NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI League

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 03 01:17:11 PDT 2001


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5783


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Kentucky (15-4)0.66054-24-26-0
7. Florida (13-5)0.63734-25-13-2
10. Mississippi (13-6)0.63044-24-34-0
18. Arkansas (11-7)0.60832-44-12-2
32. Georgia (9-8)0.58684-31-23-2
42. Tennessee (9-9)0.57670-62-36-0
47. Alabama (9-9)0.57412-42-33-2
64. Auburn (7-10)0.55730-63-42-0
66. South Carolina (7-11)0.55651-73-32-1
71. Mississippi St (7-10)0.55071-42-33-2
132. Vanderbilt (4-13)0.51091-62-40-3
173. LSU (3-15)0.49021-42-70-4


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5728


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Duke (17-3)0.66605-25-13-0
4. North Carolina (15-4)0.64703-26-12-0
19. Maryland (11-8)0.60771-55-22-0
36. Georgia Tech (9-9)0.58211-64-11-1
53. Virginia (9-8)0.56973-31-41-1
59. Wake Forest (8-9)0.56160-72-22-0
100. NO Carolina St (5-12)0.53020-72-40-0
133. Florida St (4-13)0.50881-51-50-2
182. Clemson (3-15)0.48191-60-61-1


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5725


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Illinois (14-4)0.63194-22-24-0
11. Michigan St (13-4)0.62935-32-12-0
13. Ohio St (11-6)0.62234-51-13-0
15. Indiana (12-7)0.61576-31-23-1
31. Wisconsin (9-8)0.58682-53-12-2
41. Iowa (11-9)0.57745-51-14-0
49. Penn St (9-10)0.57222-62-32-0
93. Purdue (7-11)0.53481-70-32-1
122. Minnesota (5-12)0.51812-60-41-2
127. Michigan (4-13)0.51421-82-10-3
164. Northwestern (3-14)0.49451-71-30-3


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5644


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Boston College (16-3)0.64041-02-111-2
22. Notre Dame (11-6)0.60472-11-17-4
24. Syracuse (13-7)0.60280-13-29-4
26. Providence (11-6)0.59550-31-08-3
43. Georgetown (10-7)0.57591-11-27-4
45. Pittsburgh (10-10)0.57571-32-46-3
60. West Virginia (8-9)0.56141-20-46-3
62. St Johns (8-9)0.55941-21-35-3
63. Villanova (9-9)0.55850-31-26-4
67. Connecticut (8-9)0.55491-32-13-5
72. Miami Fla (8-9)0.55021-21-15-5
84. Seton Hall (7-12)0.54361-24-22-8
150. Rutgers (3-13)0.50100-30-53-5
191. Virginia Tech (2-15)0.47740-30-42-8


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5575


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Stanford (16-2)0.64954-22-02-0
5. Arizona (15-3)0.64164-22-02-0
12. UCLA (14-4)0.62904-21-12-0
33. California (11-7)0.58651-70-02-0
37. USC (11-7)0.58130-62-02-0
145. Washington St (5-13)0.50370-80-22-0
155. Arizona St (5-13)0.49980-80-20-0
159. Oregon (5-13)0.49691-70-20-2
165. Washington (4-14)0.49371-70-21-1
166. Oregon St (4-14)0.49331-70-20-2


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5527


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Oklahoma (15-4)0.63424-22-02-1
14. Texas (14-5)0.61841-41-03-1
16. Iowa St (13-4)0.61493-11-12-1
21. Kansas (13-5)0.60552-31-13-0
46. Oklahoma St (11-7)0.57542-51-00-1
54. Missouri (10-8)0.56702-50-01-2
96. Baylor (8-11)0.53372-60-11-2
99. Nebraska (7-10)0.53051-51-11-0
147. Kansas St (5-13)0.50320-71-11-3
156. Colorado (5-12)0.49850-60-22-1
196. Texas A&M (3-14)0.47620-60-20-3
198. Texas Tech (3-14)0.47481-50-11-3


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5469


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Fresno St (14-4)0.61090-02-05-4
34. Hawaii (11-8)0.58472-12-13-4
38. Tulsa (12-7)0.58080-20-06-4
50. Texas El Paso (11-7)0.57161-10-35-2
76. TCU (9-8)0.54901-11-14-3
87. SMU (8-9)0.54210-21-12-5
120. San Jose St (6-11)0.51880-20-32-6
148. Rice (6-12)0.50280-31-13-5
220. Nevada (3-14)0.46140-20-22-6


