NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
Wall St. Journal Competition Results
Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains
NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2)
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March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled
Spreading the Nerd Word
Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Last Ten Ratings

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 03 01:15:46 PDT 2001

Home Advantage = 4.1316

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Duke (10-0)107.687-01-01-0
2. Arizona (9-1)101.784-12-01-0
3. Maryland (8-2)100.305-22-00-0
4. Temple (9-1)95.1483-10-03-0
5. Michigan St (8-2)94.5295-21-00-0
6. Stanford (8-2)94.0133-21-01-0
7. Illinois (7-3)93.1832-22-12-0
8. Florida (8-2)92.5982-23-02-0
9. USC (7-3)91.9112-21-02-0
10. Boston College (8-2)91.8850-12-16-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Kentucky (7-3)91.1831-22-12-0
12. Butler (9-1)91.1671-10-01-0
13. Texas (8-2)90.3371-21-04-0
14. NC Charlotte (8-2)90.3260-12-04-1
15. Cincinnati (8-2)90.3190-10-16-0
16. Kansas (7-3)90.0580-32-03-0
17. Ohio St (7-3)89.7943-01-32-0
18. Oklahoma (7-3)89.7102-12-03-2
19. Indiana (6-4)89.5163-20-12-1
20. UCLA (7-3)89.4790-23-02-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Hofstra (9-1)88.7330-10-00-0
22. Mississippi (6-4)88.4631-33-01-0
23. Hawaii (7-3)88.4471-11-13-1
24. Gonzaga (8-2)88.4211-11-02-1
25. Arkansas (6-4)88.1331-22-11-1
26. Iowa (6-4)88.1262-42-01-0
27. St Josephs (7-3)87.7571-11-02-1
28. Pittsburgh (7-3)87.1600-12-13-0
29. Pepperdine (8-2)86.6710-00-12-1
30. Penn St (5-5)86.5222-22-20-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Virginia (5-5)86.4403-10-30-1
32. Georgia Tech (5-5)86.1603-40-01-0
33. Tulsa (7-3)86.0590-11-04-1
34. BYU (8-2)86.0300-00-14-1
35. Iowa St (7-3)85.8892-11-01-1
36. Mississippi St (6-4)85.8500-21-14-1
37. Syracuse (6-4)85.7230-11-15-2
38. California (5-5)85.5960-50-02-0
39. Richmond (9-1)85.4820-00-01-0
40. Georgetown (6-4)85.3640-13-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Creighton (8-2)84.9280-00-11-1
42. Missouri (5-5)84.9230-51-02-0
43. Wisconsin (4-6)84.8870-41-22-0
44. Providence (5-5)84.8690-31-12-1
45. Fresno St (6-4)84.8540-12-01-3
46. Wake Forest (4-6)84.7800-51-11-0
47. Miami Fla (6-4)84.7720-01-04-4
48. Utah (8-2)84.6180-00-03-1
49. Auburn (5-5)84.5950-32-22-0
50. Dayton (7-3)84.5590-31-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Alabama (4-6)84.5100-31-23-1
52. Texas El Paso (6-4)84.3331-00-22-2
53. Western KY (8-2)84.2640-10-00-0
54. Oklahoma St (6-4)84.2121-40-01-0
55. Georgia St (8-2)83.9741-10-00-1
56. North Carolina (5-5)83.8630-41-01-0
57. Southern Utah (8-2)83.8310-10-01-1
58. Notre Dame (5-5)83.4341-11-11-3
59. Toledo (8-2)83.3920-00-00-1
60. Utah St (7-3)83.3860-11-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Massachusetts (5-5)83.3831-31-01-2
62. Detroit (6-4)83.2610-00-21-1
63. Connecticut (5-5)83.1451-01-22-3
64. Baylor (4-6)83.1452-30-11-2
65. South Carolina (3-7)83.0010-22-41-1
66. Kent (7-3)82.9951-00-10-1
67. Villanova (5-5)82.9320-11-04-4
68. Tennessee (4-6)82.9200-40-23-0
69. Memphis (5-5)82.7410-00-35-1
70. Xavier (5-5)82.4711-10-11-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. TCU (5-5)82.4621-01-02-3
72. Ohio (7-3)82.3500-00-02-1
73. New Mexico St (9-1)81.9290-00-00-0
