NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Home

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 03 01:16:56 PDT 2001


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.6090


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Michigan St (14-0)0.69336-02-01-0
2. Illinois (13-0)0.68434-02-02-0
4. Indiana (12-2)0.65663-11-14-0
5. Wisconsin (12-2)0.65222-13-12-0
49. Iowa (11-4)0.60703-22-13-0
56. Ohio St (14-3)0.59853-30-03-0
57. Penn St (11-4)0.59842-20-22-0
71. Minnesota (11-5)0.58832-31-23-0
123. Purdue (8-7)0.55691-30-33-0
158. Northwestern (8-7)0.53632-21-10-2
169. Michigan (7-7)0.52691-31-10-2


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.6050


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Kentucky (11-1)0.64152-13-03-0
17. Mississippi (14-1)0.63633-03-11-0
18. Tennessee (12-3)0.63581-22-15-0
21. Mississippi St (15-3)0.63481-12-14-0
24. Alabama (15-1)0.62792-03-12-0
35. Arkansas (15-1)0.61792-13-02-0
41. Georgia (8-4)0.61201-21-14-1
64. Florida (13-2)0.59323-02-12-1
79. Auburn (12-5)0.58230-33-03-1
97. South Carolina (10-6)0.57291-31-12-1
117. Vanderbilt (11-7)0.56140-43-20-1
142. LSU (10-7)0.54381-10-31-3


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5951


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Virginia (14-1)0.65033-02-12-0
15. Duke (14-2)0.64052-23-02-0
22. North Carolina (10-2)0.63311-23-02-0
23. Wake Forest (11-3)0.62921-33-01-0
45. Maryland (11-3)0.61011-23-01-0
67. Georgia Tech (11-3)0.59121-22-11-0
98. NO Carolina St (10-6)0.56981-42-20-0
179. Clemson (9-7)0.52171-20-31-1
200. Florida St (5-9)0.51010-41-20-1


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5910


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Boston College (16-0)0.64271-01-07-0
25. St Johns (10-4)0.62741-21-23-0
31. Syracuse (13-2)0.61970-12-05-1
33. Connecticut (17-2)0.61862-02-05-2
46. Providence (12-3)0.60990-11-06-1
48. Pittsburgh (12-3)0.60840-10-26-0
55. Notre Dame (12-4)0.59942-10-14-1
66. West Virginia (12-4)0.59281-20-24-0
73. Villanova (12-3)0.58731-10-14-1
74. Miami Fla (12-3)0.58710-10-15-1
88. Seton Hall (11-4)0.57731-02-11-3
101. Georgetown (13-3)0.56791-00-14-2
132. Rutgers (8-7)0.55150-10-42-2
240. Virginia Tech (6-9)0.48390-10-32-3


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5874


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Arizona (13-2)0.64643-12-12-0
8. UCLA (12-3)0.64542-21-04-1
28. USC (12-3)0.62280-31-03-0
29. Stanford (10-2)0.62271-22-02-0
40. California (13-3)0.61251-31-02-0
72. Arizona St (10-6)0.58760-42-12-0
137. Oregon (8-6)0.54641-30-10-1
147. Oregon St (6-6)0.54181-30-10-1
150. Washington St (10-5)0.54120-40-11-0
203. Washington (5-10)0.50681-30-11-2


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5868


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Texas (16-1)0.65872-12-03-0
9. Kansas (11-1)0.64531-12-03-0
16. Oklahoma St (12-1)0.63732-11-00-0
19. Iowa St (13-0)0.63522-01-01-0
26. Missouri (12-1)0.62642-10-01-0
30. Oklahoma (11-1)0.62031-11-02-0
99. Nebraska (7-6)0.56851-21-11-0
119. Baylor (12-3)0.56071-20-01-1
125. Kansas St (8-7)0.55500-42-00-1
153. Colorado (8-7)0.53950-30-21-1
218. Texas Tech (6-8)0.49891-20-01-2
227. Texas A&M (6-6)0.49570-30-10-1


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5826


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Fresno St (16-0)0.64510-02-04-0
34. TCU (15-1)0.61821-01-03-0
36. Hawaii (9-2)0.61641-01-03-1
58. Texas El Paso (14-2)0.59751-00-23-0
89. SMU (9-2)0.57700-11-02-1
91. Tulsa (14-3)0.57570-10-15-1
127. San Jose St (5-5)0.55460-10-12-3
144. Nevada (8-5)0.54330-10-13-2
188. Rice (9-5)0.51540-11-02-2


