NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 03 01:15:33 PDT 2001

Home Advantage = 4.1316

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Georgia (16-15)0.9424
2. UCLA (23-9)0.9377
3. Wisconsin (18-11)0.9358
4. Indiana (21-13)0.9317
5. Arizona (27-8)0.9294
6. Temple (24-13)0.9288
7. Illinois (27-8)0.9261
8. Iowa (23-12)0.9257
9. Tennessee (22-11)0.9240
10. USC (23-10)0.9234

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Kentucky (24-10)0.9174
12. Massachusetts (15-15)0.9165
13. North Carolina (26-7)0.9162
14. Michigan St (28-5)0.9159
15. Kansas (24-7)0.9140
16. Washington (9-20)0.9130
17. Stanford (29-3)0.9127
18. Duke (35-4)0.9119
19. Louisville (12-19)0.9097
20. Nebraska (13-16)0.9072

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. St Johns (14-15)0.9071
22. NC Charlotte (22-11)0.9064
23. Purdue (16-15)0.9048
24. Hawaii (17-14)0.9032
25. Cincinnati (25-10)0.9016
26. Penn St (21-12)0.9006
27. Oregon St (9-19)0.8992
28. Kansas St (11-18)0.8986
29. South Carolina (15-15)0.8967
30. Mississippi (26-8)0.8966

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Geo Washington (14-18)0.8958
32. Maryland (25-11)0.8941
33. Missouri (19-13)0.8932
34. Wake Forest (19-11)0.8926
35. Arizona St (13-16)0.8921
36. San Jose St (9-14)0.8898
37. Texas (25-9)0.8875
38. Oregon (14-14)0.8866
39. California (20-11)0.8866
40. Florida St (8-21)0.8858

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. La Salle (12-17)0.8845
42. Minnesota (16-13)0.8844
43. Michigan (9-18)0.8835
44. DePaul (10-18)0.8832
45. Georgia Tech (17-13)0.8819
46. Providence (20-10)0.8806
47. Vanderbilt (14-15)0.8805
48. Utah (16-11)0.8779
49. St Louis (17-14)0.8776
50. Memphis (18-15)0.8774

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Duquesne (9-21)0.8762
52. Notre Dame (20-10)0.8755
53. Syracuse (25-9)0.8754
54. Rutgers (11-16)0.8749
55. Mississippi St (17-12)0.8737
56. Fresno St (26-7)0.8735
57. South Florida (18-13)0.8725
58. Xavier (21-8)0.8719
59. NO Carolina St (13-16)0.8716
60. Fordham (12-17)0.8714

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Marquette (15-14)0.8712
62. St Bonaventure (18-12)0.8707
63. Northwestern (11-19)0.8701
64. Dayton (20-12)0.8697
65. Pittsburgh (18-13)0.8679
66. Colorado (14-15)0.8664
67. SMU (16-12)0.8648
68. Boston College (26-5)0.8639
69. Virginia (20-9)0.8638
70. Nevada (9-18)0.8637

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Florida (24-7)0.8633
72. Ohio St (20-11)0.8626
73. St Josephs (26-7)0.8624
74. Detroit (23-12)0.8619
75. LSU (13-16)0.8615
76. Villanova (18-13)0.8610
77. Oklahoma (26-7)0.8608
78. New Mexico (19-13)0.8606
79. Texas A&M (9-19)0.8596
80. Wisc Green Bay (11-17)0.8587

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Texas Tech (9-19)0.8576
82. Butler (22-8)0.8572
83. Auburn (18-13)0.8561
84. Wyoming (19-10)0.8560
85. Oklahoma St (19-10)0.8559
86. Rhode Island (7-22)0.8543
87. Seton Hall (16-14)0.8538
88. Connecticut (19-12)0.8526
89. West Virginia (16-12)0.8517
90. Iowa St (24-6)0.8511

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Wisc Milwaukee (13-13)0.8490
92. Unlv (14-13)0.8490
93. Houston (9-20)0.8483
94. Alabama (23-11)0.8474
95. Washington St (12-16)0.8460
96. Miami Fla (16-13)0.8455
97. St Marys CA (1-25)0.8447
98. Creighton (24-8)0.8445
99. Rice (13-16)0.8439
100. Tulane (7-21)0.8439

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Uab (17-14)0.8438
102. SO Mississippi (21-9)0.8410
103. Northern Iowa (6-24)0.8401
104. Tulsa (24-11)0.8383
105. Illinois Chi (11-17)0.8373
106. Cleveland St (19-13)0.8354
107. Indiana St (21-12)0.8354
108. Arkansas (20-11)0.8352
109. Clemson (12-19)0.8346
110. Miami Ohio (17-16)0.8325

