NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
Wall St. Journal Competition Results
Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains
NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Neutral Ratings

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 04 01:11:16 PDT 2001

Home Court Advantage = 4.1316

BIG TEN AVERAGE = 85.032


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Purdue (5-1)93.1981-10-01-0
9. Illinois (8-3)92.8552-32-01-0
14. Michigan St (8-2)92.0332-11-11-0
16. Iowa (8-2)91.7782-23-01-0
23. Penn St (5-2)90.3642-11-11-0
46. Indiana (5-5)85.7001-21-20-1
79. Wisconsin (1-2)82.5731-10-00-1
98. Minnesota (2-2)79.9900-01-20-0
103. Northwestern (2-2)79.2670-00-10-1
146. Ohio St (1-4)75.7700-00-10-2
180. Michigan (0-3)71.8260-10-10-1


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 84.506


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Duke (12-1)102.877-12-01-0
11. Maryland (8-5)92.6242-31-13-1
22. Georgia Tech (4-2)90.4023-10-10-0
28. North Carolina (8-2)89.5420-12-11-0
70. Virginia (1-2)83.6531-00-20-0
125. NO Carolina St (1-3)77.2920-20-10-0
135. Clemson (3-3)76.5440-20-00-0
136. Wake Forest (2-2)76.5420-10-10-0
184. Florida St (1-4)71.0830-10-00-1


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 84.050


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Arizona (7-2)98.1064-11-11-0
3. Stanford (8-1)96.1192-13-00-0
6. USC (5-2)93.8182-20-03-0
21. UCLA (3-3)90.4401-20-12-0
51. California (2-1)85.1310-11-00-0
68. Oregon (1-1)83.8950-00-11-0
108. Washington (1-1)78.8970-00-10-0
116. Oregon St (2-2)78.3380-10-00-1
134. Arizona St (1-2)76.6330-00-10-1
287. Washington St (0-1)59.1220-00-00-1


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 83.756


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. Oklahoma (10-1)91.0211-01-02-1
19. Kansas (6-2)90.8391-20-03-0
33. Baylor (2-1)88.2891-00-11-0
41. Texas (3-3)86.3921-30-02-0
50. Missouri (4-4)85.4560-31-00-1
54. Oklahoma St (3-2)84.8801-10-10-0
69. Nebraska (4-1)83.6810-00-03-0
75. Iowa St (5-2)83.2301-00-02-1
78. Kansas St (1-1)82.8360-10-01-0
101. Texas A&M (2-3)79.3650-10-01-2
118. Colorado (1-2)78.1400-00-01-1
186. Texas Tech (1-2)70.9420-00-00-1


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 82.467


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
24. Kentucky (7-4)90.2853-21-11-1
26. Mississippi (6-3)89.9863-31-00-0
35. Florida (3-2)87.8280-22-01-0
38. South Carolina (1-1)86.9190-11-00-0
42. Tennessee (4-3)85.9730-22-12-0
55. LSU (1-1)84.8130-11-00-0
62. Auburn (4-2)84.5720-11-02-1
64. Alabama (6-3)84.3260-20-12-0
90. Georgia (3-4)81.5730-11-12-2
96. Arkansas (2-4)80.2150-10-11-2
199. Mississippi St (0-1)69.6430-00-00-1
256. Vanderbilt (0-1)63.4730-00-10-0


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 81.785


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Rutgers (1-0)93.3250-00-00-0
17. Boston College (4-1)91.7010-10-03-0
31. Syracuse (8-2)88.9441-11-03-1
32. Seton Hall (3-2)88.6710-21-01-0
37. Pittsburgh (3-2)86.9260-11-02-0
44. Notre Dame (2-2)85.8211-11-00-1
47. Villanova (1-1)85.6860-10-00-0
48. Georgetown (5-2)85.5911-10-01-1
121. Connecticut (1-2)77.8440-00-00-2
127. St Johns (2-4)77.1551-10-00-2
133. Virginia Tech (1-1)76.6950-00-00-1
173. Providence (0-4)72.4140-00-30-1
222. West Virginia (0-1)67.2670-00-00-1
226. Miami Fla (0-2)66.9570-00-00-2


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 81.337


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Temple (7-2)95.9452-22-03-0
36. Dayton (3-2)87.8131-20-01-0
45. St Josephs (4-2)85.8000-11-00-1
63. Geo Washington (6-4)84.3890-31-01-1
73. Massachusetts (3-4)83.3520-21-01-2
74. St Bonaventure (2-1)83.2651-00-00-1
89. Fordham (4-2)81.6190-10-03-0
111. Xavier (2-2)78.6330-00-11-1
117. La Salle (2-3)78.2320-10-10-1
153. Duquesne (3-4)74.6730-00-11-1
279. Rhode Island (0-3)60.9830-00-00-2


