. #10 Arizona
12/12/1999	Home	W 94-75	vs. #127 Fordham
12/23/1999	Home	W 84-60	vs. #175 Fairfield
12/30/1999	Away	W 82-76	vs. #163 Houston
1/3/2000	Home	W 83-56	vs. #314 Sacred Heart
1/5/2000	Home	L 70-75	vs. #61 Notre Dame
1/8/2000	Away	W 73-51	vs. #125 Pittsburgh
1/10/2000	Home	W 77-67	vs. #13 Texas
1/16/2000	Home	L 77-82	vs. #22 St Johns
1/22/2000	Away	W 92-71	vs. #79 Georgetown
1/24/2000	Away	L 74-88	vs. #15 Syracuse
1/27/2000	Home	W 64-50	vs. #165 Providence
1/30/2000	Home	W 66-56	vs. #33 Seton Hall
2/2/2000	Away	W 74-60	vs. #62 Villanova
2/5/2000	Away	L 66-85	vs. #1 Michigan St
2/9/2000	Home	W 87-58	vs. #151 Boston College
2/12/2000	Away	L 66-68	vs. #61 Notre Dame
2/14/2000	Away	W 59-50	vs. #33 Seton Hall
2/19/2000	Home	L 57-63	vs. #32 Miami Fla
2/21/2000	Away	L 64-79	vs. #22 St Johns
2/26/2000	Home	W 72-71	vs. #97 West Virginia
2/28/2000	Away	W 74-69	vs. #108 Rutgers
3/4/2000	Home	W 69-54	vs. #15 Syracuse
3/8/2000	Neut	W 70-55	vs. #151 Boston College
3/9/2000	Neut	W 79-64	vs. #33 Seton Hall
3/10/2000	Neut	W 70-55	vs. #79 Georgetown
3/11/2000	Neut	L 70-80	vs. #22 St Johns
3/17/2000	Neut	W 75-67	vs. #34 Utah St
3/19/2000	Neut	L 51-65	vs. #21 Tennessee

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)