NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Away

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 03 01:16:27 PDT 2001


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5460


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Kentucky (6-5)0.61052-31-22-0
8. Florida (8-3)0.59911-22-02-1
14. Mississippi (6-4)0.58490-11-24-0
20. Tennessee (6-5)0.57181-30-24-0
21. Georgia (5-7)0.57103-21-31-2
41. Arkansas (3-6)0.53680-31-11-2
45. Vanderbilt (3-7)0.53061-30-21-2
51. South Carolina (4-8)0.52740-31-41-1
63. Mississippi St (2-8)0.51321-30-40-1
68. Auburn (2-6)0.50920-20-41-0
89. LSU (2-8)0.49950-41-30-1
91. Alabama (2-7)0.49850-30-21-2


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5449


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Duke (9-1)0.66773-02-12-0
3. North Carolina (8-3)0.63063-12-11-0
9. Maryland (6-3)0.59831-11-21-0
19. Wake Forest (6-6)0.57191-41-21-0
66. Georgia Tech (2-8)0.51040-41-20-1
85. Virginia (5-6)0.50230-30-20-1
95. Florida St (2-8)0.49551-20-30-3
98. NO Carolina St (2-7)0.49050-30-30-0
194. Clemson (0-9)0.43650-30-30-2


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5367


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Ohio St (5-4)0.60431-31-12-0
15. Michigan St (6-3)0.58382-20-11-0
18. Illinois (6-5)0.57511-30-22-0
26. Penn St (5-6)0.55621-42-01-1
28. Indiana (4-6)0.55381-22-11-2
31. Wisconsin (5-7)0.54841-41-10-2
62. Iowa (4-6)0.51321-30-02-0
69. Michigan (2-8)0.50870-51-10-1
79. Minnesota (3-6)0.50490-30-20-1
80. Purdue (3-7)0.50450-40-20-1
168. Northwestern (1-10)0.45100-50-10-2


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5299


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Stanford (11-0)0.67733-01-02-0
6. UCLA (8-3)0.60332-10-12-0
7. Arizona (7-4)0.60082-21-01-1
32. USC (6-5)0.54690-31-01-0
33. California (5-7)0.54490-50-01-1
75. Oregon (5-7)0.50620-40-10-1
115. Washington (3-9)0.47920-40-10-2
126. Arizona St (2-8)0.47130-40-10-0
183. Washington St (2-10)0.44070-40-11-1
209. Oregon St (1-11)0.42790-40-10-1


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5250


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Boston College (6-4)0.59070-11-14-2
11. Georgetown (7-3)0.58970-11-14-1
12. Providence (8-3)0.58830-10-05-2
16. Notre Dame (6-4)0.58050-21-04-2
30. Syracuse (4-5)0.55080-10-24-2
39. Villanova (5-9)0.53720-32-21-4
59. Rutgers (2-9)0.51620-30-31-3
60. Miami Fla (4-8)0.51341-21-11-4
67. West Virginia (4-7)0.51020-10-32-2
96. Pittsburgh (3-8)0.49530-21-21-3
102. St Johns (2-7)0.48760-10-32-2
108. Seton Hall (2-8)0.48360-21-10-5
143. Connecticut (1-8)0.46280-30-10-4
175. Virginia Tech (1-9)0.44420-10-20-5


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.4979


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Kansas (7-4)0.57631-11-21-0
24. Oklahoma (5-5)0.56201-31-00-1
25. Iowa St (6-4)0.55751-10-21-1
29. Texas (6-5)0.55100-30-01-1
64. Colorado (5-6)0.51300-30-21-0
73. Missouri (3-8)0.50711-30-20-2
138. Oklahoma St (4-7)0.46410-30-00-1
152. Texas Tech (2-9)0.45970-30-10-2
155. Kansas St (2-10)0.45760-40-10-3
167. Nebraska (2-9)0.45120-30-10-2
180. Baylor (3-8)0.44190-30-10-2
201. Texas A&M (1-10)0.43360-30-00-2


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4940


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
27. Fresno St (6-4)0.55560-01-02-3
54. Texas El Paso (6-5)0.52580-10-11-2
56. Tulsa (4-6)0.52100-20-01-3
65. SMU (5-7)0.51070-20-10-3
99. TCU (3-7)0.49050-10-21-2
105. Hawaii (2-8)0.48520-21-10-3
129. Rice (3-9)0.46930-10-11-3
134. San Jose St (4-8)0.46800-10-10-5
219. Nevada (1-11)0.41960-10-10-5