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 78.426


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
27. SO Mississippi (4-1)89.5891-10-01-0
34. Cincinnati (7-3)88.1080-12-13-1
57. NC Charlotte (1-2)84.7551-10-10-0
82. Memphis (2-4)82.2060-20-12-1
107. South Florida (4-3)78.9050-00-00-2
114. Uab (1-3)78.4850-10-00-2
120. St Louis (2-3)78.0680-00-10-2
128. DePaul (2-2)77.1490-00-00-2
130. Marquette (2-1)76.9680-00-10-0
160. Louisville (1-3)73.9880-10-00-2
230. Tulane (0-3)66.6500-10-00-1
232. Houston (1-2)66.2460-00-00-1


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 78.335


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. New Mexico (4-0)92.1570-00-02-0
67. BYU (4-3)84.0300-30-01-0
83. Wyoming (2-1)82.1970-00-00-1
100. Colorado St (4-1)79.6720-00-00-1
113. Utah (1-3)78.5260-11-10-1
149. Air Force (2-2)75.2630-10-00-1
179. Unlv (0-3)71.8620-10-00-1
260. San Diego St (0-1)62.9730-00-00-1


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 77.944


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. Tulsa (6-2)90.6020-12-13-0
52. Fresno St (4-3)84.9980-12-01-2
58. Hawaii (6-4)84.7041-11-02-2
77. Texas El Paso (2-1)82.9580-00-11-0
106. Rice (1-2)78.9420-10-00-1
109. SMU (2-3)78.8180-10-00-2
156. TCU (1-3)74.5130-00-00-2
212. San Jose St (0-1)68.7150-00-10-0
297. Nevada (0-2)57.2500-00-00-0


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 77.353


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Butler (3-1)92.4801-10-01-0
105. Wisc Green Bay (2-1)78.9580-00-00-1
122. Detroit (3-5)77.8140-00-41-0
123. Illinois Chi (1-2)77.7430-10-00-0
137. Cleveland St (1-2)76.4080-00-10-1
154. Wright St (1-2)74.6260-00-10-0
181. Wisc Milwaukee (1-2)71.4980-00-00-0
205. Loyola Chi (0-0)69.3000-00-00-0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 75.313


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. East Carolina (2-0)90.0620-00-00-0
94. Richmond (1-1)80.6140-00-01-0
110. NC Wilmington (0-0)78.7830-00-00-0
142. George Mason (1-3)75.8320-10-00-0
143. James Madison (1-1)75.8310-00-00-1
144. Old Dominion (1-2)75.8040-10-00-0
175. VA Commonwealth (1-3)72.1420-00-00-2
225. American (0-0)67.0410-00-00-0
270. William & Mary (0-3)61.7080-00-00-1


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 74.816


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Weber St (1-0)95.2120-00-00-0
43. Portland St (1-0)85.8820-00-00-0
65. Eastern Wash (2-1)84.0860-10-00-0
141. Montana St (3-2)75.9250-10-00-0
198. Montana (0-0)69.7430-00-00-0
204. Northrn Arizona (1-3)69.3430-00-00-0
233. Idaho St (1-2)66.2100-00-10-0
250. CS Northridge (0-1)64.2200-10-00-0
263. Sacramento St (0-0)62.7270-00-00-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.381


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
30. Gonzaga (4-2)88.9541-20-01-0
66. Pepperdine (3-1)84.0850-01-01-0
71. San Diego (3-1)83.5250-00-11-0
72. Santa Clara (5-3)83.3840-01-21-1
228. San Francisco (1-3)66.9160-00-00-0
277. Portland (0-4)61.1080-10-10-0
281. Loyola Marymnt (0-1)60.3000-00-00-0
290. St Marys CA (0-0)58.7790-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 71.548


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Oakland (1-0)92.8470-00-00-0
53. Southern Utah (3-1)84.9480-10-00-0
112. Valparaiso (3-4)78.6161-10-10-1
172. Mo Kansas City (0-0)72.4490-00-00-0
189. Oral Roberts (1-3)70.8340-10-00-0
194. Youngstown St (3-3)70.1960-10-00-0
251. Iupui (0-1)64.1200-00-00-0
265. Chicago St (0-2)62.4850-00-00-0
315. Western Ill (0-3)47.4380-00-00-1


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 71.451


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
39. Indiana St (5-2)86.7921-01-20-0
93. Creighton (3-3)80.6860-01-10-2
119. SW Missouri St (3-2)78.0980-10-10-0
126. Bradley (3-2)77.1870-00-01-1
140. Illinois St (1-1)76.0860-00-00-0
195. Northern Iowa (1-5)70.0880-00-10-0
227. Southern Ill (0-4)66.9500-10-00-1
252. Evansville (0-3)64.0680-00-00-1
292. Wichita St (0-1)58.2460-00-00-0
299. Drake (0-1)56.3090-00-00-0


