NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Home Advantage

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 03 01:16:14 PDT 2001

Home Court Advantage = 4.1316

MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 7.8448


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Creighton (24-8)13.040
12. Wichita St (9-19)12.812
49. Bradley (18-12)8.6148
56. Evansville (13-16)8.1773
65. Drake (12-16)7.8690
69. Northern Iowa (6-24)7.6010
81. SW Missouri St (13-16)6.7736
88. Indiana St (21-12)6.6370
171. Illinois St (21-9)3.4715
172. Southern Ill (15-14)3.4509


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 7.7751


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Detroit (23-12)13.559
21. Loyola Chi (7-21)11.588
33. Wisc Milwaukee (13-13)10.409
47. Wright St (17-11)8.7070
98. Cleveland St (19-13)6.2780
131. Butler (22-8)4.9676
164. Wisc Green Bay (11-17)3.6730
186. Illinois Chi (11-17)3.0176


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 7.2467


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. TCU (19-11)13.954
17. Fresno St (26-7)12.400
19. Nevada (9-18)12.105
84. SMU (16-12)6.7353
99. Hawaii (17-14)6.2391
113. Texas El Paso (22-8)5.8473
150. Rice (13-16)4.0277
180. San Jose St (9-14)3.2025
249. Tulsa (24-11)0.7085


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 6.8121


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. VA Commonwealth (15-14)11.795
35. George Mason (18-12)9.8266
46. William & Mary (11-17)8.7864
75. James Madison (12-17)7.1303
95. American (7-20)6.3699
114. East Carolina (13-12)5.8176
117. Old Dominion (12-17)5.7224
176. Richmond (22-6)3.3102
198. NC Wilmington (19-11)2.5496


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 6.4476


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. BYU (24-9)14.937
44. Unlv (14-13)8.8507
53. San Diego St (13-14)8.4184
70. Colorado St (13-13)7.5157
103. Utah (16-11)6.0836
158. Wyoming (19-10)3.8393
240. New Mexico (19-13)1.1280
246. Air Force (8-21)0.8070


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 6.0858


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Princeton (14-11)11.070
40. Columbia (10-15)9.2865
62. Brown (15-12)7.9168
64. Harvard (14-12)7.8738
128. Yale (10-17)5.0588
152. Pennsylvania (12-17)4.0008
188. Dartmouth (7-19)2.9589
254. Cornell (6-20)0.5203


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 5.9627


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Centenary (5-17)14.873
14. Stony Brook (12-11)12.530
87. Belmont (10-15)6.6422
133. TX Pan American (8-17)4.8261
237. Albany NY (5-21)1.3621
244. Texas A&M-CC (11-14)0.8738
250. Denver (8-18)0.6310


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 5.7678


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
23. Portland St (8-18)11.444
29. Montana (9-16)10.955
41. Sacramento St (3-20)9.1824
71. Northrn Arizona (11-13)7.4062
85. Montana St (15-14)6.7180
96. CS Northridge (20-10)6.3435
175. Weber St (10-12)3.3372
287. Idaho St (12-14)-1.083
306. Eastern Wash (15-11)-2.393


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 5.7535


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Iowa St (24-6)14.225
31. Oklahoma St (19-10)10.525
57. Missouri (19-13)8.1242
66. Texas (25-9)7.6976
80. Baylor (17-12)6.8827
94. Kansas (24-7)6.3970
147. Oklahoma (26-7)4.2246
165. Kansas St (11-18)3.6199
178. Nebraska (13-16)3.3079
181. Texas A&M (9-19)3.1819
195. Texas Tech (9-19)2.6581
300. Colorado (14-15)-1.803


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 5.4852


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
24. The Citadel (12-12)11.418
38. Coll Of Charltn (20-7)9.5830
43. NC Greensboro (18-12)8.9009
83. VMI (7-19)6.7465
86. Westrn Carolina (5-24)6.7162
120. East Tenn St (15-10)5.5423
122. Chattanooga (15-13)5.4545
130. Davidson (12-17)4.9936
190. Wofford (8-16)2.9305
220. Geo Southern (13-15)1.8022
243. Furman (9-16)0.9542
247. Appalachian St (9-19)0.7801


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 4.8298


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
30. Marist (17-13)10.845
45. St Peters (4-23)8.7978
54. Loyola MD (6-23)8.3282
97. Siena (19-11)6.3120
101. Manhattan (14-15)6.0920
168. Canisius (20-11)3.5639
170. Iona (21-11)3.5236
203. Rider (16-12)2.2749
231. Fairfield (12-16)1.4864
309. Niagara (15-13)-2.926