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5328


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. BYU (13-4)0.59760-00-07-3
35. Wyoming (11-5)0.58470-01-23-3
40. Utah (10-5)0.57970-01-15-2
98. Unlv (7-7)0.53210-01-13-3
111. New Mexico (8-9)0.52370-00-32-5
140. Colorado St (6-9)0.50630-01-13-6
206. Air Force (3-12)0.46940-00-32-6
208. San Diego St (4-11)0.46880-00-21-8


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5180


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. Temple (15-4)0.60570-00-36-1
23. St Josephs (15-3)0.60322-01-15-1
29. Massachusetts (13-6)0.59221-23-12-3
57. Xavier (12-5)0.56351-01-12-3
95. Dayton (10-8)0.53400-31-31-2
125. St Bonaventure (9-8)0.51590-10-33-1
144. Geo Washington (8-11)0.50500-31-31-4
199. La Salle (6-12)0.47460-21-30-4
242. Rhode Island (3-14)0.43990-10-40-5
246. Fordham (4-13)0.43490-20-21-4
258. Duquesne (3-14)0.42870-10-31-4


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5150


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Butler (14-3)0.59430-00-04-1
48. Detroit (12-5)0.57350-01-22-1
78. Cleveland St (10-6)0.54720-00-21-2
94. Wright St (9-7)0.53440-01-21-3
141. Wisc Milwaukee (7-8)0.50630-00-22-2
197. Illinois Chi (5-10)0.47490-00-20-5
223. Wisc Green Bay (4-11)0.45660-01-10-5
250. Loyola Chi (2-13)0.43250-00-31-3


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5147


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
44. NC Charlotte (13-6)0.57582-10-03-0
58. Cincinnati (13-6)0.56220-01-23-0
75. SO Mississippi (12-6)0.54940-10-22-0
79. Memphis (11-7)0.54590-20-10-2
105. Marquette (10-8)0.52832-00-21-2
114. South Florida (10-8)0.52200-11-11-3
119. Louisville (8-9)0.51901-10-21-1
129. St Louis (9-9)0.51351-12-00-3
135. Uab (9-9)0.50870-21-01-3
184. Houston (6-11)0.48170-11-00-4
227. DePaul (4-13)0.45340-20-20-2
270. Tulane (2-15)0.41680-10-11-3


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5060


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
55. Creighton (15-5)0.56630-00-03-2
70. Bradley (14-7)0.55160-01-13-3
88. Indiana St (13-8)0.54200-01-22-0
89. Illinois St (13-7)0.53990-01-10-2
124. Southern Ill (10-9)0.51700-00-22-3
142. Evansville (9-10)0.50590-01-10-5
161. SW Missouri St (9-11)0.49590-01-21-3
190. Drake (8-11)0.47780-00-23-1
247. Northern Iowa (4-16)0.43470-00-21-3
256. Wichita St (4-15)0.42870-00-20-4


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.5055


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
27. Western KY (13-2)0.59460-00-01-1
97. Arkansas St (8-6)0.53270-00-01-3
109. Ul Lafayette (7-6)0.52410-00-01-3
112. South Alabama (8-6)0.52240-00-01-1
126. Louisiana Tech (7-6)0.51450-00-02-1
153. New Orleans (6-6)0.50020-00-02-1
200. Arkansas Lr (5-8)0.47380-00-00-4
211. Florida Intl (4-10)0.46640-00-00-4
266. Denver (0-0)0.42110-00-00-0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.5012


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
56. George Mason (13-5)0.56490-01-11-2
68. Richmond (12-4)0.55340-00-03-1
81. NC Wilmington (12-6)0.54560-00-22-1
137. VA Commonwealth (9-8)0.50690-00-22-2
172. Old Dominion (8-10)0.49110-00-21-4
187. William & Mary (7-10)0.48090-01-11-3
192. James Madison (7-11)0.47740-01-10-5
217. East Carolina (6-10)0.46340-01-10-4
261. American (3-13)0.42710-00-21-3


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4905


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
83. Iona (15-6)0.54440-00-00-0
103. Niagara (12-7)0.52970-00-00-0
107. Siena (13-7)0.52750-00-00-0
117. Marist (12-8)0.52080-00-00-0
121. Manhattan (11-8)0.51850-00-00-0
136. Rider (11-8)0.50860-00-00-0
163. Canisius (12-10)0.49540-00-00-0
219. Fairfield (8-11)0.46150-00-00-0
283. Loyola MD (3-17)0.40310-00-00-0
289. St Peters (2-17)0.39570-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4806


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
30. Hofstra (19-2)0.58870-00-02-1
69. Delaware (16-5)0.55270-01-20-0
134. Drexel (12-7)0.50870-00-21-1
168. Maine (11-9)0.49260-00-32-0
189. Northeastern (9-11)0.48010-00-20-3
194. Boston U (8-10)0.47680-01-10-2
224. Vermont (8-12)0.45580-00-30-2
230. Towson (8-12)0.44810-00-20-3
244. New Hampshire (6-13)0.43660-00-20-2
310. Hartford (1-17)0.36590-00-20-2