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 71.370


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
60. Western KY (2-1)84.6240-10-00-0
87. South Alabama (2-1)81.7280-00-00-1
132. Louisiana Tech (1-1)76.7180-00-00-1
148. Ul Lafayette (0-0)75.4380-00-00-0
169. Arkansas St (2-2)72.9120-00-00-0
206. Florida Intl (2-4)69.2780-00-00-2
216. Arkansas Lr (1-1)68.2990-00-00-0
288. New Orleans (0-1)59.0740-00-00-0
304. Denver (0-1)54.2580-00-00-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 71.016


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Pacific (2-0)91.9010-00-00-0
40. Utah St (4-2)86.7211-10-01-0
158. Boise St (1-3)74.2250-00-00-2
182. Long Beach St (2-2)71.4080-00-00-0
191. UC Irvine (1-1)70.4980-00-00-0
193. Cal Poly (0-1)70.2140-00-00-0
218. Santa Barbara (0-1)67.5470-00-00-0
237. Idaho (0-0)65.8520-00-00-0
253. CS Fullerton (0-0)63.9560-00-00-0
264. New Mexico St (0-1)62.6330-00-00-1
300. North Texas (0-3)56.2230-00-10-0


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 70.798


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
56. Toledo (5-2)84.7981-12-00-1
59. Kent (7-3)84.6701-10-10-1
81. Miami Ohio (4-2)82.3750-00-01-2
86. Ohio (4-2)82.0720-00-12-0
115. Ball St (3-3)78.4640-10-01-1
150. Bowling Green (1-2)75.2390-10-00-1
202. Buffalo (1-2)69.5140-00-00-1
220. Marshall (0-1)67.4570-00-00-0
255. Central Mich (0-1)63.9300-00-00-0
271. Western Mich (0-3)61.7010-10-00-0
296. Akron (0-4)57.9930-00-10-1
298. Northern Ill (0-3)56.8240-00-00-1
302. Eastern Mich (0-1)55.3310-00-00-1


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 70.716


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
61. Hofstra (5-2)84.5930-10-10-0
131. Delaware (3-2)76.9530-00-00-1
138. Maine (1-1)76.2190-00-00-1
168. Vermont (1-1)73.0500-00-00-1
178. Northeastern (1-2)71.8750-00-00-1
211. Drexel (1-2)68.9210-00-00-1
238. New Hampshire (1-1)65.6650-00-00-0
239. Boston U (1-3)65.6050-00-00-2
259. Towson (1-2)63.2650-00-00-0
278. Hartford (1-3)61.0140-00-00-0


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 70.579


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Georgia St (6-1)89.2940-11-02-0
88. Troy St (4-2)81.6530-10-00-1
165. Samford (2-3)73.6060-00-00-2
177. Stetson (1-1)71.9470-00-00-0
214. Central Florida (1-3)68.6080-00-10-0
217. Fla Atlantic (2-4)67.8110-00-00-1
231. Jacksonville St (2-4)66.4290-10-00-0
262. Campbell (1-1)62.8790-00-00-0
268. Jacksonville (0-1)61.8410-00-00-0
269. Mercer (0-1)61.7260-00-00-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 69.702


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
99. Canisius (5-1)79.9600-00-00-0
104. Iona (3-3)79.0510-10-00-1
155. Siena (2-2)74.5290-00-10-0
157. Marist (2-2)74.2490-00-00-0
161. Loyola MD (2-1)73.9630-00-00-0
229. Fairfield (1-2)66.7700-00-00-0
236. Niagara (0-2)65.9800-00-00-1
245. Manhattan (0-4)64.9740-00-00-2
285. St Peters (0-1)59.4660-00-00-0
295. Rider (0-1)58.0730-00-00-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 69.592


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
84. Eastern Ill (4-2)82.1880-10-00-1
95. Austin Peay (4-2)80.4730-00-02-0
163. Murray St (1-1)73.7450-00-00-0
164. SE Missouri St (0-0)73.6110-00-00-0
176. Tennessee Tech (1-1)72.0430-00-00-0
235. Morehead St (1-2)66.0010-00-00-0
258. Eastern KY (0-0)63.3780-00-00-0
266. Tenn Martin (0-1)62.3840-00-00-0
272. Middle Tenn St (0-0)61.6880-00-00-0
280. Tennessee St (0-3)60.4080-10-00-0