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 4.8150


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Illinois (27-8)12.934
13. Michigan St (28-5)12.551
74. Indiana (21-13)7.2488
89. Ohio St (20-11)6.6227
93. Wisconsin (18-11)6.3980
144. Northwestern (11-19)4.3853
149. Minnesota (16-13)4.1486
233. Iowa (23-12)1.4754
234. Michigan (9-18)1.4616
295. Penn St (21-12)-1.497
308. Purdue (16-15)-2.763


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 4.7197


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. Eastern Ill (19-10)11.392
26. Tennessee Tech (17-9)11.327
63. Tenn Martin (6-18)7.8946
145. Tennessee St (8-19)4.3106
156. Murray St (15-12)3.8761
162. Austin Peay (18-9)3.7013
207. SE Missouri St (14-12)2.1160
208. Morehead St (10-15)2.0652
217. Eastern KY (4-19)1.8230
291. Middle Tenn St (4-22)-1.309


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 4.6160


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
42. Boston U (12-14)9.0853
52. Drexel (15-12)8.4866
77. Northeastern (10-19)7.0197
112. New Hampshire (7-21)5.8504
115. Towson (12-17)5.7789
132. Maine (17-11)4.8325
155. Vermont (12-17)3.8855
177. Delaware (20-10)3.3083
286. Hartford (4-23)-0.960
288. Hofstra (26-5)-1.126


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 4.6067


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Virginia (20-9)16.538
55. Clemson (12-19)8.2848
73. Georgia Tech (17-13)7.3865
76. NO Carolina St (13-16)7.1289
109. Wake Forest (19-11)5.9754
199. North Carolina (26-7)2.5494
257. Florida St (8-21)0.4832
277. Maryland (25-11)-0.551
318. Duke (35-4)-6.334


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 4.1607


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Arkansas (20-11)12.884
22. Alabama (23-11)11.553
61. Mississippi St (17-12)7.9388
104. Mississippi (26-8)6.0784
141. Kentucky (24-10)4.6394
216. Tennessee (22-11)1.8404
218. Florida (24-7)1.8147
221. Vanderbilt (14-15)1.8016
222. Auburn (18-13)1.7731
252. Georgia (16-15)0.6039
270. LSU (13-16)-0.135
284. South Carolina (15-15)-0.863


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 3.9244


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Connecticut (19-12)13.586
58. St Johns (14-15)8.0918
72. Boston College (26-5)7.3894
107. West Virginia (16-12)6.0086
108. Virginia Tech (8-19)5.9767
134. Miami Fla (16-13)4.7923
151. Pittsburgh (18-13)4.0254
169. Providence (20-10)3.5327
193. Villanova (18-13)2.7981
228. Syracuse (25-9)1.5356
256. Seton Hall (16-14)0.4936
271. Rutgers (11-16)-0.295
290. Notre Dame (20-10)-1.159
302. Georgetown (25-8)-1.834


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 3.8141


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. Marshall (16-9)9.6034
78. Akron (12-16)7.0068
90. Central Mich (18-8)6.5638
100. Ohio (18-11)6.1950
116. Western Mich (7-21)5.7254
121. Buffalo (4-24)5.4980
136. Eastern Mich (3-25)4.7310
196. Miami Ohio (17-16)2.6117
197. Bowling Green (13-14)2.5840
201. Northern Ill (4-22)2.4949
255. Kent (23-10)0.5144
279. Toledo (22-10)-0.669
311. Ball St (16-12)-3.276


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 3.7902


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
59. Colgate (10-15)8.0122
125. Holy Cross (22-8)5.3282
146. Army (7-18)4.2850
184. Bucknell (12-15)3.0682
206. Navy (17-12)2.1454
213. Lehigh (12-16)1.9202
223. Lafayette (10-16)1.7723


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 3.6404


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
92. Miss Valley St (16-8)6.4285
119. Prairie View (5-22)5.6267
135. Southern (11-16)4.7759
138. Alabama St (19-8)4.7024
153. Grambling (8-18)3.9942
154. Ark Pine Bluff (1-25)3.9363
204. Jackson St (7-21)2.2299
227. Alcorn St (15-15)1.6266
278. Texas Southern (7-21)-0.556


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 3.6003


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
27. Radford (16-10)11.189
68. High Point (4-21)7.6473
140. Winthrop (16-11)4.6565
159. Liberty (10-15)3.8327
226. Elon (8-18)1.6941
229. Coast Carolina (8-20)1.5348
258. Charleston Sou (7-19)0.4402
304. NC Asheville (13-13)-2.192


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 3.2224


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. Duquesne (9-21)12.211
50. Xavier (21-8)8.5149
67. St Bonaventure (18-12)7.6943
142. La Salle (12-17)4.5075
143. Rhode Island (7-22)4.4707
167. St Josephs (26-7)3.5786
241. Geo Washington (14-18)1.0437
269. Massachusetts (15-15)0.0582
273. Fordham (12-17)-0.444
292. Dayton (20-12)-1.344
315. Temple (24-13)-4.844