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5742


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. BYU (16-0)0.64330-01-07-0
44. Utah (11-2)0.61010-01-03-1
47. Wyoming (10-2)0.60850-02-02-2
54. Unlv (11-3)0.59940-11-04-1
65. New Mexico (11-4)0.59320-01-13-2
134. Colorado St (8-3)0.55060-01-02-3
164. San Diego St (11-5)0.53190-00-13-3
268. Air Force (5-9)0.45680-00-12-2


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5663


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. Detroit (12-0)0.63520-01-02-0
27. Butler (13-1)0.62340-00-04-1
52. Wisc Milwaukee (8-2)0.60190-00-12-0
78. Cleveland St (11-2)0.58310-00-11-1
121. Wright St (12-2)0.55840-01-01-1
171. Wisc Green Bay (6-7)0.52530-11-01-3
201. Illinois Chi (8-5)0.51000-00-10-2
229. Loyola Chi (7-8)0.49360-10-11-1


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5600


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Creighton (14-0)0.64430-01-03-0
50. Indiana St (12-2)0.60391-01-12-0
69. Bradley (12-2)0.59020-01-02-1
105. Illinois St (13-2)0.56620-01-00-1
111. Evansville (10-4)0.56410-02-00-3
122. SW Missouri St (8-4)0.55730-01-11-1
130. Southern Ill (10-4)0.55240-00-11-1
172. Drake (10-5)0.52500-00-22-0
193. Wichita St (9-7)0.51250-00-11-2
238. Northern Iowa (5-7)0.48420-10-11-1


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5597


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
32. St Josephs (13-1)0.61901-01-04-1
39. Xavier (12-1)0.61301-01-02-1
51. St Bonaventure (12-2)0.60220-01-13-0
63. Temple (9-5)0.59320-20-25-1
82. Massachusetts (7-4)0.58030-21-11-1
104. Dayton (11-5)0.56680-21-12-0
160. Duquesne (6-6)0.53470-10-22-2
162. Geo Washington (6-6)0.53360-10-41-1
165. La Salle (6-5)0.53110-11-10-3
204. Fordham (6-6)0.50670-10-11-2
248. Rhode Island (6-8)0.47620-00-20-2


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.5544


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
38. Richmond (12-2)0.61350-00-13-0
43. George Mason (10-1)0.61090-01-01-1
68. VA Commonwealth (11-2)0.59040-10-13-0
108. NC Wilmington (13-3)0.56520-00-11-1
143. East Carolina (9-3)0.54330-01-00-2
155. William & Mary (8-4)0.53850-00-11-1
159. Old Dominion (8-4)0.53510-00-11-3
168. James Madison (9-5)0.52810-01-00-3
259. American (6-7)0.46490-00-11-1


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5536


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
42. NC Charlotte (12-2)0.61201-00-04-0
77. South Florida (9-2)0.58441-10-01-1
84. Cincinnati (11-4)0.58020-02-21-0
94. SO Mississippi (11-3)0.57420-10-12-0
96. St Louis (11-4)0.57311-02-01-2
102. Memphis (11-5)0.56790-30-01-1
124. Uab (11-5)0.55550-01-01-2
133. Marquette (9-6)0.55111-10-12-3
176. Houston (7-7)0.52270-11-10-2
184. DePaul (6-8)0.51761-31-10-1
197. Louisville (6-9)0.51090-20-21-2
230. Tulane (7-7)0.49360-10-11-1


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5298


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
75. Siena (11-2)0.58630-00-01-0
85. Marist (12-1)0.57970-00-00-0
92. Iona (12-2)0.57460-01-00-0
116. Rider (10-3)0.56160-00-00-0
145. Manhattan (9-3)0.54210-00-00-0
146. Canisius (9-2)0.54200-00-00-0
219. Fairfield (5-5)0.49830-00-01-0
221. Niagara (7-5)0.49820-00-00-1
266. St Peters (4-8)0.45770-00-00-0
267. Loyola MD (4-7)0.45730-00-01-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.5225


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
80. Hofstra (10-1)0.58200-00-01-1
87. Drexel (9-2)0.57850-00-11-1
100. Delaware (10-2)0.56810-00-10-0
135. Boston U (8-3)0.55020-01-01-1
139. Maine (9-2)0.54550-00-11-0
173. Northeastern (7-5)0.52400-00-10-2
202. Towson (8-4)0.50770-00-10-1
224. Vermont (8-5)0.49630-00-10-2
252. New Hampshire (4-6)0.47340-00-10-1
308. Hartford (2-9)0.39950-00-10-1


