NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Upward Stability

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 03 01:17:39 PDT 2001

Home Court Advantage = 4.1316

CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 3.3888


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Memphis (18-15)3.8813
4. Louisville (12-19)3.8638
9. St Louis (17-14)3.7339
19. Uab (17-14)3.5487
25. NC Charlotte (22-11)3.4777
32. Marquette (15-14)3.4271
37. South Florida (18-13)3.4074
44. Cincinnati (25-10)3.3892
99. Houston (9-20)3.1875
133. DePaul (10-18)3.0907
147. SO Mississippi (21-9)3.0323
248. Tulane (7-21)2.6256


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 3.3373


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Indiana St (21-12)3.6938
14. Evansville (13-16)3.6482
29. SW Missouri St (13-16)3.4563
30. Southern Ill (15-14)3.4497
39. Wichita St (9-19)3.4039
45. Bradley (18-12)3.3892
58. Northern Iowa (6-24)3.3304
88. Drake (12-16)3.2167
184. Illinois St (21-9)2.9284
205. Creighton (24-8)2.8561


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 3.2751


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Temple (24-13)3.7650
10. Geo Washington (14-18)3.7307
13. Massachusetts (15-15)3.6767
28. Duquesne (9-21)3.4616
42. La Salle (12-17)3.3948
48. St Bonaventure (18-12)3.3811
65. Fordham (12-17)3.3089
72. Dayton (20-12)3.2787
234. Xavier (21-8)2.7378
239. Rhode Island (7-22)2.7074
260. St Josephs (26-7)2.5840


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 3.2562


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Georgia (16-15)3.6952
15. Tennessee (22-11)3.6346
20. Alabama (23-11)3.5467
21. South Carolina (15-15)3.5267
57. Auburn (18-13)3.3394
63. Mississippi (26-8)3.3168
71. Vanderbilt (14-15)3.2814
97. Kentucky (24-10)3.1902
113. Arkansas (20-11)3.1420
162. LSU (13-16)3.0015
190. Mississippi St (17-12)2.9038
272. Florida (24-7)2.4961


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 3.1797


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
26. Nicholls St (13-14)3.4722
36. Northwestern St (18-13)3.4091
50. Tex San Antonio (13-15)3.3771
67. SW Texas St (11-15)3.3004
68. Texas Arlington (11-15)3.2981
76. Sam Houston (14-13)3.2699
84. SE Louisiana (7-21)3.2334
95. Lamar (8-18)3.1920
165. Ul Monroe (9-17)2.9956
172. Stephen Austin (7-17)2.9774
284. McNeese St (21-9)2.4513


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 3.1689


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
33. Canisius (20-11)3.4240
34. Fairfield (12-16)3.4200
56. Iona (21-11)3.3434
64. Manhattan (14-15)3.3140
70. Siena (19-11)3.2825
87. Marist (17-13)3.2178
124. Niagara (15-13)3.1093
130. Rider (16-12)3.0947
149. Loyola MD (6-23)3.0292
283. St Peters (4-23)2.4537


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 3.1683


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Iowa (23-12)3.8901
7. Indiana (21-13)3.7620
16. Penn St (21-12)3.5870
43. Purdue (16-15)3.3912
52. Minnesota (16-13)3.3671
82. Wisconsin (18-11)3.2527
106. Ohio St (20-11)3.1594
157. Northwestern (11-19)3.0124
230. Illinois (27-8)2.7628
270. Michigan (9-18)2.5140
302. Michigan St (28-5)2.1526


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 3.1447


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Hawaii (17-14)3.7350
47. Tulsa (24-11)3.3883
53. Rice (13-16)3.3639
107. Nevada (9-18)3.1591
110. SMU (16-12)3.1506
152. TCU (19-11)3.0201
189. Texas El Paso (22-8)2.9077
198. San Jose St (9-14)2.8848
242. Fresno St (26-7)2.6926


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 3.1273


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. New Mexico (19-13)3.5648
83. Wyoming (19-10)3.2523
103. Unlv (14-13)3.1707
115. San Diego St (13-14)3.1386
127. BYU (24-9)3.1076
168. Colorado St (13-13)2.9898
185. Air Force (8-21)2.9253
202. Utah (16-11)2.8694


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 3.0689


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
24. Old Dominion (12-17)3.4893
38. James Madison (12-17)3.4039
41. William & Mary (11-17)3.3982
51. VA Commonwealth (15-14)3.3715
102. George Mason (18-12)3.1756
195. NC Wilmington (19-11)2.8953
219. East Carolina (13-12)2.8221
221. American (7-20)2.8092
294. Richmond (22-6)2.2550