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.4930


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Cincinnati (7-3)0.58570-00-14-0
38. NC Charlotte (9-7)0.53921-20-03-2
50. SO Mississippi (6-5)0.52800-00-21-1
55. Louisville (5-7)0.52131-00-21-3
74. Memphis (5-6)0.50630-10-20-2
77. Marquette (4-7)0.50581-10-21-1
93. Uab (5-6)0.49720-20-01-1
104. South Florida (5-8)0.48610-11-20-2
123. St Louis (4-7)0.47180-11-10-1
145. DePaul (2-8)0.46240-20-20-1
232. Houston (1-11)0.41270-10-00-5
250. Tulane (0-11)0.39990-10-10-3


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.4834


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
23. St Josephs (9-4)0.56371-00-14-1
34. Xavier (7-5)0.54441-10-11-2
37. Temple (8-6)0.54090-10-23-1
44. Massachusetts (5-7)0.53081-01-20-4
46. Dayton (6-5)0.53020-10-20-2
113. St Bonaventure (4-9)0.48150-10-22-2
147. La Salle (4-9)0.46190-10-21-2
176. Geo Washington (2-8)0.44300-10-20-3
178. Fordham (2-9)0.44280-10-20-3
207. Rhode Island (1-11)0.42870-10-40-3
312. Duquesne (0-11)0.34910-00-10-3


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.4761


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
42. Utah (4-6)0.53620-10-23-1
61. Wyoming (7-7)0.51340-00-21-4
78. New Mexico (4-9)0.50560-20-21-4
116. BYU (4-6)0.47830-00-01-4
128. Unlv (3-7)0.47010-00-21-2
181. San Diego St (2-8)0.44150-10-10-4
191. Colorado St (1-9)0.43870-00-21-3
213. Air Force (1-10)0.42480-00-20-4


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4683


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
48. South Alabama (9-7)0.52870-10-11-2
53. Western KY (8-4)0.52660-00-00-2
106. Louisiana Tech (7-8)0.48500-00-11-2
110. Ul Lafayette (5-9)0.48320-10-11-4
141. Arkansas St (6-7)0.46360-00-00-3
156. New Orleans (5-6)0.45660-00-01-1
193. Arkansas Lr (6-7)0.43670-00-00-2
220. Denver (4-8)0.41910-00-10-2
228. Florida Intl (2-10)0.41480-00-20-3


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4682


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
47. Butler (6-6)0.52901-10-01-2
57. Detroit (8-7)0.52080-00-21-2
94. Cleveland St (7-9)0.49600-10-20-1
133. Wright St (4-7)0.46800-10-10-3
144. Wisc Milwaukee (4-9)0.46260-20-20-2
151. Illinois Chi (2-10)0.46050-20-10-2
195. Wisc Green Bay (3-9)0.43610-10-10-3
289. Loyola Chi (0-13)0.37250-00-30-2


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4648


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
49. Pepperdine (9-5)0.52860-20-12-2
52. Gonzaga (8-4)0.52710-10-01-1
83. Santa Clara (6-5)0.50300-00-10-3
103. San Diego (7-8)0.48690-10-02-3
179. San Francisco (4-9)0.44220-00-10-4
184. Portland (4-6)0.44060-00-00-3
215. Loyola Marymnt (4-11)0.42340-10-00-5
298. St Marys CA (0-14)0.36610-20-00-4


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4524


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
43. Creighton (7-5)0.53530-01-02-2
58. Illinois St (7-6)0.51680-10-10-2
88. Southern Ill (5-6)0.49980-10-11-1
130. Bradley (3-8)0.46930-10-20-2
187. Evansville (3-9)0.43960-00-10-2
197. Indiana St (4-8)0.43550-00-11-0
205. Drake (2-10)0.43090-10-11-1
218. SW Missouri St (2-10)0.42030-00-10-2
269. Wichita St (0-11)0.39030-00-20-3
281. Northern Iowa (0-12)0.38580-00-20-2


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4489


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
70. Niagara (8-6)0.50870-10-00-1
109. Iona (6-6)0.48350-00-00-1
127. Manhattan (5-8)0.47110-00-10-2
140. Rider (6-8)0.46360-00-00-3
146. Siena (6-7)0.46230-00-00-2
161. Canisius (6-8)0.45390-00-11-0
162. Fairfield (6-9)0.45380-00-00-2
192. Marist (3-10)0.43730-10-10-1
262. St Peters (0-14)0.39420-10-10-1
301. Loyola MD (0-15)0.36100-10-00-0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4486


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. Richmond (9-3)0.54370-01-01-1
72. George Mason (7-8)0.50820-00-11-4
82. NC Wilmington (6-8)0.50340-11-11-1
189. Old Dominion (3-11)0.43910-00-21-3
200. VA Commonwealth (3-9)0.43500-00-10-3
229. William & Mary (3-10)0.41430-01-00-2
238. James Madison (2-11)0.40730-00-10-5
253. American (1-13)0.39720-10-10-3
272. East Carolina (2-9)0.38880-00-10-2