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5138


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
53. Marshall (11-1)0.60100-00-02-1
81. Ohio (9-1)0.58060-00-02-0
106. Central Mich (11-1)0.56620-00-01-1
113. Kent (9-2)0.56340-00-01-0
118. Toledo (10-4)0.56110-00-13-1
138. Miami Ohio (9-4)0.54581-00-00-2
167. Bowling Green (7-4)0.52940-00-00-2
187. Akron (8-5)0.51550-00-02-3
213. Ball St (6-5)0.50280-00-02-1
250. Western Mich (5-8)0.47460-00-10-3
287. Buffalo (3-10)0.42810-00-00-2
301. Northern Ill (3-8)0.40930-00-01-0
305. Eastern Mich (3-11)0.40170-00-00-2


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.5084


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
76. Coll Of Charltn (9-0)0.58470-00-00-0
107. NC Greensboro (12-1)0.56540-00-00-0
120. Chattanooga (8-2)0.56010-00-00-1
129. The Citadel (8-2)0.55270-00-01-1
149. East Tenn St (8-2)0.54120-00-01-0
207. Geo Southern (6-4)0.50470-00-01-0
210. Davidson (7-4)0.50340-00-11-0
226. Wofford (5-4)0.49600-00-00-1
255. Appalachian St (5-7)0.46720-10-10-1
264. Furman (5-5)0.45870-00-00-1
273. VMI (5-6)0.44730-00-10-0
295. Westrn Carolina (4-8)0.41880-00-00-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5049


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
61. Eastern Ill (10-0)0.59450-00-01-0
62. Tennessee Tech (10-0)0.59360-00-01-0
83. Murray St (8-2)0.58020-00-02-1
90. Austin Peay (9-1)0.57630-00-00-0
195. SE Missouri St (9-5)0.51170-00-01-2
247. Tenn Martin (5-4)0.47670-00-00-0
251. Tennessee St (5-5)0.47450-00-01-0
258. Morehead St (5-5)0.46490-00-00-0
309. Eastern KY (3-7)0.39630-00-00-1
318. Middle Tenn St (3-10)0.38090-10-00-1


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.5024


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
115. Western KY (11-2)0.56230-00-10-1
141. Arkansas Lr (7-3)0.54400-00-00-2
166. South Alabama (9-3)0.52940-00-01-0
174. Ul Lafayette (10-4)0.52360-00-10-1
205. Arkansas St (7-4)0.50630-00-01-1
212. New Orleans (10-5)0.50300-00-01-2
237. Louisiana Tech (8-3)0.48500-00-01-0
280. Denver (4-9)0.43870-00-00-2
285. Florida Intl (3-7)0.42920-00-00-2


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.5005


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
59. CS Northridge (12-1)0.59670-00-02-0
175. Weber St (6-3)0.52290-00-10-1
194. Northrn Arizona (7-3)0.51180-00-01-0
196. Portland St (6-3)0.51160-00-00-1
209. Montana St (9-3)0.50370-00-00-2
220. Eastern Wash (6-4)0.49820-00-00-2
232. Montana (8-5)0.49060-00-00-3
242. Idaho St (6-6)0.48370-00-11-1
316. Sacramento St (3-7)0.38510-00-00-1


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4994


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. Georgia St (11-0)0.61380-00-01-0
156. Jacksonville (10-2)0.53700-00-10-0
177. Jacksonville St (7-3)0.52270-00-10-0
180. Troy St (8-3)0.52120-01-00-0
181. Samford (7-3)0.52110-00-10-0
185. Stetson (8-3)0.51650-01-00-0
271. Central Florida (4-8)0.45110-00-10-0
272. Mercer (5-7)0.45080-00-10-0
279. Fla Atlantic (3-8)0.43960-00-20-1
293. Campbell (3-7)0.42000-00-10-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4952


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
112. Holy Cross (11-1)0.56370-00-01-0
170. Navy (7-3)0.52690-00-00-2
192. Colgate (6-3)0.51300-00-00-1
231. Bucknell (7-4)0.49340-00-00-1
249. Lafayette (5-5)0.47520-00-01-0
253. Lehigh (7-5)0.47310-00-00-1
292. Army (5-7)0.42070-00-01-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4944


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
70. Utah St (14-0)0.58910-00-02-0
86. UC Irvine (12-1)0.57880-02-00-0
93. Boise St (9-2)0.57420-01-01-1
151. Long Beach St (8-4)0.54100-11-00-2
182. Pacific (9-4)0.51900-00-11-1
189. Santa Barbara (7-4)0.51480-10-10-1
254. New Mexico St (6-6)0.47230-00-00-4
278. Cal Poly (4-8)0.44040-00-10-1
291. Idaho (3-9)0.42090-00-10-1
307. CS Fullerton (1-11)0.40100-00-10-3
315. North Texas (1-9)0.38660-00-00-2