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 69.447


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
85. Chattanooga (4-2)82.1520-00-10-0
92. Coll Of Charltn (5-3)81.1110-11-11-0
102. Westrn Carolina (1-1)79.3490-00-10-0
145. Geo Southern (2-1)75.7940-00-00-0
152. Davidson (3-3)74.8330-00-00-1
187. Wofford (0-0)70.8690-00-00-0
208. NC Greensboro (0-1)69.1940-10-00-0
224. Appalachian St (1-3)67.1790-00-00-0
242. The Citadel (2-2)65.1390-00-00-0
293. Furman (0-1)58.1650-00-00-0
294. East Tenn St (0-1)58.1420-00-00-0
309. VMI (0-1)51.4370-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 68.429


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
49. Hampton (4-1)85.5601-00-10-0
80. NO Carolina A&T (3-0)82.4240-00-00-0
166. Bethune Cookman (1-0)73.5330-00-00-0
170. Norfolk St (1-1)72.8720-00-00-0
192. SO Carolina St (0-1)70.2470-00-10-0
221. Coppin St (1-1)67.4110-00-00-0
223. MD Eastrn Shore (0-0)67.2340-00-00-0
243. Morgan St (1-2)65.1130-00-00-0
257. Florida A&M (1-2)63.4620-00-00-0
306. Howard (0-4)52.4570-00-00-1
307. Delaware St (0-1)52.4120-00-00-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 67.062


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
76. Holy Cross (2-1)83.0150-10-00-0
139. Navy (2-1)76.1260-00-00-0
171. Lehigh (1-1)72.5930-00-00-0
203. Bucknell (1-1)69.3940-00-00-0
234. Lafayette (1-2)66.1240-00-00-0
308. Army (0-1)52.2560-00-00-0
310. Colgate (0-3)49.9230-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 66.630


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
124. Winthrop (2-2)77.3130-10-00-1
197. Radford (2-2)69.9030-00-00-0
201. Elon (1-1)69.6050-00-00-0
209. NC Asheville (0-0)69.1160-00-00-0
248. Charleston Sou (1-3)64.7640-00-00-0
273. Coast Carolina (1-3)61.6250-00-00-0
275. Liberty (0-1)61.2460-00-00-0
284. High Point (0-0)59.4720-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 66.433


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
91. Northwestern St (2-1)81.5310-10-00-0
129. McNeese St (0-0)77.0680-00-00-0
174. Sam Houston (1-1)72.2000-00-00-0
210. Tex San Antonio (1-1)69.0420-00-00-0
240. Stephen Austin (0-0)65.5690-00-00-0
244. Lamar (0-0)65.0900-00-00-0
249. Ul Monroe (0-1)64.3360-00-10-0
274. SW Texas St (0-1)61.5410-00-00-0
283. Texas Arlington (0-1)59.5600-00-00-0
286. Nicholls St (0-1)59.2320-00-00-0
301. SE Louisiana (0-2)55.5990-00-00-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 65.556


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
97. Monmouth NJ (1-1)80.1880-10-00-0
159. Central Conn (2-1)74.1850-00-00-1
185. St Francis NY (2-2)70.9670-00-00-0
219. Fair Dickinson (0-0)67.5220-00-00-0
241. Liu Brooklyn (0-0)65.4490-00-00-0
254. St Francis PA (0-0)63.9330-00-00-0
267. Robert Morris (0-1)62.2130-00-10-0
291. Wagner (0-1)58.3800-00-00-0
316. Mt St Marys (0-2)47.1670-10-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 64.410


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
162. TX Pan American (1-1)73.7790-00-00-1
190. Stony Brook (0-0)70.6940-00-00-0
207. Texas A&M-CC (0-0)69.1960-00-00-0
261. Belmont (1-3)62.9260-00-00-0
276. Centenary (0-2)61.2270-00-00-2
289. Albany NY (0-0)58.7920-00-00-0
304. Denver (0-1)54.2580-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 61.408


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
147. Princeton (1-2)75.5490-10-00-0
183. Brown (0-0)71.1450-00-00-0
200. Harvard (0-0)69.6350-00-00-0
247. Pennsylvania (0-2)64.8450-00-10-0
282. Cornell (0-3)59.6500-10-00-0
303. Dartmouth (0-2)54.6580-00-00-0
305. Yale (0-4)52.7480-00-10-1
318. Columbia (0-1)43.0360-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 57.072


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
167. Alabama St (3-2)73.2280-10-00-0
188. Miss Valley St (0-0)70.8460-00-00-0
213. Southern (2-2)68.6170-10-00-0
246. Alcorn St (2-4)64.9250-10-00-1
311. Prairie View (0-1)49.3900-00-00-0
312. Ark Pine Bluff (0-0)48.7360-00-00-0
313. Texas Southern (0-2)48.4190-00-00-0
314. Jackson St (0-3)48.1640-00-00-1
319. Grambling (0-1)41.3270-00-00-0
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