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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Home Advantage

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 03 01:16:08 PDT 2001

Home Advantage = 4.1316

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Virginia (20-9)16.538
2. BYU (24-9)14.937
3. Centenary (5-17)14.873
4. Iowa St (24-6)14.225
5. TCU (19-11)13.954
6. Jacksonville St (9-18)13.950
7. Connecticut (19-12)13.586
8. Detroit (23-12)13.559
9. Creighton (24-8)13.040
10. Illinois (27-8)12.934

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Arkansas (20-11)12.884
12. Wichita St (9-19)12.812
13. Michigan St (28-5)12.551
14. Stony Brook (12-11)12.530
15. Lamar (8-18)12.530
16. Tulane (7-21)12.507
17. Fresno St (26-7)12.400
18. Duquesne (9-21)12.211
19. Nevada (9-18)12.105
20. VA Commonwealth (15-14)11.795

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Loyola Chi (7-21)11.588
22. Alabama (23-11)11.553
23. Portland St (8-18)11.444
24. The Citadel (12-12)11.418
25. Eastern Ill (19-10)11.392
26. Tennessee Tech (17-9)11.327
27. Radford (16-10)11.189
28. Princeton (14-11)11.070
29. Montana (9-16)10.955
30. Marist (17-13)10.845

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Oklahoma St (19-10)10.525
32. Washington St (12-16)10.518
33. Wisc Milwaukee (13-13)10.409
34. Boise St (15-14)9.9276
35. George Mason (18-12)9.8266
36. Utah St (24-6)9.8079
37. Marshall (16-9)9.6034
38. Coll Of Charltn (20-7)9.5830
39. Houston (9-20)9.3117
40. Columbia (10-15)9.2865

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Sacramento St (3-20)9.1824
42. Boston U (12-14)9.0853
43. NC Greensboro (18-12)8.9009
44. Unlv (14-13)8.8507
45. St Peters (4-23)8.7978
46. William & Mary (11-17)8.7864
47. Wright St (17-11)8.7070
48. Jacksonville (15-10)8.6737
49. Bradley (18-12)8.6148
50. Xavier (21-8)8.5149

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Southern Utah (22-6)8.4922
52. Drexel (15-12)8.4866
53. San Diego St (13-14)8.4184
54. Loyola MD (6-23)8.3282
55. Clemson (12-19)8.2848
56. Evansville (13-16)8.1773
57. Missouri (19-13)8.1242
58. St Johns (14-15)8.0918
59. Colgate (10-15)8.0122
60. Long Beach St (14-13)8.0014

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Mississippi St (17-12)7.9388
62. Brown (15-12)7.9168
63. Tenn Martin (6-18)7.8946
64. Harvard (14-12)7.8738
65. Drake (12-16)7.8690
66. Texas (25-9)7.6976
67. St Bonaventure (18-12)7.6943
68. High Point (4-21)7.6473
69. Northern Iowa (6-24)7.6010
70. Colorado St (13-13)7.5157

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Northrn Arizona (11-13)7.4062
72. Boston College (26-5)7.3894
73. Georgia Tech (17-13)7.3865
74. Indiana (21-13)7.2488
75. James Madison (12-17)7.1303
76. NO Carolina St (13-16)7.1289
77. Northeastern (10-19)7.0197
78. Akron (12-16)7.0068
79. Youngstown St (17-11)6.9897
80. Baylor (17-12)6.8827

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. SW Missouri St (13-16)6.7736
82. Oregon St (9-19)6.7605
83. VMI (7-19)6.7465
84. SMU (16-12)6.7353
85. Montana St (15-14)6.7180
86. Westrn Carolina (5-24)6.7162
87. Belmont (10-15)6.6422
88. Indiana St (21-12)6.6370
89. Ohio St (20-11)6.6227
90. Central Mich (18-8)6.5638

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Ul Monroe (9-17)6.4696
92. Miss Valley St (16-8)6.4285
93. Wisconsin (18-11)6.3980
94. Kansas (24-7)6.3970
95. American (7-20)6.3699
96. CS Northridge (20-10)6.3435
97. Siena (19-11)6.3120
98. Cleveland St (19-13)6.2780
99. Hawaii (17-14)6.2391
100. Ohio (18-11)6.1950

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Manhattan (14-15)6.0920
102. Sacred Heart (7-21)6.0894
103. Utah (16-11)6.0836
104. Mississippi (26-8)6.0784
105. Delaware St (13-15)6.0602
106. Arizona St (13-16)6.0522
107. West Virginia (16-12)6.0086
108. Virginia Tech (8-19)5.9767
109. Wake Forest (19-11)5.9754
110. Florida A&M (4-23)5.9602