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4873


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
103. McNeese St (13-2)0.56700-00-00-0
183. Sam Houston (8-3)0.51780-00-00-0
199. Texas Arlington (7-3)0.51030-00-00-0
206. Northwestern St (8-3)0.50510-00-00-0
211. Tex San Antonio (7-4)0.50300-00-00-1
225. Ul Monroe (7-4)0.49620-00-00-0
233. Nicholls St (7-5)0.48970-00-00-0
235. Lamar (7-5)0.48710-00-00-1
256. SW Texas St (6-5)0.46640-00-00-0
296. Stephen Austin (4-7)0.41390-00-00-0
304. SE Louisiana (3-7)0.40380-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4852


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
109. Princeton (8-1)0.56490-01-00-1
163. Brown (10-2)0.53260-00-00-1
198. Harvard (10-3)0.51080-00-00-1
214. Pennsylvania (7-5)0.50280-20-00-0
234. Yale (6-4)0.48830-10-00-0
243. Columbia (8-3)0.48290-00-00-0
299. Dartmouth (5-7)0.41130-00-10-0
314. Cornell (3-8)0.38810-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4851


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
95. Southern Utah (11-0)0.57350-00-00-0
114. Valparaiso (12-1)0.56310-00-02-0
157. Youngstown St (8-2)0.53650-00-01-1
228. Oakland (7-5)0.49450-00-00-2
239. Mo Kansas City (8-6)0.48420-00-11-1
262. Iupui (5-6)0.46000-00-01-2
282. Oral Roberts (4-7)0.43320-00-01-1
283. Western Ill (3-8)0.43150-00-00-3
313. Chicago St (2-9)0.38900-00-00-2


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4825


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
140. Monmouth NJ (12-2)0.54510-00-00-0
154. St Francis NY (9-2)0.53940-00-00-0
191. Wagner (11-3)0.51320-00-00-0
215. Fair Dickinson (7-4)0.50160-00-00-0
257. Liu Brooklyn (8-6)0.46540-00-00-0
261. Central Conn (6-5)0.46220-00-00-0
274. St Francis PA (5-7)0.44520-00-00-1
277. Robert Morris (5-6)0.44050-00-00-0
284. Mt St Marys (5-7)0.43020-00-00-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4805


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
110. Pepperdine (10-2)0.56480-00-01-2
126. Gonzaga (13-1)0.55480-00-02-1
131. Santa Clara (8-4)0.55190-20-01-1
245. San Francisco (5-6)0.48141-01-00-3
265. San Diego (5-5)0.45850-00-00-3
290. Loyola Marymnt (4-7)0.42270-00-00-3
294. Portland (4-7)0.42000-00-00-3
312. St Marys CA (1-11)0.39020-00-00-4


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4772


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
128. Hampton (10-1)0.55340-00-00-0
148. SO Carolina St (10-2)0.54130-00-00-0
190. Delaware St (8-3)0.51380-00-00-0
222. Norfolk St (7-4)0.49800-00-00-0
236. Coppin St (7-5)0.48530-00-00-1
241. NO Carolina A&T (7-4)0.48370-00-00-0
246. MD Eastrn Shore (7-4)0.47790-00-00-0
270. Howard (6-4)0.45480-00-00-0
281. Bethune Cookman (7-6)0.43440-00-00-0
302. Florida A&M (3-8)0.40500-00-00-0
306. Morgan St (2-6)0.40110-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4688


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
136. Stony Brook (9-1)0.54700-00-10-0
208. Belmont (6-2)0.50400-00-00-1
216. Centenary (5-2)0.50160-00-00-0
244. TX Pan American (5-2)0.48240-00-00-0
280. Denver (4-9)0.43870-00-00-2
288. Texas A&M-CC (7-4)0.42460-00-00-1
317. Albany NY (4-10)0.38360-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4636


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
60. Radford (8-0)0.59640-00-00-0
186. Winthrop (9-2)0.51610-00-00-1
260. Liberty (6-4)0.46230-00-00-0
269. NC Asheville (7-3)0.45670-00-00-0
286. Coast Carolina (5-6)0.42920-00-00-1
289. Charleston Sou (4-6)0.42320-00-00-1
297. Elon (5-5)0.41270-00-00-0
298. High Point (4-6)0.41230-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4436


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
152. Alabama St (9-1)0.54030-00-01-0
161. Miss Valley St (11-1)0.53380-00-00-0
217. Alcorn St (7-2)0.50060-00-00-0
275. Grambling (5-4)0.44270-00-00-0
276. Southern (7-5)0.44080-00-00-0
300. Jackson St (4-6)0.41030-00-00-0
303. Prairie View (4-7)0.40390-00-00-0
310. Texas Southern (4-6)0.39540-00-00-0
319. Ark Pine Bluff (1-8)0.32470-00-00-0
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