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4780


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
85. Kent (16-5)0.54340-00-01-0
102. Ohio (14-7)0.52990-00-03-1
104. Central Mich (14-5)0.52860-00-02-1
118. Miami Ohio (13-9)0.51920-00-01-2
139. Marshall (12-7)0.50670-00-01-2
149. Ball St (13-8)0.50190-00-02-2
151. Bowling Green (11-9)0.50090-00-00-5
169. Toledo (13-7)0.49170-00-00-1
203. Akron (9-10)0.47250-00-01-2
238. Western Mich (7-12)0.44250-00-00-3
274. Northern Ill (4-15)0.40990-00-01-2
290. Buffalo (2-17)0.39440-00-00-3
304. Eastern Mich (1-18)0.37240-00-00-5


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4765


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
39. Gonzaga (16-1)0.58020-00-04-1
73. Pepperdine (13-3)0.54980-00-02-3
91. Santa Clara (12-5)0.53830-00-02-4
195. San Diego (8-8)0.47670-00-01-6
236. Loyola Marymnt (5-10)0.44360-00-00-7
252. San Francisco (5-10)0.43190-00-00-6
264. Portland (4-11)0.42360-00-00-7
308. St Marys CA (0-15)0.36820-00-00-7


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4721


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
52. Georgia St (19-2)0.57050-00-00-0
116. Troy St (14-7)0.52110-01-20-0
131. Samford (11-8)0.51180-00-30-0
154. Stetson (13-8)0.49990-01-10-0
176. Jacksonville (11-8)0.48610-00-20-0
181. Mercer (10-9)0.48360-00-20-0
260. Fla Atlantic (6-14)0.42770-00-30-0
267. Jacksonville St (6-13)0.41810-00-20-0
278. Campbell (5-14)0.40870-00-20-0
292. Central Florida (4-16)0.39330-00-20-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4704


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
61. Holy Cross (12-2)0.56130-00-00-0
92. Navy (11-4)0.53540-00-00-3
183. Lehigh (7-7)0.48190-00-00-3
216. Colgate (6-7)0.46340-00-00-2
259. Bucknell (5-9)0.42780-00-00-2
272. Lafayette (4-9)0.41390-00-01-1
277. Army (3-10)0.40890-00-01-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4624


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
80. St Francis NY (13-4)0.54570-00-00-0
101. Monmouth NJ (13-4)0.53020-00-00-0
201. Fair Dickinson (8-8)0.47380-00-00-0
205. St Francis PA (7-7)0.47090-00-00-0
214. Wagner (9-8)0.46610-00-00-0
245. Liu Brooklyn (6-9)0.43550-00-00-0
254. Central Conn (6-8)0.43070-00-00-0
265. Robert Morris (5-10)0.42150-00-00-0
297. Mt St Marys (3-12)0.38700-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4611


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
90. Southern Utah (16-3)0.53880-00-00-0
108. Valparaiso (15-4)0.52630-00-01-2
174. Youngstown St (11-6)0.48650-00-01-1
218. Mo Kansas City (9-8)0.46320-00-01-1
221. Oakland (8-8)0.45970-00-00-2
240. Iupui (7-11)0.44210-00-00-2
248. Oral Roberts (6-12)0.43450-00-00-3
262. Western Ill (5-12)0.42560-00-00-3
303. Chicago St (2-15)0.37300-00-00-2


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4591


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
123. East Tenn St (13-4)0.51740-00-01-0
143. Coll Of Charltn (12-5)0.50540-00-00-0
167. NC Greensboro (13-6)0.49310-00-00-1
170. Geo Southern (11-8)0.49150-00-01-1
175. Chattanooga (11-8)0.48610-00-00-2
213. The Citadel (9-8)0.46620-00-01-1
226. Davidson (9-10)0.45370-00-02-0
229. Wofford (7-10)0.44960-00-00-2
239. Appalachian St (8-10)0.44250-00-00-1
276. Furman (5-12)0.40930-00-00-2
284. VMI (5-12)0.40190-00-00-1
294. Westrn Carolina (4-14)0.39240-00-00-1


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
74. Tennessee Tech (14-4)0.54960-00-02-1
82. Eastern Ill (14-5)0.54530-00-02-1
106. Austin Peay (11-6)0.52790-00-00-0
115. Murray St (12-6)0.52110-00-01-1
212. SE Missouri St (8-9)0.46630-00-00-3
231. Tennessee St (8-11)0.44770-00-01-1
241. Morehead St (6-10)0.44130-00-00-1
273. Tenn Martin (4-12)0.41360-00-00-1
311. Eastern KY (1-15)0.36530-00-00-2
319. Middle Tenn St (1-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4577