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Old Dominion (12-17)0.8300
112. Virginia Tech (8-19)0.8285
113. BYU (24-9)0.8284
114. Wichita St (9-19)0.8279
115. Southern Ill (15-14)0.8273
116. George Mason (18-12)0.8249
117. SW Missouri St (13-16)0.8244
118. Buffalo (4-24)0.8243
119. Evansville (13-16)0.8233
120. Colorado St (13-13)0.8211

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. TCU (19-11)0.8199
122. North Texas (2-24)0.8185
123. Texas El Paso (22-8)0.8180
124. Bowling Green (13-14)0.8176
125. Kent (23-10)0.8156
126. CS Fullerton (3-22)0.8142
127. Loyola Chi (7-21)0.8140
128. Santa Clara (19-12)0.8137
129. Ohio (18-11)0.8120
130. Richmond (22-6)0.8114

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Akron (12-16)0.8113
132. Idaho (4-21)0.8090
133. VA Commonwealth (15-14)0.8088
134. Georgetown (25-8)0.8084
135. Bradley (18-12)0.8076
136. Air Force (8-21)0.8057
137. Pepperdine (22-8)0.8054
138. Murray St (15-12)0.8041
139. San Francisco (10-18)0.8021
140. San Diego St (13-14)0.8013

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. St Peters (4-23)0.8009
142. Boise St (15-14)0.8009
143. Northern Ill (4-22)0.8001
144. Baylor (17-12)0.7956
145. San Diego (15-14)0.7939
146. Marshall (16-9)0.7936
147. Illinois St (21-9)0.7922
148. Portland St (8-18)0.7911
149. Weber St (10-12)0.7911
150. Western Mich (7-21)0.7900

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. William & Mary (11-17)0.7898
152. CS Northridge (20-10)0.7879
153. Chicago St (4-23)0.7878
154. Cal Poly (6-18)0.7867
155. Long Beach St (14-13)0.7861
156. Toledo (22-10)0.7847
157. Eastern Mich (3-25)0.7836
158. Loyola Marymnt (8-19)0.7829
159. James Madison (12-17)0.7827
160. Drake (12-16)0.7821

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Ball St (16-12)0.7815
162. Sacramento St (3-20)0.7810
163. Western Ill (5-22)0.7801
164. Tenn Martin (6-18)0.7790
165. Eastern Wash (15-11)0.7788
166. NC Wilmington (19-11)0.7783
167. Siena (19-11)0.7782
168. Wofford (8-16)0.7778
169. Pacific (15-12)0.7775
170. Portland (8-17)0.7753

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Loyola MD (6-23)0.7749
172. Austin Peay (18-9)0.7748
173. Tennessee St (8-19)0.7734
174. South Alabama (20-11)0.7724
175. Eastern Ill (19-10)0.7721
176. Fairfield (12-16)0.7714
177. Florida Intl (7-21)0.7711
178. Oral Roberts (7-19)0.7710
179. Oakland (11-15)0.7706
180. Centenary (5-17)0.7701

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. American (7-20)0.7698
182. TX Pan American (8-17)0.7682
183. Santa Barbara (11-13)0.7678
184. Eastern KY (4-19)0.7671
185. Wright St (17-11)0.7652
186. Chattanooga (15-13)0.7635
187. Idaho St (12-14)0.7596
188. Manhattan (14-15)0.7590
189. Tennessee Tech (17-9)0.7589
190. Gonzaga (25-7)0.7588

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Central Mich (18-8)0.7574
192. Denver (8-18)0.7570
193. Niagara (15-13)0.7545
194. Northeastern (10-19)0.7541
195. East Carolina (13-12)0.7536
196. Iupui (9-18)0.7528
197. Western KY (21-7)0.7525
198. Westrn Carolina (5-24)0.7519
199. Utah St (24-6)0.7506
200. Middle Tenn St (4-22)0.7501

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Ul Lafayette (15-13)0.7498
202. Northrn Arizona (11-13)0.7487
203. Montana (9-16)0.7466
204. Morehead St (10-15)0.7450
205. Fla Atlantic (7-22)0.7434
206. New Hampshire (7-21)0.7433
207. Iona (21-11)0.7415
208. Georgia St (26-5)0.7406
209. Rider (16-12)0.7402
210. Montana St (15-14)0.7401