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 3.1631


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Jacksonville St (9-18)13.950
48. Jacksonville (15-10)8.6737
137. Georgia St (26-5)4.7135
183. Samford (13-14)3.1599
187. Stetson (16-12)2.9832
210. Campbell (7-21)1.9997
230. Central Florida (7-22)1.5218
260. Troy St (18-12)0.3249
261. Fla Atlantic (7-22)0.3087
317. Mercer (12-15)-6.005


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 2.8997


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
51. Southern Utah (22-6)8.4922
79. Youngstown St (17-11)6.9897
157. Western Ill (5-22)3.8619
163. Valparaiso (22-8)3.6817
179. Oakland (11-15)3.2491
209. Oral Roberts (7-19)2.0155
266. Iupui (9-18)0.1664
282. Mo Kansas City (13-15)-0.774
296. Chicago St (4-23)-1.584


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 2.8365


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
34. Boise St (15-14)9.9276
36. Utah St (24-6)9.8079
60. Long Beach St (14-13)8.0014
148. Santa Barbara (11-13)4.1815
189. UC Irvine (22-5)2.9475
224. Idaho (4-21)1.7683
251. Pacific (15-12)0.6177
263. North Texas (2-24)0.2366
264. Cal Poly (6-18)0.2306
305. New Mexico St (13-14)-2.313
314. CS Fullerton (3-22)-4.204


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 2.6497


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Tulane (7-21)12.507
39. Houston (9-20)9.3117
123. South Florida (18-13)5.4166
127. St Louis (17-14)5.1089
173. NC Charlotte (22-11)3.3631
205. Memphis (18-15)2.1859
235. DePaul (10-18)1.4285
248. Marquette (15-14)0.7614
280. Uab (17-14)-0.674
297. SO Mississippi (21-9)-1.593
307. Louisville (12-19)-2.422
313. Cincinnati (25-10)-3.596


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.5645


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
105. Delaware St (13-15)6.0602
110. Florida A&M (4-23)5.9602
126. Bethune Cookman (9-17)5.2482
161. Howard (10-17)3.7831
192. NO Carolina A&T (12-16)2.8109
200. Coppin St (12-15)2.4957
211. SO Carolina St (18-13)1.9892
225. MD Eastrn Shore (12-16)1.7351
232. Norfolk St (12-17)1.4858
272. Hampton (25-7)-0.347
310. Morgan St (6-22)-3.011


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 2.3450


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Lamar (8-18)12.530
91. Ul Monroe (9-17)6.4696
139. Texas Arlington (11-15)4.6952
160. Sam Houston (14-13)3.8182
212. Tex San Antonio (13-15)1.9827
239. McNeese St (21-9)1.2859
276. SE Louisiana (7-21)-0.534
281. Northwestern St (18-13)-0.680
283. Nicholls St (13-14)-0.805
293. SW Texas St (11-15)-1.361
299. Stephen Austin (7-17)-1.604


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.3191


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
118. Mt St Marys (7-21)5.6990
129. Wagner (16-13)5.0366
166. St Francis NY (18-11)3.5830
182. Monmouth NJ (21-10)3.1755
214. Fair Dickinson (13-15)1.8582
215. Robert Morris (7-22)1.8539
236. Liu Brooklyn (12-16)1.4226
268. St Francis PA (9-18)0.0730
301. Central Conn (14-14)-1.829


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 2.2280


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
32. Washington St (12-16)10.518
82. Oregon St (9-19)6.7605
106. Arizona St (13-16)6.0522
124. California (20-11)5.3301
242. UCLA (23-9)0.9731
259. Washington (9-20)0.3621
265. USC (23-10)0.2130
267. Arizona (27-8)0.0933
275. Oregon (14-14)-0.516
319. Stanford (29-3)-7.506


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4008


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
191. Western KY (21-7)2.8269
194. Arkansas Lr (14-11)2.6808
219. New Orleans (15-12)1.8110
245. Florida Intl (7-21)0.8165
250. Denver (8-18)0.6310
253. Ul Lafayette (15-13)0.5633
285. Arkansas St (15-13)-0.928
294. Louisiana Tech (16-12)-1.378
312. South Alabama (20-11)-3.415


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = -0.322


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
174. Gonzaga (25-7)3.3400
185. St Marys CA (1-25)3.0379
238. San Francisco (10-18)1.3097
274. Santa Clara (19-12)-0.461
289. Pepperdine (22-8)-1.158
298. Portland (8-17)-1.598
303. Loyola Marymnt (8-19)-2.035
316. San Diego (15-14)-5.010
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