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4481


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
86. Kent (7-5)0.50170-00-01-2
90. Ball St (7-4)0.49930-00-11-0
100. Toledo (7-4)0.49040-00-00-1
101. Central Mich (7-6)0.48860-00-02-2
117. Ohio (5-8)0.47790-10-11-1
122. Marshall (5-7)0.47260-10-01-2
149. Miami Ohio (4-10)0.46170-01-11-3
154. Bowling Green (5-8)0.45800-00-00-4
158. Akron (4-7)0.45520-00-00-2
258. Western Mich (2-10)0.39550-00-00-1
266. Northern Ill (1-11)0.39200-10-00-2
290. Buffalo (0-12)0.37170-10-00-1
302. Eastern Mich (0-13)0.36080-00-00-3


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4455


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. UC Irvine (9-3)0.53720-10-20-0
71. Utah St (6-4)0.50830-00-10-1
136. Pacific (4-8)0.46480-10-20-2
137. New Mexico St (7-7)0.46440-00-01-3
157. Long Beach St (4-7)0.45650-10-10-2
164. Santa Barbara (4-8)0.45270-10-20-2
169. Boise St (5-9)0.44880-20-10-1
257. Idaho (1-12)0.39570-00-20-2
263. North Texas (1-12)0.39340-10-20-2
264. CS Fullerton (2-11)0.39260-00-20-1
278. Cal Poly (2-9)0.38650-00-10-2


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4436


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
22. Hofstra (11-2)0.56710-00-02-0
87. Delaware (7-6)0.50150-11-10-1
111. Maine (7-8)0.48230-11-11-0
160. Drexel (5-8)0.45440-00-20-1
190. Boston U (3-8)0.43900-00-20-1
231. Vermont (3-11)0.41300-00-20-2
242. Towson (3-11)0.40580-00-10-2
251. Northeastern (2-12)0.39750-10-10-2
256. New Hampshire (2-14)0.39610-10-10-4
287. Hartford (1-11)0.37940-00-10-2


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4393


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
84. Southern Utah (8-5)0.50290-00-11-1
92. Valparaiso (7-3)0.49800-00-00-1
124. Youngstown St (6-6)0.47140-10-00-2
177. Mo Kansas City (5-9)0.44300-00-01-2
203. Oakland (3-10)0.43210-20-00-3
235. Iupui (4-11)0.41030-00-00-3
244. Western Ill (2-11)0.40430-00-10-1
254. Oral Roberts (2-9)0.39700-00-10-1
260. Chicago St (2-12)0.39430-10-00-3


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4322


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
112. Austin Peay (5-6)0.48160-10-00-1
118. Tennessee Tech (6-8)0.47760-10-12-0
135. Murray St (6-9)0.46780-00-01-3
163. Eastern Ill (5-8)0.45310-00-10-3
170. Morehead St (4-8)0.44690-00-10-2
171. SE Missouri St (5-7)0.44650-00-00-2
268. Tennessee St (3-11)0.39060-00-00-2
274. Middle Tenn St (1-12)0.38750-10-00-2
276. Tenn Martin (1-13)0.38680-00-10-4
283. Eastern KY (1-12)0.38340-10-20-1


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4318


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
36. Georgia St (9-4)0.54220-01-10-1
114. Mercer (7-7)0.48010-00-11-3
131. Troy St (6-7)0.46890-10-20-0
182. Stetson (7-8)0.44080-00-20-0
186. Samford (4-8)0.44040-00-20-0
214. Jacksonville (5-7)0.42470-00-10-0
240. Fla Atlantic (2-10)0.40630-10-10-0
277. Central Florida (2-11)0.38650-00-10-2
288. Campbell (3-13)0.37770-00-20-0
311. Jacksonville St (0-11)0.35040-00-10-1


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4283


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
76. Holy Cross (9-6)0.50590-10-10-0
107. Navy (8-8)0.48490-10-20-1
226. Bucknell (4-10)0.41650-10-10-2
237. Colgate (4-9)0.40860-10-00-2
247. Lehigh (4-10)0.40100-00-00-2
259. Lafayette (4-9)0.39490-00-00-2
279. Army (2-10)0.38650-10-00-1


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4225


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
97. McNeese St (8-7)0.49460-00-20-1
148. Northwestern St (8-9)0.46180-00-10-2
172. Nicholls St (6-8)0.44640-00-10-0
173. Sam Houston (5-9)0.44510-10-00-1
188. Tex San Antonio (5-10)0.43920-10-00-2
206. SW Texas St (5-9)0.43070-20-00-0
243. SE Louisiana (4-12)0.40530-10-20-0
245. Texas Arlington (4-11)0.40300-00-00-1
261. Ul Monroe (2-12)0.39420-10-10-0
267. Stephen Austin (3-10)0.39150-00-00-1
317. Lamar (1-13)0.33590-00-00-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4169