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Alabama A&M (16-11)5.9514
112. New Hampshire (7-21)5.8504
113. Texas El Paso (22-8)5.8473
114. East Carolina (13-12)5.8176
115. Towson (12-17)5.7789
116. Western Mich (7-21)5.7254
117. Old Dominion (12-17)5.7224
118. Mt St Marys (7-21)5.6990
119. Prairie View (5-22)5.6267
120. East Tenn St (15-10)5.5423

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Buffalo (4-24)5.4980
122. Chattanooga (15-13)5.4545
123. South Florida (18-13)5.4166
124. California (20-11)5.3301
125. Holy Cross (22-8)5.3282
126. Bethune Cookman (9-17)5.2482
127. St Louis (17-14)5.1089
128. Yale (10-17)5.0588
129. Wagner (16-13)5.0366
130. Davidson (12-17)4.9936

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Butler (22-8)4.9676
132. Maine (17-11)4.8325
133. TX Pan American (8-17)4.8261
134. Miami Fla (16-13)4.7923
135. Southern (11-16)4.7759
136. Eastern Mich (3-25)4.7310
137. Georgia St (26-5)4.7135
138. Alabama St (19-8)4.7024
139. Texas Arlington (11-15)4.6952
140. Winthrop (16-11)4.6565

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Kentucky (24-10)4.6394
142. La Salle (12-17)4.5075
143. Rhode Island (7-22)4.4707
144. Northwestern (11-19)4.3853
145. Tennessee St (8-19)4.3106
146. Army (7-18)4.2850
147. Oklahoma (26-7)4.2246
148. Santa Barbara (11-13)4.1815
149. Minnesota (16-13)4.1486
150. Rice (13-16)4.0277

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Pittsburgh (18-13)4.0254
152. Pennsylvania (12-17)4.0008
153. Grambling (8-18)3.9942
154. Ark Pine Bluff (1-25)3.9363
155. Vermont (12-17)3.8855
156. Murray St (15-12)3.8761
157. Western Ill (5-22)3.8619
158. Wyoming (19-10)3.8393
159. Liberty (10-15)3.8327
160. Sam Houston (14-13)3.8182

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Howard (10-17)3.7831
162. Austin Peay (18-9)3.7013
163. Valparaiso (22-8)3.6817
164. Wisc Green Bay (11-17)3.6730
165. Kansas St (11-18)3.6199
166. St Francis NY (18-11)3.5830
167. St Josephs (26-7)3.5786
168. Canisius (20-11)3.5639
169. Providence (20-10)3.5327
170. Iona (21-11)3.5236

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Illinois St (21-9)3.4715
172. Southern Ill (15-14)3.4509
173. NC Charlotte (22-11)3.3631
174. Gonzaga (25-7)3.3400
175. Weber St (10-12)3.3372
176. Richmond (22-6)3.3102
177. Delaware (20-10)3.3083
178. Nebraska (13-16)3.3079
179. Oakland (11-15)3.2491
180. San Jose St (9-14)3.2025

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Texas A&M (9-19)3.1819
182. Monmouth NJ (21-10)3.1755
183. Samford (13-14)3.1599
184. Bucknell (12-15)3.0682
185. St Marys CA (1-25)3.0379
186. Illinois Chi (11-17)3.0176
187. Stetson (16-12)2.9832
188. Dartmouth (7-19)2.9589
189. UC Irvine (22-5)2.9475
190. Wofford (8-16)2.9305

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Western KY (21-7)2.8269
192. NO Carolina A&T (12-16)2.8109
193. Villanova (18-13)2.7981
194. Arkansas Lr (14-11)2.6808
195. Texas Tech (9-19)2.6581
196. Miami Ohio (17-16)2.6117
197. Bowling Green (13-14)2.5840
198. NC Wilmington (19-11)2.5496
199. North Carolina (26-7)2.5494
200. Coppin St (12-15)2.4957

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Northern Ill (4-22)2.4949
202. Umbc (18-11)2.3016
203. Rider (16-12)2.2749
204. Jackson St (7-21)2.2299
205. Memphis (18-15)2.1859
206. Navy (17-12)2.1454
207. SE Missouri St (14-12)2.1160
208. Morehead St (10-15)2.0652
209. Oral Roberts (7-19)2.0155
210. Campbell (7-21)1.9997