74. Geo Washington (5-5)81.8650-21-00-3
75. CS Northridge (8-2)81.8560-10-00-0
76. West Virginia (5-5)81.8450-11-13-3
77. Florida St (4-6)81.8251-41-00-1
78. Seton Hall (4-6)81.7450-12-12-3
79. Arizona St (4-6)81.7440-40-12-0
80. Santa Clara (7-3)81.7000-02-20-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. SO Mississippi (6-4)81.4050-00-34-0
82. NC Wilmington (8-2)81.3180-00-00-1
83. George Mason (6-4)81.1760-10-00-1
84. NO Carolina St (3-7)81.0261-50-20-0
85. St Louis (5-5)80.8910-01-12-3
86. New Mexico (5-5)80.8430-00-02-5
87. Purdue (3-7)80.5970-40-32-0
88. Northwestern (4-6)80.5171-31-20-1
89. Delaware (8-2)80.3430-00-20-0
90. Minnesota (3-7)80.3340-50-11-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Valparaiso (8-2)80.3270-00-01-1
92. Georgia (3-7)80.2640-12-31-2
93. Indiana St (5-5)80.0101-01-10-0
94. Hampton (8-2)79.9631-00-10-0
95. Uab (5-5)79.7970-00-11-4
96. Wyoming (5-5)79.7340-00-21-2
97. Washington St (4-6)79.6570-40-12-0
98. South Alabama (7-3)79.5090-00-00-2
99. Ball St (7-3)79.4290-00-01-2
100. Cleveland St (6-4)79.4220-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Miami Ohio (6-4)79.4180-00-02-1
102. St Bonaventure (5-5)79.3180-10-11-2
103. South Florida (4-6)79.0070-00-22-4
104. Siena (7-3)78.9390-00-00-0
105. San Jose St (5-5)78.8870-20-12-2
106. LSU (2-8)78.8441-31-40-1
107. La Salle (4-6)78.8411-20-10-2
108. St Johns (2-8)78.7840-21-41-2
109. Wisc Milwaukee (5-5)78.7290-00-11-1
110. Oregon St (2-8)78.7031-40-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Rutgers (3-7)78.6920-00-53-2
112. Southern Ill (6-4)78.6450-00-11-2
113. Marshall (6-4)78.5000-00-02-2
114. Northwestern St (7-3)78.4740-10-00-0
115. Houston (5-5)78.3940-01-12-3
116. Nebraska (4-6)78.2160-20-02-2
117. Eastern Wash (7-3)78.1720-00-00-2
118. Kansas St (3-7)78.1210-30-12-3
119. Tennessee Tech (7-3)78.0350-00-00-0
120. Wright St (5-5)78.0280-00-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Eastern Ill (6-4)77.8990-10-00-0
122. Canisius (7-3)77.8130-00-00-0
123. Unlv (5-5)77.7880-00-03-2
124. Austin Peay (7-3)77.7840-00-00-0
125. UC Irvine (7-3)77.7480-00-20-0
126. Santa Barbara (6-4)77.7140-00-20-0
127. Bradley (6-4)77.7020-00-13-2
128. SMU (3-7)77.6230-11-11-4
129. Rice (3-7)77.6100-21-11-2
130. Bowling Green (6-4)77.6080-00-01-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Louisville (4-6)77.5810-00-23-4
132. Colorado St (4-6)77.1960-00-00-5
133. Holy Cross (7-3)77.1910-10-00-0
134. Troy St (8-2)77.1340-00-10-0
135. Niagara (7-3)77.1130-00-00-0
136. Marquette (4-6)77.0970-01-11-2
137. Oregon (2-8)77.0740-40-10-2
138. McNeese St (8-2)76.9080-00-00-1
139. Illinois St (5-5)76.4380-00-00-2
140. San Diego (5-5)76.3930-00-31-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Pacific (5-5)76.2170-00-11-1
142. Manhattan (6-4)76.2060-00-00-0
143. Ul Lafayette (6-4)76.2000-00-00-1
144. Princeton (7-3)76.1350-10-00-0
145. Colorado (2-8)75.7730-40-11-2
146. Clemson (2-8)75.7391-50-10-1
147. Central Mich (6-4)75.6760-00-01-2
148. James Madison (5-5)75.6740-00-01-0
149. Iona (5-5)75.6330-10-00-0
150. Texas A&M (4-6)75.4660-10-21-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. East Tenn St (7-3)75.2670-00-00-0
152. Louisiana Tech (6-4)75.2610-00-01-0
153. Boise St (5-5)75.1200-01-10-1
154. Vermont (6-4)74.9170-00-20-0
155. Murray St (6-4)74.6390-00-00-0
156. Winthrop (8-2)74.3930-00-00-0