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
125. St Francis NY (7-7)0.47140-10-00-1
139. Monmouth NJ (8-7)0.46370-00-00-2
211. Fair Dickinson (6-11)0.42700-00-00-3
222. Wagner (5-9)0.41820-10-00-1
225. Liu Brooklyn (4-10)0.41680-00-20-0
227. Central Conn (6-8)0.41500-00-00-1
246. St Francis PA (4-11)0.40240-00-00-1
285. Robert Morris (2-15)0.38100-00-10-2
305. Mt St Marys (2-12)0.35680-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4131


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
120. Hampton (11-5)0.47490-00-00-0
142. SO Carolina St (8-10)0.46350-10-10-2
202. Norfolk St (4-12)0.43280-20-00-1
204. Coppin St (4-9)0.43170-10-20-0
208. Howard (4-9)0.42810-00-10-3
223. Delaware St (5-11)0.41790-00-00-3
233. MD Eastrn Shore (5-12)0.41110-10-20-0
280. Morgan St (3-14)0.38620-00-20-0
286. NO Carolina A&T (2-12)0.38010-10-00-1
291. Bethune Cookman (1-11)0.37080-10-10-1
313. Florida A&M (0-13)0.34720-10-00-2


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4083


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
121. Princeton (5-8)0.47330-20-01-1
185. Pennsylvania (5-10)0.44050-10-10-3
210. Brown (5-10)0.42730-10-10-1
230. Yale (4-9)0.41420-00-10-2
270. Harvard (4-9)0.39020-00-10-0
282. Columbia (2-11)0.38460-10-00-2
293. Dartmouth (2-10)0.36810-00-00-2
294. Cornell (3-9)0.36810-00-00-0


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4078


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
132. Coll Of Charltn (6-4)0.46880-00-00-0
153. East Tenn St (7-7)0.45960-10-00-1
216. NC Greensboro (6-10)0.42260-00-00-4
217. Geo Southern (5-10)0.42180-00-00-3
221. Chattanooga (3-9)0.41820-10-00-1
224. Wofford (3-12)0.41760-10-20-3
241. Furman (4-10)0.40610-00-00-3
249. Appalachian St (3-9)0.40010-00-00-2
275. The Citadel (2-8)0.38690-00-00-1
284. Davidson (2-10)0.38310-10-10-0
306. VMI (2-12)0.35630-00-00-2
310. Westrn Carolina (0-15)0.35220-10-00-2


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4067


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
81. CS Northridge (8-8)0.50411-10-10-2
119. Idaho St (5-6)0.47710-00-00-4
166. Eastern Wash (7-6)0.45150-00-01-1
198. Weber St (3-9)0.43540-00-11-3
271. Northrn Arizona (3-7)0.38930-00-00-2
295. Montana St (3-9)0.36770-00-10-1
309. Montana (1-11)0.35390-00-00-1
314. Sacramento St (0-13)0.34430-00-00-2
316. Portland St (1-15)0.33720-00-00-1


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.3982


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
159. Alabama St (7-5)0.45470-00-10-1
165. Alcorn St (6-9)0.45240-00-00-4
174. Miss Valley St (5-7)0.44460-00-20-0
252. Texas Southern (3-13)0.39730-20-00-0
265. Grambling (3-13)0.39230-00-30-2
273. Jackson St (3-12)0.38830-00-20-1
303. Ark Pine Bluff (0-17)0.35980-10-10-3
308. Prairie View (1-14)0.35540-00-10-2
315. Southern (2-9)0.33900-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.3915


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
196. NC Asheville (6-10)0.43610-20-00-2
199. Radford (6-8)0.43540-00-20-1
212. Winthrop (5-7)0.42630-00-00-1
248. Coast Carolina (2-11)0.40080-00-40-1
292. Charleston Sou (2-10)0.36910-00-20-1
296. Liberty (4-10)0.36680-00-00-0
297. Elon (2-12)0.36660-00-10-1
319. High Point (0-15)0.33090-10-00-2


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.3843


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
220. Denver (4-8)0.41910-00-10-2
236. Texas A&M-CC (4-10)0.40980-10-10-1
239. Stony Brook (3-10)0.40690-10-00-5
255. Belmont (3-10)0.39700-00-00-3
299. TX Pan American (2-14)0.36470-00-10-1
304. Albany NY (1-11)0.35920-10-20-0
318. Centenary (0-13)0.33340-00-20-1
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