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. SO Carolina St (18-13)1.9892
212. Tex San Antonio (13-15)1.9827
213. Lehigh (12-16)1.9202
214. Fair Dickinson (13-15)1.8582
215. Robert Morris (7-22)1.8539
216. Tennessee (22-11)1.8404
217. Eastern KY (4-19)1.8230
218. Florida (24-7)1.8147
219. New Orleans (15-12)1.8110
220. Geo Southern (13-15)1.8022

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Vanderbilt (14-15)1.8016
222. Auburn (18-13)1.7731
223. Lafayette (10-16)1.7723
224. Idaho (4-21)1.7683
225. MD Eastrn Shore (12-16)1.7351
226. Elon (8-18)1.6941
227. Alcorn St (15-15)1.6266
228. Syracuse (25-9)1.5356
229. Coast Carolina (8-20)1.5348
230. Central Florida (7-22)1.5218

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Fairfield (12-16)1.4864
232. Norfolk St (12-17)1.4858
233. Iowa (23-12)1.4754
234. Michigan (9-18)1.4616
235. DePaul (10-18)1.4285
236. Liu Brooklyn (12-16)1.4226
237. Albany NY (5-21)1.3621
238. San Francisco (10-18)1.3097
239. McNeese St (21-9)1.2859
240. New Mexico (19-13)1.1280

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Geo Washington (14-18)1.0437
242. UCLA (23-9)0.9731
243. Furman (9-16)0.9542
244. Texas A&M-CC (11-14)0.8738
245. Florida Intl (7-21)0.8165
246. Air Force (8-21)0.8070
247. Appalachian St (9-19)0.7801
248. Marquette (15-14)0.7614
249. Tulsa (24-11)0.7085
250. Denver (8-18)0.6310

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Pacific (15-12)0.6177
252. Georgia (16-15)0.6039
253. Ul Lafayette (15-13)0.5633
254. Cornell (6-20)0.5203
255. Kent (23-10)0.5144
256. Seton Hall (16-14)0.4936
257. Florida St (8-21)0.4832
258. Charleston Sou (7-19)0.4402
259. Washington (9-20)0.3621
260. Troy St (18-12)0.3249

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Fla Atlantic (7-22)0.3087
262. Quinnipiac (5-21)0.2545
263. North Texas (2-24)0.2366
264. Cal Poly (6-18)0.2306
265. USC (23-10)0.2130
266. Iupui (9-18)0.1664
267. Arizona (27-8)0.0933
268. St Francis PA (9-18)0.0730
269. Massachusetts (15-15)0.0582
270. LSU (13-16)-0.135

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Rutgers (11-16)-0.295
272. Hampton (25-7)-0.347
273. Fordham (12-17)-0.444
274. Santa Clara (19-12)-0.461
275. Oregon (14-14)-0.516
276. SE Louisiana (7-21)-0.534
277. Maryland (25-11)-0.551
278. Texas Southern (7-21)-0.556
279. Toledo (22-10)-0.669
280. Uab (17-14)-0.674

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Northwestern St (18-13)-0.680
282. Mo Kansas City (13-15)-0.774
283. Nicholls St (13-14)-0.805
284. South Carolina (15-15)-0.863
285. Arkansas St (15-13)-0.928
286. Hartford (4-23)-0.960
287. Idaho St (12-14)-1.083
288. Hofstra (26-5)-1.126
289. Pepperdine (22-8)-1.158
290. Notre Dame (20-10)-1.159

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Middle Tenn St (4-22)-1.309
292. Dayton (20-12)-1.344
293. SW Texas St (11-15)-1.361
294. Louisiana Tech (16-12)-1.378
295. Penn St (21-12)-1.497
296. Chicago St (4-23)-1.584
297. SO Mississippi (21-9)-1.593
298. Portland (8-17)-1.598
299. Stephen Austin (7-17)-1.604
300. Colorado (14-15)-1.803

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Central Conn (14-14)-1.829
302. Georgetown (25-8)-1.834
303. Loyola Marymnt (8-19)-2.035
304. NC Asheville (13-13)-2.192
305. New Mexico St (13-14)-2.313
306. Eastern Wash (15-11)-2.393
307. Louisville (12-19)-2.422
308. Purdue (16-15)-2.763
309. Niagara (15-13)-2.926
310. Morgan St (6-22)-3.011

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Ball St (16-12)-3.276
312. South Alabama (20-11)-3.415
313. Cincinnati (25-10)-3.596
314. CS Fullerton (3-22)-4.204
315. Temple (24-13)-4.844
316. San Diego (15-14)-5.010
317. Mercer (12-15)-6.005
318. Duke (35-4)-6.334
319. Stanford (29-3)-7.506
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