157. San Diego St (3-7)74.2820-00-00-6
158. Geo Southern (6-4)74.2670-00-00-0
159. Radford (8-2)74.1410-00-00-0
160. Idaho St (7-3)74.0230-00-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Arkansas Lr (6-4)73.8480-00-00-1
162. Evansville (4-6)73.8410-00-00-3
163. SW Missouri St (5-5)73.8270-00-21-0
164. Northrn Arizona (5-5)73.7770-00-00-1
165. Long Beach St (5-5)73.7210-01-00-2
166. San Francisco (5-5)73.6580-00-20-1
167. Davidson (6-4)73.6460-00-00-0
168. Old Dominion (4-6)73.5850-00-00-0
169. Ul Monroe (6-4)73.5450-00-00-0
170. Marist (4-6)73.5070-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Maine (5-5)73.4690-00-20-0
172. VA Commonwealth (4-6)73.4080-00-00-2
173. Alabama St (8-2)73.3960-10-00-0
174. Nevada (2-8)73.3790-10-21-2
175. Northeastern (6-4)73.3170-00-00-0
176. Washington (2-8)73.0221-30-10-2
177. Brown (8-2)72.9300-00-00-0
178. Air Force (2-8)72.8960-00-02-5
179. Vanderbilt (1-9)72.8630-20-50-2
180. Jacksonville (6-4)72.7520-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. SE Missouri St (5-5)72.6560-00-00-0
182. Drake (3-7)72.6450-00-22-0
183. Iupui (5-5)72.4360-00-01-2
184. Northern Iowa (3-7)72.4040-00-11-2
185. Illinois Chi (2-8)72.3920-00-10-2
186. DePaul (2-8)72.1690-10-30-3
187. Michigan (1-9)72.1460-61-00-2
188. Tennessee St (4-6)72.1230-00-00-0
189. Norfolk St (6-4)72.0980-00-00-0
190. The Citadel (6-4)72.0300-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Umbc (6-4)72.0100-00-00-0
192. Florida Intl (5-5)71.9580-00-00-2
193. Coll Of Charltn (5-5)71.9510-00-00-0
194. Rhode Island (2-8)71.8380-10-10-4
195. Stetson (5-5)71.8180-00-10-0
196. Mo Kansas City (6-4)71.8080-00-00-1
197. Wisc Green Bay (2-8)71.7470-00-10-3
198. Mercer (6-4)71.6420-00-10-0
199. New Orleans (5-5)71.5920-00-00-0
200. Akron (4-6)71.5210-00-01-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Duquesne (2-8)71.5170-20-01-2
202. Youngstown St (6-4)71.4770-00-00-2
203. William & Mary (4-6)71.4540-00-00-1
204. Delaware St (7-3)71.3730-00-00-0
205. Tulane (2-8)71.3100-00-12-4
206. NC Greensboro (6-4)71.2950-10-00-0
207. Columbia (6-4)71.2630-00-00-0
208. Coppin St (6-4)71.2550-00-00-0
209. Navy (5-5)71.2280-00-00-1
210. Miss Valley St (8-2)71.2210-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Monmouth NJ (7-3)71.2190-10-00-0
212. Wofford (5-5)71.1110-00-00-0
213. Drexel (5-5)71.1040-00-10-0
214. SO Carolina St (6-4)71.0130-00-00-0
215. Arkansas St (5-5)70.9160-00-00-1
216. Fairfield (5-5)70.7720-00-00-0
217. St Francis NY (6-4)70.6390-00-00-0
218. Virginia Tech (1-9)70.6250-20-21-5
219. Chattanooga (4-6)70.5640-00-00-0
220. Texas A&M-CC (5-5)70.5630-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Wichita St (2-8)70.5510-00-00-2
222. Tex San Antonio (6-4)70.4450-00-00-0
223. Rider (4-6)70.3990-00-00-0
224. Weber St (3-7)70.3100-00-00-2
225. SW Texas St (6-4)70.0200-00-00-0
226. Boston U (4-6)69.9780-00-10-0
227. Pennsylvania (5-5)69.9370-00-00-0
228. Loyola Chi (1-9)69.8740-00-31-0
229. Samford (4-6)69.7230-00-20-0
230. Tenn Martin (3-7)69.6890-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Portland St (5-5)69.6670-00-00-1
232. TX Pan American (4-6)69.4860-00-00-0
233. Belmont (4-6)69.4530-00-00-1
234. Texas Tech (1-9)69.4230-40-01-2
235. Nicholls St (5-5)69.4000-00-00-0
236. Sam Houston (5-5)69.3870-00-00-0
237. East Carolina (3-7)69.3040-00-00-1
238. Cal Poly (3-7)69.2020-00-10-2
