NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

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WISCONSIN
Predictions for Future Games
Game Breakdown
RPI Breakdown

Record: 22-14
Power Rating: 89.850
Ranking: 17

9-9 v #1-25
4-1 v #26-50
4-3 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-318

Home Ratings (11-3): 89.893 (22) 5-2 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 5-3 86.651 Non-League Ratings: 6-0 97.382 Last Ten Ratings: 1-0 88.507

Away Ratings (4-9): 84.319 (47)
0-5 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
1-3 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-318
League Ratings: 3-5 88.624
Non-League Ratings: 1-4 81.179
Last Ten Ratings: 1-0 87.975

Neutral Ratings (7-2): 95.893 (2) 4-2 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318 League Ratings: 3-2 91.327 Non-League Ratings: 4-0 98.616 Last Ten Ratings: 6-2 93.944

League Ratings (11-10): 88.684 (25)
5-8 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 5-3 86.651
Away Ratings: 3-5 88.624
Neutral Ratings: 3-2 91.327
Last Ten Ratings: 5-2 90.718

Non-League Ratings (11-4): 91.854 (7) 4-1 v #1-25 3-0 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 6-0 97.382 Away Ratings: 1-4 81.179 Neutral Ratings: 4-0 98.616 Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 99.038

Wins Ratings: 92.477 (19)
9-9 v #1-25
4-1 v #26-50
4-3 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 11-3 91.841
Away Ratings: 4-9 85.544
Neutral Ratings: 7-2 100.25
Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 100.32

Points Ratings: 87.171 (16) 9-9 v #1-25 2-2 v #26-50 6-2 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-318 Home Ratings: 11-3 87.511 Away Ratings: 4-9 83.495 Neutral Ratings: 7-2 90.975 League Ratings: 11-1086.017 Non-League Ratings: 11-4 89.085 Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 90.378

Last Ten Ratings (8-2): 95.647 (3)
4-2 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-318
Home Ratings: 1-0 88.507
Away Ratings: 1-0 87.975
Neutral Ratings: 6-2 93.944
League Ratings: 5-2 90.718
Non-League Ratings: 3-0 99.038

Home Advantage: 4.8629 (138)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1893 (1)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.4138 (1)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.5772 (1)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.6904 (1)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.8046 (1)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.9437 (2)

Upward Stability: 3.9721 (2)

Downward Stability: 4.4482 (1)

RPI
RPI: 0.6052 (20)
9-7 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
3-3 v #51-100
4-2 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-318

RPI Home (11-3): 0.6500 (9) 4-1 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 4-2 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318

RPI Away (4-9): 0.5009 (90)
0-4 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
2-2 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-318

RPI Neutral (7-2): 0.6862 (6) 2-2 v #1-25 3-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-318

RPI League (11-10): 0.5860 (34)
1-6 v #1-25
4-2 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-318

RPI Non-League (11-4): 0.6321 (7) 5-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 4-0 v #51-100 2-2 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-318

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.6032 (2)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/12/1999	Neut	W 66-55	vs. #40 Missouri
11/13/1999	Away	L 49-68	vs. #15 Syracuse
11/20/1999	Home	W 60-50	vs. #38 Ball St
11/23/1999	Away	W 69-49	vs. #148 Wisc Milwaukee
11/30/1999	Away	L 48-67	vs. #52 Wake Forest
12/3/1999	Home	W 66-43	vs. #233 Rhode Island
12/7/1999	Home	W 61-45	vs. #13 Texas
12/8/1999	Home	W 55-34	vs. #154 Wisc Green Bay
12/11/1999	Away	L 63-66	vs. #93 South Florida
12/14/1999	Away	L 51-55	vs. #134 Northern Ill
12/23/1999	Home	W 86-74	vs. #85 Marquette
12/29/1999	Home	W 62-44	vs. #7 Temple
1/5/2000	Away	L 67-71	vs. #20 Indiana
1/8/2000	Home	W 63-59	vs. #19 Illinois
1/13/2000	Home	L 51-53	vs. #11 Ohio St
1/15/2000	Away	L 52-63	vs. #16 Purdue
1/19/2000	Away	L 61-76	vs. #54 Penn St
1/22/2000	Home	W 85-53	vs. #89 Minnesota
1/26/2000	Home	W 55-45	vs. #16 Purdue
1/29/2000	Home	L 55-61	vs. #45 Iowa
2/2/2000	Away	L 48-51	vs. #11 Ohio St
2/5/2000	Away	W 66-64	vs. #89 Minnesota
2/12/2000	Home	L 44-61	vs. #1 Michigan St
2/16/2000	Home	W 75-59	vs. #73 Michigan
2/19/2000	Away	L 54-59	vs. #1 Michigan St
2/23/2000	Away	W 54-45	vs. #45 Iowa
3/1/2000	Away	W 62-46	vs. #251 Northwestern
3/5/2000	Home	W 56-53	vs. #20 Indiana
3/9/2000	Neut	W 51-41	vs. #251 Northwestern
3/10/2000	Neut	W 78-66	vs. #16 Purdue
3/11/2000	Neut	L 46-55	vs. #1 Michigan St
3/16/2000	Neut	W 66-56	vs. #41 Fresno St
3/18/2000	Neut	W 66-59	vs. #10 Arizona
3/23/2000	Neut	W 61-48	vs. #14 LSU
3/25/2000	Neut	W 64-60	vs. #16 Purdue
4/1/2000	Neut	L 41-53	vs. #1 Michigan St

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)