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 3.0512


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
27. Pittsburgh (18-13)3.4620
35. Syracuse (25-9)3.4170
54. West Virginia (16-12)3.3459
61. Seton Hall (16-14)3.3191
74. St Johns (14-15)3.2764
79. Villanova (18-13)3.2633
81. Connecticut (19-12)3.2614
90. Notre Dame (20-10)3.2130
117. Providence (20-10)3.1304
176. Rutgers (11-16)2.9604
182. Miami Fla (16-13)2.9359
194. Georgetown (25-8)2.8979
297. Virginia Tech (8-19)2.2055
307. Boston College (26-5)2.0282


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 3.0508


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
78. Liu Brooklyn (12-16)3.2653
80. Central Conn (14-14)3.2626
104. Fair Dickinson (13-15)3.1702
125. Wagner (16-13)3.1092
139. St Francis PA (9-18)3.0647
148. Mt St Marys (7-21)3.0307
160. St Francis NY (18-11)3.0067
179. Robert Morris (7-22)2.9457
253. Monmouth NJ (21-10)2.6024


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 3.0426


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
23. Geo Southern (13-15)3.5129
69. Davidson (12-17)3.2949
75. Appalachian St (9-19)3.2746
93. VMI (7-19)3.1969
98. Westrn Carolina (5-24)3.1898
119. Chattanooga (15-13)3.1224
140. NC Greensboro (18-12)3.0547
155. The Citadel (12-12)3.0129
159. Furman (9-16)3.0076
228. East Tenn St (15-10)2.7779
236. Wofford (8-16)2.7299
291. Coll Of Charltn (20-7)2.3365


MIDWESTERN COLLEGIATE CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 3.0291


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Detroit (23-12)3.8355
22. Cleveland St (19-13)3.5220
111. Wisc Green Bay (11-17)3.1492
170. Illinois Chi (11-17)2.9877
206. Wisc Milwaukee (13-13)2.8533
227. Wright St (17-11)2.7808
233. Loyola Chi (7-21)2.7427
288. Butler (22-8)2.3614


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 3.0028


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
60. Lehigh (12-16)3.3225
89. Lafayette (10-16)3.2144
121. Colgate (10-15)3.1178
132. Bucknell (12-15)3.0921
150. Navy (17-12)3.0255
188. Army (7-18)2.9091
290. Holy Cross (22-8)2.3380


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.9887


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
62. Norfolk St (12-17)3.3178
85. NO Carolina A&T (12-16)3.2207
86. Delaware St (13-15)3.2201
114. MD Eastrn Shore (12-16)3.1411
120. Bethune Cookman (9-17)3.1211
144. Morgan St (6-22)3.0434
174. Coppin St (12-15)2.9656
186. Howard (10-17)2.9182
216. SO Carolina St (18-13)2.8320
247. Florida A&M (4-23)2.6327
281. Hampton (25-7)2.4625


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 2.9718


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Nebraska (13-16)3.5785
55. Missouri (19-13)3.3445
73. Colorado (14-15)3.2777
94. Kansas St (11-18)3.1963
169. Texas (25-9)2.9878
177. Oklahoma St (19-10)2.9548
197. Baylor (17-12)2.8866
201. Texas Tech (9-19)2.8708
213. Texas A&M (9-19)2.8391
232. Kansas (24-7)2.7470
250. Oklahoma (26-7)2.6230
289. Iowa St (24-6)2.3557


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 2.9356


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
100. Pennsylvania (12-17)3.1770
128. Cornell (6-20)3.1034
153. Yale (10-17)3.0195
154. Brown (15-12)3.0177
171. Harvard (14-12)2.9856
199. Columbia (10-15)2.8817
211. Dartmouth (7-19)2.8403
282. Princeton (14-11)2.4596


TRANS AMERICA ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.9321


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. Central Florida (7-22)3.3987
66. Campbell (7-21)3.3050
131. Jacksonville St (9-18)3.0927
145. Stetson (16-12)3.0431
151. Samford (13-14)3.0217
156. Fla Atlantic (7-22)3.0129
181. Mercer (12-15)2.9423
225. Troy St (18-12)2.7976
249. Jacksonville (15-10)2.6250
304. Georgia St (26-5)2.0819


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.9261


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Miami Ohio (17-16)3.9194
46. Akron (12-16)3.3883
59. Kent (23-10)3.3255
92. Ball St (16-12)3.2028
96. Toledo (22-10)3.1917
105. Ohio (18-11)3.1639
129. Bowling Green (13-14)3.0954
224. Western Mich (7-21)2.7977
255. Marshall (16-9)2.5926
257. Buffalo (4-24)2.5885
263. Central Mich (18-8)2.5687
298. Northern Ill (4-22)2.2054
311. Eastern Mich (3-25)1.9998