239. Montana (4-6)69.1450-00-00-2
240. Oakland (4-6)69.0970-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Morehead St (3-7)68.7940-00-00-0
242. Appalachian St (5-5)68.7030-00-00-0
243. Lafayette (5-5)68.6360-00-00-0
244. Western Ill (3-7)68.5430-00-00-4
245. Loyola Marymnt (3-7)68.5070-00-20-2
246. Idaho (2-8)68.4810-00-10-1
247. Liberty (5-5)68.2790-00-00-0
248. VMI (4-6)68.2260-00-00-0
249. Texas Arlington (5-5)68.2080-00-00-0
250. Montana St (3-7)68.1550-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Alcorn St (7-3)68.1360-00-00-0
252. Stony Brook (6-4)68.0690-00-00-0
253. Buffalo (2-8)68.0690-00-00-5
254. Alabama A&M (7-3)68.0400-00-00-0
255. Colgate (4-6)67.5520-00-00-0
256. Western Mich (3-7)67.5300-00-00-2
257. Harvard (4-6)67.5060-00-00-0
258. NO Carolina A&T (4-6)67.3970-00-00-0
259. Liu Brooklyn (6-4)67.3510-00-00-0
260. Fair Dickinson (5-5)67.2720-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Lehigh (4-6)67.0390-00-00-0
262. Wagner (5-5)66.8830-00-00-0
263. Stephen Austin (3-7)66.5610-00-00-0
264. Centenary (3-7)66.5480-00-00-1
265. American (1-9)66.4630-00-00-2
266. Furman (3-7)66.4500-00-00-0
267. Portland (2-8)66.4120-00-30-2
268. Morgan St (3-7)66.2220-00-00-0
269. MD Eastrn Shore (5-5)66.2020-00-00-0
270. Denver (2-8)66.0900-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Campbell (3-7)65.6950-00-10-0
272. Bucknell (4-6)65.6870-00-00-0
273. Fordham (1-9)65.4230-10-00-3
274. Loyola MD (2-8)65.3810-00-00-0
275. Oral Roberts (2-8)65.2560-00-00-3
276. Charleston Sou (5-5)65.2360-00-00-0
277. Yale (4-6)65.0520-00-00-0
278. Sacramento St (2-8)65.0320-00-00-1
279. Lamar (3-7)64.9120-00-00-0
280. Westrn Carolina (2-8)64.4940-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. New Hampshire (2-8)64.4430-00-10-0
282. Army (3-7)64.3260-00-00-0
283. Towson (3-7)64.2770-00-10-0
284. Bethune Cookman (5-5)64.2320-00-00-0
285. St Francis PA (5-5)63.8820-00-00-0
286. Jacksonville St (3-7)63.7330-00-10-0
287. NC Asheville (4-6)63.4590-00-00-0
288. Chicago St (2-8)63.4110-00-00-3
289. Dartmouth (3-7)63.2050-00-00-0
290. Central Conn (4-6)63.1930-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Robert Morris (4-6)63.0840-00-00-0
292. Sacred Heart (4-6)62.8050-00-00-0
293. Elon (4-6)62.6280-00-00-0
294. Eastern KY (1-9)62.4800-00-00-0
295. CS Fullerton (1-9)62.3630-00-30-1
296. St Peters (1-9)61.9720-00-00-0
297. Grambling (5-5)61.9170-00-00-0
298. Howard (3-7)61.6480-00-00-0
299. Northern Ill (1-9)61.6290-00-00-3
300. Fla Atlantic (2-8)61.5570-00-20-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Coast Carolina (2-8)61.4350-00-00-0
302. Central Florida (1-9)61.3580-00-10-0
303. Cornell (2-8)61.2990-00-00-0
304. Eastern Mich (1-9)60.8770-00-00-3
305. Southern (4-6)60.6950-00-00-0
306. Mt St Marys (2-8)59.9360-00-00-0
307. Jackson St (4-6)59.7230-00-00-0
308. Florida A&M (1-9)59.4690-00-00-0
309. SE Louisiana (1-9)59.2510-00-00-0
310. High Point (2-8)58.4290-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Middle Tenn St (0-10)58.2970-00-00-2
312. Quinnipiac (2-8)58.1690-00-00-0
313. Albany NY (2-8)57.4560-00-00-0
314. Prairie View (3-7)57.0540-00-00-0
315. St Marys CA (0-10)56.7010-00-40-1
316. North Texas (0-10)55.2380-00-00-1
317. Hartford (0-10)55.1230-00-10-0
318. Texas Southern (2-8)54.6930-00-00-0
319. Ark Pine Bluff (1-9)51.6030-00-00-0
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