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
77. CS Northridge (15-3)0.54900-00-00-0
138. Eastern Wash (12-6)0.50670-00-01-2
188. Idaho St (10-7)0.48020-00-01-1
209. Northrn Arizona (8-8)0.46870-00-01-1
228. Weber St (8-9)0.45280-00-00-3
243. Montana St (8-9)0.43930-00-00-2
257. Portland St (6-10)0.42870-00-00-2
263. Montana (6-10)0.42370-00-00-2
306. Sacramento St (2-13)0.37000-00-00-2


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
51. UC Irvine (16-2)0.57070-01-10-0
65. Utah St (16-3)0.55700-00-01-1
152. Santa Barbara (9-7)0.50060-00-20-2
160. Pacific (10-9)0.49690-00-31-2
162. Long Beach St (9-7)0.49580-01-10-2
178. Boise St (9-9)0.48580-01-20-2
271. CS Fullerton (3-14)0.41650-00-30-2
279. Idaho (3-13)0.40730-00-20-2
280. Cal Poly (3-14)0.40550-00-20-3
317. New Mexico St (2-0)NaN 0-00-00-0
318. North Texas (0-2)NaN 0-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4558


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
86. McNeese St (19-4)0.54340-00-00-0
177. Northwestern St (14-9)0.48600-00-00-0
180. Tex San Antonio (13-9)0.48520-00-00-0
193. Nicholls St (12-9)0.47720-00-00-0
207. Sam Houston (12-10)0.46900-00-00-0
215. Texas Arlington (11-10)0.46470-00-00-0
232. SW Texas St (10-11)0.44770-00-00-0
255. Ul Monroe (8-13)0.42970-00-00-0
268. Lamar (7-13)0.41720-00-00-0
281. Stephen Austin (6-14)0.40360-00-00-0
295. SE Louisiana (5-15)0.39030-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4454


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
110. Hampton (17-4)0.52400-00-00-0
113. SO Carolina St (15-5)0.52220-00-00-0
157. Norfolk St (12-8)0.49750-00-00-0
204. Delaware St (11-8)0.47110-00-00-0
225. Coppin St (11-9)0.45470-00-00-0
237. MD Eastrn Shore (10-9)0.44270-00-00-0
249. NO Carolina A&T (10-11)0.43410-00-00-0
251. Howard (8-10)0.43210-00-00-0
287. Morgan St (5-15)0.39810-00-00-0
299. Bethune Cookman (7-13)0.38520-00-00-0
312. Florida A&M (2-16)0.33800-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4418


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
128. Princeton (11-3)0.51420-00-00-0
179. Pennsylvania (9-5)0.48530-00-00-0
202. Brown (9-5)0.47270-00-00-0
233. Yale (7-7)0.44660-00-00-0
235. Columbia (7-7)0.44400-00-00-0
253. Harvard (7-7)0.43120-00-00-0
305. Cornell (3-11)0.37190-00-00-0
307. Dartmouth (3-11)0.36830-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
222. TX Pan American (5-2)0.45800-00-00-0
266. Denver (0-0)0.42110-00-00-0
293. Texas A&M-CC (4-3)0.39310-00-00-0
298. Belmont (3-3)0.38600-00-00-0
309. Centenary (2-4)0.36660-00-00-0
314. Albany NY (0-4)0.30820-00-00-0
316. Stony Brook (2-0)NaN 0-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4242


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
130. Winthrop (13-3)0.51320-00-00-0
146. Radford (12-3)0.50360-00-00-0
234. NC Asheville (9-6)0.44540-00-00-0
269. Charleston Sou (7-9)0.41700-00-00-0
288. Coast Carolina (6-9)0.39720-00-00-0
291. Liberty (6-10)0.39440-00-00-0
296. Elon (5-8)0.38790-00-00-0
313. High Point (2-12)0.33470-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4151


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
158. Alabama St (16-3)0.49730-00-00-0
171. Miss Valley St (13-3)0.49120-00-00-0
186. Alcorn St (14-5)0.48110-00-00-0
275. Grambling (8-9)0.40950-00-00-0
285. Southern (8-10)0.40120-00-00-0
286. Jackson St (7-10)0.39890-00-00-0
300. Texas Southern (6-12)0.38320-00-00-0
302. Prairie View (5-12)0.37430-00-00-0
315. Ark Pine Bluff (1-14)0.29900-00-00-0
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