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Geo Southern (13-15)0.7399
212. Canisius (20-11)0.7391
213. Marist (17-13)0.7366
214. New Mexico St (13-14)0.7348
215. Arkansas St (15-13)0.7343
216. Hartford (4-23)0.7337
217. UC Irvine (22-5)0.7336
218. Hofstra (26-5)0.7331
219. Central Florida (7-22)0.7324
220. Drexel (15-12)0.7305

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Boston U (12-14)0.7299
222. Appalachian St (9-19)0.7292
223. Davidson (12-17)0.7275
224. Coll Of Charltn (20-7)0.7273
225. Furman (9-16)0.7272
226. Pennsylvania (12-17)0.7270
227. Belmont (10-15)0.7255
228. SE Missouri St (14-12)0.7245
229. VMI (7-19)0.7242
230. Mo Kansas City (13-15)0.7231

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Princeton (14-11)0.7223
232. Southern Utah (22-6)0.7222
233. Samford (13-14)0.7201
234. East Tenn St (15-10)0.7163
235. Morgan St (6-22)0.7160
236. Valparaiso (22-8)0.7151
237. Louisiana Tech (16-12)0.7137
238. Youngstown St (17-11)0.7107
239. Delaware (20-10)0.7085
240. Ul Monroe (9-17)0.7084

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Mercer (12-15)0.7082
242. Maine (17-11)0.7078
243. Tex San Antonio (13-15)0.7076
244. The Citadel (12-12)0.7076
245. Norfolk St (12-17)0.7072
246. Jacksonville St (9-18)0.7071
247. NC Greensboro (18-12)0.7051
248. Vermont (12-17)0.7051
249. Navy (17-12)0.7032
250. Arkansas Lr (14-11)0.7014

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Troy St (18-12)0.7008
252. Northwestern St (18-13)0.6967
253. Texas Arlington (11-15)0.6964
254. SE Louisiana (7-21)0.6948
255. Nicholls St (13-14)0.6946
256. New Orleans (15-12)0.6928
257. Lamar (8-18)0.6899
258. Campbell (7-21)0.6896
259. Stephen Austin (7-17)0.6890
260. Sam Houston (14-13)0.6877

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Towson (12-17)0.6856
262. SW Texas St (11-15)0.6844
263. Stetson (16-12)0.6832
264. Holy Cross (22-8)0.6827
265. SO Carolina St (18-13)0.6791
266. McNeese St (21-9)0.6783
267. Yale (10-17)0.6757
268. Florida A&M (4-23)0.6754
269. Lafayette (10-16)0.6693
270. Coppin St (12-15)0.6593

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Bucknell (12-15)0.6585
272. High Point (4-21)0.6580
273. Hampton (25-7)0.6565
274. Texas A&M-CC (11-14)0.6484
275. Jacksonville (15-10)0.6480
276. Radford (16-10)0.6470
277. Lehigh (12-16)0.6467
278. Cornell (6-20)0.6466
279. Colgate (10-15)0.6452
280. Brown (15-12)0.6446

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Delaware St (13-15)0.6438
282. MD Eastrn Shore (12-16)0.6433
283. Robert Morris (7-22)0.6424
284. Stony Brook (12-11)0.6394
285. Charleston Sou (7-19)0.6363
286. Coast Carolina (8-20)0.6359
287. Howard (10-17)0.6352
288. Dartmouth (7-19)0.6340
289. Columbia (10-15)0.6284
290. Army (7-18)0.6283

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. NO Carolina A&T (12-16)0.6283
292. NC Asheville (13-13)0.6280
293. Winthrop (16-11)0.6280
294. Fair Dickinson (13-15)0.6232
295. Liberty (10-15)0.6224
296. Harvard (14-12)0.6200
297. Elon (8-18)0.6183
298. Mt St Marys (7-21)0.6181
299. Sacred Heart (7-21)0.6105
300. St Francis PA (9-18)0.6093

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Bethune Cookman (9-17)0.6084
302. St Francis NY (18-11)0.6054
303. Albany NY (5-21)0.5864
304. Ark Pine Bluff (1-25)0.5852
305. Quinnipiac (5-21)0.5806
306. Monmouth NJ (21-10)0.5762
307. Liu Brooklyn (12-16)0.5756
308. Central Conn (14-14)0.5700
309. Wagner (16-13)0.5639
310. Prairie View (5-22)0.5552

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Jackson St (7-21)0.5544
312. Texas Southern (7-21)0.5529
313. Umbc (18-11)0.5424
314. Grambling (8-18)0.5349
315. Alcorn St (15-15)0.5301
316. Alabama A&M (16-11)0.5028
317. Southern (11-16)0.4751
318. Miss Valley St (16-8)0.4724
319. Alabama St (19-8)0.4657
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