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 2.8488


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
49. Montana St (15-14)3.3775
109. Portland St (8-18)3.1522
112. Northrn Arizona (11-13)3.1427
141. Idaho St (12-14)3.0477
192. Eastern Wash (15-11)2.9007
235. Montana (9-16)2.7364
246. Weber St (10-12)2.6487
266. CS Northridge (20-10)2.5592
305. Sacramento St (3-20)2.0742


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 2.8486


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
118. Arkansas St (15-13)3.1245
122. Denver (8-18)3.1122
138. South Alabama (20-11)3.0678
173. Florida Intl (7-21)2.9702
183. New Orleans (15-12)2.9309
223. Ul Lafayette (15-13)2.7985
226. Louisiana Tech (16-12)2.7814
252. Arkansas Lr (14-11)2.6041
295. Western KY (21-7)2.2479


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 2.8381


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. Northeastern (10-19)3.4376
101. Vermont (12-17)3.1770
108. Towson (12-17)3.1591
135. New Hampshire (7-21)3.0853
142. Boston U (12-14)3.0449
200. Drexel (15-12)2.8801
238. Maine (17-11)2.7122
271. Hartford (4-23)2.5009
275. Delaware (20-10)2.4831
314. Hofstra (26-5)1.9004


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 2.7455


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
137. USC (23-10)3.0695
143. Arizona St (13-16)3.0448
163. Washington (9-20)2.9961
187. Oregon (14-14)2.9094
203. UCLA (23-9)2.8690
214. California (20-11)2.8378
222. Oregon St (9-19)2.8068
241. Arizona (27-8)2.7040
267. Washington St (12-16)2.5584
316. Stanford (29-3)1.6596


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 2.7156


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
136. Liberty (10-15)3.0808
146. Coast Carolina (8-20)3.0353
180. Charleston Sou (7-19)2.9449
237. Elon (8-18)2.7241
258. Radford (16-10)2.5861
265. Winthrop (16-11)2.5594
273. NC Asheville (13-13)2.4948
292. High Point (4-21)2.2996


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 2.6935


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
123. Tennessee St (8-19)3.1109
126. Murray St (15-12)3.1090
158. SE Missouri St (14-12)3.0093
208. Austin Peay (18-9)2.8456
212. Morehead St (10-15)2.8391
215. Eastern Ill (19-10)2.8345
268. Tenn Martin (6-18)2.5548
274. Tennessee Tech (17-9)2.4849
303. Middle Tenn St (4-22)2.1516
312. Eastern KY (4-19)1.9953


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.6759


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
161. Georgia Tech (17-13)3.0020
167. Maryland (25-11)2.9906
178. Wake Forest (19-11)2.9502
204. NO Carolina St (13-16)2.8616
243. Florida St (8-21)2.6899
259. Clemson (12-19)2.5859
262. North Carolina (26-7)2.5755
276. Virginia (20-9)2.4809
313. Duke (35-4)1.9466


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 2.6516


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
166. Iupui (9-18)2.9932
191. Oral Roberts (7-19)2.9026
196. Mo Kansas City (13-15)2.8871
217. Oakland (11-15)2.8300
244. Youngstown St (17-11)2.6804
245. Western Ill (5-22)2.6551
280. Valparaiso (22-8)2.4632
285. Chicago St (4-23)2.4382
308. Southern Utah (22-6)2.0150


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 2.5994


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
122. Denver (8-18)3.1122
207. Belmont (10-15)2.8524
220. Albany NY (5-21)2.8206
231. TX Pan American (8-17)2.7536
279. Texas A&M-CC (11-14)2.4662
299. Centenary (5-17)2.1880
310. Stony Brook (12-11)2.0032


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.5355


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
116. Santa Clara (19-12)3.1339
164. San Diego (15-14)2.9958
175. San Francisco (10-18)2.9644
251. Loyola Marymnt (8-19)2.6189
261. Portland (8-17)2.5814
278. Pepperdine (22-8)2.4666
296. Gonzaga (25-7)2.2433
319. St Marys CA (1-25)1.2793


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 2.4941


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
77. Boise St (15-14)3.2675
193. New Mexico St (13-14)2.9004
209. Pacific (15-12)2.8430
218. Long Beach St (14-13)2.8229
240. Cal Poly (6-18)2.7046
277. Idaho (4-21)2.4793
286. Santa Barbara (11-13)2.4324
300. Utah St (24-6)2.1709
301. CS Fullerton (3-22)2.1676
306. UC Irvine (22-5)2.0329
317. North Texas (2-24)1.6136


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 2.3214


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
134. Southern (11-16)3.0898
254. Jackson St (7-21)2.6000
256. Alcorn St (15-15)2.5889
264. Texas Southern (7-21)2.5633
269. Grambling (8-18)2.5410
293. Prairie View (5-22)2.2765
309. Alabama St (19-8)2.0069
315. Miss Valley St (16-8)1.8118
318. Ark Pine Bluff (1-25)1.4144
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